The role of Obsolescence Management in reducing the threat of Counterfeits

Stuart Kelly

Anti Counterfeiting Forum 19th February 2015

Me! Ex Obsolescence Management Subject Matter Expert for

the Ministry of Defence Ensuring proactive OM implemented as part of the Defence

acquisition process Advice & Guidance to >200 projects

Currently Obsolescence Management Specialist MD Through Life Support Limited OM Advice, Guidance & Training to multiple sectors

Visiting Fellow at Cranfield University

Chairman of Component Obsolescence Group - IIOM

IIOM Mission:

• Advance the science and practice of Obsolescence Management

• Promote and recognise high standards of practice and professional competence

• Open opportunities for development and career paths for practitioners of Obsolescence Management

• Generate widespread awareness and understanding of the discipline.

Training for Obsolescence Managers

Obsolescence Management

Is there a role to play for Obsolescence Management to reduce Counterfeits?

Counterfeit Avoidance has been a prominent topic at Obsolescence Management meetings & conferences for the past several years.

Obsolescence Management

Major equipment now has an increasingly long service life

Defence, Oil and Gas, Nuclear, Rail, …..

Over their life in service, a substantial number of components required to produce and support such systems will become no longer available from the Original Component Manufacturers

Obsolescence Management

What is the purpose of Obsolescence Management?

To understand the obsolescence risk to a component What is the likelihood of a component becoming

unavailable from original manufacturer?

Mitigate obsolescence risk by ensuring: Continuation of supply of original component Approved resolution options are available

Understanding Obsolescence Risk Probability & Impact

Probability of becoming obsolete and turning into an obsolescence issue.

Operational impact of the obsolescence issue on the system’s function and performance. It represents the potential loss of a systems availability or capability

Obsolescence Management

Existing Stock Reclamation Alternate Equivalent(Substitute)

Aftermarket Emulation Minor Redesign Major Redesign

£

Source – IHS iSupply (COG Conference 2011)

Obsolescence Management

Obso-lete 60%

Active40%

OBSOLESCENCE STATUS OF COUNTERFEIT COMPONENTS

Obsolescence Risk

Obsolescence Risk

Low Risk

* Already established that there will be an easy cost effective implementable solution when obsolescence strikes

* Get this wrong – open to counterfeits

Obsolescence Risk High Risk

* These are the parts that will be critical to a system and should be continually monitored using a pro-active OM strategy* complex functions such as processors, memories,

programmable logic, A to D converters etc

* Counterfeiters will target high risk items that are:* Declared Obsolete* Hard to Find* No approved sources

Probability

How?

Component Monitoring Using tools

Will propose alternatives

Supplier Monitoring Continual engagement with Supplier

Design Refresh Planning

Obsolescence Management

A poor OM programme can:

increase the use of the open market or other independent supply chains

Cause an increased risk of counterfeits from widening their supplier bases

Force electronic parts to be purchased from suppliers other than the original component manufacturer (OCM) or its authorized dealers

Obsolescence Management

A good, robust OM programme can reduce risk of counterfeits:

Reacting quickly to EOL’s, PDN, PCN’s to ensure continued source of supply by LTB’s Continuing production by original

manufacturer Engaging with an approved aftermarket

supplier

Obsolescence Risk For High Risk components – those that are most likely to be subject to

Counterfeit

A good Obsolescence Manager should

Understand the Risk

Mitigate the Risk Detailed Risk Analysis Design Considerations Technology Transparency Modular Design Design Refresh Planning Obsolescence Monitoring Authorised Alternative / Substitute Risk Mitigation Buy Die Banking Authorised Continuing Manufacturer

Summary

Counterfeits are a growing concern

A good OM plan can reduce the risk of searching the non-approved routes

OM itself is only one part of the solution Anti counterfeiting standards

AS5553A, AS6081, Def Stan 05-135

Obsolescence Management

Obso-lete 60%

Active40%

OBSOLESCENCE STATUS OF COUNTERFEIT COMPONENTS

Obsolescence Risk Understood and

Mitigated

Summary

We might not be able to stop them becoming obsolete, but we can reduce the impact they have on our systems

IIOM Conference

InauguralIIOM Conference

16th to 18th June 2015

Technical programme

• Workshops

• Two day Conference Agenda

IIOM Conference

Visit COG web site for link to IIOM Conference site:

Social and Technical Programme Sponsorship Details Exhibitor Registration Register as a Delegate

www.cog.org.uk

End