The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
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The South Africa I know, the Home I understand United Nations Regional Seminar Promotion and Utilization of Census Results 24 March 2014 Dr Arulsivanathan Naidoo South Africa
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United Nations Regional Seminar Promotion and Utilization of Census Results 24 March 2014. Dr Arulsivanathan Naidoo South Africa. The South Africa I know, the Home I understand. National Approaches for encouraging utilization of census data. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
United Nations Regional Seminar
Promotion and Utilization of Census Results
24 March 2014
Dr Arulsivanathan NaidooSouth Africa
National Approaches for encouraging utilization of census data
• Approaches taken to communicate the value of the Census results to the non traditional users
• Strategies for the utilization by local municipalities
• Promotion of Census at schools• Role of Statistical literacy• Utilization by the general public
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Role of Statistics South Africa• Change of Vision and Mission
• CRUISE ( Centre of Rural and Urban Innovation and Statistical Exploration)
• Shape files– Province , Districts/Municipalities, Main Places, Sub Places
• Data for each polygon– Attribute tables from Supercross
– Key Account Management– Staff movement and new computers
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Texture
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Utilization by the general public
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
• Segmentation of our Stakeholders• In 1996 Census we were selling the census results
for $100 000 for one CD• In Census 2001 the data was free but mostly in our
storerooms.• For Census 2011 we are taking the data to the
people – FREE.• Looking at ways to make more non users become
users
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Promotion of Census at schools
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
• Promoting Census @ Schools• Loading Census Data for teaching GIS
– 24 Marks in this year’s matric is on GIS
• Maths for Stats program in schools• Soccer for Stats program in Schools
Role of Statistical literacy
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
• New vision and mission– Marketing Division
• Selling data – Free data
• Free Training• Supercross• GIS (ArcMap)• SAS (Analysis software, EXCEL)
• Free Analysis• Marketing, NSSD, Provincial SSI
• Employing 30 interns with honours in Statistics
Census results to the non traditional users
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
• How do we make non users to become users• Embassies in South Africa• Political Parties• Sporting Bodies• Thusong Centres ( Community Centres)• Ipads – Rombi• Cell Phones – Mobi
Utilization by local municipalities
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
• Use of Census data in IDP’s• Training on Spatial Statistics• Bringing together the Municipal GIS team and
the analysis team• Spatial Statistics
• Clustering, Autocorrelation, hot spot analysis, Geographically weighted regression
Stakeholders Matrix
• Miners 10% sample unit records from Census
• Drillers Supercross data (create tables)• Harvesters Harmonized data (1996, 2001)• Prospectors Printed products, website• Tourists one figure,• Non Users people not using our data
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Looking for a partner Supercross
• Male• Zulu speaking• Age 22-25 years• Degree• Salary > R300 000• Never married
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
segmentation
Miners Drillers Harvesters prospectors Tourists
National Government
Universities
Business
Municipalities
NGO's
Researcher Institutions
Public
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Miners Drillers Harvesters prospectors Tourists
National Government
Universities
Business
Municipalities
NGO's
Researcher Institutions
Public
Gauteng Miners Drillers Harvesters prospectors Tourists
National Government
Universities
Business
Municipalities
NGO's
Researcher Institutions
Public
CRM
• Customer relationship management database– Capture stakeholder information daily– Segment by geographical area– Segment by type of user
• Release 10% Census. Who to contact and the area
– Segment by release (event)• Invitation to releases, events, etc
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Harmonised data
• Harmonized Census data at ward levels for the years 1996 and 2001 to match 2011 boundaries.
• Measure service delivery per ward.– Silvertown in 1996 had 98% bucket toilets– In 2011 the figure dropped to 96%
• Information given to political parties
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Town Email address Telephone NumberMALMESBURY [email protected] (022) 4874598MALMESBURY [email protected] (022) 4821469Piketberg 022 913 1770MOORREESBURG [email protected] 022 433 2253
MOORREESBURG [email protected] 022 433 2253
Porterville 022 931 2211Vredenburg [email protected] (022) 7131151
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Spatial Statistics
• Show data spatially.• Clustering of data.• Hot spot analysis.• Anselin Outlier analysis.• Ordinary least squares Regression• Geographically weighted Regression
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
High Schools in Cape Town
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Sri Lanka Anselin Outlier Analysis
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Hot Spot Analysis
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Anselin Outlier Analysis
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Variable Estimate t-statistic p-value VIF
Intercept 58.92 20.48 <0.0001 ***
Computer 0.09 2.07 0.041 *** 4.96
Employed 0.13 2.31 0.020 *** 1.82
Telephone 0.12 2.88 0.004 *** 4.89
Pass =58.92 +0.13 Employment +0.12 Telephone +0.09 Computer
Regression Model
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Simpsons Paradox
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Non Stationary Process
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Geographically Weighted Regression
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Partnership
• Stats SA Marketing• Census 1996 data sold for R600 000• Census 2011 data is free
• Change in focus of Marketing division.• Evidence based decision making
• Load data to all in municipality• Community ( IDP ward council)
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Census Data for IDP’s
• Email to IDP managers• Many responded positively• Some supercross not working• Few never heard of supercross
• Key account management• Staff leave• Computers are replaced• Continuous engagement with stakeholders.
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Link Census with other Information
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
• Release the causes of death.– Show the socio economic conditions– Intestinal diseases higher where no flush toilets
Small Area Estimation
• 10 years between Censuses• Census 2001 data used for over 10 years
• Equitable share formula• Planning• Budgeting
• Stats SA performs Mid year estimates• Provincial and National level• District and Local municipality level• Wards level
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Isibalo Workshops• User group workshops
• Where users and come and present how they are using our data for evidence based decision making.
• Presentations to benefit other users• 2013 we held 8 provincial and 1 National workshop
– 200 presentations from users– >1000 delegates that attended
• Awards Evening• Fortunate index • Politician Ward Councillor • Monitoring and Evaluation
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
Creating a Database of Africa Census data
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
• Proposed project funded by AFDB• Merge some variables from all countries
– Age, Gender
• Many countries have common questions in 2010 round of census
• Possible recommendations for 2020 round
Thank youDr. Arulsivanathan Naidoo
[email protected] 880 1684
Special Census [email protected]
The South Africa I know, the Home I understand
