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    FACULTEIT GENEESKUNDE EN FARMACIE

    Vakgroep Menselijke Ecologie

    Master Programme in Human Ecology

    Integration of Land Susceptibili ty Classi fication System

    and Vegetation Change Detection--o-o--

    A case study of Dakrong District, Vietnam

    Thesis Presented to Obtain the Degree of Master in Human Ecology

    Ngo Dang Tri(Roll No. 82488)

    August 2007

    Promoter: Prof. Dr. Luc Hens

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    Declaration and Approval

    I hereby declare that this thesis submitted for the Master degree in Human Ecology, at the

    Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB), is my own original work and has not previously been

    submitted to any other institution of higher education for award of any degree. All sources

    consulted and quoted are acknowledged by means of a comprehensive list of references.

    Signature ... Date .

    (Ngo Dang Tri)

    Approval

    This thesis has been submitted for examination with my approval as the Vrije Universiteit

    Brussels promoter.

    Signature ... Date .

    (Prof. Dr. Luc Hens)

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    Dedicated

    To my beloved parents Ng Thit ng

    and o Th Hu

    Knh tng cha m thn yu

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    i

    Acknowledgments

    First of all, I would like to extend my profoundest gratitude to my promoter,

    Prof. Luc Hens, for his invaluable comments and guidance through every stage of

    my thesis from the formulation of the research proposal to the thesis writing.

    With the sincerest regards, I wish to thank Dr. Ann Van Herzele for her ideas,

    supervision and comments; I also wish to thank Prof. Rob De Wulf for his

    comments in the beginning period of the thesis writing.

    I would like to thank to Mr. Canters Frank and Mr. Tesfazghi Ghebre Egziabeherfor their teaching on Remote Sensing and GIS technical.

    My gratitude is extended to all staff members of Landscape Ecology

    Department, IG, VAST for their support of valuable data of study area. The

    author also highly appreciates very helpful assistance from Mr. Nguyen Thanh

    Tuan who works together with the author in data collected and processed.

    My appreciations further go to the Human Ecology Programme coordinators and

    teaching professors at Vrije Universiteit Brussel who equipped me with the

    required interdisciplinary research knowledge and skills.

    My appreciations also go to the Flemish Interuniversity Council (Vlaamse

    Interuniversitaise Raad -VLIR) for providing me a scholarship that helped me

    not only improve my academic career but also informally learn the cultural

    diversity of global citizens.

    Most especially, my deepest gratefulness is extended to my parents and siblings

    for their inspiration and encouragement.

    Last but never least is the heartfelt thanks to my betrothed, Nguyen Thi Nhu

    Trang, for her continuous spiritual support to me, and for the hardship she bears

    during my absence.

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    ii

    ABSTRACT

    Dakrong is located in the up-stream area of ThachHan basin, which is one of the largest basins

    in the centre of Vietnam. The declining of forest cover (1945 - 1990) in Dakrong leads to

    adverse impacts on the environment of the entire ThachHan basin such as soil erosion,

    siltation and runoff moderating ability. It also has flooding impacts on flood-plain area of the

    basin.

    In recognizing the role of vegetation cover, since 1989, the local government has made many

    attempts in forest protection and plantation. Nevertheless, despite of gaining in forest cover,

    adverse impacts of forest loss have not reduced clearly and significantly, natural disasters in

    the entire basin are continuing uncontrollable. One important reason of this situation is:

    though vegetation cover increased, it did not cover the sensitive areas to prevent degradation

    of land and water, and to mitigate the risk of disasters. Or in other word, it is lack of a proper

    land use plan for the Dakrong district.

    This thesis develops a new land classification system, call Land susceptibility classification

    (LSC), aiming at classifying land of the Dakrong district into different sensitive classestoward forestry management and conservation activities. Along with developing and

    implementing the LSC, the thesis implements vegetation change detection (VC) in order to

    detect the change of vegetation in Dakrong in the period 1989-2005. The integration of VC

    and LSC shows how the change among cover types at a land area is and whether the

    change is compatible with the recommended use for such land area where the change

    occurred. Based on that, the thesis assesses the compatibility of the vegetation changewith

    the recommendation of land use proposed by the LSC system, and provides information

    supporting for master land use planning for the Dakrong district.

    Keyword: Change detection, Dakrong, FAO land suitability classification, GIS, Image

    classification, Land classification, Land susceptibility classification, NDVI image difference,

    Post-classification change detection, Remote sensing, USDA land capability classification.

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    iii

    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    Acknowledgments .................................................................................................................... i

    Abstract .................................................................................................................................... ii

    Table of contents .................................................................................................................... iii

    List of figure ........................................................................................................................... vi

    List of tables........................................................................................................................... vii

    Abbreviation ......................................................................................................................... viii

    Chapter 1.INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................1

    1.1. Introduction ................................................................................................................................1

    1.2. Statement of the research problem ...........................................................................................3

    1.3. Research objectives ....................................................................................................................6

    1.3.1. General objective ......................................................................................................... 6

    1.3.2. Specific objectives ........................................................................................................ 6

    1.4. Research questions .....................................................................................................................6

    1.5. Definitions and concepts ............................................................................................................7

    1.6. The research tools ......................................................................................................................8

    1.6.1. Remote sensing (RS) ................................................................................................... 8

    1.6.2. Geographical information system (GIS) ..................................................................... 8

    1.7. Limitation and significance of the research .............................................................................9

    1.7.1. Limitation of the research ........................................................................................... 9

    1.7.2. Significance of the research ........................................................................................ 9

    1.8. Research logical framework ....................................................................................................10

    Chapter 2.LITERATURE REVIEW ..................................................................................12

    2.1. Land classification ...................................................................................................................12

    2.1.1. USDA land capability classification ......................................................................... 13

    2.1.2. FAO land suitability classification ........................................................................... 15

    2.1.3. Remarks ..................................................................................................................... 17

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    2.2. Vegetation cover change detection ......................................................................................... 17

    2.2.1. Post-classification change detection ......................................................................... 18

    2.2.1.1. Image classification methods ................................................................. 19

    2.2.1.2. Land cover map comparison ..................................................................21

    2.2.2. NDVI image difference ............................................................................................. 21

    2.2.2.1. Radiometric normalization ..................................................................... 22

    2.2.2.2. NDVI calculation and image difference .................................................23

    2.2.3. A hybrid approach for change detection .................................................................. 23

    Chapter 3.STUDY AREA ....................................................................................................25

    3.1. Study area .................................................................................................................................25

    3.1.1. Bio-physical conditions ............................................................................................. 253.1.1.1. Topology and hydrology ........................................................................ 25

    3.1.1.2. Geomorphology......................................................................................26

    3.1.1.3. Edaphology ............................................................................................26

    3.1.1.4. Meteorology ...........................................................................................26

    3.1.1.5. Land use ................................................................................................. 27

    3.1.2. Socio-Economic ......................................................................................................... 27

    3.1.2.1. Ethnic Groups ........................................................................................27

    3.1.2.2. Health Care ............................................................................................273.1.2.3. Education ...............................................................................................28

    3.1.2.4. Transportation ........................................................................................28

    3.1.2.5. Cultivation practice and household incomes ..........................................28

    Chapter 4.MATERIAL AND METHODS .........................................................................29

    4.1. Materials ...................................................................................................................................30

    4.2. Methods and process ................................................................................................................31

    4.2.1. Land susceptibility classification .............................................................................. 31

    4.2.1.1. Establishing factor maps ........................................................................33

    4.2.1.2. Regression analysis ................................................................................ 37

    4.2.1.3. Land susceptibility classification map ................................................... 37

    4.2.2. Vegetation change detection ..................................................................................... 37

    4.2.2.1. Pre-processing ........................................................................................38

    4.2.2.2. Post-classification change detection....................................................... 39

    4.2.2.3. NDVI image difference ..........................................................................40

    4.2.2.4. The hybrid approach for change detection ............................................. 40

    4.2.3. The compatibility of vegetation change .................................................................... 41

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    Chapter 5.RESULTS AND DISCUSSION .........................................................................42

    5.1. Results .......................................................................................................................................42

    5.1.1. Land Susceptibility Classification ............................................................................. 42

    5.1.2. Vegetation change detection ..................................................................................... 43

    5.1.2.1. Change detected using the post-classification ........................................ 43

    5.1.2.2. Change detected using NDVI image difference .....................................45

    5.1.2.3. Change detected using the hybrid approach ...........................................46

    5.1.2.4. Accuracy assessment for change detection ............................................47

    5.1.3. Compatibility of vegetation change ........................................................................... 48

    5.2. Discussion ..................................................................................................................................49

    5.2.1. Question 1: Why should we develop a new classification system oriented

    towards forestry management and conservation activities for the Dakrong

    district as well as other up-stream areas?................................................................. 49

    5.2.2. Question 2: How is the efficiency of different methods of vegetation cover/use

    change detection?....................................................................................................... 50

    5.2.3. Question 3: How does vegetation change during the period 1989-2005 in the

    study area? Arguably although forest and trees in Vietnam increased, but it did

    not cover the sensitive areas. Is the criticism right for Dakrong? .............................52

    Chapter 6.CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ...........................................55

    6.1. Conclusions ...............................................................................................................................55

    6.2. Recommendations ....................................................................................................................56

    REFERENCES .......................................................................................................................58

    APPENDIX .............................................................................................................................64

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    vi

    LIST OF FIGURES

    Figure 1.

