Thesis - Final Draft · Title: Thesis - Final Draft Author: Alex Masse Created Date: 5/3/2011...
Transcript of Thesis - Final Draft · Title: Thesis - Final Draft Author: Alex Masse Created Date: 5/3/2011...
Undergraduate Thesis:
Electoral Administration and the Student Vote*
By
Alex Massé
Submitted to
Dr. Harold Jansen (Supervisor)
Dr. Peter McCormick (Second Reader)
Abstract This paper examines the decline in Canada’s voter turnout rates with a particular focus on youth and, more specifically, post-‐secondary students. It also examines the literature on electoral administration and turnout, which strongly suggests that administrative reform can be used to increase participation rates. A critical comparison of electoral administration in Canada and its provinces reveals a number of reforms that could be undertaken in order to increase student participation in provincial and national elections.
* My interest in this topic was spurred by my work with the Council of Alberta University Students (CAUS), who lobbied the Government of Alberta on student issues, including electoral administration. This paper has benefitted from the research of Duncan Wojtaszek, Executive Director of CAUS.
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Introduction
I’m not saying that any politician would ever come out and say they don’t care about the student vote. When they’re pushed, they can all talk about education reform and crushing debt until the cows come home. But at the ten-‐minute mark, they all do the same thing: they stop. They lean in like they’re telling you some sort of secret and they say “you know, it’s a real shame, but students in this country, they just don’t vote,” which believe me is code for “we don’t care about students, we never have, we never will”… You’re the ones that deliver the lawn signs, but past that, you could be on fire for all they care. (Rick Mercer, 2008)
Canada’s declining rate of voter turnout has become a subject of widespread
concern. Participation in national elections has been in steady decline since 1988,
with only 58.8% of registered voters turning out in 2008. And although there is
some variation at the provincial level, the general pattern is consistent: less
Canadians are engaging in the electoral process. The non-‐participation of younger
electors appears to be at the root of turnout decline. That decline is likely to
continue as older Canadians, who are most likely to vote, are replaced by younger
generations of non-‐voters. This paper will explore the phenomenon of turnout
decline with a particular focus on Canadian youth. While some research attempts to
target the root causes of turnout decline, this paper will focus instead on how
changes to electoral administration can be used to stem the tide of non-‐
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participation. More specifically, I argue that electoral administration can be
reformed to accommodate the particular circumstances of a large subset of newly
eligible voters: post-‐secondary students. A comparative analysis of select aspects of
electoral administration reveals a number of reforms that could be used to improve
electoral administration. By targeting students, Canada’s national and provincial
governments can mitigate turnout decline and transform a large number of young
Canadians from habitual non-‐voters to active participants in electoral democracy.
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Chapter 1 – A Critical Framework Before embarking on a critical evaluation of electoral administration (EA,) it seems
appropriate to address the ‘ought’ question. Namely, what are the principles that an
administrative regime ought to adhere to? The approach adopted here has been
inspired to some degree by the Canadian Democratic Audit series; the authors of
that series of books performed critical, qualitative analyses of various democratic
institutions by examining the extent to which those institutions adhered to a set of
abstract principles: public participation, inclusiveness and responsiveness (Cross,
2004: viii). This paper takes a similar approach; it begins by establishing a set of
guiding principles that are appropriate to the much narrower subject of electoral
administration and the student vote. Those principles will then be used as the
framework for a comparative evaluation of some current policies.
In order to build that framework, it is necessary to acknowledge some of the
foundational assumptions that have guided this paper. The first (and perhaps the
foremost) is that a high rate electoral participation is essential to the health of a
democratic system. The upshot of that assumption is that the decline in Canada’s
voter turnout rate is a serious problem that merits the attention of researchers and
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policymakers. A related assumption (and one that will find some empirical backing
in the next chapter) is that the inclusion of youth into the electoral process is crucial
to securing a healthy rate of voter participation.
These are likely to be fairly uncontroversial assumptions. Concern about turnout
decline is common among Canadian academics who study political behaviour. For
example, in their audit of democratic citizenship, Gidengil, Blais, Nevitte and
Nadeau, four of Canada’s most prominent scholars of political behaviour, remark
that “if citizens cannot be bothered to exercise this most basic of democratic rights,
there is surely cause for concern” (2004: 103). In another study, the same authors
write that “the decline in turnout since the 1988 election does not bode well for the
country’s democratic health” (Blais et al., 2002: 60). “The turnout decline, its causes
and consequences, and its possible reversal, will remain a subject of the highest
importance,” write Pammett and LeDuc (2006: 314-‐25). There is also concern
within the academic community about the non-‐participation of youth, in particular.
Pammett and Leduc warn that “a syndrome of non-‐participation is in danger of
developing among Canadian youth” (2006: 314). Milner writes that trends in youth
voter turnout are “highly worrisome” (2005: 2).
Concern about turnout is not limited to academia. In their 2008 Strategic Plan,
Elections Canada expresses concern that the legitimacy of Canada’s democracy
could be hampered by turnout decline (Canada, 2008a). Elections Canada also
acknowledges the need to engage youth in particular: “We need to look at ways of
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engaging youth and strengthening their connection with the electoral process”
(Canada, 2008a: 10). In Canada, concern about political apathy among youth – and
about youth voter turnout in particular – has also spawned at least one interest
group: Apathy is Boring. Increased youth voter turnout is listed as the first of their
three stated goals, which also include engaging youth in their communities and
prompting dialogue between youth and elected officials (Apathy is Boring, 2011).
Still, the existence of a broad consensus by no means proves that higher turnout is
something to strive for. Skeptics of the value of voter turnout might argue that there
are other forms of civic engagement, and that declining voter turnout does not
necessarily imply a decline in political participation overall. As Nevitte correctly
points out, “voting is the most visible and widespread form of conventional political
participation, but it is also only one form of political participation. Furthermore, it is
far from clear that voting is the most effective way for citizens to register their
preferences and to make demands on the political system” (1996: 76). Nevitte also
notes that Canadians demonstrate high levels of political protest activity and are
receptive to the idea of protest (1996: 77). O’Neill, after reviewing rates of
participation in “non-‐traditional” avenues of political behaviour, concluded that
“Young Canadians engage in these activities at levels that rival and in some cases
exceed those of older Canadians” (2007: 20). Could it be that young Canadians are
simply expressing their political preferences by other means?
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Available evidence suggests that the young Canadians to whom turnout decline has
been attributed are not the ones who are turning to alternate forms of civic
engagement (Blais et al., 2002: 59). In their review of political participation, Gidengil
et al. noted that “newer forms of political engagement are not so much supplanting
more traditional forms as providing additional avenues of expression” for a core of
educated citizens who are already engaged in conventional political activity (2004,
142). In light of that finding, young Canadians’ healthy rate of non-‐traditional
political activity does little to ease concerns about their low rates of electoral
participation.
Even so, the value of voter participation is not entirely self-‐evident. In one oft-‐cited
study on the importance of voter participation, Arend Lijphart calls low voter
turnout “a serious democratic problem” (1997: 1). According to Lijphart, voter
turnout is systematically biased in favour of wealthier and better-‐educated citizens,
and that disparity in turnout leads to a disparity in representation (1997: 1).
Lijphart writes that “who votes, and who doesn't, has important consequences for
who gets elected and for the content of public policies” (1997: 4). He argues in
particular that inequality in voter turnout is systematically biased against
candidates on the left side of the political spectrum (1997: 4-‐5). And, as Martinez
and Gill have noted, “the conventional wisdom believed by most casual observers”
reflects Lijphart’s prediction that “parties of the left should benefit from higher
levels of turnout and parties of the right should pray for rain on election day”
(Martinez and Gill, 2006: 2).
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Evidence from Canada does suggest some important socio-‐demographic differences
between voters and non-‐voters, which might be expected to correspond to
differences in partisan preference. For example, voter turnout is positively
correlated to both income and education (Blais et al., 2004). But unlike Lijphart,
recent Canadian studies do not suggest a major partisan bias in turnout. Martinez
and Gill (2006), who analyzed the results of the Canadian general election of 1997,
found that there was some partisan bias in turnout, but that bias was relatively
modest and varied by region. Partisan bias was even less evident in a subsequent
publication by Rubenson et al., who wrote that they “found scant evidence for the
contention that voters and abstainers hold significantly different views or that
voters are less likely to hold progressive views on issues” (2007: 595). Rubenson et
al. predicted that the effect of voter turnout on electoral outcomes would be
marginal and would have little effect on the formation of governments (2007: 596).
This finding is echoed by research from the United States: Rosenstone and
Wolfinger (1978) and Mitchell and Wlezien (1995) both found that an increase in
turnout resulting from more liberal registration procedures would have little impact
on the partisan composition of the electorate.
So why worry? If, as Rubenson et al. suggest, the immediate effect of voter turnout
on electoral outcomes is minimal, why should we value higher participation rates at
all? Some potential causes for concern are cogently articulated by Herman Bakvis,
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who edited a volume on voter turnout for the Royal Commission on Electoral
Reform and Party Finance, commonly known as the Lortie Commission:
The extent to which citizens exercise this most fundamental right can be seen as an indicator of the health of democracy. A low level of voter turnout can be taken as indicative of political alienation among a good proportion of the populace; as a consequence, elected leaders may not be seen as fully legitimate. A lack of confidence when manifested through low voter turnout may also affect the legitimacy of basic political institutions. Conversely, high voter turnout can be construed as evidence of both a high level of commitment to the political order and the existence of a citizenry interested in the welfare of their nation (Bakvis, 1991: xvii).
