THE PLANET99 MODEL DEMAND AND REVENUE FORECASTING TOOL FOR RAIL OPERATORS 8th EUROPEAN EMME/2 USERS...

THE PLANET99 MODELTHE PLANET99 MODELDEMAND AND REVENUE FORECASTINGDEMAND AND REVENUE FORECASTING

TOOL FOR RAIL OPERATORSTOOL FOR RAIL OPERATORS

8th EUROPEAN EMME/2 8th EUROPEAN EMME/2 USERS CONFERENCEUSERS CONFERENCE

8th EUROPEAN EMME/2 8th EUROPEAN EMME/2 USERS CONFERENCEUSERS CONFERENCE

Jeremy DouchJeremy DouchGIBB Transport PlanningGIBB Transport Planning

May 1999May 1999

PLANET99 CONSULTANCY SERVICES

PLANET Consultancy ServicesPLANET Consultancy Services

Demand and revenue forecasting

services provided by GIBB Transport

Planning.

Demand and revenue forecasting

services provided by GIBB Transport

Planning.


• What is What is PLANET99 PLANET99 ??

• Network Development.Network Development.

• PLANET99PLANET99 Demand. Demand.

• Validation of Validation of PLANET99PLANET99..

• Assignment Process.Assignment Process.

• Financial and Economic Financial and Economic

Appraisal.Appraisal.

• Flexibility of Flexibility of PLANET99PLANET99..

• What is What is PLANET99 PLANET99 ??

• Network Development.Network Development.

• PLANET99PLANET99 Demand. Demand.

• Validation of Validation of PLANET99PLANET99..

• Assignment Process.Assignment Process.

• Financial and Economic Financial and Economic

Appraisal.Appraisal.

• Flexibility of Flexibility of PLANET99PLANET99..

OUTLINE OF PRESENTATIONOUTLINE OF PRESENTATION


• Demand and revenue forecasting tool for rail industry.

•Multi-modal EMME/2 model.

• All rail services in the South East of England.

• Distribution Modal Split.

• Crowding sub-model.

• Demand and revenue forecasting tool for rail industry.

•Multi-modal EMME/2 model.

• All rail services in the South East of England.

• Distribution Modal Split.

• Crowding sub-model.

WHAT IS PLANET99 ?WHAT IS PLANET99 ?


•Morning peak weekday model (0700-1000).

• Incorporates all train services in London and South East of England.

• 1997 passenger demand.

• DMS model enhancements.

• Enhancement of the crowding sub-model.

•Morning peak weekday model (0700-1000).

• Incorporates all train services in London and South East of England.

• 1997 passenger demand.

• DMS model enhancements.

• Enhancement of the crowding sub-model.

DEVELOPMENT OF PLANET99DEVELOPMENT OF PLANET99


• Winter 1997/98 rail timetable, AM peak.

• Stopping patterns, timetabling, profit centre.

• Train capacities extracted from 1997 census.

• Each service associated with a profit centre.

• Output by TOC, profit centre or transit line readily extracted.

• Review and update of underground transit lines.

• Winter 1997/98 rail timetable, AM peak.

• Stopping patterns, timetabling, profit centre.

• Train capacities extracted from 1997 census.

• Each service associated with a profit centre.

• Output by TOC, profit centre or transit line readily extracted.

• Review and update of underground transit lines.

PLANET99 NETWORK DEVELOPMENTPLANET99 NETWORK DEVELOPMENT


PLANET99 RAIL NETWORKPLANET99 RAIL NETWORK


PLANET99 UNDERGROUND, DLR AND CROYDONPLANET99 UNDERGROUND, DLR AND CROYDONTRAMLINK NETWORKSTRAMLINK NETWORKS


• Chiltern Railways.

• Connex South Eastern.

• Connex South Central.

• Great Eastern Railway.

• LTS Rail.

• Silverlink Train Services.

• South West Trains.

• Thameslink.

• Thames Trains.

• West Anglia Great Northern Railway.

• Chiltern Railways.

• Connex South Eastern.

• Connex South Central.

• Great Eastern Railway.

• LTS Rail.

• Silverlink Train Services.

• South West Trains.

• Thameslink.

• Thames Trains.

• West Anglia Great Northern Railway.