    Chain of the effects of deforestation ......................................................................2

    Figure 2.

    Changes on forest area in Vietnam during the period 1943-2003 ..........................4

    Figure 3.

    Percentage of forest area in the Dakrong district in 1945, 1990, 2000 ..................4

    Figure 4.

    Flowchart to produce the compatible vegetation change map .............................11

    Figure 5.

    Framework of the post-classification change detection method ..........................18

    Figure 6.

    Framework of the NDVI image difference method .............................................22

    Figure 7.

    Framework of the hybrid approach for change detection .....................................24

    Figure 8.

    Quang Tri province located in Vietnam ...............................................................25

    Figure 9.

    Hill shade map of Dakrong district ......................................................................25

    Figure 10.

    The framework to establish the compatible vegetation change map ....................29

    Figure 11.

    Sensitive land classes ...........................................................................................31

    Figure 12.

    The framework for developing the susceptibility classification map ...................32

    Figure 13.

    Post-classification method for change detection in period 1989 - 2005 ..............40

    Figure 14.

    The Hybrid method for change detection in period 1989 - 2005 .........................41

    Figure 15.

    The framework to establish the compatible vegetation cover map ......................41

    Figure 16.

    Land susceptibility classification map .................................................................42

    Figure 17.

    Vegetation map and the distribution of land cover types in 1989 ........................44

    Figure 18.

    Vegetation map and the distribution of land cover types in 2005 ........................44

    Figure 19.

    General trend of cover change (1989-2005) .........................................................45

    Figure 20.

    Map of change/no-change detected by NDVI image difference ..........................46

    Figure 21.

    Vegetation change map detected using the hybrid method ..................................47

    Figure 22.

    Compatible vegetation change map .....................................................................48

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    vii

    LIST OF TABLES

    Table 1

    The severity of the huge flood in Quang Tri occurred in 1999 ..............................5

    Table 2

    Land capability classes (USDA system) ..............................................................14

    Table 3

    A treatment oriented scheme for hilly marginal lands .........................................15

    Table 4

    Land suitability classes and subclasses ................................................................16

    Table 5

    FAO land suitability classification applied in Vietnam .......................................16

    Table 6

    Outline of images and maps used in this study ....................................................30

    Table 7

    Proposed factors for the land susceptibility classification system .......................33

    Table 8

    Sensitivity classes .................................................................................................42

    Table 9

    Change detected using the post-classification method .........................................45

    Table 10

    Change detected using the hybrid approach .........................................................46

    Table 11

    Accuracies of the post-classification and the NDVI image difference ................47

    Table 12

    Compatible vegetation change .............................................................................49

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    viii

    ABBREVIATIONS

    CDE Centre for Development and Environment

    CVC Compatibility of Vegetation Change

    ESRI Environmental Systems Research Institute

    FSSPP Forest Sector Support Program and Partnership

    GIS Geography Information System

    GTZ German Agency for Technical Cooperation

    IG, VAST Institute of Geography, Vietnam Academic Science and Technology

    ISRIC International Soil Reference and Information Centre

    IUCN The World Conservation Union

    LSC Land Susceptibility Classification

    MARD Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development Vietnam

    MRC Mekong River Commission

    NLWRA National Land and Water Resources Audit

    QTDoSTE Quang Tri Department of Science, Technology and Environment

    QTDoS Quang Tri Department of Statistic

    QTSA Quang Tri Statistical Annual

    RS Remote Sensing

    RSI Research System Inc

    SMRP Sustainable Management of Resource in the Lower Mekong Basin

    UNDP United Nations Development Programme

    VC Vegetation cover/use Change

    VFPD Vietnam Forest Protection Department

    VNSCFC Vietnam National Steering Committee on Flood control

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    Chapter 1. Introduction

    2

    Figure 1. Chain of the effects of deforestation (Graff, 1993)

    Deforestation(especially insloping land)

    Loss of bio -diversity

    Reducedcooking

    (Fuel) woodscarcity

    Increased fuel-wood &fodder collection time

    Reduced livestockfodder

    Use of dung & cropresidues as fuel

    Reduced manure andmulch

    Increased soilerosion

    Reduced soil fertility

    Increased totalrunoff

    Reduced runoff incritical periods

    Water pollution &salinity

    Downstreamsedimentationrivers/reservoirs

    Increased flooding

    Drinking water effects

    Reduce fisheries

    Reduced transportcapacity

    Reduced irrigationcapacity

    Reduced hydro-electricity

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    Chapter 1. Introduction

    3

    This study applies Remote Sensing and Geographic Information System techniques in order

    to develop new land classification oriented forestry; to detect the change of vegetation

    cover/use (1989-2005),and incorporate the achieved results aiming toassess the compatibility

    of Vegetation change in Dakrong (1989-2005) as well assupporting information for master

    land use planning for the Dakrong district. The term compatibility refers to the suitability

    of the change of vegetation in a land unit with the recommended use for such land unit.

    Results of this thesis provide important information for assessing forestation plans and

    programmes of the government as well as in proposing a master land use plan.

    1.2. Statement of the research problem

    Vegetation cover retards soil loss and erosion, retains moisture in the soil, and ensures a

    gradual supply of water to streams and rivers (Narendra et al., 1992). When vegetation cover

    is destroyed or altered, especially in upper catchments, it leads to erosion, soil and water

    degradation, landslides, siltation of water courses and reservoirs, flash floods, and salt water

    intrusion (CDE, 1997). Declining of forest in upper-stream areas can lead to increase in the

    rate of occurrence and severity of floods and droughts in downstream areas (ARCADIS,

    2000). Figure 1 illustrates the multitude of physical effects of one form of land degradation

    deforestation. This demonstrates how forest decline directly impacts on wood resources and

    indirectly affects on soil and water resources. Many of the potential benefits of soil and waterconservation measures, whether for deforestation or other problems, are shown in this figure

    (Graaff, 1993).

    Many international agreements and conferences have been organized with attempts to combat

    adverse impacts of forests and trees loss. The most well-known are the Ramsar Convention on

    Wetlands (1971), the World Commission on Environment and Development (1987), the

    United Nations Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED, 1992), United

    Nations Millennium Declaration (2000), World Summit for Sustainable Development (WSSD,

    2002), the World Forestry Congress (generally taken place every six years, 1926-2003), and

    Ministerial Meeting on Forests (1995, 1999, 2005).

    In Vietnam, before 1943, forest covered more than 43% (14 million ha) of total land surface.

    After 33 years (in1976), the forest cover decreased to 33.8% (11 million ha). From 1976 to

    1989, the rapid rate of population growth and socio-economic development activities

    continuously resulted in forest loss and degradation as shown in figure 2 (30% (1985); 27%

    (1990).

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    Chapter 1. Introduction

    4

    43%

    34%

    30% 27% 28% 36%

    33%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    1943 1976 1985 1990 1995 1999 2003

    Percentage of Forest cover

    Figure 2. Changes on forest area and coverage in Vietnam during the period 1943 2003

    (FSSPP, 2006)

    In recognizing the role of vegetation cover, since 1989, Vietnams government has made

    many attempts on afforestation and forest protection programs such as Program 327, 5-million

    ha Afforestation Program, Afforestation program PAM, and German sponsored projects. In

    2003, Vietnam forest covered reached 36%, increased more than 9% in comparison with 1990

    (figure 2). This increase in forest cover elevated Vietnam to the top 10 world gainers of forest

    cover during the period 1990-2000 (IUCN, 2006).