Bakvis wrote those words before the precipitous decline in Canada’s turnout rate
became apparent. At the time, notes Bakvis, Canadians were often under the
impression that voter turnout in their country was “commendably high” (1991:
xvii). And while that may not have been the case at the time, it is certainly not the
case now.
In addition to those presented by Bakvis, there are other (albeit related) reasons to
value higher turnout. One is that political leaders are likely to behave more
scrupulously if they feel they are being held accountable by a politically engaged
citizenry. Another is that the intention to vote might spur the voter to become a
better-‐informed citizen. One might even suppose that the act of voting creates in the
voter a sense of investment in the welfare of society that will pay dividends in the
future. While the sum of the aforementioned reasons for the desirability of higher
turnout is convincing to the author, it should be noted that any attempt to test them
lies far beyond the scope of this paper. Readers who remain skeptical of the value of
higher turnout should interpret the forthcoming analysis accordingly.
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But how does that assumption translate into policy prescriptions? To put it bluntly,
elections should be accessible to as many citizens as possible. Administrative
regimes should be set up in such a way as to stimulate higher turnout. Governments
should strive, within reasonable limits, to remove administrative impediments to
participation such that more of their citizens will be inclined to take part in
elections. There is no denying that individuals must take some responsibility for the
fulfillment of their own civic duties, but governments should remove any barriers
that unnecessarily increase the indirect costs of voting. Thus, the first criterion of
my evaluative framework is accessibility.
Another foundational assumption adopted in this paper is captured by Section 3 of
the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms, which guarantees that “every citizen
of Canada has the right to vote in an election of members of the House of Commons
or of a legislative assembly and to be qualified for membership therein” (Canada,
1982). In accordance with the spirit, if not the letter, of the Charter, my contention is
not merely that a system of electoral administration ought to allow every citizen the
right to vote. Rather, it is that Canada’s national and provincial governments should
take reasonable steps to ensure that all Canadians have roughly equal opportunity
to participate in the electoral process. To borrow again from the Charter, groups for
whom the cost of participation is disproportionately high should be accommodated
“subject only to such reasonable limits… as can be demonstrably justified in a free
and democratic society.” If Canada’s governments are in a position to level the
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playing field with respect to the accessibility of the elections, I submit that they have
a moral obligation to do so, at least in the absence of strong countervailing
arguments. I shall call this the principle of inclusiveness.
Finally, this paper is founded on the assumption that elections should be
administered in such a way as to increase the real and perceived legitimacy of their
results. An election process that bestows legitimacy on its results will best promote
the principles of Peace, Order and Good Government that lie at the root of Canada’s
constitutional order. One way of increasing the legitimacy of an electoral result is, as
Bakvis suggests, promoting a high rate of voter turnout. Anecdotal evidence of this
assertion can be found in Alberta’s recent experience: turnout in the most recent
provincial election was a mere 40.6% (Alberta, 2008: 158). Because of that turnout
rate, it was possible for roughly one fifth of the province’s eligible voters to elect a
commanding majority government. The perceived weakness of that government’s
mandate is a bone of contention in the province, at least among the governing
party’s partisan opponents. One can imagine how such a result could cause many
citizens to become disillusioned with their democratic system.
Another way to ensure the legitimacy of election results is to avoid real or perceived
opportunities for electoral fraud. Preventing fraud is among the primary concerns of
anyone who would seek to reform electoral administration. Accordingly, reasons for
improving the accessibility of elections through administrative reform need to be
balanced against the always-‐pressing need to ensure that the rules are enforceable.
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So, the three guiding principles of this analysis are accessibility, inclusiveness, and
legitimacy. Nevertheless, it is still necessary to leave room for other considerations,
particularly those of a pragmatic nature. For example, it is possible for a program of
reform to adhere to all three principles of this framework, but at too great a cost to
be justified by the anticipated benefit. Common sense therefore requires that other
considerations be allowed to play into the forthcoming evaluation.
In Chapter 4, the framework established here will be used to perform a comparative
analysis across eleven jurisdictions. The jurisdictions considered are Canada and
each of its ten provinces. The governments of those jurisdictions determine their
own electoral practices within certain constitutional constraints, which makes
Canada an interesting setting for comparison. That comparison will allow for the
identification of best practices from a set of existing alternatives. It may also be
useful – especially given the recent proliferation of computational and
communications technologies – to explore bold new policy frontiers. But significant
headway can nonetheless be made by evaluating those policies that have already
been tested in a Canadian setting. I have taken the latter approach here.
Before beginning that analysis, the next two chapters will provide the necessary
context. Chapter 2 will delve more deeply into the problem of turnout decline,
touching on its history and its causes. Chapter 3 will then review some of the
relevant literature on the relationship between electoral administration and
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turnout. Finally, Chapter 5 will contextualize the findings from Chapter 4 and
recommend specific reforms.
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Chapter 2 – Exploring Turnout Decline In 1970, Canada lowered the voting age from twenty-‐one to eighteen. The case for
that change was made in 1969 in the Trudeau government’s second throne speech.
According to that speech, the franchise was to be expanded in order to diffuse “a
rising tide of unrest, particularly among young people.” The government was
responding to the demands of youth “to assume greater responsibility for the
destiny of our society” (Canada, 1969: 4). The ruling elite of the day had compelling
reasons to nurture this unrest among the youth, and especially among students. Its
emergence is now part of the popular mythology of the 1960s. In May of 1968,
students instigated a movement that nearly caused the French government to
collapse. Closer to home were the American students at the forefront of the
powerful anti-‐Vietnam War movement, which included widespread civil
disobedience.
The four subsequent decades have shifted the popular narrative. Talk of a rising tide
of unrest has faded. In 2011, neither the government nor anyone else is worried that
the political ambitions of Canadian youth will boil over into civil strife. On the
contrary, commentators are now lamenting a rising tide of apathy and
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disengagement. A recent example comes from Robert Fowler, a former Canadian
ambassador to the United Nations, who told a group of graduating students at the
University of Ottawa “your age group's involvement in the political process, at all
levels of government, stretches any reasonable definition of apathy” (Butler, 2010).
Prominent newspaper columnist Lawrence Martin took a similarly harsh tone in a
Globe and Mail editorial. “The young reject the political status quo, as they should,”
writes Martin, “but they are too lazy to do anything about it. Most of the under-‐25s
don't even bother to vote” (Martin, 2009).
As far as the voter turnout rate is concerned, the best available estimates suggest
that Martin is correct, and by a wide margin. Due to the confidentiality of secret
balloting, there are no official figures on youth voter turnout in Canada. In 2004,
however, Elections Canada began collecting data on a large sample of Canadians
who turn out to vote in national elections in order to break down voter turnout by
age group. According to that data, only 37% of 18-‐24 year olds turned out to vote in
the national election of 2004. That number rose to 43.8% in 2006 only to slide back
down to 37.4% in 2008 (Canada, 2008b: 3). Each of these figures is substantially
lower than Elections Canada’s overall turnout figures for each of those three
elections, with gaps of roughly 23.9%, 20.9% and 21.4%, respectively.
Comparable figures for provincial elections are not always available, but some
recent figures suggest a similar trend at the provincial level. Like Elections Canada,
the electoral agencies of some provinces have begun to use administrative data to
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estimate voter turnout by age group. According to Elections Nova Scotia, only 24%
of eligible 18-‐24 year-‐olds voted in the general election of 2009, compared to 54%
of the eligible electorate as a whole (Nova Scotia, 2009: 2-‐7). Also in 2009, British
Columbia reported a 26.9% turnout among 18-‐24 year-‐olds, with an overall turnout
of 51% (2009: 39). New Brunswick, which provided figures based on registered (as
opposed to eligible) voters, reported that 50% of 18-‐24 year-‐old electors voted in
the 2006 election, compared to 67.5% overall (2006: 28). New Brunswick also
reported that young people were less likely to register than other eligible voters, so
the actual turnout gap was probably much higher. Elections Alberta, rather than
providing their own estimates, commissioned a study by Leger Marketing that uses
survey research to dissect turnout. Although that study vastly overreports voter
turnout, it is worth noting that self-‐reported participation among 18-‐24 year-‐olds
was 26% lower than the provincial average (2008: 36).
These exceptionally low voting rates among Canada’s youth contribute to a general
pattern of turnout decline, at least at the national level. That decline began with the
national election of 1993. Turnout for the 1988 election reflected what was then the
post-‐World War Two average, with approximately 75% voting. It has been in steady
decline ever since. The only moderate uptick (an increase of 3.8% between 2004
and 2006) was quickly overshadowed by the general election of 2008, in which
turnout reached a new low of 58.8% (Canada, 2008b: 4). Viewing it with the clarity
of hindsight, the decline has been precipitous: more than 16 percentage points over
a 20-‐year period. Bear in mind also that Elections Canada’s figures measure turnout
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among registered voters; turnout among eligible voters tends to be substantially
lower.
Declining voter turnout is also apparent – albeit not universally – at the provincial
level. Alberta set a new record in 2008 when only 40.6% of eligible voters turned
out in the general election, the lowest turnout for the election of any legislature in
the history of Canada (Alberta, 2008: 158). Three other provinces also set provincial
records for lowest turnout in their most recent general elections: Ontario (2007,)
British Columbia (2009) and Nova Scotia (2009).