• Anglia Railways.

• Gatwick Express.

• Great North Eastern Railway.

• Great Western Trains.

• Midland Mainline.

• Virgin Trains.

• Anglia Railways.

• Gatwick Express.

• Great North Eastern Railway.

• Great Western Trains.

• Midland Mainline.

• Virgin Trains.

LIST OF TOCs MODELLED IN PLANET99LIST OF TOCs MODELLED IN PLANET99


• Morning peak demand (0700-1000).

• October 1997 demand using CAPRI flow downloads by profit centre to derive station origin and destination flows.

• Adjustments made to season tickets using CAPRI and PDFH factors to realise average weekday demands.

• PLANET99 distribution based on census data.

• Underground component of matrix remains unchanged.

• Morning peak demand (0700-1000).

• October 1997 demand using CAPRI flow downloads by profit centre to derive station origin and destination flows.

• Adjustments made to season tickets using CAPRI and PDFH factors to realise average weekday demands.

• PLANET99 distribution based on census data.

• Underground component of matrix remains unchanged.

PLANET99 MATRIX DEVELOPMENTPLANET99 MATRIX DEVELOPMENT


CROWDING SUB-MODELCROWDING SUB-MODEL

• Build paths and assign proportion of trip matrix.

• Capacity and demand profiles to model the supply and demand relationships.

• Derive measure of crowding based on relationship of train capacity (seated and standing) and demand.

• Adjust travel times and assign further proportion of trip matrix.

• Build paths and assign proportion of trip matrix.

• Capacity and demand profiles to model the supply and demand relationships.

• Derive measure of crowding based on relationship of train capacity (seated and standing) and demand.

• Adjust travel times and assign further proportion of trip matrix.

Impact of train and underground over-crowding on passenger route choice:Impact of train and underground over-crowding on passenger route choice:


DISTRIBUTION MODAL SPLIT MODELDISTRIBUTION MODAL SPLIT MODEL

• 156 DMS zones, covering local authority boundaries or groups of authorities containing socio economic data.

• DMS model considers the change in trip origin, destination or mode resulting from changes in service pattern using model skims.

• 156 DMS zones, covering local authority boundaries or groups of authorities containing socio economic data.

• DMS model considers the change in trip origin, destination or mode resulting from changes in service pattern using model skims.


DISTRIBUTION MODAL SPLIT MODEL DISTRIBUTION MODAL SPLIT MODEL cont...cont...

Planning data to derive:Planning data to derive:

• Potential home movers.

• Potential work changers.

• Potential home movers & work changers.

• Potential non movers or changers.

• Potential home movers.

• Potential work changers.

• Potential home movers & work changers.

• Potential non movers or changers.

Zones that have a reduction in generalised cost should benefit.

Zones that have an increase in generalised cost should dis-benefit.

Zones that have a reduction in generalised cost should benefit.

Zones that have an increase in generalised cost should dis-benefit.


PLANET99 MODEL STRUCTUREPLANET99 MODEL STRUCTURE

PLANET NETWORK MODEL

DMS MODEL

MODE SPLIT AND REDISTRIBUTION EFFECTS

PRODUCE POST DMS MATRIX

ASSIGNMENT OF POST DMS MATRIX

DEMAND SUPPLY

ASSIGNMENT PROCESS 1239 ZONES

156 ZONES

1239 ZONES

CALCULATE GENERALISED COST FOREACH ORIGIN AND DESTINATION BY RAIL


FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC APPRAISALFINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC APPRAISAL

• Environment.

• Safety.

• Economy.

• Accessibility.

• Integration.

• Environment.

• Safety.

• Economy.

• Accessibility.

• Integration.

Government appraisal guidance -“A New Deal for Transport” 1998

Government appraisal guidance -“A New Deal for Transport” 1998


ECONOMYECONOMY

• Journey time.• Train

frequency.• Crowding.

• Journey time.• Train

frequency.• Crowding.

Benefits to rail and road users requires consideration of:Benefits to rail and road users requires consideration of:

• Reduction in number of interchanges.• Reduction in boarding penalty.• Reduction in number of interchanges.• Reduction in boarding penalty.

“Reduction of barriers”“Reduction of barriers”

• Journey reliability.• Station facilities.• Rolling stock quality.