    Dakrong is a remote district in the Quang Tri, one of the poorest provinces located in central

    Vietnam. In the past, Dakrong was rich of forest cover. As many areas in Vietnam and the

    world, forest cover of Dakrong was destroyed and/or conversed to other use. Figure 3 shows

    the forests decline during the period 1945 1990 (from 46% decline to 21% of total area).

    46%

    21%

    32%

    1945 1990 2000

    Figure 3. Percentage of forest area in the Dakrong district in 1945, 1990, 2000 (QTDoS, 2000)

    Dakrong falls in up-stream area of ThachHan basin which is the largest basin and occupies

    more than 70% of the Quang Tri province territory. Reduction of forest cover in Dakrong

    leads to serious effects on the entire ThachHan basin. The declining of forest cover from 46%

    to 21% in Dakrong (1945 - 1990) (figure 3) leads to adverse impacts on the environment such

    as soil erosion, siltation and runoff moderating ability. It has also flooding impacts on flood-

    plain area in the south-eastern areas of Quang Tri (Thuong, 1993). For example, during the

    period 1900-1950, only one huge flood happened (experienced in 1928) but there were 4 huge

    floods recorded during the period 1950 2000. These four huge floods occurred in 1953,

    1975, 1983, and 1990 (VNSCFC, 2002).

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    Chapter 1. Introduction

    5

    Since 1989, the Quang Tri government made efforts to mitigate the situations through

    stabilizing and recovering the vegetation cover. Like many regions in Vietnam, Dakrongs

    vegetation cover is recovering progressively. According to QTDoS (2000), vegetation cover

    has been increasing from 21% (1990) to 32% (2000) (figure 3). Nevertheless, several reports

    (Phong, 2001; Tuan, 2001 and VNSCFC, 2002) indicate that despite of gain in forest cover,

    the adverse impacts of forest loss have not reduced clearly and significantly, natural disasters

    are still uncontrollable. The most noticeable is the huge flood in Quang Tri occurred in 1999

    (table 1), which is reputed as the consequent of forest loss in the Dakrong district . These reports also

    criticize forestation projects have been implemented without an appropriate location plan.

    Table 1 The severity of the huge flood in Quang Tri occurred in 1999 (UNDP, 1999)

    Effect Indication Unit Damage

    PeoplePeople killed and missing No. 58

    People injured No. 4

    HousingHouses collapsed No. 2,229

    Houses flooded and damaged No. 59,112

    EducationSchools collapsed Room 183

    Schools damaged Room 1,640

    Agriculture

    Paddy flooded Ha 4,999

    Paddy destroyed Ha No data

    Other crops flooded Ha 7,945

    FisheryShips and boats sunk and destroyed No. 148

    Fish and shrimp lost Ton 295

    Total Economic Loss US$ 18,000,000

    In this regard, developing a proper land use plan is very important for implementing a

    forestation program. Land classification and vegetation change detection are the two

    instruments provide important information for developing a proper land use plan.

    There are many existing land classification systems. However, among them the USDA land

    capability classification and the FAO land suitability classification are most widely used. They

    are also the only land classification systems which have been used in Vietnam. These systems

    are oriented towards agricultural crop development (these systems will be reviewed in chapter

    3). Whereas, Dakrong is a mountainous district, which should be classified by a land

    classification system oriented towards forestry. Therefore, it is necessary to develop a new

    land classification system for the Dakrong district, which should be oriented towards forest

    management and conservation activities without neglecting effectively using of land.

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    Chapter 1. Introduction

    6

    Along with implementation of a land classification, monitoring the conversion of vegetation

    cover (vegetation change detection) is also very important in forestry planning. Remote

    sensing technique is an extremely valuable tool for vegetation change detection and vegetation

    cover mapping. It becomes more valuable for mountainous area such as Dakrong district due

    to inaccessible areas in the district. However, the application of remote sensing technique for

    vegetation cover change in Vietnam is still limited. Therefore, it is necessary to investigate the

    efficiency of different change detection methods. This thesis applied some different methods

    of vegetation change detection to detect the change of vegetation of Dakrong in the period

    1989-2005 and also find the most efficient method among them.

    1.3. Research objectives

    1.3.1. General objective

    The general objective of this study is to support information for master land use planning

    in the Dakrong district.

    1.3.2. Specific objectives

    The specific objectives of this thesis are:

    To develop a new land classification system which oriented towards forest

    management and conservation activities, called Land susceptibility classification

    system. Based on this system, a land susceptibility classification map is generated.

    To identify and quantify the major changes in vegetation cover/use in the study area

    during the periods of 1989-2005. Based on this system, a vegetation change map

    (period 1989-2005) is generated.

    To assess the compatibility of the vegetation changewith the recommendation of land

    useproposed by the land susceptibility classification system.

    1.4. Research questions

    Why should we develop a new classification system oriented towards forestry

    management for the Dakrong district as well as other up-stream areas? Does the new

    classification system fill up the limitation of USDA land capability classification

    system and FAO land suitability classification?

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    Chapter 1. Introduction

    7

    How is the efficiency of different methods of vegetation changes detection? (How are

    the different between the results of 3 methods of change detections: the NDVI

    difference; the post-classification and the hybrid method?).

    How does vegetation change during the period 1989-2005 in the study area? Arguably

    although forest and trees in Vietnam increased, but it did not cover the sensitive areas.

    Is the criticism right for Dakrong?

    1.5. Definitions and concepts

    The information about the compatibility of vegetation change can be achieved by

    incorporating the results of two methods: (1) Land susceptibility classification and (2)

    Vegetation change detection.

    (1) Land susceptibility classification (LSC): is a new land classification system oriented

    towards forestry management and conservation activities. This thesis established the LSCin

    order to classify a territory into different sensitive classes of land. Each class is

    different from others by the degree of sensitivity towards land degradation and water

    runoff moderate ability.In other word, each class is different from others by the strict

    degree of vegetation cover demand to prevent land, water resources degradation and

    mitigate disaster. The expected result of LSC is LSC map, which represents sensitive

    degree of each area and the type of land use should be practiced on the identified area

    (Conservation forest, Production forest, Agriculture, or other cover).

    (2) Vegetation change (VC) detection method: is applied to investigate the change of

    vegetation cover/use between two different years: 1989 and 2005. The result of this

    method is VC map, which represent how vegetation-cover types (Conservation forest,

    Production forest, Agriculture, and other lands) change in the periods. There are many

    existing change detection methods, some of the most popular methods will bereviewed in chapter 3.

    Finally, the two achieved results will be intersected to create the compatibility of vegetation

    changes (CVC) map. The CVC map is the final target of this study which enables to show

    how the vegetation changed and whether or not the changes are suitable with

    recommendations for land use. This result expresses to some extent the efficiency of

    afforestation programs toward land, water resources protection and disaster prevention as well

    as economic development. The result also provides important information supporting for

    proposing a master land use plan.

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    Chapter 1. Introduction

    8

    1.6. The research tools

    Remote Sensing and GIS are the main analytical tools used in this thesis. Remote sensing

    (RS) and Geography Information Systems (GIS) are very suitable for a multi disciplinary

    research like this study. In this study, RS&GIS are used as the main tools for data analyzeprocesses. The major role of RS in this study is detecting the vegetation cover/use change.

    Meanwhile, GIS is used to generate Land susceptibility classification map and Compatibility

    of vegetation change (CVC) map.

    1.6.1. Remote sensing (RS)

    Remote sensing is the science and art of obtaining and interpreting information about the earth

    surface and atmosphere through the analysis of data acquired by a device that is not in contact

    with the earth, which measures the intensity of electromagnetic radiation reflected or emitted

    from the earth (Cracknell et al., 1991).

    For design of meaningful conservation strategies, comprehensive information on the changes

    in distribution with time is required. It is nearly impossible to acquire such information purely

    on the basis of field assessment and monitoring. Remote sensing provides a systematic,

    synoptic view of earth cover at regular time intervals, and has been useful for this purpose

    (Nagendra, 2001). The use of RS in forest resource assessment is important because they offer

    us some advantages such as: information collection of the forest with low cost, short time and

    less human resources.

