The projectThe project

“The Impact of CAP Reform on the Employment Levels in Rural

Areas”

Acronym: CARERAContract no.: 022653

Starting Day: 1st of March 2006

List of ParticipantsList of Participants

P1 -P1 - (Coordinator) Coordinator) Aristotle University of Thessaloniki (AUTH), Greece

P2 -P2 - University of Crete (UOC), Greece P3 -P3 - University of Parma (UOP), Italy P4 -P4 - University of Wales at Aberystwyth (UWA), UK P5 -P5 - Wageningen University (WU), Netherlands P6 -P6 - Justus-Liebig University of Giessen (JLU), Germany P7 -P7 - Corvinus University of Budapest (CUB), Hungary P8 -P8 - Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU),

Sweden

Main purposeMain purpose

The analysis of structural and employment effects of CAP reform and

rural development measures

Project ObjectivesProject Objectives

To provide a comprehensive picture of the state of the art related to rural development measures

To provide a detailed database describing the economic transactions and interconnections between rural economic sectors

To quantify empirically the structural changes that will take place in the farming sector of selected rural areas

To analyse the extent to which the new policy regime will indeed improve farmer’s economic performance

analyse and classify the existing rural development measures according to their potential of fostering employment generation in the countryside

To provide an evaluation of the policy changes from the rural stakeholders point of view

To provide recommendations to policy makers on employment generating policy changes

Expected OutputsExpected Outputs

An extensive and critical overview of the current implementation of CAP and the expected effects on employment generation

A detailed review of the instruments available for assessment of CAP reform, including a review of the appropriateness of the most commonly used farming models

A set of interlinked databases on the economic transactions (sales of products and purchases of inputs) of farming sector within the local economy

A detailed mathematical programming model which will be used to evaluate the changes in farming activities initiated from the new policy regime

An extensive survey and a detailed database on the perceptions of the stakeholders in the selected rural areas

A large scale general equilibrium model for the selected regions which will be “fed” by the results obtained from the mathematical programming model

Expected OutputsExpected Outputs

A detailed economic model which will be used for the empirical evaluation of the economic performance and competitiveness of farmers in selected case studies

A detailed analysis on the effects of the CAP reform on the structural characteristics of farming activities namely crop mix, production cost, profit margins as well as on the employment levels in the countryside

An analysis of the economic conditions in the selected rural areas around the EU identifying the “key” economic sectors according to their potential to promote employment, income and output development in the regional economies

A report on the perceptions and intentions of the stakeholders in

the selected rural areas concerning the recent CAP reform A report on the employment effectiveness of the current rural

development measures and suggestions for future amendments

Dissemination PlansDissemination Plans Publication of working papers through the CARERA website

Publications in scientific journals widely read by policy makers as well agricultural economists

Publication of summary reports on main findings on the website

Distribution of a leaflet containing the main findings of the project

Participation in international conferences

Creation of a CD-ROM containing the modeling tools

Organisation of a workshop bringing together external experts and EU decision makers as well as rural stakeholders

Organisation of a two-day intensive course directed to policy-makers both at the national and European level aiming at teaching the use of the modeling tools so that they can be applied to other areas. The two-day course will coincide with the workshop so that all partners are present and can explain their corresponding contribution to the modeling tools

Milestone No Milestone Description Target Month

M1.3 Literature review completed 4

M3.2 Model calibration 8

M4.2

Conceptual micro-economic model for analyzing the impact of the CAP reform and other factors on farm performance

8

M5.1Construction of the hybrid regional input-output model

8

M5.2Evaluation of the regional input-output models

12

M6.3Conceptual model for the analysis of rural perceptions and intentions

18

Major MilestonesMajor Milestones

Work PlanWork Plan

Basic Parts:

8 Work Packages8 Work Packages

29 Deliverables 29 Deliverables

WP WP NoNo

Work Package TitleWork Package Title Lead Contractor Lead Contractor NoNo

Start-Start-monthmonth

End-End-monthmonth

Deliverable Deliverable NoNo

WP1WP1State of the Art in Theory and Practice of Rural Development Measures P4/Midmore/UK 1 20 D1, D2, D14

WP2WP2 Databases P7/Forgacs/HU 1 16 D3, D4, D5

WP3WP3Assessing the Structural Impact of CAP Reform in the Farming Sector P3/Arfini/IT 1 12 D6, D9

WP4WP4Assessment of the CAP Reform on Farmer’s Economic Performance

P5/Oude Lansink/NL

1 20 D8, D12

WP5WP5Assessment of the Overall Effects on Rural Employment and Income P1/Mattas/GR 1 20 D7, D10, D11

WP6WP6

CAP Reform, Rural Development Measures and the Rural Stakeholder’s Perceptions and Intentions

P2/Tzouvelekas/GR 1 20 D15, D13

WP7WP7Demonstration and Dissemination of the Results P1/Mattas/GR 16 24 D16-D25

WP8WP8 Project Management and Assessment P1/Mattas/GR 1 24 D26-D29

WP- Lead Contractor-Start/End Month-DeliverablesWP- Lead Contractor-Start/End Month-Deliverables

WPs Start & End MonthWPs Start & End Month

:D1, D2, D14

:D3, D4, D5

:D6, D9

:D8, D12

:D7, D10, D11

:D15, D13

:D16-D25

:D26-D29

Countries of Case Study per WPCountries of Case Study per WP

UK GR IT GER HU SW NL

WP No

WP1 WP2 WP3 WP4 WP5 WP6

WPs InterdependenceWPs Interdependence

***The arrow’s end signifies the input that is provided to the pointed work package

Deliverable Deliverable NoNo

WP WP NoNo

Lead Lead ParticipaParticipa

ntnt

Delivery Delivery DateDate

Deliverable Deliverable NoNo

WP WP NoNo

Lead Lead ParticipaParticipa

ntnt

Delivery Delivery DateDate

D26D26 WP8 P1 3 D13D13 WP6 P2 23

D1D1 WP1 P4 6 D14D14 WP1 P4 23

D2D2 WP1 P4 6 D16D16 WP7 P1 23

D3D3 WP2 P7 6 D18D18 WP7 P1 23

D6D6 WP3 P3 6 D19D19 WP7 P3 23

D7D7 WP5 P1 6 D20D20 WP7 P4 23

D8D8 WP4 P5 6 D21D21 WP7 P6 23

D28D28 WP8 P1 biannually D22D22 WP7 P8 23

D4D4 WP2 P7 12 D23D23 WP7 P7 23

D9D9 WP3 P3 12 D15D15 WP6 P2 23

D27D27 WP8 P1 12 D17D17 WP7 P1 24

D5D5 WP2 P7 16 D24D24 WP7 P1 24

D10D10 WP5 P1 23 D25D25 WP7 P1 24

D11D11 WP5 P1 23 D29D29 WP8 P1 24

D12D12 WP4 P5 23

Deliverables & Delivery DateDeliverables & Delivery Date