• Journey reliability.• Station facilities.• Rolling stock quality.

ACCESSIBILITYACCESSIBILITY


• Transit volumes.

• Boardings and alightings.

• Capacities.

• Frequencies.

• User defined input e.g. crowding, wait times etc.

• Comparison of scenarios for all of the above.

• Transit volumes.

• Boardings and alightings.

• Capacities.

• Frequencies.

• User defined input e.g. crowding, wait times etc.

• Comparison of scenarios for all of the above.

• Histograms e.g. Distribution of travel times.

• Scattergrams.• Regression

analysis.

• Histograms e.g. Distribution of travel times.

• Scattergrams.• Regression

analysis.

Network based graphicaloutput:Network based graphicaloutput:

Matrix based graphicaloutput:Matrix based graphicaloutput:

GRAPHICAL DISPLAY CAPABILITIESGRAPHICAL DISPLAY CAPABILITIES

• Mapping journey time changes.

• Accessibility.• Monetary trip

values.

• Mapping journey time changes.

• Accessibility.• Monetary trip

values.

GIS output:GIS output:


• Development of new rail corridor.

• First through London services.

• Connects commuter towns north and south of London with central London.

• High frequency, fast services.

• Development of new rail corridor.

• First through London services.

• Connects commuter towns north and south of London with central London.

• High frequency, fast services.

THAMESLINK 2000 SCHEMETHAMESLINK 2000 SCHEME


GuildfordGuildfordGuildfordGuildfordGuildfordGuildfordGuildfordGuildfordGuildford

AbingdonAbingdonAbingdonAbingdonAbingdonAbingdonAbingdonAbingdonAbingdon

AltonAltonAltonAltonAltonAltonAltonAltonAlton

AmershamAmershamAmershamAmershamAmershamAmershamAmershamAmershamAmersham

AmesburyAmesburyAmesburyAmesburyAmesburyAmesburyAmesburyAmesburyAmesbury

AmpthillAmpthillAmpthillAmpthillAmpthillAmpthillAmpthillAmpthillAmpthill

AndoverAndoverAndoverAndoverAndoverAndoverAndoverAndoverAndoverAshfordAshfordAshfordAshfordAshfordAshfordAshfordAshfordAshford

AylesburyAylesburyAylesburyAylesburyAylesburyAylesburyAylesburyAylesburyAylesbury

BaldockBaldockBaldockBaldockBaldockBaldockBaldockBaldockBaldock

BanburyBanburyBanburyBanburyBanburyBanburyBanburyBanburyBanbury

BasildonBasildonBasildonBasildonBasildonBasildonBasildonBasildonBasildon

BasingstokeBasingstokeBasingstokeBasingstokeBasingstokeBasingstokeBasingstokeBasingstokeBasingstoke

BeaconsfieldBeaconsfieldBeaconsfieldBeaconsfieldBeaconsfieldBeaconsfieldBeaconsfieldBeaconsfieldBeaconsfield

BecclesBecclesBecclesBecclesBecclesBecclesBecclesBecclesBeccles

BedfordBedfordBedfordBedfordBedfordBedfordBedfordBedfordBedford

BexhillBexhillBexhillBexhillBexhillBexhillBexhillBexhillBexhill

BicesterBicesterBicesterBicesterBicesterBicesterBicesterBicesterBicester

BiggleswadeBiggleswadeBiggleswadeBiggleswadeBiggleswadeBiggleswadeBiggleswadeBiggleswadeBiggleswade

BirminghamBirminghamBirminghamBirminghamBirminghamBirminghamBirminghamBirminghamBirmingham

Bishop's StortfordBishop's StortfordBishop's StortfordBishop's StortfordBishop's StortfordBishop's StortfordBishop's StortfordBishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford

Blandford ForumBlandford ForumBlandford ForumBlandford ForumBlandford ForumBlandford ForumBlandford ForumBlandford ForumBlandford Forum

Bognor RegisBognor RegisBognor RegisBognor RegisBognor RegisBognor RegisBognor RegisBognor RegisBognor Regis

BournemouthBournemouthBournemouthBournemouthBournemouthBournemouthBournemouthBournemouthBournemouth

