Thinking about vulnerability and adaptive capacity
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Transcript of Thinking about vulnerability and adaptive capacity
Thinking about vulnerability and adaptive capacity
Scale of analysis (and action)
Adaptation research has scaled up to the community level• Systems research• Structural parameters/slow variables
What does community level illuminate?• Articulation and linkages• Obscures heterogeneity
Current challenges to AC as an analytical conceptIs more than assets• How do people mobilize AC?• Institutions are key• Measure vs. characterize
ACs do not exist in isolation• Synergies and trade-offs
Generic and specific ACs• Identify specific risks• What are the priority investments?
AC can be enhanced and eroded
AC implications of policy responsesEcological and social AC Constrain local responses
Mask feedbacks Problem framing
Adger et. al 2011
Methods - Trajectories -
Value of past as analogueTensions between history and unknown futureCultural logic of adaptation
TrajectoriesDirectionalityHistorical depthInflection points
NE BrazilCharacterizing riskMeasuring trendsExplaining trends
Value of understanding trajectoriesIdentify what works/inflection pointsMeasure adaptive capacitiesDetermine clustering of ACs