    1.6.2. Geographical information system (GIS)

    GIS is a collection of computer hardware, software, and geographic data for capturing,

    managing, analyzing, and displaying all forms of geographically referenced information

    (ESRI 2006). Currently, GIS is one of the most powerful tools used in resource management.Considering GIS powers for integrating geo-referenced data, and the possibility of the

    complex analyses connected with attribute information and spatial information, GIS is the best

    suitable system for land classification. Other advantages of GIS in comparison with tradition

    method for developing a land classification are the capacity of interpolation, the capacity of

    saving time, money and human resources.

    The following RS/GIS soft-wares and hard-wares used for the thesis purpose:

    Software: ENVI 4.2, Arcinfo Workstation 9.0, ArcView 3.2, Mapinfo 7.5 and SPSS.

    Hardware: GPS, Personal computer: PIV, 512MB ram.

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    11

    Figure 4. Flowchart to produce the compatible vegetation chang

    Existing map (1)

    Creating factor maps (2)

    Elevation

    Slope

    Soil depth

    Roughness

    Test areas

    Land susceptibility classification map (5)

    Use the equation for entire area;

    Sub-classification for class 3 (4)

    Class = ?

    Class = 1?

    Class = 2?

    Class = 3?

    SC = a*elevation + b*Slope + c*Soil depth

    + d*Roughness + e

    Regression analysis

    to predict coefficients (3)

    Factors value =?

    Elevation

    Slope

    Soil depth

    Roughness

    Vegetation C

    Compatible vegetation change map (10)

    Overlay/GIS

    Vegetation map1989

    Vegetation2005

    Landsat TM1989

    Landsat T2005

    Image classification (6

    Land susceptibility classification Vegeta

    Integration of the land classification and the vegetation cover

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    Chapter 2. LITERATURE REVIEW

    As introduced in chapter 1, the main idea of this study is the integration of a land

    classification and a vegetation change detection aim to provide information for preliminary

    assessing forestation plans and programs of the government as well as providing information

    for a master land use planning. This chapter reviews two existing land classification systems

    which are most widely used and also to be the only land classifications applied in Vietnam.

    This chapter also reviews some methods of change detection.

    2.1. Land classification

    Forestation is an essential activity to combat adverse impacts of vegetation loss. However,

    forestation is also a costly activity and hardly affects socio-economic and environment

    aspects, so it requires a proper land use master plan. Always, a land classification is one of the

    key components of master planning. A Classification system is defined as a systematic

    framework for putting objects into distinct groups or classes based on certain diagnostic

    criteria (Kuechler and Zonneveld, 1988).

    There are many land classification systems was adopted for specific purposes. Some well-

    known land classification systems are USDA land capability classification, FAO Land

    suitability classification, USBR Land Suitability for Irrigation, Agro-ecological Zoning, soil

    survey interpretations, parametric indices, yield estimates, agro-ecological zoning, fertility

    capability soil classification system, the LESA system, and soil potential ratings. Theseclassifications are useful only when used for their intended purposes (Rossiter, 1994). Out of

    these classification systems, the USDA land capability classification and the FAO land

    evaluation framework (FAO 1976) are the most widely used ones.

    This section, firstly, reviews the USDA land capability classification and the FAO land

    evaluation framework. After that, a general remark is stated in the section 2.1.3.

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    2.1.1. USDA land capability classification

    USDA land capability classification is the earliest and best known system of land capability

    mapping. The system was developed by the United States Natural Resources Conservation

    Service to assess the extent to which limitations such as erosion, soil depth, wetness and

    climate hinder the agricultural use (Graaff, 1993). The land classification has been adapted for

    use in many other countries (Hudson, 1981). This is undoubtedly the most used land

    classification system in the world, and the land evaluator will very often encounter it

    (Rossiter, 1994).

    USDA is applied mainly in agricultural land use planning, with emphasis on its conservation

    requirements (FAO, 1984). The objective of the classification is to divide an area of land into

    units (the basic units are the capability units) according to their ability to support general kinds

    of land use without degradation or significant off-site effects, for farm planning (Rossiter,

    1994). This system recognises eight classes arranged from Class I characterised by no or very

    slight risk of damage to the land when used for cultivation, to Class VIII, very rough land that

    can be safely used only for wildlife, limited recreation and watershed conservation (Graaff,

    1993). Increasing class number restricts the intensity of land use (Graff, 1993) (table 2). The

    value of land capability classification lies in identifying the risks attached to cultivating theland and in indicating the soil conservation measures that are required (Morgan, 2005).

    However, it must be emphasized that the prime concern of the classification is the risk of

    erosion, and not productivity (Beek, 1980).

    Sheng (1972, 1975, and 1986) has improved the land capability classification by making the

    conservation recommendations more specific. The scheme classified lands into whether they

    are cultivable and then by conservation treatments required. The lands are divided mainly

    according to degree of slope and soil depth although stoniness, wetness and gully dissection

    are also considered (Camirand and Evelyn, 2003). His treatment-oriented scheme developed

    in Taiwan and tested on hilly land in Jamaica, includes six slope classes and four soil depth

    classes. Based on suitability for tillage, this provides seven different options for land use or

    recommended treatment (table 3) (Sheng, 1986).

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    Table 2 Land capability classes (USDA system) (Graaff, 1993)

    Class Characteristics and recommended land use

    I Deep, productive soils easily worked, on nearly level land; not subject to overland

    flow; no or slight risk of damage when cultivated; use of fertilizers and lime, cover

    crops, crop rotations required to maintain soil fertility and soil structure.

    II Productive soils on gentle slopes; moderate depth; subject to occasional overland

    flow; may require drainage; moderate risk of damage when cultivated; use of crop

    rotations, water-control systems or special tillage practices to control erosion.

    III Soils of moderate fertility on moderately steep slopes, subject to more severe

    erosion; subject to sever risk of damage but can be used for crops provided plant

    cover is maintained; hay or other sod crops should be grown instead of row crop.

    IV Good soils on steep slopes, subject to severe erosion; very severe risk of damage

    but may be cultivated if handled with great care; keep in hay or pasture but a grain

    crop may be grown once in five or six years.

    V Land is too wet or stony for cultivation but of nearly level slope; subject to only

    slight erosion if properly managed; should be used for pasture of forestry but

    grazing should be regulated to prevent plant cover being destroyed.

    VI Shallow soils on steep slopes; use for grazing and forestry; grazing should be

    regulated to preserve plant cover; if plant cover is destroyed, use should be

    restricted until land cover is re-established.

    VII Steep, rough, eroded land with shallow soils; also includes droughty or swampy

    land; severe risk of damage even when used for pasture or forestry; strict grazing orforest management must be applied/

    VIII Very rough land; not suitable even for woodland or grazing; reserve for wildlife,

    recreation or watershed conservation

    Classes I-IV denote soils suitable for cultivation;

    Classes V-VIII denote soils unsuitable for cultivation.

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    Table 3 A treatment oriented scheme for hilly marginal lands (Sheng, 1986)

    Slope

    Soil

    depth

    Gentle

    < 12%

    Moderate

    12-27%

    Strong

    27-36%

    Very

    strong

    36-47%

    Steep

    47-58%

    Very

    steep

    > 58%

    Deep (>90 cm) C1 C2 C3 C4 FT F

    Moderately deep

    (50-90 cm)C1 C2 C3

    C4

    P

    FT

    AFF

    Shallow

    (20-50 cm)C1

    C2

    P

    C3

    PP AF F

    Very shallow

    (= 45%;

    FT: Fruit trees; if widely spaced, interspaces to be grass covered;AF: Agro-forestry;

    F: Forestry.

    2.1.2. FAO land suitability classification

    The FAO suitability classification aims to show the suitability of each land unit for each land

    use. Land suitability classification specifies the suitability of land for particular crops(Morgan, 2005). In FAO's Framework for Land Evaluation, land is first classed as suitable (S)

    or not suitable (N). These suitability classes can then be further sub-divided. In practice, three

    classes (S1, S2 and S3) are often used to distinguish land that is highly suitable, moderately

    suitable and marginally suitable for a particular use. Two classes of 'not suitable' can usefully

    distinguish land that is unsuitable for a particular use at present but which might be useable in

    future (N1), from land that offers no prospect of being so used (N2) (FAO, 1976). Principally,

    the system classifies all lands into order, class, subclass, and units according to the degree ofsuitability and types of limitations, as given in table 4.

