REPORT CARDStateof theRegion 1998 - 2005

EmploymentIncomeHousingMobilityAir QualityEducationPublic Safety

B-C+C-DCDB

A-C+C-DB-DB+

B+CC-DBDB+

BCD+DB-DB

B-C-D+D-CDB

BC-DD-C-DB

BCDFCDB

BCDFCDB

A – ExcellentB – Moderately Well

C – AverageD – Potential Failure

F – Failing

98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05

The Good News

20062000

SCAG Region PerformanceSCAG Region Performance

19901980

The Bad

News

Relative to other large metropolitan regions

Per Capita Income RankPer Capita Income Rank

1

34

25

7

10

9

8

11

12

1315

16

Was in 4th placein 1970,

7th in 1990

2005: US Bureau of Economic Analysis

12

Among Top 17 Metros

SCAG Region

San FranciscoWashingtonDC

New York

Philadelphia

Boston

Houston

Seattle

Denver

Minneapolis

Chicago

AtlantaDallas17

St. Louis 14

6 Detroit

Pittsburgh

Cleveland

Population growth has been slowing due to increased

domestic outmigration

Population growth has been slowing due to increased

domestic outmigration

Ventura Los Angeles

Orange

Imperial

Riverside

San Bernardino

However, the region has added

2 million people since 2000. Now

18.5 million.

31%

21%

18%

9%10%

9%

Sources of GrowthSources of Growth2000-2006

Natural Increase

55%

Foreign Immigration

44%

DomesticMigration

1%

Shift in Ethnic CompositionShift in Ethnic Composition

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

1960 1980 2000

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. Data in 1960 was estimated by James Allen and Eugene Turner. 2002. Changing Faces, Changing Places.

Notes: (1) "Asian Alone" also includes Pacific Islander. (2) "Other Race Alone" is too small to be shown (at 0.2 percent in 2000).(3) Only the 2000 Census included the "Two or More Races" category to which people may choose to belong.

Non-Hispanic White

2006

Hispanic

Asian Alone(1)

American Indian Alone

Other Race Alone(2)Two or More Races(3)African American Alone

10%

44%

82%

34%

Shift in Age CompositionShift in Age Composition

Growth 15-34 Growth in 55+

Between 2000 and 2006, the high school dropout rate rose

from 12% to 15%

Only 36% of graduates

qualify for entry to UC or Cal

State

Only 36% of graduates

qualify for entry to UC or Cal

State

D+2002

EDUCATIONEDUCATIONDD DD DD DD DD DD DD DD

However, a violent crime rate that

was 40% higher than the national average in 2000, is now only 10%

higher. The juvenile crime

rate increased slightly in recent

years.

D+2002

PUBLIC SAFETYPUBLIC SAFETYBB B+B+ B+B+ BB BB BB BB BB

Progress Made in 2006Progress Made in 2006

UnemploymentRate

4.6%The lowest since 1980156,000 new jobs

Real PerCapita Income

1.3% increase to $36,614(Only 1.5% since 2000)

Median HHIncome

2.6% increase to $55,678(Still 4% below 1999 level)

D+2002

EMPLOYMENTEMPLOYMENTB-B- A-A- B+B+ BB B-B- BB BB BB

D+2002

INCOMEINCOMEC+C+ C+C+ CC CC C-C- C-C- CC CC

Average Payroll Per JobAverage Payroll Per Job

Detroit

6

Chicago

5

Boston

4

New York

San Francisco

Washington DC

3

2

1

Dallas

8

Philadelphia

7

SCAGSCAG9

Persons in PovertyPersons in Poverty2006

Philadelphia

6

Chicago

5

New York

4

Dallas

3

Detroit

2

SCAGSCAG1

Boston

8

San Francisco

7

Washington DC

9

HomeownershipHomeownership2006

Dallas

6

Boston

5

Washington DC

4

Chicago

3

Philadelphia

2

Detroit

1

SCAGSCAG8

San Francisco

7

New York

9

Housing Cost BurdenHousing Cost Burden

Detroit

6

Boston

5

Chicago

4

New York

3

San Francisco

2

SCAGSCAG1

Washington DC

8

Philadelphia

7

Dallas

9

Median Home Price Median Home Price (Existing Single- Family Homes in Current Dollars)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

'90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06

(Tho

usan

d D

olla

rs)

OrangeVentura

LosAngeles

Riverside/San Bernardino

Source: California Association of Realtors and DataQuick Information Systems

Imperial

Housing AffordabilityHousing Affordability

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

2003 2004 2005 2006

(Per

cent

)

Source: California Association of Realtors

U.S.

San BernardinoRiverside

Ventura

Los AngelesOrange

Percent of for First-time BuyersWho Can Afford to Purchase a

Home at 85% of the Median Price

Imperial

0200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,6001,800

Los Angeles Orange Riverside San Bernardino Ventura

(2001 – 2006 Current Dollars)

Source: Real Estate Research Council of Southern CaliforniaImperial County data not available

Average Monthly Rent Average Monthly Rent

HOUSINGHOUSINGC-C- C-C- C-C- D+D+ D+D+ DD DD DD

Average gasoline

price rose to $2.80

The highest since 1970

Decline in Vehicle Miles Traveled per Household

Highest Transit

BoardingsSince 2000

D+2002

MOBILITYMOBILITYDD DD DD DD D-D- D-D- FF FF

14% VMT Growth

14% VMT Growth

2000-2006

We Have An Air Quality

Crisis

We Have A Health Crisis

Ventura

Los Angeles

Orange

Imperial

Riverside

San BernardinoSouth

Coast Air Basin

FederalNon-AttainmentArea for PM 2.5

Residents of the South Coast Air Basin

are exposed to 52% of the national exposure of PM2.5

above the federal health based standards

5,400 Premature Deaths Annually140,000 Children Have Asthma

980,000 Lost Work Days

Burning of fossil fuels for mobile sources is responsible for 85% of total NOx emissions

D+2002

AIR QUALITYAIR QUALITYCC B-B- BB B-B- CC C-C- CC CC

Continued Reliance on Fossil FuelsContinued Reliance on Fossil Fuels

86% of total energy consumption

M:\Chang\SOR 2007 Charts\Charts\Environment\Sourc

es of Energy xls;Chart1

In State

Domestic Import

Foreign Import

In State

Domestic Import

Foreign Import

In State

Domestic Import

Foreign Import

California’s Energy SourcesCalifornia’s Energy Sources

78%

22%

0%

Source: California Energy Commission

Pacific Northwest

US Southwest

Rockies

SouthwestAlaska

Electricity Natural Gas Petroleum

15%

62%

23%

37%

21%

42%

Electricity Generation by SourceElectricity Generation by Source

40%

Natural Gas

21%

Coal

15%

Nuclear

14%

Renewable

10%

Hydro

California is 16th largest source of climate change emissions in the world

The Path ForwardThe Path Forward

Maximize mobility and accessibility for all people and goods in the region

Ensure travel safety and reliability

Preserve and ensure a sustainable regional transportation system

Maximize productivity of the system

Protect the environment, improve air quality and promote energy efficiency

Encourage land use and growth patterns that complement our transportation investments

Increase housing units relative to population and jobs

Increase transit oriented development

Reduce vehicle miles traveled per household by 10%

Reduce fossil fuel consumption by 25% from 1990 levels by 2020

Increase the share of renewable energy generation to 20% by 2010 and 30% by 2020

Increase green/sustainable building practices

The State of the Region

2007

The State of the Region

2007

www.scag.ca.gov

Full Report and PlansFull Report and Plans