“It has become evident,” wrote Henry Milner, “that in Canada, as elsewhere (perhaps
even more than elsewhere), the key factor in the decline has been abstention among
young people” (2005: 2). It should come as no surprise that turnout is lower among
younger demographics. It has long been accepted that one’s rate of political
participation tends to increase with age. According to one early analysis, “young
people do not have a stable basis for concern with politics. Such a basis comes with
extended residence in a locality, full involvement in the work force, marriage, and a
family” (Nie et al., 1974: 333). A more recent account by Highton and Wolfinger
places less emphasis on such specific age-‐correlated events in the life cycle, but
nevertheless finds life-‐cycle effects to be important; youth, in itself, is a predictor of
abstention from the electoral process (Highton and Wolfinger, 2001). These life
cycle effects lead to a crucial question: how much of the decline in voter turnout is
attributable to those effects, and how much is due to generational replacement? As
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Blais et. al. put it, “are younger citizens presently less likely to vote because they
happen to be young – the implication being that their propensity to vote will
increase as they get older – or because they belong to a generation that is less
willing to vote – the implication being that their participation rate will always be
lower than that of previous generations” (Blais et al., 2004: 221)?
One seminal study, which examines data up to the year 2000, has shown that the
non-‐participation of Canadians born after 1970 accounts for the vast majority of
turnout decline since 1988 (Blais et al., 2004). The authors use data from nine
Canadian Election Studies dating back to 1968 in order to shed light on the nature of
turnout decline. By using multiple datasets spanning more than three decades, the
authors are able to compare different age cohorts at comparable stages in their life-‐
cycles, which allows for life-‐cycle effects and generational effects to be disentangled.
Blais et. al. estimate that there are powerful life-‐cycle effects at play in their data:
one’s likelihood of voting increases by roughly 15% between 20 and 50 years of age.
They conclude, however, that life-‐cycle effects could not have produced the decline
in voter turnout; the age composition of the electorate did not change much
between 1988 and 2000, and the slight change that was observed should have
produced a small increase in participation (Blais et al., 2004: 227). Instead,
participation plummeted by over 11%.
Generational effects were found to be the primary driving force behind turnout
decline. Even when compared at the same point in their lives, Canadians born after
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1970 were 20% less likely to vote than those born before 1945, leading the authors
to conclude that “the gradual replacement of the latter by the former accounts for
most of the turnout gap between pre-‐ and post-‐1990 elections” (Blais et al., 2004:
227). This finding is profound; it suggests that, even as they age, recent generations
of Canadians will not turn out to vote as frequently as the generations they replace.
The upshot is that the downward trend in overall voter turnout is likely to continue
for some time even if the low rates of turnout are reversed among tomorrow’s
youngest voters. To borrow from Robert Putnam, who perceived a similar trend in
the United States, “each campaign’s efforts to get out the vote must begin at a lower
base level, for every year the Grim Reaper removes another swath of the most
politically engaged generation of the… electorate” (Putnam, 2000: 35).
Another key to the puzzle of turnout decline is the phenomenon that Plutzer (2002)
has called inertia. According to Plutzer, an important predictor of a voter’s
behaviour in a given election is their behaviour in the last few elections. Those who
do not vote in the first election for which they are eligible are less likely to vote in
the future. Conversely, those who have voted in a previous election are likely to
resume voting in subsequent ones. This tendency is attributed partly to the
relatively high cost of first-‐time voting. First-‐time voters must learn about the
process of voting (including how to register and locate their polling station) as well
as the basics of the political landscape (including what the key issues are and where
the parties stand.) Furthermore, these costs are magnified for young people, who
tend to have lower incomes, weaker ties to their community, and less opportunity to
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be exposed to social environments that reinforce civic behaviour. To overcome
those initial costs is to cross an important threshold, after which one is likely to
remain a habitual voter.
One of Plutzer’s assumptions was that as the costs of voting were reduced and
pressures to vote were increased, habitual non-‐voters would almost certainly make
the transition to habitual voting (2002: 42). A subsequent study by Franklin (2004)
suggests that this is not the case. Using a much larger dataset than Plutzer, Franklin
found that one’s inertial state is largely cemented after three elections. “There is no
evidence that habitual nonvoters become habitual voters in any large numbers after
the third election to which they are exposed,” writes Franklin (2004: 204).
Franklin echoes Plutzer’s argument that the costs of learning to vote are magnified
for young people (2002: 63). The newly enfranchised, who are facing the trials of
early adulthood, face greater barriers to participation during their first elections
than older citizens. As a result, they are less likely to vote, and therefore to waste
one of their three opportunities (ex hypothesi) to transition into habitual voting.
Ironically, one of the implications of Franklin’s research is that, by extending the
franchise to eighteen year olds, modern democracies may have caused a long-‐term
decline in voter turnout by shifting the crucial first three elections into the stage in a
potential voter’s life-‐cycle when he or she is less prepared to overcome the start-‐up
costs of voting and become a habitual voter. That finding is all the more significant
in light of more recent work by Johnston et al. (2007). Those authors conducted a
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study on the relationship between electoral competitiveness and turnout (discussed
in greater detail below) in which they applied the logic of what they call Franklin’s
“rule of three” to Canadian data. They found that the formative period of voter
socialization consisted of only two elections, which led them to suggest a “rule of
two.” According to their analysis, voters are socialized into a more or less
permanent inertial state between the ages of eighteen and 26 (Johnston et al., 2007:
739). This finding raises the stakes of youth turnout decline: if youth do not begin
voting within a few years of achieving the franchise, the current downward trend in
turnout is likely to continue for many decades.
There is currently a paucity of research on the voting behaviour of post-‐secondary
students. Using survey data from the 1984 election, when overall turnout was a
now-‐enviable 76%, Pammett writes that the turnout rate among students was
substantially lower at 68% (Pammett, 1991: 40). More recently, Blais and Loewen,
who use Canada Election Study data ranging from 1997 to 2006, found that the
percentage of students voting was in the mid forties (2009: 6). Because of
differences in survey methodology, the two figures are not precisely comparable.
Nevertheless, it is worth noting that student turnout appears to have declined by
more than 20%, exceeding the overall rate of decline.
Despite their low turnout rate, Blais and Loewen did find students to be more likely
to vote than non-‐students in their cohort. Blais and Loewen found that among 18-‐24
year-‐olds, students were 9% more likely to vote than non-‐students (2009: 6). This
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finding mirrors that of Wolfinger and Rosenstone who found, after controlling for
various socio-‐demographic factors, that students in the United States were more
likely to vote than non-‐students of the same age (1980: 56-‐7). That students vote in
higher numbers than their non-‐student peers is unsurprising. Countless studies
show a positive correlation between education and turnout, including a seminal one
by Wolfinger and Rosenstone themselves, whose book-‐length study on electoral
participation found the positive effect of education on turnout to be their “core
finding” (1980: 102). Some fairly recent research by Rubenson et al. has confirmed
this correlation in a Canadian context (2004: 39). If anything, the size of the turnout
gap between students and non-‐students is surprisingly small, given the strong and
pervasive effect of education.
The lack of literature on the voting behaviour of Canadian students is regrettable.
After all, it has been established that the voting behaviour of young Canadians is
driving turnout decline, and post-‐secondary students make up a substantial portion
of young Canadians: nearly 55% of 18-‐24 year-‐olds and 20% of 25-‐30 year-‐olds
(Blais and Loewen, 2009: 5). Many newly eligible Canadians experience their first
election or two while pursuing a post-‐secondary education. If the findings of
Franklin (2004) and Johnston et al. (2007) are to be believed, those who seek to
encourage greater voter turnout (including elections agencies, concerned citizens
and interest groups) need to engage voters within their first two or three election
cycles. Otherwise, those voters are likely to establish a strong inertial tendency not
to vote, and have thus far shown little evidence of overcoming that inertia. Those
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elections occur at precisely the stage in the life-‐cycle during which Canadians tend
to be enrolled in post-‐secondary institutions.
Researchers seeking a holistic understanding of voter engagement should look at
measures that target both students and non-‐students within younger cohorts. After
all, student turnout is less than ideal, but turnout among less-‐educated youth is
much worse. A dramatic illustration of this is provided by Gidengil et al., who write
that among those born since 1970, the turnout gap between university graduates
and high-‐school dropouts is 50% (2004: 111). Moreover, O’Neill points out that the
literature on political engagement largely neglects the interplay between youth and
other politically important characteristics: “education, income, gender, Aboriginal
status, ethnicity and immigrant status… each has received too little focused
attention among researchers who examine engagement” (2007: 21). Nevertheless, it
is useful to study how to target students in particular. Above, in the discussion of
voter inertia, I made some mention of the fact that students face common barriers to
electoral participation. Those student-‐specific barriers create a number of
challenges for those who would seek to engage them in the electoral process. One
important example cited by Pammett is students’ above-‐average residential mobility
(1991: 36). On the other hand, policymakers can harness the common
characteristics of student life and thereby target students as a group. For instance,
polling stations and educational resources can be targeted at campuses, where
students overwhelmingly tend to congregate. Student associations can be contacted
to assist with voter outreach. Residency rules can be crafted to accommodate
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students whose lives are divided between multiple constituencies. Some of these
measures will be considered in much greater detail below. They are mentioned here
in order to illustrate the utility – for researchers and for policymakers – of adopting
a student-‐centered approach.
In a study conducted for the Lortie commission, Pammett writes that “the voting
problems of students are well-‐known” (1991: 36). Though that may be true among
those who work and study on post-‐secondary campuses, or even among avid
consumers of political news, it is not reflected in the academic literature. But, while
the problems that were so clear to Pammett decades ago remain largely
unexplained, a broader focus reveals a rich body of research on the overall causes of
turnout decline. And, as Blais et al. (2004) have discovered, that general decline has
been driven almost entirely by Canadians born since 1970. And so, by extension, a
review of the literature on the causes of turnout decline can shed some light on the
causes of abstention among younger generations of Canadians. The same review
will also reveal that the question is by no means settled: scholars have advanced a
variety of explanations for what turns out to be an exceedingly complex
phenomenon.