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    Table 4 Land suitability classes and subclasses (FAO. 1976)

    Order Class Subclass Unit

    S1: Highly suitable

    S2: Moderately suitable

    S3: Marginally suitable

    etc.

    S2m

    S2e

    etc.

    S2e-1

    S2e-2

    etc.

    N1: Currently not suitable

    N2: Permanently not suitable

    According APO (2004), since 1994, Vietnam follows the FAO framework on land

    classification and land evaluation. In 1996, Vietnam published the findings of the National

    Program on Vietnam land use evaluation for productive use and ecological stability. Under

    this program, different sustainable land-use types of Vietnam were classified jointly by the

    experts of Tran An Phong and other agencies. As a result of this program, the soil scientists of

    Vietnam completed the land suitability classification for land-use planning in different

    ecological zones of the whole country. The main land-use types representing Vietnams

    agricultural production systems were classified as table 5. This system takes into consideration

    agriculture development and improving crop productivity more than forestry and resource

    conservation.

    Table 5 FAO land suitability classification applied in Vietnam (Tran an Phong, 2001)

    No Major land use types Area(million ha)

    Suitability rating

    S1 S2 S3

    1 Paddy rice 4.38 1.57 1.70 1.11

    2 Annual industrial and subsidiary crops 1.66 0.41 0.77 0.48

    3 Perennial industrial tree crops and fruit trees 1.84 0.54 0.73 0.57

    4 Grass land/pasture 0.53 0.15 0.22 0.16

    5 Agro-forestry systems 0.58 0 0.44 0.146 Aquaculture 0.42 0.42 0 0

    N: Not suitable

    S:Suitable

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    2.1.3. Remarks

    With a district that has of its total area are characterized by hill and mountain as Dakrong

    (Trai et al. 2001), consideration for conservation should be emphasized, and forestry planning

    should be promoted over agricultural development.

    USDA land capability classification system and Sheng scheme as well as FAO land suitability

    classification system, which was applied to classify land in Vietnam are oriented towards

    agricultural crop development. Therefore, it is necessary to develop a new land classification

    system for the Dakrong district, which should be oriented towards forest management.

    In additional, one limitation of USDA land capacity classification and FAO land suitability

    classification system is the problem of parameter value. The first system classifies land

    mapping unit mainly according to slope and soil depth parameters while FAO land suitability

    classification then added more land parameters such as soil fertility, water ability, or rainfall

    intensity However, both of these systems have a constraint of ranging parameter values

    leading to an imprecise result in classifying land units.

    For example, it is easily recognized in table 3 that the same value is assigned for the slope

    ranging from 47% to 57% (steep slopping) but a different value for the slope ranging from

    36% to 47% (very strong sloping). Here, a slope at the margin of the class which have more

    similarity are put in different categories. It means that if a land unit has soil depth 15cm then if

    the slope is 46%, then the recommended use will be P (Pasture). Whereas, if the slope is 48%

    then the recommended use for the land unit will be F (forestry) and the same recommended

    use for a land unit that has slope of 57% (which is quite a different value from 48%).

    2.2. Vegetation cover change detection

    Along with classifying land, detecting the change of vegetation cover/use in order to

    investigate vegetation change is very important for forestation management. Many studies

    (Brandon and Bottomley, 1998; Chen, 2000; Diouf and Lambin, 2001; Kuntz and Siegert,

    1999; Lambin, 1994; Mendoza S. and Etter R, 2002; and Vance and Geoghegan, 2002) have

    emphasised the importance of investigating land cover dynamics as a baseline requirement for

    sustainable management of natural resources. The knowledge of where are the changes is

    essential for the formulation of appropriate management strategies (Phong, 2004).

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    Change detection is a process of identifying and analyzing the differences of an object or a

    phenomenon through monitoring at different times (Morshed, 2002). Many change detection

    methods have been developed and used for various applications. However, they can be

    broadly divided into: from to and change/no change approaches. Each method of

    change detection has advantages and disadvantages its self. In which, the post-classification

    change detection (represents for from - to method) and NDVI image difference (represents

    for Change - No change methods) are most widely used.

    2.2.1. Post-classification change detection

    The post-classification change detection is the most intuitive and common method. In this

    method, two images from different dates are classified and labelled. The area of change is then

    extracted through the direct comparison of the classification results (Lunetta and Elvidge,

    1999) (figure 5).

    Figure 5. Framework of the post-classification change detection method

    Where: (1) Refer to 2.2.1.1. Image classification methods;

    (2) Refer to 2.2.1.2. Land cover map comparison.

    The principal advantage of the post-classification lies in the fact that the two dates of imagery

    are separately classified; thereby minimising the problem of radiometric calibration between

    dates (Coppin et al. 2004). Another advantages of the post-classification include the detailed

    of from-to information (Chen, 2000; Lunetta and Elvidge, 1999). It bypasses the difficulties

    associated with the analysis of images acquired at different times of year or sensor (Chen,

    2000).

    (1) Image

    classification

    Image date 1

    Classified map

    date 1

    (2) Comparison

    Change map

    (1) Image

    classification

    Image date 2

    Classified map

    date 2

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    The main disadvantage of the post-classification approach is the dependency of the land cover

    change results on the individual classification accuracies (Chen, 2000). The problem is that

    the errors, which are cumulative, from each of the individual land cover maps are incorporated

    into the final change product (AMNH, 2004a). In other word, this approach can produce a

    large number of erroneous change indications since an error on either data gives a false

    indication of change (Singh, 1989). Therefore, it is imperative that the individual classification

    be as accurate as possible (Chen, 2000).

    From the framework of the post-classification method (figure 5), it has been easily found that

    there are two steps to generate vegetation change map: Image classificationand Comparison

    of the two image classified maps.

    2.2.1.1. Image classification methods

    The very important step in the post-classification method is classification process, which

    involves translating the pixel values in a satellite image into meaningful categories.

    Digital image classification is the process of assigning pixel to classes (Jensen, 1996).

    Usually, each pixel is treated as an individual unit composed of values in several spectral

    bands. By comparing pixel to one another and to pixels of known identity, it is possible toassemble groups of similar pixels into classes that match to the informational categories of

    interest to users of remotely sensed data. Digital image classification can be group into

    automated, manual and hybrid approaches.

    (1) Automated approach

    The majority methods of image classification fall in automated category which is emphasized

    by supervised and unsupervised classification algorithm.

    Supervised classification algorithm:With supervised classification, we identify examples of

    the Information classes (i.e., land cover type) of interest in the image. These are called

    "training sites". The image processing software system is then used to develop a statistical

    characterisation of the reflectance for each information class. This stage is often called

    "signature analysis"and may involve developing a characterisation as simple as the mean or

    the rage of reflectance on each bands, or as complex as detailed analyses of the mean,

    variances and covariance over all bands. Once a statistical characterisation has been achieved

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    for each information class, the image is then classified by examining the reflectance for each

    pixel and making a decision about which of the signatures it resembles most (Eastman, 1995).

    There are several types of supervised classification algorithms. Some of the more popular

    ones are: parallelepiped, minimum distance, maximum likelihood, and mahalanobis distance.

    Studies (RSI, 2003) proved that maximum likelihood supervised classification has a high

    accuracy and is one of the most popular methods of classification in remote sensing. The

    method assumes that the statistics for each class in each band are normally distributed and

    calculates the probability that a given pixel belongs to a specific class. Unless a probability

    threshold is selected, all pixels are classified. Each pixel is assigned to the class that has the

    highest probability.

    Unsupervised classification algorithm: Unsupervised classification is a method which

    examines a large number of unknown pixels and divides into a number of classed based on

    natural groupings present in the image values. Unlike supervised classification, unsupervised

    classification does not require analyst-specified training data. The basic premise is that values

    within a given cover type should be close together in the measurement space (i.e. have similar

    gray levels), whereas data in different classes should be comparatively well separated (i.e.

    have very different gray levels) (PCI, 1997; Lillesand and Kiefer, 1994; Eastman, 1995). The

    two most frequently used algorithms are the K-mean and the ISODATA clustering algorithm.

    (2) Manual approach

    Manual classification method uses skills that were originally developed for interpreting aerial

    photographs. It relies on the interpreter to employ visual cues such as tone, texture, shape,

    pattern, and relationship to other objects to identify the different land cover classes.

