The Vision for New Jersey as the Smartest Driving State by
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The Vision for New Jersey as the Smartest Driving State by Alain L. Kornhauser, Ph.D. Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous Vehicle Engineering) Princeton University Presented at ITS-NJ Technology Meeting Monmouth University, West Long Branch, NJ June 26, 2013
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The Vision for New Jersey as the Smartest Driving State by Alain L. Kornhauser, Ph.D. Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous Vehicle Engineering) Princeton University Presented at - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of The Vision for New Jersey as the Smartest Driving State by
The Vision for New Jerseyas the
Smartest Driving Stateby
Alain L. Kornhauser, Ph.D.Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering
Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous Vehicle Engineering)
Princeton University
Presented at
ITS-NJ Technology Meeting Monmouth University,West Long Branch, NJ
June 26, 2013
NJ: Excellent Roadway InfrastructureSince 1955:International reputation for R&D leading to widespread
use of “Jersey Barrier”Ranks 45th in traffic fatalities/VMT (higher is better)
1.0 per 108 VMT (2006, http://www.census.gov/statab/ranks/rank39.html) (best is Mass@ 0.8)
Ranks 37th “Worst Driver’s in US” by The Daily Beast
Infrastructure can’t do much about “careless/inattentive”
We Love the Freedom & MobilityBut…Continuous Vigilance is an unrealistic requirement for drivers
Txtng while driving is out of control…
TravelTainment Industry Wants Everyone’sAttention
In In 717 out of 723 accidents ((99%)
http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/NHTSA_Hendricks2001_UnsafeDrivingActs.pdf
“In 717 out of 723 crashes (99%), a driver behavioral error caused or contributed to the crash”
Early Estimate of Motor Vehicle Traffic Fatalities in 2012
Response is Laudable
Kirkland, WA
But… Not Likely to be Effective
What AboutSmart Driving Technology?
Preliminary Statement of Policy Concerning Automated Vehicles
Extending its vehicle safety standards from Crash Mitigation to Crash Avoidance with Aim at Full Self-Driving Automation
Level 0 – No-Automation. The driver is in complete and sole control of the primary vehicle controls (brake, steering, throttle, and motive power) at all times, and is solely responsible for monitoring the roadway and for safe operation of all vehicle controls. Vehicles that have certain driver support/convenience systems but do not have control authority over steering, braking, or throttle would still be considered “level 0” vehicles. Examples include systems that provide only warnings
• Level 1 – Function-specific Automation: Automation at this level involves one or more specific control functions; if multiple functions are automated, they operate independently from each other. The driver has overall control, and is solely responsible for safe operation, the driver. The vehicle’s automated system may assist or augment the driver in operating one of the primary controls – either steering or braking/throttle controls (but not both).
• Level 2 - Combined Function Automation: Automation of at least two primary control functions designed to work in unison to relieve the driver of control of those functions. Vehicles at this level of automation can utilize shared authority when the driver cedes active primary control in certain limited driving situations. The driver is still responsible for monitoring the roadway and safe operation and is expected to be available for control at all times and on short notice.
• Level 3 - Limited Self-Driving Automation: Vehicles at this level of automation enable the driver to cede full control of all safety-critical functions under certain traffic or environmental conditions.
• Level 4 - Full Self-Driving Automation: The vehicle is designed to perform all safety-critical driving functions and monitor roadway conditions for an .
Where Are We Now?R&D
“Level 3 Semi Self-Driving Automation”
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cdgQpa1pUUE
Has drive ~ 500,000 miles with “Level 3: Limited Self-Driving Automation”
But…Hardware too expensive and Reliance on 3D Google Maps is “non-elegant”
Where Are We Now?