Some of those explanations have pointed to an underlying cultural shift. Blais et al.
write that “the most recent generations are less prone to vote in good part because
they pay less attention to politics and because they are less likely to adhere to the
norm that voting is a moral duty. The decline in turnout thus reflects a larger
25
cultural change” (2004, 234). This type of cultural explanation harkens back to the
findings of Putnam, whose influential book Bowling Alone (2000) pointed to a
decline in America’s social capital as a root cause of, among other things,
disengagement with the electoral process. Blais et al. suggest that young Canadians’
declining tendency to view voting as a moral duty is due in part the corresponding
decline in deference identified by Nevitte (1996). And, according to both Howe
(2003) and Milner (2005), that declining sense of civic duty compounds effect of low
political knowledge. As Milner puts it, “Lacking a sense of civic duty to vote, young
people are less inclined to seek the information they need to vote meaningfully, and
their declining sense of civic duty makes turning out to vote increasingly dependent
on an adequate level of political knowledge” (2005: 7).
Although they have received widespread scholarly attention, cultural explanations
have not gone unchallenged. Johnston et al. have explicitly taken aim at the
explanation put forth by Blais et al., claiming that it has “at best a modest basis in
fact” (2007: 736). They provide an alternative explanation: that the decline in
turnout at the national level can be attributed primarily to the shift in Canada’s
party system before the 1993 election, and on the effects shift had on the real and
perceived competitiveness of electoral contests. The shift away from the nationally-‐
oriented Progressive Conservative and New Democratic parties toward the
regionally concentrated Reform and Bloc Québécois led to a decline in both local
and national competitiveness, which Johnston et al. single out as the driving force
behind turnout decline. Furthermore, they argue, the negative effect of decreased
26
competitiveness is likely to persist due to voter inertia: “Voters who began coming
of age in the 1990s or who were still coming of age as the decade began were
exposed to a political world in which competition was weak, in which the local
result was commonly a foregone conclusion. This may be a generation that learned
not to vote” (Johnston et al., 2007: 742).
Yet another explanation – and one that is especially relevant to the current study –
is that the overhaul of Canada’s national voter registration regime has contributed
to turnout decline, at least at the national level. According to Courtney, “voter
registration systems around the world are of two different kinds, according to
where the responsibility for initiating the registration lies: with the individual or
with the government” (2004: 80). Before 1997, the state took responsibility for
ensuring that the register of electors was an accurate reflection of Canada’s voting-‐
age population. From 1938 to 1997, the registration regime remained more-‐or-‐less
unchanged: before every election, Elections Canada conducted door-‐to-‐door
enumeration in every polling district in the country. But, as Courtney notes with
undeniable nostalgia, “door-‐to-‐door enumeration as Canadians had known it for
sixty years was not to last” (2004: 83). The 1997 enumeration was used as the basis
for a permanent register of electors. Instead of compiling a new list before each
election, Elections Canada now maintains a permanent list, which is subject to
ongoing revision. So while the state still takes some responsibility for ensuring the
accuracy of the register, the onus now lies primarily with the individual elector. (For
a review of the circumstances leading up to this overhaul, see Black, 2003).
27
Black argues that the shift from enumeration to a permanent register is partly to
blame for the decline in turnout, at least since the election of 2000, the first election
that was not preceded by a traditional enumeration: “By and large, the evidence
indicates that the new registration approach has contributed to this decline and has
accentuated participation gaps across social groups” (Black, 2003: 33). One of the
participation gaps that Black points to is the age gap: younger voters have
disproportionately shouldered the negative effects of new registration regime.
Divergent as they may seem, the various explanations for Canada’s turnout decline
are not mutually exclusive. Each of them is supported by a substantial body of
scholarly evidence, the depth of which cannot be properly conveyed in such a brief
review. In light of that evidence, it makes sense to view each explanation as a piece
of a large and complex puzzle. That puzzle is far from completion, if one can extend
the metaphor in such a way. Despite that, one thing is clear: turnout decline is a
multifaceted problem, and reversing it will require a multifaceted solution. The
purpose of this paper is to explore what I would argue is a small but important part
of that solution: administrative reforms to facilitate the student vote. Black’s
research on voter registration has already demonstrated that administrative
measures can influence turnout. The purpose of the next chapter is to delve more
deeply into the relationship between electoral administration and voter turnout.
28
Chapter 3 – Administration and Turnout In the words of Robert A. Pastor, “at one and the same time, elections are both the
supreme political act and a complicated administrative exercise” (1999: 75).
Unfortunately, the administrative aspect is understudied in the literature. In their
pioneering review of election law, Massicotte et al. lament this imbalance and argue
for the importance of oft-‐neglected election rules (2004: 3-‐4). But, as Massicotte et
al. have noted, not all fields of electoral law have been ignored. There is a great deal
of academic material on electoral systems and the translation of seats into votes,
and for good reason. Electoral systems are crucial in determining how it is that the
will of the people is translated into representation and, by extension, governance.
But electoral systems have exhibited a great deal of inertia; even single-‐member
plurality systems, which tend to substantially misrepresent the will of the voters,
are resistant to change. One of the many reasons to study electoral administration is
that it is likely to have more immediate policy implications. Elected representatives
have reason to be cautious about overhauling the electoral system that brought
them to office, even if that overhaul would lead to greater democracy (or, to adopt
the framework of this paper, greater accessibility, inclusiveness and legitimacy.)
Electoral administration, on the other hand, can be reformed in an incremental
29
manner. In implementing administrative reforms, policymakers can improve
elections without drastically altering the political landscape.
Of course, it would be a mistake to imply that electoral administration cannot have
drastic effects. One could scarcely imagine a more drastic effect than that which
arose in Palm Beach County, Florida in the American presidential election of 2000.
One group of researchers have shown rather convincingly that the particular ballot
structure adopted in that county – the much-‐maligned butterfly ballot – caused
thousands of voters to mistakenly vote for Pat Buchanan (Wand et al., 2004). That
discrepancy was enough to alter the outcome of the entire presidential election,
effectively handing the world’s most powerful political office to the wrong winner.
While that example proves the importance of electoral administration, it is an
anomaly of the most extreme variety. The administrative measures considered
herein are not aimed at fundamentally reshaping election outcomes; they are aimed
at improving the electoral process in a pragmatic and incremental manner. For that
reason, the critical study of electoral administration may act as a more immediate
catalyst for positive change than the also-‐important study of electoral systems.
Given the sparse literature on the subject, there is room for debate about what to
include within the broad category of electoral administration (EA), and this is not
the place to establish a comprehensive definition. In general terms, EA consists of
the set of rules and practices used by an electoral management body to organize and
implement an election within the confines of the existing electoral system and
30
districting formula. Electoral districting is excluded not because of any abstract
principle, but because it is so closely associated with the study of electoral systems.
There are, no doubt, some administrative aspects of electoral systems and
districting formulae that affect students profoundly, but those will be up to future
research to examine.
While there exists a body of literature on the relationship between EA and turnout,
it is limited in scope. Most of the available research stems from the United States.
Given the lack of comparative data, it is difficult to project existing findings onto
other jurisdictions. As James noted in a recent review, “The study of electoral
administration needs to spread globally beyond the US so that researchers can
contextualise the findings made so far from American elections with other
countries” (2010a: 366). Existing evidence is also overwhelmingly quantitative
(James, 2010b: 370). In the absence of a well-‐developed theoretical framework, the
direct applicability of US data is even more limited.
Much of the cross-‐national data that is available is of limited applicability to the
problem of student turnout in Canada. For example, studies of both Oregon and
Switzerland have suggested that all-‐postal voting, where polling stations are
eliminated entirely, has a significant expansive effect on turnout (see, for example,
Southwell and Burchett, 2000; Luechinger et al., 2007). There is also cross-‐national
evidence to suggest (unsurprisingly) that compulsory voting has a profoundly
positive effect on participation when sanctions are applied to non-‐voters (for a
31
review see James, 2010b). There is reason to believe that both of these measures
would lead to a substantial increase in student turnout, but an in-‐depth analysis of
such sweeping, radical changes to EA lies beyond the scope of the current study.
One area of EA that has received some attention in Canada – and a great deal of
attention in the United States – is the effect of voter registration methods on
participation. Mitchell and Wlezien note that literature on the registration-‐turnout
relationship has a long history, dating back to work by Merriam and Gosnell in 1924
(1995: 180). Probably the most important contribution to that literature in Canada
is the aforementioned study by Black (2003), which demonstrated that the switch
from door-‐to-‐door enumeration to a permanent register of electors appears to have
impeded both the accessibility and the inclusiveness of Canadian elections. Black
seems to suggest that there were many electors who would have voted, had they not
encountered problems with the new voter registration regime. There are a number
of reasons for this. One is that many Canadians did not receive a voter information
card, received someone else’s card, or received a card with incorrect information.
