The Real Deals (20-12-2012)

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    1/9SEE APPENDIX I FOR IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS

    THEREALDEALSIns&OutsofSingaporeRealEstateSingapore

    Co. Reg No: 198700034EMICA (P) : 099/03/2012

    20 December 2012

    Look i ng To 2013Project launches next year. Excluding en-bloced and Executive Condominium sites, around 21 already-sold sites are expectedto be launched next year. We examine the remainder of the Government Land Sales (GLS) sites that have been sold andcompare them to launches and secondary market transactions nearby. We will be focusing on the Farrer and Tanah Merah areas;Farrer sites were one of the highest-priced GLS sites, while Tanah Merah is seeing an explosive incoming supply.

    Interest in Farrer could be revived. Evidently, sites on Farrer have had slower take-up rates relative to mass-market projects.Under changes announced by SLA recently, the project completion period for residential en-bloc sites will now start from date ofthe collective sale order, instead of the date of the issue of a Qualifying Certificate. This may prompt developers to en-bloc largersites, such as the en-bloc attempt for Tulip Gardens in 2007. Among the new sites, two sites that were hot favourites for smalldevelopers and funds and achieved the highest GLS prices, indicating there is still an innate price premium for the Farrer area.

    Explosive supply in Tanah Merah vicinity. Previously, supply in Tanah Merah was limited and coming solely from the

    secondary market. But it was clear that interest in future sites in the area was bound to spike when Optima@ Tanah Merahreceived an overwhelming take-up rate of over 98% within two months in mid-2009. YTD, GLS has released 1,863 units in theTanah Merah vicinity. The recent top bid for New Upper Changi Road (Parcel A) was from Keppel Land at a land cost ofSGD434.6m or SGD791.4psf, a 17.1% premium to the price at which Urban Vistas land was sold in August. Keppels site wasalso sold at 48% above the price that Far East, Fraser Centrepoint and Seikui House jointly paid for their Eco site. A reserve sitejust beside the Eco project will be launched in February 2013 and comprise approximately 600 units. In addition, a commercialsite has been slated between Urban Vista and Optima @ Tanah Merah, which will be a hot seller as it is directly next to the TanahMerah MRT station. However, the commercial sites date of availability is still indefinite.

    Figure 1: Year-to-date GLS sites sold yet to launch (ex-EC)

    Awarddate Type Location

    Tender price $psf Units Developer

    Projectname

    Jan Res Jalan Lempeng 408 554.4 685 IOI Corp TrilinqJan Res Mount Vernon Road 388.1 495 785 CDL/ Hong LeongFeb Res Jervois Road 118.9 880.7 140 SingLand Mon Jervois

    Mar Res Hillview Avenue 243.2 638 370 Kingsford DevelopmentKingsfordHillview Peak

    Mar ResTampines Avenue 10/ TampinesAvenue 1 252.8 417.9 600

    Lakeside, FCL Topaz & SekisuiHouse

    Apr Res Elias Road/ Pasir Ris Drive 3 165.9 471.3 345 Elitist DevelopmentMay Res Boon Lay Way (Jurong Gateway) 369.8 705.9 590 MCL LandJun Res Pasir Ris Drive 3/ Pasir Ris Drive 10 210.1 416.5 495 Capital Development Pte. Ltd.Jun Res Buangkok Drive/ Sengkang Central 301 508.2 580 White Haven Properties Pte. Ltd.Jun Res Sengkang Square / Compassvale Drive 383.3 527.6 710 El Development La FiestaJun Res Farrer Drive 113.2 1,048.5 100 SinglandJun Res Pheng Geck Avenue (Parcel B) 114.8 628 200 Santarli Corp

    Aug ResTanah Merah Kechil Road/ TanahMerah Kechil Link 285.2 676 415 Fragrance Group & World Class Urban Vista

    Aug Res Bright Hill Drive 291.5 719.8 405 UVD (JV with Sing Land & UOL)Aug Res Farrer Road 45.8 1,107.6 54 Far East SohoSep Res Tai Thong Crescent (Parcel C) 245 793 293 Verwood Holdings and Intrepid Inv

    Sept Res Dairy Farm 244.1 615.5 First Shine PropertiesSept Res Prince Charles Crescent 516.3 960.3 Wingstar inv Metro Aus, MaxdinOCt Res New Upper Chang Road (Parcel A) 434.6 791.4 700 Keppel landNov Res Bishan Street 14 505 852.8 Capitaland

