The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

56
Marshall Van Alstyne Boston University & MIT [email protected] [email protected] © 2013 Parker, Van Alstyne & Choudary Rise of the Platform & What It Means for Business

description

Why do business platforms beat products every time? This is my keynote at EMERCE eDay. We cover changes in global brands, how feedback effects work, how innovation is different, and examples of coming platforms.

Transcript of The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Page 1: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Marshall Van Alstyne

Boston University & [email protected]

[email protected]

© 2013 Parker, Van Alstyne & Choudary

Rise of the Platform& What It Means for

Business

Page 2: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

InterBrand: 2013 Best Global Brands

Page 3: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

These are Platforms

Page 4: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

3 of top 5 firms in 2013 by market cap.

Platform firms becoming moreImportant in economy

Firm Market Cap

Apple 438

Exxon Mobile 380

Google 291

Microsoft 282

Berkshire Hathaway 281

Page 5: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

% of top 20 firms by market cap since 2001

Platform firms becoming moreImportant in economy

Percentage of Platform Firms weighted byMKT CAP (2001-2013)

35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

MK

T C

AP

Weig

hte

d P

latf

orm

Fir

ms

Page 6: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

The Product Business Model is Broken

Page 7: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

The Product Business Model is Broken

Page 8: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

1980-2000 Microsoft platform beats Apple product

Apple launched the PC revolution but Microsoft licensed widely, built a huge developer ecosystem, 6X larger.

Page 9: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Apple Feb 5, 1996

Michael Dell “I’d shut it down and give the money back to the shareholders.”

Page 10: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

InterBrand: 2013 Best Global Brands

Page 11: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Nike builds a biz platform

Page 12: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business
Page 13: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

The system must provide a useful function or service

and allow 3rd party access.

Examples:

iTunes: get music onto iPod

SAP: execute ERP systems

Facebook: connect family, friends & acquaintances

Cisco Smart Grids: capture AC/DC sources, route power

Nike Fuel: motion capture and social benchmarking

Products have features, Platforms have

communities

To be a platform

Page 14: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

How are these related?

Each Side Attracts More of the Other

eBay BuyersExpedia TravelersXbox GamersAmex CardHoldersAga Khan PatientsYouTube ViewersAirBnb RentersElectric Car DriversMechanical Turk JobsLinkedIn EmployeesAndroid Users

eBay SellersExpedia

Airlines/HotelsXbox Developers

American Express Merchants

Aga Khan DoctorsYouTube

VideographersAirBnb Rooms

Electric Car Charge Stations

Mechanical Turk Laborers

LinkedIn EmployersAndroid Developers

Page 15: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

More Amex Merchants… get more Amex Users…

More Amex Users… get more Amex Merchants…

Page 16: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

More Android Developers… get more Android Users…

More Android Users… get more Android Developers…

Page 17: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Why platforms beat products every time

Page 18: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

(1) Product First Thinking(2) Standard linear value

chain

(3) User bought music retail (or P2P)(4) Minimal network effects

Apple iPod pre-Platform

Apple iPod

$ $

RetailerMusic

ProducerListener

$

Page 19: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Apple iPod combined with iTunes

Apple iPod

$ $

RetailerMusic

ProducerListener

$

Page 20: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Apple iPod post-Platform

(1)Remove supply chain inefficiency

(2)Triangular platform supply network

(3) Apple owns financial chokepoint

(4) Apple helps users find content

(5) Stronger network effects

Apple

User Content

$$

Page 21: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Lumia

Usr Dvpr

PSP

Usr Gam

MP3

User Music

Video

TV

Games

Dvpr

Web

HTML

eBooks

Publi

Calls

User

Zune

Usr Mus

MicrosoftSonyNokia

Apple has vastly stronger network effects.Sony could have done this. It has many great standalone products.Google is not making this mistake with Android

How Apple is killing standalone platforms

Page 22: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Lumia

Usr Dvpr

PSP

Usr Gam

MP3

User Music

Video

TV

Games

Dvpr

Web

HTML

eBooks

Publi

Calls

User

Zune

Usr Mus

MicrosoftSonyNokia

Apple has vastly stronger network effects.Sony could have done this. It has many great standalone products.Google is not making this mistake with Android

2007 Today

$30/share

$6/share

2007 Today

$53/share

$20/share

How Apple is killing standalone platforms

Page 23: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Message for you: A great standalone product might not be sufficient.