That problem was compounded by Elections Canada advertising that implied,
incorrectly, that unregistered or incorrectly registered voters could not cast their
ballot on polling day (Black, 2003: 24). This problem was disproportionately borne
by younger voters. “Among those between the ages of 18 and 24, only one in every
two individuals (48.9 percent) received a correctly addressed card with accurate
information,” writes Black, noting further that “part-‐time and full-‐time students
were also prone to be in registration situations where some remedial measures
32
were necessary. Only 50.0 percent of students found themselves in the ideal
registration situation” (2003: 26-‐7). In order to illustrate the effect of these
registration flaws, it is worth quoting Black at length:
For respondents in the most favourable registration situation – those who received a card with correct information – 88.3 percent ended up voting. Turnout fell, but only modestly, to 82.9 percent, for those who received a card with some incorrect personal information. However, the decline is noticeably greater, down to 72.2 percent, for those who received a card addressed to someone else. Finally, the lowest participation level and the biggest drop across categories occur in connection with those who received no card at all, with barely half, or 51.2 percent, indicating that they had cast a ballot. This represents a huge gap between the two extreme registration situations (Black, 2003: 29).
The figures cited here do not imply a causal relationship, a difficulty that the author
was conscious of. Black ran a number of supplementary statistical tests in order to
determine whether registration problems caused lower turnout or whether they
were merely correlated. Black found other factors to be partially responsible for the
turnout gap between those who were correctly registered and those who were not,
but he nevertheless concludes that registration had a strong independent effect:
“The inference… is not only that registration matters, but that it matters a great
deal” (2003: 31). Black also concludes that that effect was disproportionately borne
by the young and, to a lesser extent, the poor (2003: 33).
As I’ve noted in the previous chapter, the adoption of a permanent list transferred
the responsibility for registration from the state to the individual. And although
there are provisions in place to use existing sources of government data to update
the registry, there are many Canadians who have been faced with significant
33
increases in the costs of registration and, consequently, the costs of voting. Although
many differences persist, the switch from a state-‐initiated to a citizen-‐initiated
registration system renders American research on registration and turnout more
applicable to the Canadian case; the US has traditionally placed the onus of
registration on individual citizens (Courtney, 2004). So while American data is not
directly applicable to Canada or its provinces, the relevance of US research should
not be discounted.
One influential piece of American research is an oft-‐cited study by Rosenstone and
Wolfinger (1978), who used the wide variety of registration procedures among US
states in the 1972 presidential election to tease out the effect various measures
would have on participation. They found that early registration deadlines had a
profound negative effect on turnout. According to their estimates, the nation-‐wide
adoption of a single reform – namely, keeping registration open until election day –
would lead to a 6.1% increase in overall turnout. They also found that by expanding
the opening hours of registration offices and allowing absentee registration by the
sick, disabled, and absent would lead to another 3% increase in turnout. Given the
size of the potential electorate in the United States, the 9.1% increase predicted by
Rosenstone and Wolfinger translates to approximately 12.2 million additional
voters (1978: 33).
A number of studies have focused more specifically on Election Day Registration
(EDR), whereby potential voters can register at the polls, and its effect on turnout.
34
The findings of some studies reflect those of Rosenstone and Wolfinger. Fenster
credited EDR for boosting turnout by about 5% in American states where it was
implemented (1994: 84). Brians and Grofman estimated that adopting that
particular measure would increase turnout by 7% in the average American state
(2001: 170). In contrast, King and Wambeam (1995) found no convincing
correlation between EDR and turnout. Note, however, that in their subsequent
study, Brians and Grofman question the ability of King and Wambeam’s research
model to control for confounding effects (2001: 172). Blais et al. actually found that
election day registration caused a mild decrease in turnout, but expressed some
skepticism of that finding in light of contrary evidence from more detailed studies
from the US (2003: 11).
Mitchell and Wlezien (1995) modified Rosenstone and Wolfinger’s methods and
applied them to a much larger dataset, which included presidential and mid-‐term
elections from 1972 to 1982. They estimated that the liberalization of registration
laws would produce an increase in turnout of 7.6% at the national level (Mitchell
and Wlezien, 1995: 191). Unlike Rosenstone and Wolfinger, Mitchell and Wlezien
found that preventing frequent purges of the electoral register had a significant
effect on turnout, presumably because those who have been purged must make the
effort to register anew. A number of studies have also suggested that the National
Voter Registration Act in the United States, which used a range of approaches to
lower the indirect costs of registration, had a positive effect on turnout (see Franklin
and Grier, 1997; Wolfinger and Hoffman, 2001).
35
Another branch of EA research that is of particular relevance to students is that
which studies the effect of residential mobility on turnout, and, more specifically,
how that effect can be mitigated through EA. It has long been understood that recent
arrivals to a given community are less likely to vote than long-‐time residents. “Those
who have lived longer in the community participate more than others of their age;
newer residents participate a great deal less,” wrote Nie et al. (1974: 334). Squire et
al. (1987) confirm that result. However, Squire et al. were particularly interested in
the effect that registration procedures would have on those who had recently
changed residences. They found that liberalized registration deadlines had a
positive effect on turnout among recent arrivals. Although their data varies
significantly across the statistical methods used, Squire et al. argue that the burden
of registration has a substantial negative influence on turnout among those who
have recently moved. They conclude that “there is no question that election day
registration would be particularly beneficial to such people” (1987: 57).
In a later study, Brians (1997) found that the effect of mobility on turnout to be
much smaller in Canada. This is attributed largely to the fact that registration
procedures then were less onerous in Canada than in the US; Brians’ data was
collected before the elimination of door-‐to-‐door enumeration. While there appears
to be no recent Canadian data on the subject, it is likely that the effect of mobility on
turnout has grown as a result of the aforementioned overhaul of Canada’s voter
registration regime.
36
So far the current review has focused on the effects of registration, but there is also
evidence to suggest that post-‐registration procedures can have a positive effect on
turnout. One way of achieving this effect is by making polling stations more
accessible. For example, Gimpel and Schuknecht (2003) demonstrated a modest but
significant correlation between the geographical closeness of polling stations and
turnout. After controlling for socio-‐economic variables, they found that turnout
increases by 1.73% with every 5-‐mile reduction in distance that potential voters
would need to travel. “Aggregating this figure over precincts throughout an entire
metropolitan area or state,” write Gimpel and Schuknecht, “yields an effect of great
magnitude, influencing the turnout of thousands of voters” (2003: 484). There is
also some evidence to suggest that Election Day Voting Centres (EDVCs) can boost
turnout by lowering the costs of participation. Stein and Vonnahme (2008) found
that EDVCs increase turnout by 2.6% among registered electors. Taking a different
angle, Wolfinger et al. (2005) studied the effect the opening hours of polling stations
had on turnout. They estimate that opening polling stations before 7:00am could
increase turnout by approximately 1.7%, and that keeping them open after 7:00pm
could increase turnout by about 1% (2005: 9).
Voter outreach can also lead to increased voter turnout. Most of the available
research on voter outreach has been focused on partisan efforts to “get out the vote”
(for a review, see Green and Gerber, 2008). Of the available research on non-‐
partisan outreach efforts, the results of Wolfinger et al. (2005) are particularly
37
relevant. They found that youth turnout rates were higher in American states where
registered voters received sample ballots and information on polling stations in the
mail. Multivariate analysis revealed that mailing out polling station information and
sample ballots increased turnout by an estimated 0.6% and 1.2%, respectively.
Furthermore, the effect of sending out sample ballots was found to have a
particularly pronounced effect on young voters living away from home, increasing
turnout in that group by 7.1% (Wolfinger et al., 2005: 12). This last finding is
particularly important here, given that it applies to such a large proportion of post-‐
secondary students. The conclusions of Wolfinger et al. are consistent with the
Canadian literature; as noted above, Black (2003) has demonstrated that the receipt
of correct registration information by post has a significant effect on turnout.
The preceding review demonstrates that removing various administrative barriers
to voting has been shown in many cases to have a positive effect on turnout.
Rosenstone and Wolfinger had this in mind when they wrote the following: “the
more permissive the registration laws, the lower the time, energy, and information
costs of voting. This is of greatest benefit to people whose interest is not sufficient to
carry them across the higher threshold imposed by more restrictive provisions”
(1978: 37). This reasoning harkens back to Downs (1957), who famously argued for
the adoption of a rational choice model for the study of political behaviour, wherein
political actors are assumed to perform various cost-‐benefit analyses in pursuit of
self-‐interest. Blais (2000), among others, has argued convincingly that rational
choice theories cannot be relied on to provide a comprehensive account of political
38
behaviour. Still, it is hardly surprising that the costs of voting have an effect on
turnout. As Jerome Black put it in his study of registration procedures, “it is
pertinent to recall the near-‐truism that the level of participation is inversely related
to the amount of effort required to carry out the activity in question” (2003, 19), and
there is little reason to suspect that voting behaviour among Canada’s post-‐
secondary student population is any exception.
But how much of an increase in turnout could actually be achieved through
administrative reforms? How many Canadians would be motivated enough to vote if
administrative barriers were lowered or removed?
Some researchers of the electoral administration-‐turnout relationship have
downplayed the significance of their results. For example, Brians and Grofman, who
predicted that registration reform could raise average turnout by 7%, referred to
this as “a modest effect on the total number of voters” (2001: 170). This
characterization ignores an important fact: if the reforms studied by Brians and
Grofman were implemented in the United States, where they were studying, their
predictions would estimate an actual increase in turnout of several million voters
(with the exact figure depending on the time of implementation.) There is evidence
to suggest that the gains in turnout would be substantial in the Canadian case as
well. Part of that evidence comes from a study by Pammett, which was published by
the Lortie Commission in 1991. Pammett noticed that there were a number of
Canadians who had voted in some of the elections since they had reached the age of
39
majority, but not in others. In an attempt to explain that phenomenon, he used
survey data from three national elections to determine Canadians’ reasons for
abstaining. Pammett found that many non-‐voters were “administratively
disenfranchised”: they would have voted, but they were not able to, either because
they were away from home, ill, busy, or they were missed in the process of
enumeration (1991: 38). Pammett also found that the most important group of
administratively disenfranchised voters – those who were away from home – was
disproportionately populated by young electors. Pammett used the attitudinal
characteristics of respondents, such as their interest in the election, to estimate how
many non-‐voters would have voted had administrative conditions been more
favourable. Although his figures are admittedly speculative, Pammett estimated that
a “comprehensive package” of administrative reform could have improved turnout
by 7.2%, noting that a total rise in voting turnout of 10% is not out of the question.
