The Random Disruption Scenario. : SG This is your global ecosystem. However your knowledge of this...
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Transcript of The Random Disruption Scenario. : SG This is your global ecosystem. However your knowledge of this...
![Page 1: The Random Disruption Scenario. : SG This is your global ecosystem. However your knowledge of this system is confined to some discovery radius which has.](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022081605/5a4d1bba7f8b9ab0599d049a/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
The Random Disruption Scenario
![Page 2: The Random Disruption Scenario. : SG This is your global ecosystem. However your knowledge of this system is confined to some discovery radius which has.](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022081605/5a4d1bba7f8b9ab0599d049a/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
:
SG
This is your global ecosystem. However your knowledge of this system is confined to some discovery radius which has been limited by local topography (mountains, valleys, uncrossable rivers, dense forest, etc, etc)
ST
BB
CW
SG = Culture of the Sacred GoatsSG
The rest of the ecosystem properties and its inhabitants are not known
ST
CW
Sacred tigers
BB Belligerent
Barbarians
Clueless
Wanderers
![Page 3: The Random Disruption Scenario. : SG This is your global ecosystem. However your knowledge of this system is confined to some discovery radius which has.](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022081605/5a4d1bba7f8b9ab0599d049a/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Now, unbeknownst to the SG culture is the fact that they have located their culture around a dormant volcano. Then one day ….
SG
If left undisturbed, none of these cultures will mix for centuries
ST
BB
CW
A disruptive event of impact radius larger than the discovery zone occurs
![Page 4: The Random Disruption Scenario. : SG This is your global ecosystem. However your knowledge of this system is confined to some discovery radius which has.](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022081605/5a4d1bba7f8b9ab0599d049a/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
SG
Two possibilities now exist:
a) The SG culture is made extinct
b) Some of the SG culture manages to escape. Now since the event is larger than their “world” a successful escape means emergence into an undiscovered world.
c) Since there is no knowledge of the external world there is no preferred direction in which to escape
d) This leads to the notion of survival vectors and each vector has a different survival probability
ST
BB
CW
8
5
1
This causes a random dispersal of the culture which then changes its
evolution. And Each direction leads to a
different statistical outcome
![Page 5: The Random Disruption Scenario. : SG This is your global ecosystem. However your knowledge of this system is confined to some discovery radius which has.](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022081605/5a4d1bba7f8b9ab0599d049a/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
SG
Let’s imagine there are 8 survival or escape vectors and all of them lead to the unknown
ST
BB
CW
5
Directions 3,5,7 leads to these outcomes
7
3
These are also extinction events; SG does not survive
![Page 6: The Random Disruption Scenario. : SG This is your global ecosystem. However your knowledge of this system is confined to some discovery radius which has.](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022081605/5a4d1bba7f8b9ab0599d049a/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
SG
Let’s imagine there are 8 survival or escape vectors and all of them lead to the unknown
ST
BB
CW
4
Directions 2 and 4 leads to these outcomes
2
These are new survivable ecosystems so SG has merely
relocated – do they have critical mass to survive?
![Page 7: The Random Disruption Scenario. : SG This is your global ecosystem. However your knowledge of this system is confined to some discovery radius which has.](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022081605/5a4d1bba7f8b9ab0599d049a/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
SG
The remaining three directions lead to more interesting outcomes
a) Direction 8.runs the SG into the BB who simply exterminate them before asking any questions. So, again, SG goes extinct
b) Direction 6 runs the SG into the CW – the SG dominate and convert the CW into SG and hence SG is now starting to build an empire
a) Direction 1 runs the SG into the ST. The ST are benevolent and a synergy between the SG and the ST results and a NEW cultural is borne the culture of the Sacred Gigers new knowledge has been created
ST
BB
CW
8
6
![Page 8: The Random Disruption Scenario. : SG This is your global ecosystem. However your knowledge of this system is confined to some discovery radius which has.](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022081605/5a4d1bba7f8b9ab0599d049a/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
![Page 9: The Random Disruption Scenario. : SG This is your global ecosystem. However your knowledge of this system is confined to some discovery radius which has.](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022081605/5a4d1bba7f8b9ab0599d049a/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
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