Thematic Presentation Climate Change Impacts on Water ... · Thematic Presentation Climate Change...

Thematic Presentation

Climate Change Impacts on Water, Security

and Resources, including Drought

Ralf Ludwig / DionysisAssimacopoulos

& participantsto Workshop B


Climate Change Impacts on Water,

Security and Resources, including Drought

FREEMAN

Flood Resilience

Enhancement

and Management

XEROCHORE

An Exercise to Assess

Research Needs and Policy

Choices in Areas of Drought

SCARCE

Assessing and Predicting

Effects on Water Quantity

and Quality in Iberian Rivers

Caused by Global Change

CLIMB

ClimateInducedChanges

on theHydrologyof

MediterraneanBasins

CLICO

Climate Change,

Hydro-conflicts and

Human Security

WASSERMed

Water availability and

security in Southern Europe

and the Mediterranean

CLIWASEC

CapHaz-Net

Social capacitybuidlingfor

naturalhazards:

Towardmore

resilientsocieties

RESPONSES

European Responses to

Climate Change

WASSERMed

Wate

rAvailability

and

Security

in S

outh

ern

Europe a

nd

the

Mediterranean

[Collaborative Project, 01/2010 –12/2012]

•WASSERMedfocuses on scientific knowledge about current

and future water availability in the Mediterranean;

•The project relies on RCMsfor realistic scenarios of CC,

including precipitations and extreme meteorological events;

–GCM and RCM models are combined, critically assessed, and

possibly updated

–output from climate models is processed by hydrological models,

predicting changes in available source and ground water stocks

•subsequent analysis of adaptation and policy response (in

specific case studies);

•In addition, WASSERMedconsiders macroeconomic and

sectoralimpacts on agriculture and tourism;

•Employing the concept of ‘virtual water (trade)’

CLICO

Clim

ate

Change, Hydro-Conflicts

& H

um

an

Security

[Collaborative Project, 01/2010 –12/2012]

•CLICO explores the socia

l dim

ensio

ns o

f CC, by looking

under what conditio

ns hydro-climatic hazards intensify socia

l te

nsio

ns and conflicts in area of study or provide a catalyst for

cooperation

•Focuses on w

ate

r-r

ela

ted events such as droughts, floods and

sea level rise (intensify) –investigated in 11 case studies

•W

hy some countries and communities are m

ore v

uln

erable

to droughts, floods and related conflict, and what types of

policie

s and institu

tions are necessary to ensure adaptation,

security and peace in the face of global and regional hydro-

climatic change

CLIMB

Clim

ate

Induced

Changes o

n the

Hydrolo

gy

ofMediterranean

Basin

s[Collaborative Project, 01/2010 –12/2013]

•CLIMB is aiming to employ and integrate in a new conceptual

framework:

•advanced geophysical field monitoring techniques

•remote sensing analyses and retrievals

•climate models auditing and downscaling

•integrated hydrologic modeling

•socioeconomic factor assessment

�to quantify (reduce?) uncertaintiesin CC impact analysis

•CLIMB will create

an integrated risk assessment tool for

�adaptive water resources management

�and best agricultural practice

under climate change conditions to reduce the risks

of conflict

The

CLIW

ASEC clu

ste

rClu

ste

rin

gW

ASSERMed

–CLICO –

CLIMB

to b

etterassessCC im

pact on w

ate

rand

security

[Cluster ofCooperativeProjects, 01/2010 –12/2014]

C CCC

LIM

BL

IMB

LIM

BL

IMB

F

P7-T

opic

: E

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9.1

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ing p

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Co

-ord

inato

r:

Ludw

ig-M

axim

ilians-U

niv

ers

ität M

ün

ch

en

(LM

U, G

erm

any)

Pa

rtne

rs:

19

LM

U (

DE

), A

GR

IS (

IT),

CA

U (

DE

),

CE

MA

GR

EF

(F

R),

CE

RT

E (

TN

), C

INF

AI

(IT

), C

RS

4 (

IT),

DL

R (

DE

), F

ZJ (

DE

), G

IT

(TR

), IN

RS

(C

A),

Joa

nne

um

(A

T),

U

A

(FR

), IU

G (

PS

), U

NIP

D (

IT),

UN

ITN

(IT

),

UZ

(E

G),

VIS

TA

(D

E),

BayF

OR

(D

E)

C CCC

LIC

OL

ICO

LIC

OL

ICO

F

P7-T

opic

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od

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Co

-ord

inato

r:

Au

tonom

ou

s U

niv

ers

ity

of B

arc

elo

na

(UA

B-I

CT

A, S

pain

)

Part

ners

: 1

4

UA

B-I

CT

A (

ES

), U

EA

(U

K),

EC

OLO

GIC

(D

E),

CS

CW

-PR

IO (

NO

), H

UJ (

IL),

SC

U

(EG

), E

TH

Z (

CH

), C

yI (C

Y),

UO

S (

UK

),

UN

U-E

HS

(D

E),

PH

G (

PS

), C

RE

AF

(E

S),

IP

SO

(B

E),

AA

U (

ET

)

W

AS

SE

RM

ed

WA

SS

ER

Me

dW

AS

SE

RM

ed

WA

SS

ER

Me

d

FP

7-T

opic

: E

NV

.2009.1

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Fun

din

g p

eriod

: 0

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010 –

12/2

012

Co-o

rdin

ato

r:

Cen

tro E

uro

-Med

iterr

aneo

per

i C

am

bia

-

m

enti C

limatici

(C

MC

C,

Italy

)

Part

ners

: 1

2

CM

CC

(IT

), U

NE

XE

(U

K),

CIH

EA

M-

IAM

B (

Int.

), C

LU

(IT

), N

TU

A (G

R),

UP

M

(ES

), N

CA

RE

(JO

), P

IK (

DE

), IR

D (

FR

),

EC

RI-

NW

RC

(E

G),

IN

AT

(T

N),

Criticalmassof

45 Partners

Research needs

�Thereissomeempiricalevidencethatriskcommunica-

tioncancontributeconsiderablyto socialcapacity

building, butmoresystematicevaluationisneeded.

�Little isknownas to whichcommunicationform is

appropriatein whichrisksituation.

�Moreresearchisneededon theinteractionsbetweenrisk

perception, riskcommunicationand socialcapacity

buildingin thefieldof naturalhazards.

CapHaz-N

et

Socia

l capacity

buid

ling

for n

atu

ral

hazards: Tow

ard

more resilie

ntsocie

ties

[Coordination Action, 06/2009 –05/2012]

Conclusionsforpractice

�one-waytransferof informationon hazardsto raiseknow-

ledge, awarenessand preparednessmustbeextended

�Theimplementationof two-wayand dialogic

communicationin riskmanagementpracticeto buildtrust

and supportmutuallearningremainsa challenge.

�Thereisa lack of publicdiscussionon regional risk

management, thedesiredsafetyleveland thesocial

capacitiesneededto face naturalhazards.CapHaz-N

et

Socia

l capacity

buid

ling

for n

atu

ral

hazards: Tow

ard

more resilie

ntsocie

ties


FREEMAN

Flo

od R

esilie

nce E

nhancem

ent and M

anagem

ent

A p

ilot proje

ct in

Fla

nders, Germ

any a

nd Ita

ly[CRUE ERA-NET, 09/09 –08/2011]

Objectives

�Assist in improving the resilience of communities in

flood prone areas.

�Provide indicators and drivers that can increase

the overall level of resilience.

�Provide guidance on the integration of flood resilience

into operational Flood Risk Management

�Provide practical policy recommendations to aid

the implementation of the EU Flood Risk Directive

Partners:

Perspectives

�Add resilience into Flood Risk Management:

�to shift from hazard to risk management

�to respond effectively to flood and deal with uncertainty

�to prevent and mitigate losses

�The concept of resilience needs to be made operational

�with research on resilience enhancement measures

�with populations enhancing their personal resilience

�with long term research on Vulnerability and Resilience

Partners:

FREEMAN

Flo

od R

esilie

nce E

nhancem

ent and M

anagem

ent

A p

ilot proje

ct in

Fla

nders, Germ

any a

nd Ita

ly[CRUE ERA-NET, 09/09 –08/2011]

XEROCHORE h

as synth

esized k

now

ledge o

n

past and futu

re d

roughts

and identified

research g

aps to support develo

pm

ent of

drought m

anagem

ent pla

ns (DMPs). It covered

the follow

ing d

rought field

s:

Guidance Documents

Natu

ral/

physical Syste

m: hydroclimatology; integrated

drought assessment framework (hydrology and

climate); drought monitoring (incl. early warning) and

forecasting.

Socio

-econom

ic a

nd e

nvironm

enta

l im

pacts

: methodologies for impact assessment; review wide

range of water demand-and supply management (WDM

and WSD) instruments and recent drought cases.

Drought m

anagem

ent and p

olicie

s: overview of

European and national policies and management efforts

addressing drought.