    The primary advantage of manual interpretation is its utilization of the brain to identifyfeatures in the image and relate them to features on the ground. The brain can still beat the

    computer in accurately identifying image features.

    The disadvantage of manual interpretation is that it tends to be tedious and slow when

    compared with automated classification and because it relies solely on a human interpreter and

    is also subjective. Another drawback of this method is that it is only able to incorporate 3

    bands of data from a satellite image since the interpretation is usually done using a colour

    image comprised of red, green, and blue bands (AMNH, 2004b).

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    (3) The hybrid approach for Image classification

    The hybrid approach combines the advantages of the automated and manual methods to

    produce a land cover map that is better than if just a single method was used. One hybrid

    approach is to use the automated classification methods to do an initial classification and then

    use manual methods to refine the classification and correct obvious errors. With this approach

    you can get a reasonably good classification quickly with the automated approach and then

    use manual methods to refine the classes that did not get labelled correctly (AMNH, 2004b).

    2.2.1.2. Land cover map comparison

    After classified and labelled two images from different dates, the area of change is deduced by

    comparing the classification results. It is the simple step in the post-classification change

    detection and be executed through GIS.

    2.2.2. NDVI image difference

    Almost methods in change/no change approaches are based on some types ofImage algebra

    change detection techniques (image difference or image rationing). Singh (1989) and Coppin

    et al(2004) have identified image differenceas the most accurate change detection technique.

    This technique is performed by subtracting images from two dates pixel by pixel. Then

    threshold boundaries between change and no-change pixels are determined for the difference

    image to produce the change map (Singh, 1989).

    Among change/no change detection methods, NDVI image difference is emphasized as one

    of the most widely used. The reason is the method only requires data from the red and near

    infrared portion of the electromagnetic spectrum, and it can be applied to virtually all

    multispectral data types. A large number of comparative studies on different change detection

    methods including NDVI image difference have been carried out (Fung and Siu, 2000; Hayes

    and Sader, 2001; Lunetta, 2002; Michener and Houhoulis, 1997; Petit et al2001; Yuan and

    Elvidge, 1998). Except for the study by Yuan and Elvidge, (1998), most studies conclude that

    NDVI image difference method yields highest accuracy. Studies by Lyon (1998), and Lunetta

    (2002) reported that NDVI difference was the best method for vegetation change detection in

    biologically complex ecosystems.

    To detect the change in this method, firstly, one of the images is applied to a radiometric

    normalization to the other image. Secondly, NDVI formulation will be used for NDVI

    calculation for both images. Finally, a subtraction is performed between these NDVI images

    to generate a different image (figure 6).

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    The major advantage of NDVI image difference as well as other spectral-based detection

    techniques is that they are based on the detection of physical changes between image dates.

    This avoids the errors introduced in the post-classification change detection where

    inaccuracies in the land cover classification are accumulated into land cover change analysis.

    In additional, NDVI difference was least affected by topographic factors (Lyon, 1998, and

    Phong, 2004). However, the disadvantage of NDVI image difference laid on the loss of

    fromto information. The result is just a representation of change and no change

    information.

    Figure 6. Framework of the NDVI image difference method

    2.2.2.1. Radiometric normalization

    Remotely sensed data acquired by satellite sensors are usually influenced by a number of

    factors, such as change in radiometric performance over time, variation in solar illumination

    conditions, atmospheric scattering and absorption and changes in atmospheric conditions

    (presence of clouds) (Mas, 1999; Song, 2000; Yang and Lo, 2000; Du, Teillet and Cihlar,

    2002). Therefore, if any two datasets are to be used for quantitative analysis based on

    radiometric information, as in the case of multi-date analysis for detecting surface changes,

    they ought to be adjusted to compensate for radiometric divergence (Mas, 1999).

    Image date 1 Image date 2

    Radiometric

    normalization to

    Image date 2

    NormalizedImage date 1

    NDVI

    calculation

    NDVI

    calculation

    NDVI Image

    date 1

    NDVI Image

    date 2

    Image difference

    Change map

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    Two approaches have been developed to achieve these radiometric compensation (radiometric

    normalisation) are absolute and relative. The absolute approach requires knowledge of the

    sensor spectral profile and atmospheric properties at the time of image acquisition for

    atmospheric correction and sensor calibration (Du, 2002; Song, 2000; Yang and Lo, 2000).

    This approach is not only costly but also impractical since for most of historical satellite

    images these data are not available (Du, 2002).

    The relative approachknown as relative radiometric normalisation is more preferred since it

    bypasses the shortcomings of absolute approach. In this approach digital numbers of multi-

    date images are normalised band by band to a reference image selected by the analyst (Yang

    and Lo, 2000). A number of relative radiometric correction methods have been developed for

    land cover change detection. They can be divided into three groups: statistical adjustment,

    histogram matching, and linear regression normalization. The latter includes various methods

    such as image regression (IR), pseudo- invariant feature (PIF), radiometric control set (RCS),

    and no change set determined from scattergram (NC). The RCS method is selected for this

    study since it favors better change detection (Yang and Lo, 2000; Phong, 2004).

    2.2.2.2. NDVI calculation and image difference

    After radiometric normalization, NDVI have to be calculated for both images. The equationfor calculating NDVI is denoted as: NDVI = (NIR Red)/(NIR + Red).

    And then, a subtraction is performed between these NDVI images to generate the difference

    image: NDVI difference image = NDVI date2 NDVI date1.

    2.2.3. A hybrid approach for change detection

    In common, a hybrid method is the combination between change/no change method and

    from - to method in order to minimize the shortcomings of the two mentioned methods,

    thereby enhancing the results of the change analysis.

    In this method, a change/no change method is used to determine the changed areas. If a

    pixel falls in the changed areas, it will be labelled as 1. Otherwise, it will be labelled as 0. This

    results in a binary mask image. A traditional post-classification comparison can then be

    applied to yield from-to change information. The mask image is overlaid onto the date image

    two, and only those pixels that were detected as having changed are classified in the both date

    images (figure 7).

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    Chapter 3. STUDY AREA

    3.1. Study area

    Dakrong is a remote, mountainous district of Quang Tri, one of the poorest provinces located

    in the central Vietnam. Dakrong district is located in the upper catchment basin of the Quang

    Tri and Thach Han Rivers. Dakrong spread out from the latitude1618 to 1651 North, and

    from the longitude 10642 to 1079 east (figure 8 and 9).

    N

    300000

    300000

    600000

    600000

    900000

    900000

    1200000

    1200000

    1500000

    1500000

    1800000

    1800000

    2100000

    2100000

    24000

    00

    24

    00000

    100 0 km 200

    Figure 8. Quang Tri province

    located in Vietnam

    Figure 9. Hill shade map of Dakrong district

    3.1.1. Bio-physical conditions

    3.1.1.1. Topology and hydrology

    The topography of Dakrong is characterised by a ridge of low mountains, which extends

    south-east from the Annamite Mountains, and forms the boundary between Quang Tri and

    Thua Thien Hue provinces. The north-eastern sections of the area are predominantly low-lying

    hills. The southern and western sections are rougher in the upstream or highest river

    catchments. The lowest and highest point in Dakrong is 9m and 1551m above sea level

    respectively.

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    In central Vietnam, the foothills extend to the coastline, and the coastal plain is compressed or

    non-existent. As a result of the coastal topography rivers in the study area are often short,

    slope and narrow. Predominant flow direction is east or north-east towards the sea (Trai et al.,

    2001).

    3.1.1.2. Geomorphology

    The study area is situated within the Viet-Lao Caledon enfolded syncline of central Vietnam.

    This syncline is confined between the lines of the Ma River fault to the north and the Tam Ky-

    Hiep Duc fault to the south. This syncline complex developed from the Cambrian Period to

    the beginning of the Devonian Period (William et al. 2001).

    Most of the mountains are composed of granite which is common in the region. Lower

    mountains are composed of sedimentary rocks from the Ordovician-Silurian Age, including

    hyaline rock, stratified arenaceous rock, stratified sandstone, and argillaceous rock (William et

    al., 2001).

    3.1.1.3. Edaphology

    According to William et al. (2001), in Dakrong, the following soils are typical:

    Hills:yellow fertile soils developed on sedimentary rocks;

    Lower Mountains and Hills: red/yellow fertile soils developed on sedimentary

    rocks, with fine soil composition;

    Low Mountains:yellow fertile soils developed on effusive acid rock;

    Mid-high Mountains:yellow and red alpine humus and fertile soils developed on

    sedimentary rock, with rude soil composition, or yellow and red alpine humusdeveloped on effusive acid rock; and

    Basins and River Washes:river and stream alluvium.