BrentwoodBrentwoodBrentwoodBrentwoodBrentwoodBrentwoodBrentwoodBrentwoodBrentwood

BrightonBrightonBrightonBrightonBrightonBrightonBrightonBrightonBrighton

BromleyBromleyBromleyBromleyBromleyBromleyBromleyBromleyBromley

BromsgroveBromsgroveBromsgroveBromsgroveBromsgroveBromsgroveBromsgroveBromsgroveBromsgrove

Bury St. EdmundsBury St. EdmundsBury St. EdmundsBury St. EdmundsBury St. EdmundsBury St. EdmundsBury St. EdmundsBury St. EdmundsBury St. Edmunds

CambridgeCambridgeCambridgeCambridgeCambridgeCambridgeCambridgeCambridgeCambridge

CanterburyCanterburyCanterburyCanterburyCanterburyCanterburyCanterburyCanterburyCanterbury

ChathamChathamChathamChathamChathamChathamChathamChathamChatham

ChatterisChatterisChatterisChatterisChatterisChatterisChatterisChatterisChatteris

ChelmsfordChelmsfordChelmsfordChelmsfordChelmsfordChelmsfordChelmsfordChelmsfordChelmsford

CheltenhamCheltenhamCheltenhamCheltenhamCheltenhamCheltenhamCheltenhamCheltenhamCheltenham

ChertseyChertseyChertseyChertseyChertseyChertseyChertseyChertseyChertsey

ChichesterChichesterChichesterChichesterChichesterChichesterChichesterChichesterChichester

ChippenhamChippenhamChippenhamChippenhamChippenhamChippenhamChippenhamChippenhamChippenham

CirencesterCirencesterCirencesterCirencesterCirencesterCirencesterCirencesterCirencesterCirencester

Clacton-on-SeaClacton-on-SeaClacton-on-SeaClacton-on-SeaClacton-on-SeaClacton-on-SeaClacton-on-SeaClacton-on-SeaClacton-on-Sea

ColchesterColchesterColchesterColchesterColchesterColchesterColchesterColchesterColchester

CorbyCorbyCorbyCorbyCorbyCorbyCorbyCorbyCorby

CoventryCoventryCoventryCoventryCoventryCoventryCoventryCoventryCoventry

CowesCowesCowesCowesCowesCowesCowesCowesCowes

CrawleyCrawleyCrawleyCrawleyCrawleyCrawleyCrawleyCrawleyCrawley

DartfordDartfordDartfordDartfordDartfordDartfordDartfordDartfordDartford

DaventryDaventryDaventryDaventryDaventryDaventryDaventryDaventryDaventry

DealDealDealDealDealDealDealDealDeal

DevizesDevizesDevizesDevizesDevizesDevizesDevizesDevizesDevizes

DissDissDissDissDissDissDissDissDiss

DorkingDorkingDorkingDorkingDorkingDorkingDorkingDorkingDorking

DoverDoverDoverDoverDoverDoverDoverDoverDover

DroitwichDroitwichDroitwichDroitwichDroitwichDroitwichDroitwichDroitwichDroitwich

DudleyDudleyDudleyDudleyDudleyDudleyDudleyDudleyDudley

DunstableDunstableDunstableDunstableDunstableDunstableDunstableDunstableDunstable

EastbourneEastbourneEastbourneEastbourneEastbourneEastbourneEastbourneEastbourneEastbourne

EastleighEastleighEastleighEastleighEastleighEastleighEastleighEastleighEastleigh

ElyElyElyElyElyElyElyElyEly

EppingEppingEppingEppingEppingEppingEppingEppingEpping

EveshamEveshamEveshamEveshamEveshamEveshamEveshamEveshamEvesham

FarehamFarehamFarehamFarehamFarehamFarehamFarehamFarehamFareham

FaringdonFaringdonFaringdonFaringdonFaringdonFaringdonFaringdonFaringdonFaringdon

FarnhamFarnhamFarnhamFarnhamFarnhamFarnhamFarnhamFarnhamFarnham

FelixstoweFelixstoweFelixstoweFelixstoweFelixstoweFelixstoweFelixstoweFelixstoweFelixstowe

FolkestoneFolkestoneFolkestoneFolkestoneFolkestoneFolkestoneFolkestoneFolkestoneFolkestone