    Source: Company data, URA

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    Farrer could be heating up. Two plots along Farrer were sold this year via the Reserve List. Situated along the bustling FarrerRoad, the Farrer Road site attracted the most bidders a total of 15 bids, with Far East beating Soon Hock Tuas Development by

    a narrow 3.3%. The site achieved the highest psf in GLS this year, an ASP of SGD1,108psf. The site area is 2,741.5sqm, andcould house approximately 54 units. The Farrer Drive site, nestled between Sommerville Grandeur and Sommerville Park,received a total of six bids and won by SingLand. It was 5.6% cheaper than the Farrer Road site sold just two months later.

    Potential value? While take-up of CapitaLands DLeedons was slow, Leedon Residences was recently launched, renewingoptimism in the area. It has achieved a take-up rate of 25.7% since its launch in Oct 2012, and an ASP of SGD1,985psf. Currentresale transactions of newer projects around Farrer, such as The Levelz and Waterfall Gardens, are achieving ASPs ofSGD1,538psf YTD, approximately 29% cheaper than Leedon Residences and 4% cheaper than DLeedon.

    Figure 2: Farrer sites description

    Farrer Drive site Farrer Road site

    Maximum GFA (sq ft) 107,962.9 41,324Tenure 99 years 99 yearsNo. of units 100 54

    Land cost (SGD m)/ psf (SGD) 113.2/ 1,048.5 45.8/ 1,108No. of bids offered 6 15Difference to 2

    ndhighest bid (%) 10.1% 3.3%

    Source: Company data

    Figure 3: 2012 year-to-date average selling prices along Farrer

    Project Tenure Completion New Sale ($ psf) Resale ($ psf) Sub Sale ($ psf) Avg. ($ psf)

    D'Leedon 99 Yr fm 2010 Uncompleted 1,567 0 1,640 1,567

    Leedon Residence Freehold Uncompleted 1,985 0 0 1,985

    The Levelz Freehold 2004 0 1,473 0 1,473

    Waterfall Gardens Freehold 2010 0 1,605 1,599 1,603

    Source: Company data

    Figure 4: Farrer Drive site Figure 5: Farrer Road site

    Source: URA Source: URA

    MOST BIDDED SITEFARRER ROAD SIT EMOST BI DDED FOR SITEFARRER ROAD

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    Current transactions. The launch of Eco was widely successful, with take-up rates reaching 53% in the first month of launch.With explosive supply coming onstream, resale prices in older projects have edged up. For example, the average selling price for

    Casa Merah YTD has crossed SGD1,000psf, while East Meadows is closing in on the SGD1,000psf mark. Optima @ TanahMerah, sold at between SGD822-874psf in mid-2009, is now seeing sub-sale transactions taking place at an average ofSGD1,224psf YTD. As of the end of last quarter, rental yields in the vicinity range between 3.9% and 4.2%. We estimate that newlaunches will be priced, between SGD1,300 and SGD1,500psf, next year. Assuming rental psf pm averages at SGD4, rentalyields will range between 3.2% and 3.7%. However, we note that as these projects reach TOP in 2016-17, rental rates may besuppressed and rental yields will not be as ideal as they face competition for tenants from one another.

    Figure 6: Details on recent GLS sites

    Project/siteMaximumGFA (sq ft) Developer

    Land cost(SGD m) $ psf Units

    No.bids

    Differenceto 2nd bid

    Eco 647,498 Far East, Fraser Centrepoint, Seikui House 345.9 534.2 748 7 1.50%

    Urban Vista 421,906 Fragrance Group, World Class Dev 285.2 676.0 415 13 1.80%

    New Upper Changi Road 549,082 Keppel Land 434.6 791.4 700 11 7%New Upper Changi Road

    (Parcel B) 583,075 To be launched in February 2013 600Source: URA

    Figure 7: Rental yields

    Project District25th %

    (psf/pm)Median

    (psf/pm)75th %

    (psf/pm) No. of units ASP Median Yield (%)

    Casa Merah 16 3.3 3.7 3.9 15 1098.3 4.0East Meadows 16 3.2 3.2 3.4 24 923.6 4.2The Tanamera 16 2.6 2.8 2.9 12 856 3.9