“Level 4 Full Self-Driving Automation”Operational in Exclusive Environments
Now exist in essentially every Major Airport ( Inc. 2 at PANYNJ facilities)
APMAutomated People Movers
Milan
Beijing
Paris
and a growing number of Driverless Metros
Personal Rapid Transit: Morgantown (1975 - )
Remains a critical mobility system & expansion being plannedToday…
> 25M Driverless VMT Zero serious accidents
And Today…• Masdar & Heathrow are operational
Video
> 1M Driverless VMT Zero accidents
– Driverless Trucks in Australian & Chilean Mines
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s0RCSX95QmE
Where Are We Now?Operational Bus Transit
“Level 0+ No Automation, Driver Assistance ”
Bus 2.0: Initial Demonstration of Transit-based Driver Assistance (Level 0+ , no control, only warning)
Fleet of 10 Gillig low floor busesMorning and evening express services22 mile (one-way) travel distanceReliable travel times in all weather and traffic conditions
Bus 2.0: Transit-based Driver AssistanceHow Do They Do It?
It Just Works!
Where Are We Now?Available in ShowRooms for Consumers
“Level 2- Combined Automation wit Constant Vig1lance ”
Intelligent Drive (active steering )BAS-Plus Active Lane-Keeping Assist (braking not steering )
Volvo Truck Emergency braking
DOT HS 810 767 Pre-Crash Scenario Typology for Crash Avoidance Research
More on Google: Levandowski Presentation
NJ can Lead by
• Ensure that NJ Road Infrastructure Accommodates the new Smart Driving Technologies as well as traditional drivers
• Create an R&D environment for automakers to test and bring to market improved Smart Driving Technologies with “Smart Texting”.
• Allow the Insurance Industry to offer “discounts” that encourage the consumer adoption of Smart Driving Technologies
• Above can have NJ be 1st @ 0.5 per 108 VMT
Application of Smart Driving Technology
to New Jersey Buses?
• Fact: For over 40 years New Jersey has had the World’s Best “Bus Rapid Transit” System!
• It Consists of:• Efficient Boarding/Alighting @ Port Authority Bus Terminal
– 223 Departure Gates– Readily Accommodates 700 Buses/hr
The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System
• Fact: For over 40 years New Jersey has had the World’s Best “Bus Rapid Transit” System!
• It Consists of:• Efficient Boarding/Alighting @ PA Bus Terminal• Direct Access/Egress to Exclusive Lanes in the Lincoln
Tunnel• 3+ HOV Lanes on the NJ Turnpike that are, by default, essentially bus-only • Many Strategically Located Park&Ride Lots
The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System
• Pieces are Connected by:• “495-viaduct” Counter-flow Exclusive Bus Lane
(XBL)– Lane Segregation is by Removable Plastic Peg– Yet exceedingly Safe
» 3 (?) accidents in 41 years, no fatalities.
The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System
A Perfect Storm Opportunity• PABT in desperate need of “rehabilitation”• XBL at capacity • “Helix” due for “rehabilitation”• Desperately need: Increased late afternoon in-
bound capacity for busses• New bus procurement cycle begins in 2 years• Test facility available @ Ft. Monmouth
• add Smart Driving Technology to the 3,000 buses…
• even at an incremental $30,000/bus this is < $100M• Can be paid for by the halving of the halving of the $13m/yr self-
insurance for the 15 year bus life.
• Could achieve sustained 3.0 second headways– Increases practical throughput by 50%
• from 700 -> 1,000 buses/hr; 35,000 -> 50,000 pax/hr
– Increased passenger capacity comparable to what would have been provided by $10B ARC rail tunnel
• Institutionally manageable:– All Express Buses are acquired according to NJT Specs.– Facilities (XBL, LT, PABT) are controlled by PANY&NJDoT
• Ideal test facility available: – Ft. Monmouth
NJ Can Lead by:
• Concept Not New:
• Concept Makes Even More Sense Now!
Improving The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MZ3s_cdk_yE&feature=player_embedded
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0D0ZN2tPihQ&feature=player_embedded
http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Videos/VolvoPlatooningConcept.wmv
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ridS396W2BY&feature=player_detailpage
Assorted Videos of Self-Driving Carshttp://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Videos/1_FrozenLakeVID_onlySteeringWoIndividualWheelBraking.mp4
http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Videos/2_FrozenLakeVID_onlySteeringWoIndividualWheelBraking.mp4
http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Videos/3_FrozenLakeVID_onlySteeringWoIndividualWheelBraking.mp4
http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Videos/4_FrozenLakeVID_onlySteeringWoIndividualWheelBraking.mp4