FreshwaterFreshwaterFreshwaterFreshwaterFreshwaterFreshwaterFreshwaterFreshwaterFreshwater

HalsteadHalsteadHalsteadHalsteadHalsteadHalsteadHalsteadHalsteadHalstead

HarlowHarlowHarlowHarlowHarlowHarlowHarlowHarlowHarlowHarpendenHarpendenHarpendenHarpendenHarpendenHarpendenHarpendenHarpendenHarpenden

HatfieldHatfieldHatfieldHatfieldHatfieldHatfieldHatfieldHatfieldHatfield

HaverhillHaverhillHaverhillHaverhillHaverhillHaverhillHaverhillHaverhillHaverhill

HitchinHitchinHitchinHitchinHitchinHitchinHitchinHitchinHitchin

HorshamHorshamHorshamHorshamHorshamHorshamHorshamHorshamHorsham

HungerfordHungerfordHungerfordHungerfordHungerfordHungerfordHungerfordHungerfordHungerford

HuntingdonHuntingdonHuntingdonHuntingdonHuntingdonHuntingdonHuntingdonHuntingdonHuntingdon

IpswichIpswichIpswichIpswichIpswichIpswichIpswichIpswichIpswich

KetteringKetteringKetteringKetteringKetteringKetteringKetteringKetteringKettering

LeatherheadLeatherheadLeatherheadLeatherheadLeatherheadLeatherheadLeatherheadLeatherheadLeatherhead

LewesLewesLewesLewesLewesLewesLewesLewesLewes

LiphookLiphookLiphookLiphookLiphookLiphookLiphookLiphookLiphook

LondonLondonLondonLondonLondonLondonLondonLondonLondon

LyndhurstLyndhurstLyndhurstLyndhurstLyndhurstLyndhurstLyndhurstLyndhurstLyndhurst

MaidenheadMaidenheadMaidenheadMaidenheadMaidenheadMaidenheadMaidenheadMaidenheadMaidenhead

MaidstoneMaidstoneMaidstoneMaidstoneMaidstoneMaidstoneMaidstoneMaidstoneMaidstone

MargateMargateMargateMargateMargateMargateMargateMargateMargate

MaugersburyMaugersburyMaugersburyMaugersburyMaugersburyMaugersburyMaugersburyMaugersburyMaugersbury

MidhurstMidhurstMidhurstMidhurstMidhurstMidhurstMidhurstMidhurstMidhurstNew RomneyNew RomneyNew RomneyNew RomneyNew RomneyNew RomneyNew RomneyNew RomneyNew Romney

NewmarketNewmarketNewmarketNewmarketNewmarketNewmarketNewmarketNewmarketNewmarketNorthamptonNorthamptonNorthamptonNorthamptonNorthamptonNorthamptonNorthamptonNorthamptonNorthampton

OxfordOxfordOxfordOxfordOxfordOxfordOxfordOxfordOxford

PortsmouthPortsmouthPortsmouthPortsmouthPortsmouthPortsmouthPortsmouthPortsmouthPortsmouth

RamsgateRamsgateRamsgateRamsgateRamsgateRamsgateRamsgateRamsgateRamsgate

ReadingReadingReadingReadingReadingReadingReadingReadingReading

RugbyRugbyRugbyRugbyRugbyRugbyRugbyRugbyRugby

RyeRyeRyeRyeRyeRyeRyeRyeRye

SalisburySalisburySalisburySalisburySalisburySalisburySalisburySalisburySalisbury

SaxmundhamSaxmundhamSaxmundhamSaxmundhamSaxmundhamSaxmundhamSaxmundhamSaxmundhamSaxmundham

SevenoaksSevenoaksSevenoaksSevenoaksSevenoaksSevenoaksSevenoaksSevenoaksSevenoaks

ShaftesburyShaftesburyShaftesburyShaftesburyShaftesburyShaftesburyShaftesburyShaftesburyShaftesbury

SheernessSheernessSheernessSheernessSheernessSheernessSheernessSheernessSheerness

SilverstoneSilverstoneSilverstoneSilverstoneSilverstoneSilverstoneSilverstoneSilverstoneSilverstone