    Source: realis

    Figure 8: Year to date resale transactions

    Source: Realis

    Figure 9: Sites surrounding Tanah Merah MRT station

    Source: Onemap.sg

    700.0

    900.0

    1,100.0

    1,300.0

    1,500.0

    Dec-11 Feb-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Oct-12 Dec-12

    Optima @ Tanah Merah Casa Merah East Meadows The Tanamera

    STRONG UPCOMING SUPPLY -TANAH MERAH

    Commercial sitePPR 2.8x

    Eco (99Yr/12)TOP 2017Far East, Fraser Centrepoint,Sekisui HouseOct12 ASP SGD1,392psfLaunched Sept12

    Urban Vista (TBL)Fragrance Group & WorldClass LimitedLand price SGD676psfAwarded Aug 12

    Optima @ Tanah Merah (99 Yr/08)JV between Mitsui Fudosan & HongLeong GroupTOP 2012/13Nov12 ASP SGD1,319psf

    East Meadow (99 Yr/98)Far EastTOP 2002Nov12 ASP SGD963psf

    Casa Merah (99Yr/06)NTUC Choice Homes/Wingtai

    TOP 2009Nov12 ASP SGD956psf

    GLS (99Yr)Site area 25,794mEst. Units -600

    FutureDevelopment

    GLS (Sold Oct12)Keppel LandLand price SGD434.6m/791.4 sf

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    MARKET SNAPSHOT 20 December 2012Analyst: Alison FOK 65-6433 5745 [email protected]

    Propert y Pr ic e Ind ices Index Level ChangeSRPI Overall (Sept 12) 171.1 +1.0%URA PPI (3Q12) 208.0 +0.5%HDB Resale (3Q12) 197.9 +2.0%

    Governm ent Land Sales (GLS)Recently Awarded Sites

    Site Units AwardedLand price

    (S$m)$psfppr

    Woodlands Avenue 6/Woodlands Drive 16(EC)

    465Opal Pte, BinjaiHoldings

    150 302

    Dairy Farm Road First Shine Prop &Meadows Bright

    244 616

    Prince CharlesCrescent

    590Wingstar Inv, MetroAus, Maxdin

    516 960

    New Upper Changi /Bedok Road (Parcel A)

    700 Keppel Land 435 791

    Jalan Jurong Kechil 240 World Class Dev 74 482

    Bishan Street 14 Capitaland 505 853

    Alexandra View (ParcelB)

    420 Singland 333 970

    Sembawang Crescent/

    Sembawang Drive (EC) JBE Holdings 212 324

    Pasir Ris Drive 3/ PasirRis Rise (EC)

    Hao Yuan 207 331

    Confirmed List

    Site

    Sitearea(ha) Units

    Est.launch

    dateAng Mo Kio Avenue 2/ Ang Mo KioStreet 13

    1.8 680 Available

    Jurong West Street 41/ Boon Lay Way(Parcel A)

    2.2 825 Available

    Source: HDB, URA

    Reserve ListSite

    Site area(ha) Units Status

    Stirling Road 2.1 1045 Available

    Alexandra View (parcel A) 0.84 Available

    Tampines Avenue 10 (Parcel C) 2.3 680 Available

    Tampines Avenue 10 (Parcel D) 1.6 470 Available

    Jurong West Street 41/ Boon LayWay (Parcel B)

    1.9 600 Available

    New Upper Changi Road / BedokSouth Avenue 3 (Parcel B)

    2.7 595 Available

    Source: HDB, URA

    Col lect ive Sa lesPending for offer

    Site

    Landarea (ksq m)

    Landprice

    (S$m)$psfppr

    Tendercloses

    Katong Park Towers 27.5 330-3401145-1178

    Nov 6

    Successful En Bloc Deals

    Site Awarded to

    Landarea (ksq m)

    Landprice

    (S$m)$psfppr

    Westvale Roxy Pacific 5.8 77.5 883

    Thomson ViewConsortium led by

    Wee Hur50.2 590 712

    Green Lodge Private investor 14.0 192 907

    Chateau Eliza Newfort Realty 4.9 92.2 1743

    Novena Ville Fragrance Group 4.7 132 1730

    Jade Towers Roxy Pacific 8.6 106 807

    Bartley Grove Top Global 6.1 74 810

    Sam LeongMansion

    JV between KSH,Tee Intl, Heeton

    and others1.1 40.3 1086

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    Primary Market

    Totalno. ofunits

    Unitssold

    to-date

    Take-up

    rate(%)