Pammett’s study dealt with data that is now over two decades old, and much has
changed. Many of the reforms he recommended in 1991 – which include special
ballots, mobile polls and flexible list revision – have since been implemented and, as
we now know, they failed to prevent a decline in turnout. On the other hand, it is
reasonable to assume that without the adoption of those reforms, turnout would be
substantially lower today.
After the Canadian election of 2000, Elections Canada commissioned a study by
Pammett and Leduc (2003) to explain why so many Canadians were not voting. The
40
methods used for that study were different from those that Pammett used in 1991,
but Pammett and Leduc’s results echo Pammett’s 1991 study in some important
respects. The 2003 report seems to show that, compared to the older data,
Canadians were more likely to have abstained from voting in 2000 simply because
they were not interested in the election, or because they felt that their vote would be
irrelevant. On the other hand, Pammett and Leduc found that there were still many
voters who would have been likely to vote had they not encountered real or
perceived administrative barriers. Pammett and Leduc speculate that
administrative reforms could still have a major impact on turnout:
“Those non-‐voters in 2000 who report being affected in their decision by what we call “personal/administrative factors” are actually quite unlike those who are not interested in politics or elections. They show every indication of wanting to vote in future, if they are able to overcome what they saw as deterrents in 2000. Any changes in electoral procedures that would allow more convenient registration or voting for this group of current non-‐voters might well pay dividends in allowing them to enter the active electorate” (Pammett and Leduc, 2003: 61).
Despite a rich trove of data, Pammett and Leduc provide no estimates of how many
additional electors could be persuaded to vote by administrative reforms, and for
good reason. There are too many factors at play to provide that type of estimate
with any certainty. The available research is simply too limited in depth, variety and
geographic distribution. Furthermore, the predicted effects of particular
administrative measures cannot be projected exactly onto all circumstances, and the
application of multiple measures would not necessarily lead to increases that are
straightforwardly cumulative.
41
But despite all of those difficulties, it is reasonable to assume that well-‐designed
reforms could increase the accessibility of elections for Canadian students.
Moreover, reforms that address the specific barriers faced by certain subsets of the
student population could have a positive effect on electoral inclusiveness. If such
reforms are implemented without sacrificing the integrity of the electoral process,
the resulting increase in participation could render election results more legitimate,
and cause the students affected to perceive them as such. In sum, administrative
reforms have the potential to improve electoral democracy according to all of the
three of the criteria established in Chapter 1. The comparative evaluation to follow
will explore some of the reforms that could be implemented in national and
provincial elections.
42
Chapter 4 – Current Practices in Comparison This chapter identifies a number of areas of EA that one might expect to have a
particular influence on the electoral participation rates of post-‐secondary students
in Canada. Rather than examining the aspects of EA that have benefitted from
previous academic attention, this chapter will focus on practices that might be of
particular relevance to students, in light of that population’s unique characteristics.
The analysis herein is therefore speculative by necessity. This is on the one hand a
cautionary note; these results are best seen as preliminary. On the other hand, it is
an invitation to researchers to subject these administrative procedures to rigorous
qualitative and quantitative analysis. In the meantime, recall that the literature on
the relationship between EA and turnout does suggest that administrative changes
to the electoral process can lead to substantially higher turnout in such a way as to
render elections more accessible and more inclusive. Although the effects of the
policies proposed herein are unmeasured, there is ample reason to believe that they
have a real (and in principle, measurable) effect on electoral participation.
The areas of EA selected for examination are registration deadlines, ordinary
residence rules and absentee voting opportunities. The jurisdictions considered are
43
Canada and its ten provinces. All accounts of current electoral practices have been
drawn from the Elections Acts of the respective jurisdictions or from Elections
Canada’s Compendium of Electoral Administration (2010), except where otherwise
indicated.
Registration Deadlines
Among the defining characteristics that distinguish Canada’s post-‐secondary
students from the general population is their high residential mobility. Most
students are young adults, and many of them choose to pursue their post-‐secondary
education away from their hometown. This combination of factors leads students to
change residences frequently, whether to move out of their family home, to move
back for the summer, to move from on-‐campus residences to apartments or any
other such reason. Recall from Chapter 3 that residential mobility depresses voter
turnout, and that the disparity between long-‐time residents and newcomers can be
at least partly attributed to the fact that newcomers face the additional burden of
renewing their registration. One way to increase voter turnout among students,
then, is to ease the registration process. If Black (2003) is correct about the limiting
effects of citizen-‐initiated registration on electoral accessibility, and more
specifically on the inclusion of youth and students, then one might consider
reversing Canada’s 1997 registration regime overhaul. But, to paraphrase Black in
colloquial terms, it appears that horse has already left the barn; the prospects of
abandoning the permanent list were slim then, and have probably grown slimmer
44
since with greater intergovernmental integration and the resolution of certain early
issues with the permanent list. It is perhaps more realistic to propose reforms of a
less radical nature.
Although there it some debate in the literature, the balance of academic evidence
suggests that Election Day Registration (EDR), which requires the elimination of
registration deadlines, can boost turnout by several percentage points. Squire et al.
(1987) found, in particular, that the elimination of registration deadlines could
boost turnout among mobile populations. Highton associates the benefits of
eliminating registration deadlines with two of the defining characteristics of
Canadian students: “both the young and the residentially mobile are more
responsive to registration closing dates and election day registration” (2004: 509).
As noted in Chapter 3, is difficult to assess the extent to which those American
authors’ findings apply to a Canadian context. But even in jurisdictions like Québec,
which still uses traditional door-‐to-‐door canvassing to enumerate its electors,
students might not be as accurately and comprehensively registered as others; their
living arrangements tend to be fluid, and their schedules do not follow the nine-‐to-‐
five pattern that enumerations are designed to accommodate. If that is the case, they
stand to reap much of the benefit of EDR.
Of the eleven jurisdictions considered in this study, ten of them already have EDR in
place. The only exception is Québec, where voters must be registered by the
Tuesday of the second week prior to the week during which polling takes place
45
(Québec, 1989: s. 2). According to the website of Québec’s electoral management
body, Le Directeur Général des Élections du Québec (2011), potential electors who
change their address before an election is instigated must either submit an online
application or, if an election period is underway, visit the revision office for their
current constituency. Québec does shoulder much of the burden of registration by
carrying out a door-‐to-‐door enumeration, and Québec legislation also allows for
registration facilities to be set up in student residences, which can ease the process
for the minority of students who live in on-‐campus facilities. Nevertheless, it is
reasonable to speculate that the current registration deadlines will make Québec’s
elections less inclusive of students.
The implementation of EDR would likely cost little to the province of Québec. It can
be administered with relative ease by existing polling station workers, as is the
current practice in all other provinces and at the national level. Besides cost, one
potential reason not to pursue EDR is the concern that allowing electors to arrive at
the polls without filing any documentation in advance would expose Québec to
electoral fraud. Other jurisdictions in Canada limit the risk of fraud by requiring
would-‐be electors to provide identification, to be vouched for by another voter, to
complete an oath or declaration, or in most cases, some combination thereof. Nova
Scotia and British Columbia also require that polling-‐day registrants fill out an
application form. The requirement that registrants provide, for example,
government-‐issued identification, proof of address and a written declaration – or
some other such combination of supporting documentation – could mitigate any
46
additional risk of electoral fraud without significantly impeding the increase in
accessibility that would accompany the adoption of EDR in Québec.
Flexibility of Ordinary Residence
The mobility of post-‐secondary students poses another challenge: if students are
frequently changing residences, and even changing electoral districts, where are
they allowed to cast their ballot? The variety of post-‐secondary education programs
available makes this problem particularly daunting. On the one hand, some students
pursue weeks-‐long technical programs. On the other hand, there are students who
take more than four years to pursue a full degree program. There are other
complicating factors as well. Some students move back to their parents’ electoral
district for all or part of the summer, while others do not. Some students intend to
move back to their parents’ home after completing their program, while others
intend to stay in the electoral district in which they live during their studies. Others
still do not intend to set up long-‐term residence in either location. Because of this
complicated set of circumstances, there are students for whom it is more
appropriate to vote in the electoral district in which they study, and others for
whom it is more appropriate to vote in their “home” riding.
Electors in all jurisdictions are allowed to cast a ballots only in the electoral district
in which they reside. When it comes time for an election, where are students
deemed to reside? The legislation governing elections in each jurisdiction gives
47
some direction on how to determine a voter’s ordinary residence, but there is a
great deal of variation between them with respect to how they accommodate post-‐
secondary students.
Canada is the only jurisdiction studied where the Elections Act does not provide any
specific guidance on how to determine the ordinary residence of post-‐secondary
students. The Canada Elections Act stipulates that “The place of ordinary residence
of a person is the place that has always been, or that has been adopted as, his or her
dwelling place, and to which the person intends to return when away from it”
(Canada, 2000: s. 8). It also states that a temporary absence from the place one
ordinarily resides does not constitute a change in ordinary residence. With so little
guidance, it is difficult to interpret how the act was intended to treat the ordinary
residence of students. According to Elections Canada, however, students are allowed
to choose whether their family home or their home-‐while-‐studying is their ordinary
residence (Canada, 2006).
