The Tampa Bay Catastrophic Plangtbacp.com/presentations/CatPlan_Presentation_to_ACP...The Tampa Bay...

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The Tampa Bay Catastrophic Plan Greater Tampa Bay Chapter of the Association of Contingency Planners Valpak Headquarters – St. Petersburg January 27, 2010 Brady Smith – Senior Planner Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council

Transcript of The Tampa Bay Catastrophic Plangtbacp.com/presentations/CatPlan_Presentation_to_ACP...The Tampa Bay...

Page 1: The Tampa Bay Catastrophic Plangtbacp.com/presentations/CatPlan_Presentation_to_ACP...The Tampa Bay Catastrophic Plan Greater Tampa Bay Chapter of the Association of Contingency Planners

The Tampa Bay Catastrophic PlanGreater Tampa Bay Chapter of theAssociation of Contingency PlannersValpak Headquarters – St. PetersburgJanuary 27, 2010

Brady Smith – Senior PlannerTampa Bay Regional Planning Council

Page 2: The Tampa Bay Catastrophic Plangtbacp.com/presentations/CatPlan_Presentation_to_ACP...The Tampa Bay Catastrophic Plan Greater Tampa Bay Chapter of the Association of Contingency Planners

Introduction• Recent disasters demonstrate the need for a

comprehensive plan that goes “above and beyond” typical disaster planning– Katrina

• Catastrophic Plan should be somewhat applicable to all disasters, not just hurricanes– Large-scale terrorism event, for example

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Catastrophe vs. Disaster• Generally, most organizations (government,

businesses, families) have (or should have) plans to address disaster events– Obviously not ideal, but disasters can be prepared for

and are somewhat manageable• Catastrophes destroy or overwhelm resources

over such a large area that some/most contingencies in disaster plans are no longer available options

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Catastrophe vs. Disaster• The core systems that keep our society running

often have to be rebuilt, not just repaired– Government, economy, education, communications,

healthcare, infrastructure, etc.• Migration of population leads to large-scale

changes in the demographic characteristics of a region– Who will make up the new post-catastrophe

workforce?

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Tampa Bay Catastrophic Plan• Follows work done on the South Florida

Catastrophic Plan• Tampa Bay plan is being coordinated /

developed by the Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council under contract with Florida Division of Emergency Management– Funding from U.S. DHS / FEMA

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Catastrophic Planning Summit

• January 5 & 6 in Tampa• Around 300 leaders

representing a wide range of fields/backgrounds that would play a role in recovery from a catastrophic event

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Catastrophic Planning Scenario

• Hurricane Phoenix• Simulated storm developed by the

Tampa Bay Area National Weather Service Forecast Office

• Represents “worst-case” hurricane scenario

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SCENARIO VIDEOhttp://www.tampabaycatplan.org/scenario.shtml

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Hurricane Phoenix

CAT 38 AM ThursdayOctober 16

Simulated National Hurricane Center Forecast – 5 days before landfall

Page 10: The Tampa Bay Catastrophic Plangtbacp.com/presentations/CatPlan_Presentation_to_ACP...The Tampa Bay Catastrophic Plan Greater Tampa Bay Chapter of the Association of Contingency Planners

Hurricane PhoenixCAT 32 AM ThursdayOctober 16

Simulated National Hurricane Center Forecast – 3 days before landfall

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Hurricane Phoenix

CAT 211 AM MondayOctober 13

CAT 38 PM WednesdayOctober 15

Simulated National Hurricane Center Forecast – 48 hours before landfall

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Hurricane Phoenix

CAT 45 AM WednesdayOctober 15

CAT 42 PM WednesdayOctober 15

Simulated National Hurricane Center Forecast – 6 hours before landfall

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Hurricane Phoenix Impacts

• Storm track and intensity input into SLOSH modelhttp://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/surge/slosh.shtml

• Determines storm surge potential– Up to ~25 feet of storm surge in parts of

Tampa Bay– All barrier islands completely overwashed

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Hurricane Phoenix Impacts• Storm track and intensity input into HAZUS

– FEMA Loss-Estimation Software– Determines population affected, structural

damage, and much more– See Scenario Information Guide and

Consequences Report for details about estimated storm damage

http://www.tampabaycatplan.org/scenario.shtml

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For More Information on the Tampa Bay Catastrophic Plan

www.tampabaycatplan.org