    Unitssold

    (Nov)Median

    ($psf)

    City & Southwest (1-8)

    Reflections At KeppelBay 1129 886 78.5% 14 2267V On Shenton 510 290 56.9% 14 2431Seahill 454 286 63.0% 12 1624Cityscape @Farrer Park 250 162 64.8% 11 1443Leedon Residence 381 80 21.0% 7 1862

    Orchard/Tanglin/Holland (9-10)

    D'Leedon 1715 681 39.7% 133 1431

    The Scotts Tower 231 94 40.7% 10 3459

    Newton / Bukit Timah / Clementi (11,21)

    Balestier / MacPherson / Geylang (12-14)

    Edenz Suites 34 31 91.2% 31 1329

    Eight Riversuites 862 384 44.5% 15 1307

    Sky Green 176 150 85.2% 9 1400

    The Viridian 108 48 44.4% 8 1490

    East Coast (15-16)

    Eco 748 558 74.6% 39 1408

    The Tampines Trilliant(EC) 670 600 89.6% 26 806

    Aura 83 51 21 41.2% 21 1329

    Changi / Pasir Ris (17-18)

    The Palette 892 857 96.1% 22 900

    Parc Olympia 486 423 87.0% 20 867

    Hedges ParkCondominium 501 423 84.4% 17 900

    Waterview 696 684 98.3% 17 891

    Watercolours 416 282 67.8% 15 739

    Palm Isles 429 363 84.6% 14 954

    Ripple Bay 679 633 93.2% 10 896

    My Manhattan 301 288 95.7% 9 1176

    Serangoon / Thomson (19-20)

    Waterbay 383 305 79.6% 84 743

    Riversails 920 538 58.5% 81 858

    Bartley Residences 702 656 93.4% 43 1230

    Heron Bay (EC) 394 370 93.9% 23 724

    River Isles 610 553 90.7% 21 826

    The Luxurie 622 558 89.7% 21 1142

    Riversound Residence 590 487 82.5% 16 868Boathouse Residences 493 460 93.3% 13 958Haus@SerangoonGarden 97 85 87.6% 12 1644

    Flo Residence 530 520 98.1% 10 898

    Kovan Regency 393 379 96.4% 10 1293

    West (22-24)

    Eco Sanctuary 483 140 29.0% 140 1050

    Hillsta 416 275 66.1% 21 1066

    Foresque Residences 496 430 86.7% 18 1259

    North (25-28)

    Skies Miltonia 420 339 80.7% 32 1182

    1 Canberra (EC) 665 350 52.6% 25 724

    Seletar Park Residence 276 229 83.0% 12 1263

    The Nautical 435 390 89.7% 10 893Source: URA

    Sec ondary Mark et

    District

    $psf

    Oct12

    $psf

    Nov12

    MoM %

    changeCity & Southwest 1,501 1,505 0.3

    Orchard/Tanglin/Holland 1,836 1,785 -2.8

    Newton/Bukit Timah/Clementi 1,354 1,326 -2.1

    Balestier/MacPherson/Geylang 1,113 1,132 1.7

    East Coast 1,091 1,107 1.5

    Changi/Pasir Ris 827 844 2.1

    Serangoon/Thomson 1,004 950 -5.4

    West 915 861 -5.9

    North 823 824 0.1

    Source: URA

    Renta l Mark et

    District

    $psf pm

    Sep12

    $psf pm

    Oct12

    MoM %

    ChangeCity & Southwest 5.0 4.8 -3.9

    Orchard/Tanglin/Holland 4.5 4.5 -0.9

    Newton/Bukit Timah/Clementi 3.6 3.6 -0.7

    Balestier/MacPherson/Geylang 3.6 3.5 -3.6

    East Coast 3.4 3.3 -2.5

    Changi/Pasir Ris 2.8 2.8 -0.4

    Serangoon/Thomson 3.2 3.0 -5.9

    West 2.9 2.9 0.2

    North 2.8 2.5 -10.1

    Source: URA

    Top 5 Resa le Transact ions by $psf

    Project Tenure District $psfHelios Residences Freehold 9 3890

    Helios Residences Freehold 9 3589

    Helios Residences Freehold 9 3499

    Marina Collection 99 Yr fm 2007 4 2850

    Ardmore II Freehold 10 2718

    Source: URA

    Bot t om 5 Resa le T ransact ions by $psf

    Project Tenure District $psf

    Northvale 99 yr fm 1995 23 537

    Phoenix Heights 99 Yr fm 1969 23 554

    Phoenix Heights 99 Yr fm 1969 23 562

    The Florida 99 Yr fm 1997 19 612The Floravale 99 Yr fm 1997 22 615

    Source: URA

    MARKET SNAPSHOT (CONTD) 20 December 2012Analyst: Alison FOK 65-6433 5745 [email protected]