The statutes of three jurisdictions – Alberta, Newfoundland and Nova Scotia –
explicitly seek to prevent students from voting in the electoral district in which they
study. In Alberta, the Elections Act states that any student who “temporarily rents
accommodation for the purpose of attending an educational institution, and… has
family members who are ordinarily resident in Alberta and with whom the student
ordinarily resides when not in attendance at an educational institution… is deemed
to reside with those family members” (Alberta, 2000: s. 2). Again, it is unclear what
48
constitutes “temporarily” renting accommodation. It is also difficult to determine
where a student may vote if she previously resided with family members in Alberta,
but does not return her previous home at any time during the year and does not
intend to return after completing her program. Newfoundland’s legislation also
leaves much room for interpretation. It stipulates that Newfoundland residents who
move for the purpose of pursuing a post-‐secondary education shall be deemed to
ordinarily reside in their former constituency “in the absence of evidence to the
contrary” (Newfoundland, 1991: s. 26). Again, it is unclear what to make of students
who have left their previous homes and who do not intend to return. Nova Scotia’s
legislation, though similarly restrictive, does gives some more precise direction:
“Where a person is an unmarried student having a family home in the Province to
which, when away, the person intends to return, the person is ordinarily resident
where that home is” (Nova Scotia, 1989: s. 31). Students who are not affected by that
provision – those who are married and those who do not intend to return to their
family home – are explicitly permitted to choose whether they are registered as
electors in their place of study or in their family’s constituency. Only one jurisdiction
has legislation that forces students to vote in the riding in which they study.
Manitoba’s Elections Act stipulates that a Manitoba resident who temporarily
resides in a constituency for the purpose of pursuing an educational program that is
at least six months long is deemed to be an ordinary resident of that constituency
upon arrival.
49
The six remaining jurisdictions – British Columbia, Ontario, New Brunswick, Prince
Edward Island, Québec and Saskatchewan – all have specific provisions that allow
students to choose between the electoral district where they live to study and the
one in which they previously resided. The Québec legislation is particularly
permissive: “An elector who temporarily leaves his domicile to work or to study in
another electoral precinct may be considered to be domiciled either in the polling
subdivision of his domicile or in that where he resides for the purposes of his work
or studies” (Québec, 1989: s. 3). Although the language in the legislation differs, the
five other jurisdictions listed allow a similar degree of flexibility in the declaration of
ordinary residence; students are free to decide the electoral district in which they
will be eligible.
Given that Canadian students span such a wide range of living arrangements, it is
difficult to employ a one-‐size-‐fits-‐all policy for the determination of ordinary
residence. The student who lives in the electoral district in which she studies for the
duration of a full degree program, and who does not intend to move back into her
family home for any significant length of time upon completion, is likely to be more
invested in – and more knowledgeable of – the riding in which she studies. To force
that student to vote in the electoral district in which her family home is located
amounts to partial disenfranchisement. Similarly, a student who pursues a single
semester at a post-‐secondary institution in one constituency, but who intends to
return to his family home in another, is likely less motivated to vote in the electoral
district in which he studies. The straightforwardness of those two hypothetical
50
examples belies the complexity of the situation, but the fact remains that restricting
students in their declaration of ordinary residence has the potential to prevent
many thousands of students from casting a ballot where it would be most
appropriate for them to do so. Furthermore, the more common type of restriction,
forcing students to vote in the place of their family home, can increase the number
of students casting a ballot in an electoral district far away from where they
currently reside, which (as we will discover below,) can be a costly endeavour. In
many cases, students must either travel to the electoral district to which they’re
assigned or cast a special ballot. Those options both significantly increase the
indirect costs of voting. Additionally, students must be aware of the limitations on
their declaration of residence well in advance if they wish to make use of either.
Although they are unexplored in the academic literature, the limitations that
Alberta, Manitoba, Newfoundland and Nova Scotia place on the declaration of
ordinary residence can be expected to have a negative effect on electoral
participation. They also deny a large (albeit as-‐yet-‐unmeasured) number of students
the right to vote in the electoral district where it would be most appropriate for
them to have a say, thereby decreasing the perceived benefits of participation for
students. The comparable legislation in Canada in is silent on students’ ordinary
residence, which at least allows Elections Canada to use greater discretion in
determining ordinary residence. Nevertheless, Canada’s rules for determining
ordinary residence only facilitate student voting to the extent Elections Canada
consistently allow students to choose their place of residence. There is reason to
51
speculate that electoral participation would be best stimulated by adopting
legislation that explicitly allows students to choose between their place of study and
their previous home as their ordinary residence, as British Columbia, New
Brunswick, Prince Edward Island, Québec and Saskatchewan have done.
The disadvantages of adopting flexible residence rules for students appear to be
minimal. Liberalizing ordinary residence rules would not force any of the electoral
management bodies in question to adopt any dramatic new procedures. Students
could be registered for the appropriate constituency through existing means. Voting
could also be accommodated by existing means – either by granting special ballots
or by allowing advance or ordinary polls to accommodate voters from other
electoral districts. Every jurisdiction already has at least one of these options in
place to accommodate at least some of the voters who are absent from their
constituency of ordinary residence. Furthermore, this measure would enhance,
rather than detract from, the legitimacy of the electoral process. Critics who see
students as uninvested temporary residents might complain about students diluting
the votes of more long-‐term residents, but that objection seems to apply a double
standard: long-‐term residents would (hopefully) be reluctant to advocate for
denying the franchise to non-‐students, even if those non-‐students were new to the
riding.
All of the jurisdictions in question already have measures in place to ensure that
those who vote by advance poll or by special ballot are prevented from using any
52
further voting opportunity, so there is little additional risk of double-‐voting. At the
same time, allowing students to vote in the constituency in which they feel it most
appropriate to do so will likely create a greater sense of enfranchisement. The net
effect of flexible ordinary residence requirements on the legitimacy of elections
would almost certainly be positive: the increase in real and perceived legitimacy
that would accrue from the full enfranchisement of students would outweigh the
loss of perceived legitimacy among a handful of disgruntled long-‐term residents.
Absentee Voting Options
As the last section has made clear, there are many students in Canada who, whether
by compulsion or by choice, must cast their ballots in geographically distant
electoral districts. For those students, the costs of electoral participation are partly
determined by the range of available absentee voting procedures. For the purpose of
this study, absentee voting procedures include all of those procedures by which an
elector may vote without being physically present in the polling district in which her
ballot is to be counted. Those procedures vary dramatically between jurisdictions.
In all eleven jurisdictions, there are provisions in place for at least some electors to
vote from afar by special ballot. A special ballot is one that the elector must apply for
in advance, and which the elector may cast by post or by other means of delivery.
There is some inter-‐jurisdictional variation in the availability of special ballots. In
Canada, Ontario and Nova Scotia, special ballots are available to any elector. Other
53
provinces place at least minor restrictions on the availability of special ballots.
Although details and verification procedures vary, Alberta, British Columbia,
Manitoba, Saskatchewan, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island all
grant special ballots to electors who expect to be absent from the electoral district in
which their vote is to be counted. Of the eleven jurisdictions considered, only
Québec places severe restrictions on the availability of special ballots; only electors
who are absent from the province may vote by special ballot. Any elector within
Québec who is eligible to vote in a distant electoral district in the province has no
recourse but to appear in that electoral district in person, either for an advance poll
or for regular polling day.
There is also some variation in the application deadlines for special ballots. In
Alberta and New Brunswick, the deadline to apply for a special ballot is constrained
only by the requirement that the ballot be completed and returned by a given time
on polling day. Other jurisdictions require electors to apply for special ballots before
a certain deadline, ranging from four hours before the close of polls on polling day
(British Columbia) to nineteen days before polling day (Québec).
Although special ballots are available to all absentee voters outside of Québec, there
are some jurisdictions that go to much greater lengths to accommodate the casting
of ballots in other districts. For example, both British Columbia and Manitoba allow
voters who are absent from their electoral district of residence to cast a ballot at an
advance polling station in any other electoral district in the province. In those
54
provinces, a student who is in the province but is temporarily away from her place
of ordinary residence can arrive at any advance poll, register on-‐site and cast her
vote.
In British Columbia, absentee electors are even afforded the opportunity to vote at
any polling station in the province on the regular polling day. In their most recent
provincial election, over 12,000 British Columbians made use of this option, while
nearly 4,000 cast absentee ballots at advance polls. These two voting options made
up approximately one per cent of the total votes cast in that election (British
Columbia, 2009: 24). With this option in place, students within British Columbia
may observe the election campaign in its entirety before casting a ballot for the
appropriate electoral district.