    3.1.1.4. Meteorology

    Temperature: Dakrong is located in an eastern tropical monsoons area,

    experiencing an average annual temperature ranges from 22 to 24C. Winters are

    cold and humid, due to north-easterly winds. Western winds lead to hot and dry

    conditions in the summer (Trai et al. 2001).

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    Precipitation:Dakrong has a high rainfall with average of 2,500-3,000 mm/year.

    September and October are highest rainfall months (45% of the total rainfall). The

    dry season are extended from February to ends in July (Trai et al. 2001).

    Humidity: Relative humidity for this region averages 85-88 %. During the rainyseason, relative humidity is around 90%. In dry season, the minimum relative

    humidity can be reached at 30% (Trai et al. 2001).

    3.1.1.5. Land use

    In 1997, the forest land covered 27,937 ha (27% of the total district land area), and the

    agricultural land covers 8,681 ha (8.4% of total land). Unproductive land currently accounts

    for 66,905 ha (64.6 %) of the total; unproductive lands include agriculturally exhausted lands

    barren lands, and hills (QTDoS, 2000).

    The high percentage of unproductive land area was originally created by slash-and-burn

    cultivation. Although there have been determined efforts to reform land use practices, the

    amount of unusable land is increasing as a result of continued slash-and-burn cultivation, and

    is further compounded by progressive soil erosion (QTDoS, 2000).

    3.1.2. Socio-Economic

    The Dakrong district has 13 communes. The population density is dispersed along roads rather

    than in villages. In the Dakrong district there are currently: 2,603 households; 14,489 people;

    and 2% population growth per year (QTDoS, 2000).

    3.1.2.1. Ethnic Groups

    There are three ethnic groups: Kinh (majority Vietnamese) (33 %); Bru-Van Kieu (52 %); and

    Pa-co (15 %). The Bru-Van Kieu ethnic minority, also known as the Van Kieu, are member ofthe Mon-Khmer language group, have the largest local population. The Pa-co ethnic minority,

    a subgroup of the Ta-oi ethnic minority, closely akin to the Ba-hi ethnic minority and live in

    the Ta Rut commune (QTDoS, 2000).

    3.1.2.2. Health Care

    Health facilities are sparse in this newly established district. In the 13 communes of the

    district, there are only three commune health centres (Ta Rut, Ba Long and Mo O communes).The largest commune does not have a health centre (QTDoS, 2000).

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    The health care facilities are understaffed and lack properly trained health care workers, and

    the staff housing is primitive and inadequate. The most common ailments are malaria, goiter

    and tuberculosis (QTDoS, 2000).

    3.1.2.3. Education

    The educational infrastructures are also poorly established and lack both schools and teachers.

    The literacy rate in the Dakrong district is uncommonly low for Vietnam. Kindergarten

    facilities do not exist in any of the 13 communes. However, each commune has a primary

    school. Ba Long and Trieu Nguyen also have secondary schools within the primary school

    facilities. Very few children attend secondary school. In total, there are 122 teachers but only

    11 are ethnic minority people, all of whom teach at the primary school level (QTDoS, 2000).

    3.1.2.4. Transportation

    Currently, two communes (Ba Long and Hai Phuc) are not accessible by road, and the main

    mode of transport to these two communes is the Quang Tri River. There are two existing roads

    which are within the national road system and which cross the district: National Highways 9

    and 14B (Trai et al. 2001).

    3.1.2.5. Cultivation practice and household incomes

    The main sources of income are agriculture and forestry. Average income is low, cultivation

    practices are antiquated and arable land is scarce. Total food consumption per person is only

    120 kg/year. Malnutrition and poverty are common, especially among ethnic minority people:

    A sizeable portion of the districts population supplement their diets by gathering and hunting

    in the watershed protection forest (QTDoS, 2000).

    Animal husbandry is also a source of income, particularly the breeding of water buffaloes,

    cows and pigs. Buffalo and cows are free ranging and are commonly used as draft animals for

    timber exploitation and transportation (QTDoS, 2000).

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    Chapter 4. Materials and Methods

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    Chapter 4. MATERIAL AND METHODS

    As mention in Chapter 1, the compatibility of vegetation change (CVC) mapis t resulted from

    the integration of the land susceptibility classification map and the vegetation change map.

    Where:

    The Land susceptibility map represents the susceptive level of a certain land area

    and pinpoints the type of land use that is appropriate with such land area. The map

    is established in GIS by implementing a land susceptibility classification system.

    The Vegetation change mapshows how the vegetation changed in the period 1989-

    2005. The map is established mainly in Remote Sensing environment by

    implementing vegetation change detection.

    Figure 10 describes the general framework of producing the CVC map. The Land

    susceptibility map and the Vegetation change map are first deduced separately, and then, the

    two maps are overlaid to produce the CVC map.

    Figure 10. The framework to establish the compatible vegetation change map

    Where: (1) Refer to 4.2.1. Land susceptibility classification;

    (2) Refer to figure 16. Land Susceptibility classification map;

    (3) Refer to 4.2.2. Vegetation change detection;

    (4) Refer to figure 21. Vegetation change map using the hybrid method;

    (5) Refer to figure 22. Compatible vegetation change map.

    Overlay/GIS

    Land susceptibilityclassification map (2)

    Vegetation changemap (4)

    Compatible vegetationchange map (5)

    Land susceptibilityclassification (1)

    Vegetation changedetection (3)

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    Chapter 4. Materials and Methods

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    4.1. Materials

    To understand the background and to identify the problems, the general concepts,

    development and implementations of land classification systems as well as cover change

    detection around the world and Vietnam has been reviewed. This information was obtained

    from books, study papers, internet, magazines, journals and reports.

    Other very important data are satellite images, maps, relevant studies and reports in Quang Tri

    province that were collected from the Global land cover facility, Quang Tri Department of

    Science, Technology and Environment (QT DoSTE), and Landscape Ecology Department

    (LED)-IG, VAST. Table 6 outlines the images and maps used in this study.

    Table 6 Outline of images and maps used in this study

    Data Name Date Format Scale Source

    Existing

    images

    Landsat TM

    Path/Row = 125/49

    17/02/

    1989

    Raster 30m resolution Global land

    cover facility

    Landsat ETM+

    Path/Row = 125/49

    01/02/

    2005

    Raster 30m resolution LED-IG, Vast

    Existing

    maps

    Contour 1990 Vector/line 1/25.000 LED-IG, Vast

    River 2000 Vector/line 1/25.000 LED-IG, Vast

    Soil 1998 Vector/ polygon 1/25.000 QT DoSTE

    Administrative 2000 Vector/ polygon 1/25.000 LED-IG, Vast

    Deducing

    maps

    DEM 2007 Grid 30m resolution Contour map

    Slope 2007 Grid 30m resolution DEM

    Roughness 2007 Grid 30m resolution DEM

    Soil depth 2007 Grid 30m resolution Soil map

    Soil type 2007 Grid 30m resolution Soil map

    Water availability 2007 Grid 30m resolution River map

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    Chapter 4. Materials and Methods

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    4.2. Methods and process

    4.2.1. Land susceptibility classification

    In actual appearance, the classes describe difference strict degree of vegetation cover

    requirement aiming to mitigate resource degradation and prevent disaster. The degree of

    strictness of vegetation cover requirement is decreased from class 1 to class 3 and represented

    in land susceptibility classification map. Susceptive class 3 can be subdivided into class 3a

    (arable land) and class 3b (Non-crop land). This map is the expected result of the

    classification system. For each class, general recommendations for sustainable land use are

    given. The three classes are:

    Susceptive class 1 (the most sensitivity class):Areas with very steep slopes and rugged

    landforms, commonly uplands and headwater areas. These are critical areas for water

    and soil resources management. These areas are the highest priority for forest

    protection and forestation. Recommended land use: Conservation Forest. As a rule,

    these areas should be under permanent forest cover.

    Susceptive class 2 (the moderate sensitivity class): They are usually at high elevation

    with steep to very steep slopes. Landforms usually result in less erosion than Class 1.

    Recommended land use: Production forestswhere mining and logging will be allowedwithin legal limits.