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    Developer District Landbank Tenure Unsold Units

    City Dev

    1 One Shenton (Marina Bay) 99 20

    3 Alexandra Road GLS site (Alexandra Road) 99 5606 South Beach (Beach Road) 99 1189 Futura (Leonie Road) Freehold 1229 Up @ Robertson Quay (Robertson Quay) 99/103 20

    10 Boulevard Hotel (Cuscaden Road) Freehold 20310 Lucky Tower (Grange Road) Freehold 17810 Nouvel 18 (Anderson Road) Freehold 15611 Buckley Classique (Buckley Road) Freehold 117 Hedges Park (Flora Road) 99 7818 The Palette (Pasir Ris) 99 35

    18Tampines/Upp Changi Rd North (Tampines/Upp Changi RdNorth) Freehold 605

    19 H2O Residences (Sengkang West Ave) 99 12519 Bartley Residences (Bartley Road) 99 4619 Mount Vernon GLS site (Bartley Road) 99 78519 Haus @ Serangoon Garden (Serangoon Garden Way) 99 12

    Sentosa Residences at W (Sentosa Cove) 99 20715, 19 & 21 Swiss Road (Swiss Club Road) Freehold

    Total Unsold Units 3,271

    KepLand 1 Marina Bay Suites (Marina Bay) 99 332 Keppel & GE Towers site (Tanjong Pagar) Freehold 5904 Reflections at Keppel Bay (Keppel Bay) 99 2434 Keppel Bay Plot 3 (Keppel Bay) 99 3674 Keppel Bay Plot 4 (Keppel Bay) 99 2344 Keppel Bay Plot 5 (Keppel Bay) 99 94

    19 The Luxurie (Sengkang Square) 99 6416 Tanah Merah Site (Tanah Merah) 99 700

    Total Unsold Units 2,325

    CapitaLand

    3 The Interlace (Gillman Heights) 99Yr 3029 Urban Resort (Cairnhill Rd) Freehold 379 Orchard Residences (Orchard Road) 99Yr 139 Wharf Residence (Tong Watt Road) 999Yr 5

    10 D'Leedon (Farrer Rd) 99Yr 1,03410 The Nassim (Nassim Rd) Freehold 5515 Marine Point (Marine Parade) Freehold 15016 Bedok Residences (Bedok Central) 99Yr 3220 Sky Habitat (Bishan Street 14) 99Yr 36126 Yio Chu Kang site (Yio Chu Kang Rd) Freehold 140

    Total Unsold Units 2,129

    Ho Bee Sentosa Seascape at Sentosa Cove (Sentosa Cove) 99yr 1Sentosa Pinnacle at Sentosa Cove (Sentosa Cove) 99yr 110

    11 Trilight (Newton Road) 99Yr 357Total Unsold Units 468

    UOL 2 Spottiswoode Residences (Spottiswoode Park) Freehold 1516 Archipelago (Bedok Reservoir Rd) 99yr 319 Bright Hill Drive (Bright Hill) 99yr 40516 St Patricks Road (Upper East Coast) Freehold 170

    Total Unsold Units 593

    Allgreen 2 Skysuites @ Anson (Enggor Street) 99Yr 1615 The Surrento (West Coast Road) Freehold 1319 RV Residences (River Valley) 999Yr 248

    10 Holland Residences (Taman Warna) Freehold 412 Riverbay (Mar Thorma Rd) 999Yr 14712 Riviera 38 (Mar Thorma Rd) 999Yr 521 The Cascadia (Bukit Timah Road) Freehold 2023 Pavilion Park (Phase 2) (Bukit Batok Road) Freehold 62

    Total Unsold Units 778

    Wheelock 9 Scotts Square (Scotts Road) Freehold 7110 Ardmore 3 (Ardmore Park) Freehold 83