How Apple is killing standalone platforms

PolycomSpeakerphone

R1P1 U1 R1P1 U1

CiscoFlip Camera

R1P1 U1

HPCalculator

MP3

User Music

Video

TV

Games

Dvpr

Web

HTML

eBooks

Publi

Calls

User

Page 24: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Message for you: A great standalone product might not be sufficient.

How Apple is killing standalone platforms

Photo

Usr Upld

Flickr

Blkbry

Usr Dvpr

RIM

GPS

Usr Upld

TomTom

MP3

User Music

Video

TV

Games

Dvpr

Web

HTML

eBooks

Publi

Calls

User

Page 25: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Why Apple isn’t killing Kindle: Amazon Ecosystem

© 2012 Zimedia

Page 26: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

MP3

User Music

Video

TV

Games

Dvpr

Web

HTML

eBooks

Publi

Calls

User

You can’t make calls … unless you load Skype.

Why Apple isn’t killing Kindle

Page 27: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Monetizing platforms means free pricing is

profitable

Prices Change :: Tweet #1

Page 28: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

To price a platform with network effects, who gets the subsidy?

Page 29: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

There are 2 types of Free

1)Cellphones & Minutes, Razors & Blades

2)Amazon also uses 2-sided platform pricing. Will do it more often than authors or publishers.

Platform

ReadersWriters

Page 30: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Platforms unlock new value from spare resources and user

generated content

Supply Chains Change :: Tweet #2

Page 31: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

AirBnb sells users’ spare rooms,

competing with hotels that must own them

RelayRides sells users’ spare cars, competing with rental firms that

must own them

Page 32: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Instagram sold for $1B not because of contributions from

13 employees but from 30 million users

Page 33: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business
Page 34: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Employees must see across the platform, which must support a

shared data layer

Internal Organization Changes :: Tweet #3

Page 35: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Sony was a virtual Galapagos of holding companies

Page 36: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business
Page 37: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

1. All teams will expose their data…2. Teams must communicate through

interfaces.3. … no other form of interprocess

communication allowed4. Interfaces, without exception, must be

externalizable.5. Anyone who doesn’t do this will be

fired.

Bezos Platform Mandate

Page 38: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Platforms open themselves to third party contribution

Innovation Changes :: Tweet #4

Page 39: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

“A platform is a system that can be … adapted to countless needs and niches that the platform’s original developers could not possibly have contemplated…”

Mark Andreeson: Venture Capitalist, Netscape Founder, Board HP, eBay

Page 40: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Hay Carrier

RacecarFlour Mill

Ford Model T

It’s working when users do something you didn’t

expect

Page 41: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Snowmobile

Sawmill Goat Carrier

Mobile Church

It’s working when users do something you didn’t

expect

Page 42: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

− Open to “.com”

Open to developers −

The Rise & Ignominius Fall of MySpace – Business Week 2011

Does Openness Work?

Page 43: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

The Rise & Ignominius Fall of MySpace – Business Week 2011

Does Openness Work?

‘‘We tried to create every feature in the world and said, ‘O.K., we can do it, why should we let a third party do it?’ ‘’ says (MySpace cofounder) DeWolfe.

‘’We should have picked 5 to 10 key features that we totally focused on and let other people innovate on everything else.’’

Page 44: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Most firms can only concentrate on most

valuable apps

Profits increase when others add to

platform’s “Long Tail

You don’t need to own this

Platforms get enormous valueFrom 3rd party developers

Page 45: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

- Consider product innovation alone

- Harnessing 3rd party resources, innovation occurs at a higher combined rate.

- Even if a platform starts behind, its value will overtake the product leader.Time

Valu

e A

dded

Why Platforms Beat Products

Page 46: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Platforms will displace gatekeepers with meritocratic

crowds

Industry Changes :: Tweet #5

Page 47: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business
Page 48: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Advice from travelers

replaces that of travel agents

Video production and curation

moves to viewers from TV station

staff

Page 49: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

What’s next?

Page 50: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

City as Platform

Page 51: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Energy/Smart Grid as Platform

Page 52: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Education as Platform

Page 53: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

Healthcare as Platform

Page 54: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

If you believe in the power of people connecting, embrace the

platform.

If you convert your product/service to platform, what

would it do?

Page 55: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

and Choudary

Page 56: The Rise of Platforms - And What It Means for Business

CREDITSPhotos:

Energy/Smart Grid as Platform -Source: Wikipedia Solar Energy

Education as Platform - © 2012 Tomi Um, MIT Technology Review

Healthcare as Platform -© Aleksandar Stojanovic

Presentation Design:

Sanja [email protected]

Es Dzihttp://darkleaf.webnode.com