In their most recent election, Elections New Brunswick made a similar option
available for post-‐secondary students in particular. New Brunswick’s Elections Act
gives the Chief Electoral Officer the authority to approve special “additional” polls in
certain locations, including on “a university or college campus” (New Brunswick,
1973: 68). Elections New Brunswick uses special ballots to accommodate students
who deem it more suitable to vote in another electoral district. New Brunswick’s
legislation allows for special ballots to be issued and cast until 8:00pm on polling
day, so a student who arrives at the on-‐campus polls before that time can cast one
on-‐site. According to New Brunswick’s Chief Electoral Officer (New Brunswick,
2010), New Brunswick adopted on-‐campus polls after consultation with student
55
groups. Those polls were designed to anticipate some of the specific challenges
faced by student electors:
Registered students… have the right to vote for candidates in the electoral district in which he or she ordinarily resides, or in the electoral district in which he or she resides while attending the school. Advance or ordinary polling stations do not permit students to vote for candidates in other electoral districts, making them a poor fit for students. In addition, students found it difficult to travel to polling stations or to returning offices. The satellite offices were located on the campus, in a location easily accessible by students. These offices provided the full range of service available from the parent returning office, including the ability to register or update one’s names on the List of Electors, and the ability to vote using a special ballot, for any electoral district in the province (New Brunswick, 2010: xx).
Because students are so mobile, there are many students for whom it would be most
reasonable to cast an absentee ballot. The procedures in place for absentee voters
can be placed on a continuum from least accessible to most accessible. Elections are
least accessible (or rather, completely inaccessible) to absentee voters in Québec,
for whom there is no recourse. They are somewhat more accessible in Canada,
Alberta, Saskatchewan, Ontario, Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island and
Newfoundland, where absentee voters can cast special ballots. The costs of casting a
special ballot vary according to the procedures and deadlines for the application for,
pickup of, and delivery of those ballots. In general, though, this is a relatively high-‐
cost method of voting. In many cases, students must learn the rules for special
balloting well in advance of the election. Compared to regular polling opportunities,
the information on special balloting procedures is not as well publicized.
Furthermore, students who vote by special ballot are prevented from observing the
entirety of the campaign, which increases the information costs associated with
56
choosing a candidate. Finally, those who must vote by special ballot are not able to
take advantage of the many social cues associated with a single, common day of
voting.
British Columbia and Manitoba make voting more accessible still by allowing
absentee voters to vote at advance polls in any electoral district. Again, the
information costs associated with advance polls are somewhat higher than regular
polling; their dates and locations tend to be less heavily publicized, and they force
voters to cast a ballot before the end of the campaign period. Most districts also set
up far fewer advance polls, which means that they are often more geographically
distant. However, the process of voting in and advance poll is relatively simple
compared to special ballots. Voters simply arrive at the polls, register if necessary,
and cast a ballot on-‐site.
The jurisdictions that do the most to facilitate absentee voting are British Columbia
and New Brunswick. In those provinces, absentee voters can take advantage of all of
the publicity and informal social cues leading up to the day of regular polling. They
can also observe the entire campaign before voting, thereby reducing information
costs. Students likely have to travel shorter distances to vote, and voting procedures
are straightforward. In effect, the additional costs associated with absentee voting
are substantially reduced. Although each province has its advantages, the student-‐
centered approach adopted by Elections New Brunswick is likely the most
57
accessible to students. Students may cast absentee ballots from the very university
and college campuses that they attend on a daily basis.
The tradeoffs associated with accessible absentee voting procedures are difficult to
assess. The accessibility-‐enhancing measures examined in the previous sections –
Election Day Registration and flexibility of ordinary residence – could likely be
implemented without great difficulty or cost. Enhancing accessibility for absentee
voters may not be as straightforward. To establish the most student-‐friendly EA
regime, which would include the opportunity to cast absentee ballots on campus on
regular polling day, that electoral management body responsible would have to pay
for staff to make arrangements with the school or student association, to set up the
poll and to staff it on election day. It is beyond the scope of this study to perform a
full assessment of those costs for each jurisdiction, but one can reasonably assume
that they far from negligible. Furthermore, each jurisdiction that expands absentee
voting opportunities must establish a set of procedures to prevent double-‐voting
and to reduce any other associated risks of electoral fraud.
However, any additional costs incurred by improving absentee voting measures
should be considered in light of the anticipated benefits of student electoral
participation. Chapter 1 included a discussion of the concept of voter inertia.
Available evidence suggests that, in order to encourage a long-‐term trend of
electoral participation, reforms should be targeted at those who are experiencing
their first two or three election cycles. Those who fail to vote in those elections have
58
shown little tendency to commence voting later in life. Because so many of Canada’s
newly eligible voting population is made up of students, electoral participation
among students should be prioritized. It seems appropriate, therefore, to
recommend that absentee voting opportunities be expanded, despite the potential
for moderate cost increases.
Interactions Between Measures
Although this Chapter has been divided into distinct sections, readers should bear in
mind the interactions between registration deadlines, ordinary residence rules and
absentee voting opportunities. An Albertan student may have trouble voting in the
appropriate electoral district due to Alberta’s restrictive residency rules, but that
student may still vote in the district of her family home by applying for a special
ballot. A Québec student will find it much easier to declare ordinary residence at the
address where she lives during her studies, but if she is visiting her family home
during the election period, she will be unable to cast a ballot in the district in which
she ordinarily resides. For greater clarity, Table 1 illustrates the availability of
student-‐accessible procedures by jurisdiction.
59
60
Chapter 5 – Conclusion and Recommendations Canada’s declining voter turnout is a troubling trend, and despite various scholarly
attempts to account for it, its causes are poorly understood. It is probably best seen
as the result of a complex combination of forces, including underlying cultural
attitudes, a shifting political landscape, and the inertia or learned voting behaviours.
And while changes to electoral administration may have played a significant role,
there is little reason to believe that EA is, in any robust sense, the root cause of
turnout decline. It is more likely that turnout decline will be one of the root causes
of administrative reform. In their study of non-‐voters, Pammett and Leduc conclude
that “an effective response to this trend will require more than short-‐term, small-‐
scale reform measures” (2003: 2). Strikingly low turnout figures have forced civic-‐
minded Canadians to consider all of the tools at their disposal, including EA.
Although the literature linking administration and turnout is still poorly developed,
it can be used to demonstrate with confidence that administrative reforms can be
used to boost voter participation by removing barriers. Changing electoral rules and
practices to make elections more accessible and more inclusive can tilt the scale for
61
citizens who would not have voted, and eliminate some of the impediments for
citizens who could not have voted.
This is especially true of Canada’s post-‐secondary students. Students face some of
the steepest barriers to participation. At the same time, many of them have grown
up in a generation where abstention is the norm. Reforms can take advantage of the
common features of student life in order to target this huge portion of young
electors. Targeting newly eligible voters – a category that includes the majority of
post-‐secondary students – will be a necessary part of any serious strategy to reverse
the current decline. Policymakers and opinion leaders who hope to tackle this issue
in their lifetimes cannot afford to let another generation of Canadians develop habits
of electoral non-‐participation.
The comparative analysis in Chapter 4 reveals a number of specific administrative
reforms that could substantially increase the accessibility of elections for Canadian
students. By removing impediments to student participation, these reforms would
open up the process to a group that is currently on the margins of electoral politics,
making elections more inclusive. At the same time, they could increase inclusiveness
within the student population by making elections more accessible to those subsets
of the student population who face the most significant barriers, including poor
students, students of low socio-‐economic status, students with high residential
mobility, students who lack access to transportation, and students living or studying
in environments that are information-‐poor. If those goals can be achieved without
62
sacrificing the integrity the election process, they will make elections more
legitimate.
One of those reforms is the implementation of election day registration. EDR is
already in place at the national level, and in every province except for Québec.
Although the benefits of implementing EDR might be modest in a province that
conducts a pre-‐election enumeration, the disadvantages are negligible. Given the
ease with which Québec could liberalize registration deadlines, the maintenance of
the status quo is indefensible.
A reform that would likely have a much greater impact is the liberalization of
ordinary residence requirements. By preventing students from voting in the
electoral district in which they feel they belong, Alberta, Manitoba, Newfoundland
and Nova Scotia are imposing both practical and symbolic barriers to student
participation. All of those provinces, along with the government of Canada, should
adopt legislation that explicitly allows students to choose between the place of their
family home and the place of their home-‐while-‐studying as their electoral district of
ordinary residence.
Finally, governments should take the necessary steps to ensure that the facilitation
of absentee voting. Because of their mobility, many students find themselves away
from the constituency in which they should be voting at election time. Making
special ballots more accessible is a step in the right direction, especially for student
63
who are out of the province and cannot take advantage of other options. More
helpful are advance polls that allow for absentee voting. However, the importance of
facilitating the student vote should compel governments in Canada to allow for
convenient absentee voting on polling day. They can do so by adopting the BC model
– allowing all citizens to cast absentee ballots at any poll – or the New Brunswick
model – setting up dedicated on-‐campus polling stations to deal with the particular
barriers facing students.
Perhaps most importantly, governments have a responsibility to take a more
proactive approach to youth electoral engagement. A full understanding of the issue
of turnout decline reveals that engaging youth is crucial. Administrative reform is
but one way of achieving that goal, but it is one that government should be pursuing.
Governments can look to the New Brunswick example as a model: recognizing that
there was a problem, elections officials consulted with students to find an
appropriate solution, which led to a student-‐friendly solution to many
administrative problems. This approach will require some effort and some
spending, but the importance of finding a solution outweighs those costs.
The reader should bear in mind that this study is limited in scope. There are dozens
of other measures that could be pursued within the broad category of EA. Elections
agencies could consult with students’ associations, legislation could allow for on-‐
campus polls, enumeration and education campaigns could be directed at student-‐
heavy neighbourhoods, and the like. Even if all of those changes are implemented,
64
EA is not a panacea. Researchers need to explore – and activists and policymakers
need to pursue – other avenues as well. These might include civics education,
electoral reform, political reform and more.
The administrative reforms suggested herein are merely a first step, but they are an
important first step, and one that should be taken without delay.
65
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