    Total Unsold Units 154

    DEVELOPERS LANDBANK 20 December 2012Analyst: Alison FOK 65-6433 5745 [email protected]

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    DEVELOPERS LANDBANK (CONTD) 20 December 2012

    Analyst: Alison FOK 65-6433 5745 [email protected]

    Developer District Landbank Tenure Unsold Units

    GuocoLand

    2 Tanjong Pagar GLS white site (Peck Seah / Choon Guan) 99Yr 500

    9 Sophia Residence (Mount Sophia) Freehold 210 Leedon Residence (Leedon Heights) 99Yr 30010 Goodwood Residence (Bukit Timah Road) Freehold 7326 The Waterline (Yio Chu Kang Rd) Freehold 3

    Total Unsold Units 878

    Bt Sembawang

    4 Skyline Residences (Telok Blangah) Freehold 569 The Vermont on Cairnhill (Cairnhill Rd) Freehold 409 Paterson Suites (Paterson Rd) Freehold 249 Paterson Suites II (Paterson Rd) Freehold 889 St Thomas Walk (St Thomas Walk) Freehold 221

    27 Watercove Villes (Wak Hassan Drive) Freehold 8028 Nim Road (Nim Road) Freehold 23228 Luxus Hills (Seletar Green) 999yr 146

    Total Unsold Units 887

    Frasers Centrepoint

    9 Starhub Centre (Cuppage Rd) 99yr 24915 Flamingo Valley (Siglap Rd) Freehold 2916 Waterfront Isle (Bedok Reservoir Rd) 99yr 916 Bedok South GLS site (Bedok South Avenue 3) 99yr 59518 Seastrand (Pasir Ris Drive 3) 99yr 6618 Palm Isles (Flora Drive) 99yr 6619 Boathouse Residences (Hougang) 99yr 3319 Watertown (Punggol) 99yr 2419 Twin Waterfalls (Punggol Way / Punggol Field) 99yr 227 Eight Courtyards (Yishun Ave 2) 99yr 22

    Total Unsold Units 1,285

    Wing Tai

    9 Belle Vue Residences (Oxley Walk) Freehold 3810 Le Nouvel Ardmore (Ardmore Park) Freehold 4210 Anderson 18 (Ardmore Park) Freehold 15711 L'VIV (Newton Rd) Freehold 1123 Foresque Residences (Petir Road) 99yr 6610 Nouvel 18 (Anderson Road) Freehold 156

    Total Unsold Units 470

    MCL Land

    11 Palms @ Sixth Avenue (Six Avenue ) Freehold 3210 NOB Hill (Ewe Boon Rd) Freehold 7015 Casa Nassau (East Coast Rd) Freehold 6516 Uber 388 (Upper East Cost) Freehold 2317 Ripple Bay (Jalan Loyang Besar) 99Yr 4622 Boon Lay (Jurong East) 99Yr 590

    Total Unsold Units 826

    SC Global

    9 The Marq (Paterson Hill) Freehold 339 Hilltops (Cairnhill Circle) Freehold 1959 Martin No. 38 (Martin Rd) Freehold 219 Sculptura Ardmore (Ardmore Park) Freehold 35

    Sentosa Seven Palms (Sentosa Cove) 99Yr 29

    Total Unsold Units 313

    Grand Total 14377

    Source:HDB,URA

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    APPENDIX I: TERMS FOR PROVISION OF REPORT, DISCLAIMERS AND DISCLOSURES

    DISCLAIMERS

    This research report is prepared for general circulation and for information purposes only and under no circumstances should it be considered or intended as anoffer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the securities referred to herein. Investors should note that values of such securities, if any, may fluctuate and thateach securitys price or value may rise or fall. Opinions or recommendations contained herein are in form of technical ratings and fundamental ratings. Technicalratings may differ from fundamental ratings as technical valuations apply different methodologies and are purely based on price and volume-related informationextracted from the relevant jurisdictions stock exchange in the equity analysis. Accordingly, investors returns may be less than the original sum invested. Pastperformance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. This report is not intended to provide personal investment advice and does not take into accountthe specific investment objectives, the financial situation and the particular needs of persons who may receive or read this report. Investors should thereforeseek financial, legal and other advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or the investment strategies discussed or recommended inthis report.