Processes for developing drought management plans

(DMPs) within WFD river basin management plans;

minimum required content of DMPs.

XEROCHORE

An E

xercise to A

ssess R

esearch N

eeds a

nd

Policy C

hoices in A

reas o

f Drought

[Support Action, 05/2008 –04/2010]

XEROCHORE h

as:

•provid

ed g

uid

ance a

nd e

sta

blished a

n o

n-

goin

g d

ialo

gue o

n d

rought issues a

mong

drought experts

, sta

kehold

ers a

nd p

olicy-

makers

•sig

nificantly e

xte

nded the n

etw

ork o

f drought experts

through the E

uropean

Drought Centre

•produced 5

Scie

nce P

olicy B

rie

fs o

n the lin

k

betw

een d

rought and the E

U W

ate

r

Fram

ew

ork D

irective, i.e.:

Science Policy Briefs

-characterisationof water bodies and of the analysis of

pressures and impacts

(Art.5)

-monitoringof surface water and groundwater status and of

protected areas (Art. 8 -relevant also for Art. 1)

-recovery of costs

for water services (Art.9)

-im

plementing a programme of measures(Art. 11,

including Annex VI part b)

-river basin m

anagement plans(Art.13)

XEROCHORE

An E

xercise to A

ssess R

esearch N

eeds a

nd

Policy C

hoices in A

reas o

f Drought

[Support Action, 05/2008 –04/2010]

Objectives

�Contribution to basic research objectives

to understand/solve problems associated

to water scarcity

�Obtaining of thematic maps indicating

location and consistency of observed

changes with climate and land use change

�Model for river functioning

�Identification and characterisation of policy

measures to adapt to Global Change

SCARCE

Assessing and Predicting Effects on Water Quantity

and Quality in Iberian Rivers Caused by Global Change

[Consolider-Ingenio, Spanish National Funding, 12/2009 –12/2014]

Perspectives

�Inte

grationof disciplines

(hydrology, geomorphology,

chemistry, ecology, ecotoxicology,

economy, engineering and modelling)

�Bridging

com

munication

gaps

betweenscientistsandwatermanagers

transforming results on management

options

�Fin

alize, implement, and eventually

refine the River Basin Management

Plans (RBMP)

www.idaea.csic.es/scarceconsolider

SCARCE

Assessing and Predicting Effects on Water Quantity

and Quality in Iberian Rivers Caused by Global Change

[Consolider-Ingenio, Spanish National Funding, 12/2009 –12/2014]

Objectives

�A set of global low emission scenarios, key countries

included (India, China, USA)

�Options and strategies for integrating mitigation and

resilience to climate impacts into EU policies

(mainstreaming)

�A validated strategic climate assessment approach

RESPONSES

European Responses to Climate Change


Perspectives

�policy analysis: Opportunities for mainstreaming

�Integrated analysis: mitigation and adaptation aspects

�Supporting decisions: evaluating options and strategies

(ecological, social / economic costs, benefits and trade-offs)

RESPONSES

European Responses to Climate Change


FREEMAN

Flood Resilience

Enhancement

and Management

XEROCHORE




SCARCE





CLIMB


on theHydrologyof

MediterraneanBasins

CLICO

Climate Change,

Hydro-conflicts and

Human Security

WASSERMed




CLIWASEC

CapHaz-Net


naturalhazards:

Towardmore

resilientsocieties

RESPONSES


Climate Change



and Resources, including Drought [re-visited]

FREEMAN

Flood Resilience

Enhancement

and Management

XEROCHORE




SCARCE





CLIMB


on theHydrologyof

MediterraneanBasins

CLICO

Climate Change,

Hydro-conflicts and

Human Security

WASSERMed




CLIWASEC

CapHaz-Net


naturalhazards:

Towardmore

resilientsocieties

RESPONSES


Climate Change

Addressing the opening questions to this event:

�identify research and investment needs

(e.g. Commission White Paper on Adaptation to Climate Change)

-increase the resilience to CC (as in CapHaz-Net, FREEMAN, RESPONSES)

-(by) improving the management of water resources (as in CLIWASEC,

SCARCE, XEROCHORE)

�integration, combining concepts, reduction/quantification/communication

of uncertainty, better understanding of mutual expectations

�promote the integration of key scientific findings into European

national policies and EU policy

�as a first step: create an information (and communication) platform

per Thematic Priority (e.g. extension of the CLIWASEC cluster)

�extend series of science-policy interfacing

�ensure smooth communications

on policy developments (?)




Policy

Science P

ublic




www.cliwasec.eu

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