    Susceptive class 3 (No sensitivity towards land and water degradation): includes

    gentle slopes or flat areas. Such areas are appropriate for other land use practice such

    as agriculture and other uses. The class can be divided into 2 subclasses: class 3a -

    arable land and class 3b - non-crop land (barren lands).

    The Land susceptibility classification system is developed based on a relationship between

    susceptive classes and related factors (elevation, roughness, slope, and soil depth). This

    relationship can be expressed as a function between susceptive classes and factors and denoted

    as following equation:

    As mention in section 2.1.3, all of the land classificationsystems in Vietnam were oriented toward agricultural

    crop development. In order to classify land oriented

    towards forest management and conservation, this thesis

    develops a new land classification system, called Land

    susceptibility classification system. The system classifies

    territory into three difference classes. Each class is

    different from others by the degree of sensitivity towards

    land degradation and water runoff moderate ability.

    Figure 11. Sensitive land classes

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    Chapter 4. Materials and Methods

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    SC = a1*x1+ a2*x2+ a3*x3 ++ an*xn+ an+1(equation 1)

    Where: SC = Susceptive class;

    x1 xn = Factors that has relation with Sensitive classes.

    a1 an+1 = Coefficients that describes mathematical relationship orinteraction between susceptive class and factors;

    Note: The equation was a linear regression because all of relationship factors are either direct ratio

    or inverse ratio with susceptive class.

    Two task blocks (Creating factor maps and regression analysis) have to be implemented to

    develop the classification system. The framework for developing the classification system is

    described in figure 12 following:

    Figure 12.The framework for developing the susceptibility classification map

    Where: (1) Refer to table 6. Outline of images and maps used in this study;

    (2) Refer to 4.2.1.1. Creating factor maps;

    (3) Refer to 4.2.1.2. Regression analysis;

    (4) Refer to 4.2.1.3. Deducing land susceptibility classification map;(5) Refer to figure 16. Land susceptibility classification map.

    Existing map (1)

    Creating factor maps (2)

    Elevation

    Slope

    Soil depth

    Roughness

    Test areas

    Land susceptibility classification map (5)

    Use the equation for entire area;

    Sub-classi ication or class 3 (4)

    Class = ?

    Class = 1?

    Class = 2?

    Class = 3?

    SC = a*elevation + b*Slope + c*Soil depth +

    d*Roughness + e

    Regression analysis

    to predict coefficients (3)

    Factors value =?

    Elevation

    Slope

    Soil depth

    Roughness

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    Chapter 4. Materials and Methods

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    4.2.1.1. Establishing factor maps

    The following six factors were initially proposed (table 7). (The climate factor was rejected

    because the Dakrong district has a uniform climate type). Elevation, Slope, Roughness and

    Soil depth are used to classify study area into 3 classes (class 1, class 2 and class 3); and then,

    Slope, Soil depth, Water availability and Soil type are used to sub-classify class 3 to class 3a

    and class 3b.

    Table 7 Proposed factors for the land susceptibility classification system

    Criteria Value Relation to sensitivity land class

    Elevation Real value (meter) The higher the elevation, the more sensitive of the landis.

    Inverse ratio with Susceptive class.

    Slope Real value (percent) The higher the slope, the more sensitive of the land is.

    Inverse ratio with Susceptive class.

    Roughness Real value(m/990m2)

    The higher the roughness value, the more sensitive ofthe land is.

    Inverse ratio with Susceptive class.

    Soil depth Integer value (Soil

    depth are assigned to

    score values)

    The more soil depth, the more sensitive of the land is.

    Direct ratio with Susceptive class.

    Soil type If soil type belongs to no salty, no sulphate and nobared soil group

    Can be used for agriculture (class 3a).

    WaterAvailability

    Real value(m/990m2)

    If River density > 500m/km2

    Can be used for agriculture (class 3a).

    (1) Elevation factor

    The elevation is the altitude of a given spot measured in meters (continuous value) above sea

    level. Areas in higher locations usually have higher average annual rainfall. Therefore such

    areas have a greater erosive potential, increasing soil and water degradation. Therefore, the

    elevation factor has an inverse ratio with susceptive class number:The higher of elevation, the

    more susceptive of land, the smaller susceptive class number.

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    Chapter 4. Materials and Methods

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    Elevation factor is deduced from a Digital elevation model (DEM). DEM is a grid theme

    where each grid cell contains elevation data. The DEM is generated by GIS interpolation

    function (ArcInfo Topogrid). Linear and point information (the elevation contours and

    elevation points from topography map) is transformed into spatial information (DEM). The

    main ArcInfo commands used to generate DEM from topographic map layers are:

    Arc: TOPOGRID Draft_dem 30

    Topogrid: CONTOUR elev_ln elev

    Topogrid: POINT elev_pnt elev

    Topogrid: STREAM stream

    Topogrid: LAKE lake

    Topogrid: END

    Arc: GRID

    Grid: FILL draft_dem dem SINK 20

    The ArcInfo command used for generated Elevation factor from DEM is:

    Arc: GRID

    Grid: Elev = DEM

    (2)

    Slope factor

    Slope factor identifies the maximum rate of change in value from each cell to its neighbours.

    The slope unit can be percentage or degree. The unit used here is percentage. A slope of 40%

    means that, for each 100 meters of horizontal distance, the terrain rises or drops 40 meters

    (vertical distance).

    The steeper the land area is, the more it is susceptive to soil degradation. A piece of land with

    a slope of 40% is much higher risk of soil degradation, than another piece with a slope of 5%,

    suppose that other related factors are similar in both cases. Therefore, the slope factor has an

    inverse ratio with susceptive class number: The higher the slope value, the more susceptive of

    land, the smaller susceptive class number.

    Slope factor is also used in subdivided processing to divide susceptive class 3 into subclass 3a

    and subclass 3b. If slope of a certain land is more than 15% then the land lies in subclass 3b

    (non-suitable for agriculture). Otherwise, the land will be determined as subclass 3a orsubclass 3b depending on other factors (water availability, soil depth and soil type).

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    Chapter 4. Materials and Methods

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    The Soil depth factor is also used in subdivided processing to divide susceptive class 3 into

    subclass 3a and subclass 3b. If soil depth of a certain land is less than 50cm then the land lies

    in subclass 3b (non-suitable for agriculture). Otherwise, the land will be determined as

    subclass 3a or subclass 3b depending on other factors (slope, water availability and soil type).

    The soil depth layer can be extracted from soil map. The soil map for the Dakrong district is

    stored in vector. ArcInfo software is used to deduce soil depth grid from soil depth vector

    map. The main ArcInfo commands used to deduce soil depth factor are:

    Arc: POLYGRID soil soil_depth depth

    (5) Soil type factor

    This factor is used to subdivide the susceptive class 3 into subclass 3a and subclass 3b. If soil

    type of a certain land belong to the salty, sulphate or bared soil group, the land lies in subclass

    3b (non-suitable for agriculture). Otherwise, the land will be determined as subclass 3a or

    subclass 3b depending on other factors (slope, water availability and soil depth).

    The soil type layer can be also extracted from soil map. The same as deducing soil depth

    factor, ArcInfo is used to deduce soil depth grid from soil type vector map. The main ArcInfo

    commands used to deduce soil depth factor are:

    Arc: POLYGRID soil soil_type type

    (6) Water availability factor (river density or dissection degree)

    Water availability factor is also used in subdivided processing to subdivide susceptive class 3

    into two subclasses: 3a and 3b. If river density of a certain land is less than 500m/km 2then the

    land lies in subclass 3b (non-suitable for agriculture). Otherwise, the land will be determined

    as subclass 3a or subclass 3b depending on other factors (slope, soil depth and soil type).

    The water availability is difficult to quantify with traditional methods (ISRIC, 1993).

    However, the use of GIS makes it feasible to derive the water availability factor from drainage

    network. The unit for measuring water availability value is m/km2. The factor was derived

    from drainage network using the line_density function available from the ArcInfo-GRID

    module. The main ArcInfo commands used to deduce water availability factor are:

    Grid: river_den = LINEDENSITY (drainage, #, 30, SIMPLE, #, 1000)

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    Chapter 4. Materials and Methods

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    4.2.1.2. Regression analysis

    In order to predict the coefficients for equation 1 (ref 4.2.1) for Dakrong, test areas (samples)

    is collected randomly and assigned a