    The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but such sources have not been independently verified by MaybankInvestment Bank Berhad, its subsidiary and affiliates (collectively, MKE) and consequently no representation is made as to the accuracy or completeness ofthis report by MKE and it should not be relied upon as such. Accordingly, MKE and its officers, directors, associates, connected parties and/or employees(collectively, Representatives) shall not be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential losses or damages that may arise from the use or reliance of thisreport. Any information, opinions or recommendations contained herein are subject to change at any time, without prior notice.

    This report may contain forward looking statements which are often but not always identified by the use of words such as anticipate, believe, estimate,intend, plan, expect, forecast, predict and project and statements that an event or result may, will, can, should, could or might occur or beachieved and other similar expressions. Such forward looking statements are based on assumptions made and information currently available to us and aresubject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from those expressed in any forward looking statements. Readersare cautioned not to place undue relevance on these forward-looking statements. MKE expressly disclaims any obligation to update or revise any such forwardlooking statements to reflect new information, events or circumstances after the date of this publication or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

    MKE and its officers, directors and employees, including persons involved in the preparation or issuance of this report, may, to the extent permitted by law, fromtime to time participate or invest in financing transactions with the issuer(s) of the securities mentioned in this report, perform services for or solicit business fromsuch issuers, and/or have a position or holding, or other material interest, or effect transactions, in such securities or options thereon, or other investmentsrelated thereto. In addition, it may make markets in the securities mentioned in the material presented in this report. MKE may, to the extent permitted by law,act upon or use the information presented herein, or the research or analysis on which they are based, before the material is published. One or more directors,officers and/or employees of MKE may be a director of the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report.

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    This report is not directed to or intended for distribution to or use by any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country orother jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation. This report is for distribution only under suchcircumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. The securities described herein may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories ofinvestors. Without prejudice to the foregoing, the reader is to note that additional disclaimers, warnings or qualifications may apply based on geographicallocation of the person or entity receiving this report.

    Malaysia

    Opinions or recommendations contained herein are in the form of technical ratings and fundamental ratings. Technical ratings may differ from fundamentalratings as technical valuations apply different methodologies and are purely based on price and volume-related information extracted from Bursa MalaysiaSecurities Berhad in the equity analysis.

    Singapore

    This report has been produced as of the date hereof and the information herein may be subject to change. Maybank Kim Eng Research Pte. Ltd. (MaybankKERPL) in Singapore has no obligation to update such information for any recipient. For distribution in Singapore, recipients of this report are to contactMaybank KERPL in Singapore in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, this report. If the recipient of this report is not an accredited investor,expert investor or institutional investor (as defined under Section 4A of the Singapore Securities and Futures Act), Maybank KERPL shall be legally liable for thecontents of this report, with such liability being limited to the extent (if any) as permitted by law.

    Thailand

    The disclosure of the survey result of the Thai Institute of Directors Association (IOD) regarding corporate governance is made pursuant to the policy of theOffice of the Securities and Exchange Commission. The survey of the IOD is based on the information of a company listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailandand the market for Alternative Investment disclosed to the public and able to be accessed by a general public investor. The result, therefore, is from theperspective of a third party. It is not an evaluation of operation and is not based on inside information.The survey result is as of the date appearing in theCorporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies. As a result, the survey may be changed after that date. Maybank Kim Eng Securities (Thailand) Public

    Company Limited (MBKET) does not confirm nor certify the accuracy of such survey result.Except as specifically permitted, no part of this presentation may be reproduced or distributed in any manner without the prior written permission of MBKET.MBKET accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect.

    US

    This research report prepared by MKE is distributed in the United States (US) to Major US Institutional Investors (as defined in Rule 15a-6 under the SecuritiesExchange Act of 1934, as amended) only by Maybank Kim Eng Securities USA Inc (Maybank KESUSA), a broker-dealer registered in the US (registeredunder Section 15 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended). All responsibility for the distribution of this report by Maybank KESUSA in the US shallbe borne by Maybank KESUSA. All resulting transactions by a US person or entity should be effected through a registered broker-dealer in the US. This reportis not directed at you if MKE is prohibited or restricted by any legislation or regulation in any jurisdiction from making it available to you. You should satisfyyourself before reading it that Maybank KESUSA is permitted to provide research material concerning investments to you under relevant legislation andregulations.

