The use of ecosystem services for impact assessment and ... · 1. Bridge between IA use community...

11

Leibniz-Centre for Agrcultural Landscape Research (ZALF) e.V.

Solutions for Sustainaing Natural Capital and Ecosystem Services. Salzau, June 2010

The use of ecosystem services for impact assessment and policy support

Katharina Helming, Hannes König, Katharina Diehl, Hubert Wiggering

Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF)

21



How does an optional policy decisions affect social, environmentaland economic parameter of a region/landscape/country?

What are the implications for sustainable development?

ttoday t=x t=y

Planning Implementation effect

viewpoint

Implementation of Impact Assessment

Impact Assessment

31



Impact Impact AssessmentAssessment (IA)(IA)

Human Activity

Environment,Society, Economy

Land usechange

identification of the problemstructured analysis & assessment

ex anteinterdisziplinaryintegrated: interaction betweensocietal and ecological contexttool basedParticipatory and transparen

Interface between scientific and real life contextScience-policy interface

impacts

41



Formal IA Process

51



Impact assessment steps:

1. identifying the policy problem

2. defining the objectives

3. developing the main, polic options

4. analysing their impacts

5. comparing the options

6. outlining policy monitoring and evaluation

Research based toolsSIATFoPIA

Stakeholders in response to

critical issues

EC levelconsultations

(Tabbush 2008)

Formal IA ProcessEU Impact Assessment Guidelines

EC, 2009

61



FromFrom formal formal policypolicy IA to IA to scientificscientific analysisanalysis

Analytical steps

Problem analysis:What is the issue

Szenario design: Politicy scenario, spatio-temporal context

Impact AnalysisImpacts of land use change on social, environmental, economic issues – landscape context

Synthesis of resultsTransfer of research based context to real worldcontext (Multifunctionality, ESS; footprint…)

Assessment of resultsHow relevant are the simulated changes.

transdisziplinary

transdisziplinary

(inter)disziplinary

interdisziplinary

transdisziplinary

User

71



Examples

• Integrated Modelling approach – CAP reform scenarios in European regions (SENSOR)

• Test play of participatory approach: policy scoping at EC level(SENSOR)

• Participatory Approach – Land Use Conversion Scenarios in Gyuyan, China (Robert Bosch)

81



www.sensor-ip.orgEU FP6 IP2004-2009

Verburg, Sieber et al., 20

http://www.sensor-ip.org/

91



Scenario Example: Financial Reform of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP)

Kuhlman, Le Mouel, Jansson, 2009

Projection year 2025

101



Verburg & Bakker, 2009

Scenario Simulations CAP Financial Reform:

Land use changes in 2025

Change of areacovered by arableland (Example)

Plus 40 plus indicators for impactanalysis

111



Economy Society

SustainableLand Use

Environment

Economy Society

SustainableLand Use

Environment

IndicatorIndicator AggregationAggregation -- Land Land UseUse FunctionsFunctionsBiotic resources

Ecologcialprocesses

jobshousing

infrastructure Food/fibre scenery leisure

abiotic resources

Paracchini et al., 2010; Perez-Soba et al., 2008Schößer et al., 2010

121



For each NUTS2 region

Spidergram of land use functions

IndicatorAggregation

Perez-Soba et al, 2009

131



Example 2: European Commission Interservice discussion on policy scoping

Morris et al, 2009

141



Morris et al, 2009

151



Land degradation (soil erosion) 0

40

80

120

jan feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec

monthav

erag

e m

onth

ly ra

infa

ll [m

m]

40

80

120

160

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

year

popu

latio

n [1

0 x

4]

< 470mm mean rainfall

high populationpressure

Zhen L, Cao S, Wei Y, Dilly O, Liu X, Li F, Koenig H, Tscherning K, Helming K (2009) Comparison of sustainability issues in two sensitive areas of China. Environmental Science & Policy 12: 1153-1167. doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2009.03.002

Example 3: Guyuan – Western ChinaPolicy action: Slope Land Conversion Program



SLCP-p1 (>25°)

SLCP-p2(15°-25°)

no-policy(reference)

Converted land

Participatory scenario development

König, Wei et al, 2009



Social

Provision of work

Food security

Quality of life

Economic

Land-based

production

Non-land based

production

Infrastructure

Environmental

Provision of abiotic

resources

Provision of biotic

resources

Maintenance of

ecosystem processes

definition of regional land use functions (LUFs) to reflect land use

related sustainability issues:

1. Perceptions of local farmers (participatory rural appraisal)

2. Specification by regional experts (framework for participatory impact assessment)

Regional sustainability context



-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

Prov

isio

n of

wor

k

Qua

lity

of li

fe

Food

secu

rity

Non

-land

base

dac

tiviti

es

Land

-bas

edpr

oduc

tion

Infr

astr

uctu

re

Prov

isio

n of

abio

ticre

sour

ces

Prov

isio

n of

biot

icre

sour

ces

Mai

nten

ance

of e

cosy

stem

proc

esse

s

Social Economic Environmental

Impa

ct a

sses

smen

t sca

le [-

3/+3

]

no-policySLCP-p1SLCP-p2

Expert-based impact judgments: mean scoring results and scoring ranges

Impact assessment

König, Wei et al, 2009

191



Knowledge synthesis for policy support

Pregernig, 2008

201



Scientist

Anticipation (1-100)

Accepted

Policy-maker

Policy cycle (4-8)

Avoided

Business

Seasons (1-2)

Integrated

What does all this mean for land use decision support interface? Mind the gap!

The gap between offers and demands (tools & data)

Time/horizon

Risk/uncertainty

The gap between policies and actions:

Scientist

Cross-scale

Proactive

Policy-maker

Multi-level

Reactive

Business

Cost-Benefit

Incentive

Analysis

Response

Source: Winograd , 2006; Stanners, 2009

211



LIAISE – EU FP7 Network of Excellence

Linking Impact Assessment Instruments to Sustainability Expertise

Projektstart Nov. 2009; Laufzeit 54 Monate; Koordination Alterra/FFU

221



LIAISE objectives of the NoE:

1. Bridge between IA use community and IA research community

2. Consolidate IA research community and link between disciplines

3. Improve IA tools;4. Improve use of IA tools5. Maintain IA tool box front office6. Provide training and outreach for

IA research and use

www.liaise-noe.eu

231



The role of ESS for policy support and impact assessment

Aggregation

Transfer for scientific knowledge into real world context

Important for stakeholder participation

Basis for Multicriterial analysis

Allow for trade-offs

Preconditions

Make quantification sensitive to land use decisions

Use spatio-temporal setting sensitive to policy level

Aggregate to comprehensible level

Synthesis

Aggregation does not mean trivialisation!

The use of ecosystem services for impact assessment and ... · 1. Bridge between IA use community...

Documents

Transcript of The use of ecosystem services for impact assessment and ... · 1. Bridge between IA use community...