    UK

    This document is being distributed by Maybank Kim Eng Securities (London) Ltd (Maybank KESL) which is authorized and regulated, by the FinancialServices Authority and is for Informational Purposes only. This document is not intended for distribution to anyone defined as a Retail Client under the FinancialServices and Markets Act 2000 within the UK. Any inclusion of a third party link is for the recipients convenience only, and that the firm does not take any

    responsibility for its comments or accuracy, and that access to such links is at the individuals own risk. Nothing in this report should be considered asconstituting legal, accounting or tax advice, and that for accurate guidance recipients should consult with their own independent tax advisers.

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    DISCLOSURES

    Legal Entities Disclosures

    Malaysia: This report is issued and distributed in Malaysia by Maybank Investment Bank Berhad (15938-H) which is a Participating Organization of BursaMalaysia Berhad and a holder of Capital Markets and Services License issued by the Securities Commission in Malaysia. Singapore: This material is issuedand distributed in Singapore by Maybank KERPL (Co. Reg No 197201256N) which is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. Indonesia: PT KimEng Securities (PTKES) (Reg. No. KEP-251/PM/1992) is a member of the Indonesia Stock Exchange and is regulated by the BAPEPAM LK. Thailand:MBKET (Reg. No.0107545000314) is a member of the Stock Exchange of Thailand and is regulated by the Ministry of Finance and the Securities and

    Exchange Commission. Philippines: Maybank ATRKES (Reg. No.01-2004-00019) is a member of the Philippines Stock Exchange and is regulated by theSecurities and Exchange Commission. Vietnam: Maybank Kim Eng Securities JSC (License Number: 71/UBCK-GP) is licensed under the State SecuritiesCommission of Vietnam.Hong Kong: KESHK (Central Entity No AAD284) is regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission. India: Kim Eng SecuritiesIndia Private Limited (KESI) is a participant of the National Stock Exchange of India Limited (Reg No: INF/INB 231452435) and the Bombay Stock Exchange(Reg. No. INF/INB 011452431) and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. KESI is also registered with SEBI as Category 1 Merchant Banker(Reg. No. INM 000011708) US: Maybank KESUSA is a member of/ and is authorized and regulated by the FINRA Broker ID 27861. UK: Maybank KESL (RegNo 2377538) is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.

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    Malaysia: MKE and its Representatives may from time to time have positions or be materially interested in the securities referred to herein and may further actas market maker or may have assumed an underwriting commitment or deal with such securities and may also perform or seek to perform investment bankingservices, advisory and other services for or relating to those companies.

    Singapore: As of 20 December 2012, Maybank KERPL and the covering analyst do not have any interest in any companies recommended in this researchreport.

    Thailand: MBKET may have a business relationship with or may possibly be an issuer of derivative warrants on the securities /companies mentioned in theresearch report. Therefore, Investors should exercise their own judgment before making any investment decisions. MBKET, its associates, directors, connectedparties and/or employees may from time to time have interests and/or underwriting commitments in the securities mentioned in this report.

    Hong Kong: KESHK may have financial interests in relation to an issuer or a new listing applicant referred to as defined by the requirements under Paragraph16.5(a) of the Hong Kong Code of Conduct for Persons Licensed by or Registered with the Securities and Futures Commission.

    As of 20 December 2012, KESHK and the authoring analyst do not have any interest in any companies recommended in this research report.

    MKE may have, within the last three years, served as manager or co-manager of a public offering of securities for, or currently may make a primary market inissues of, any or all of the entities mentioned in this report or may be providing, or have provided within the previous 12 months, significant advice or investmentservices in relation to the investment concerned or a related investment and may receive compensation for the services provided from the companies coveredin this report.

    OTHERS

    Analyst Certification of Independence

    The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analysts personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part ofthe research analysts compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

    Reminder

    Structured securities are complex instruments, typically involve a high degree of risk and are intended for sale only to sophisticated investors who are capableof understanding and assuming the risks involved. The market value of any structured security may be affected by changes in economic, financial and politicalfactors (including, but not limited to, spot and forward interest and exchange rates), time to maturity, market conditions and volatility and the credit quality of anyissuer or reference issuer. Any investor interested in purchasing a structured product should conduct its own analysis of the product and consult with its ownprofessional advisers as to the risks involved in making such a purchase.

    No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior consent of MKE.

    Ong Seng Yeow | Executive Director, Maybank Kim Eng Research