Southend-on-SeaSouthend-on-SeaSouthend-on-SeaSouthend-on-SeaSouthend-on-SeaSouthend-on-SeaSouthend-on-SeaSouthend-on-SeaSouthend-on-Sea

St. NeotsSt. NeotsSt. NeotsSt. NeotsSt. NeotsSt. NeotsSt. NeotsSt. NeotsSt. Neots

StockbridgeStockbridgeStockbridgeStockbridgeStockbridgeStockbridgeStockbridgeStockbridgeStockbridge

Stratford-upon-AvonStratford-upon-AvonStratford-upon-AvonStratford-upon-AvonStratford-upon-AvonStratford-upon-AvonStratford-upon-AvonStratford-upon-AvonStratford-upon-Avon

SudburySudburySudburySudburySudburySudburySudburySudburySudbury

SwindonSwindonSwindonSwindonSwindonSwindonSwindonSwindonSwindon

TewkesburyTewkesburyTewkesburyTewkesburyTewkesburyTewkesburyTewkesburyTewkesburyTewkesbury

ThameThameThameThameThameThameThameThameThame

ThetfordThetfordThetfordThetfordThetfordThetfordThetfordThetfordThetford

TonbridgeTonbridgeTonbridgeTonbridgeTonbridgeTonbridgeTonbridgeTonbridgeTonbridge

TowcesterTowcesterTowcesterTowcesterTowcesterTowcesterTowcesterTowcesterTowcester

Tunbridge WellsTunbridge WellsTunbridge WellsTunbridge WellsTunbridge WellsTunbridge WellsTunbridge WellsTunbridge WellsTunbridge Wells

UckfieldUckfieldUckfieldUckfieldUckfieldUckfieldUckfieldUckfieldUckfield

WareWareWareWareWareWareWareWareWare

WarminsterWarminsterWarminsterWarminsterWarminsterWarminsterWarminsterWarminsterWarminster

WarwickWarwickWarwickWarwickWarwickWarwickWarwickWarwickWarwick

Wimborne MinsterWimborne MinsterWimborne MinsterWimborne MinsterWimborne MinsterWimborne MinsterWimborne MinsterWimborne MinsterWimborne Minster

WinchesterWinchesterWinchesterWinchesterWinchesterWinchesterWinchesterWinchesterWinchester

WitneyWitneyWitneyWitneyWitneyWitneyWitneyWitneyWitney

THAMESLINK 2000 SCHEMETHAMESLINK 2000 SCHEME



















BrackleyBrackleyBrackleyBrackleyBrackleyBrackleyBrackleyBrackleyBrackley

BraintreeBraintreeBraintreeBraintreeBraintreeBraintreeBraintreeBraintreeBraintree









Chipping NortonChipping NortonChipping NortonChipping NortonChipping NortonChipping NortonChipping NortonChipping NortonChipping Norton




CroydonCroydonCroydonCroydonCroydonCroydonCroydonCroydonCroydon


DealDealDealDealDealDealDealDealDealDorkingDorkingDorkingDorkingDorkingDorkingDorkingDorkingDorking



East GrinsteadEast GrinsteadEast GrinsteadEast GrinsteadEast GrinsteadEast GrinsteadEast GrinsteadEast GrinsteadEast Grinstead










HarlowHarlowHarlowHarlowHarlowHarlowHarlowHarlowHarlow

HarpendenHarpendenHarpendenHarpendenHarpendenHarpendenHarpendenHarpendenHarpenden



HertfordHertfordHertfordHertfordHertfordHertfordHertfordHertfordHertford







LintonLintonLintonLintonLintonLintonLintonLintonLinton











RingwoodRingwoodRingwoodRingwoodRingwoodRingwoodRingwoodRingwoodRingwood

RoystonRoystonRoystonRoystonRoystonRoystonRoystonRoystonRoyston



SandwichSandwichSandwichSandwichSandwichSandwichSandwichSandwichSandwichSevenoaksSevenoaksSevenoaksSevenoaksSevenoaksSevenoaksSevenoaksSevenoaksSevenoaks



SouthamptonSouthamptonSouthamptonSouthamptonSouthamptonSouthamptonSouthamptonSouthamptonSouthampton


StainesStainesStainesStainesStainesStainesStainesStainesStaines

StevenageStevenageStevenageStevenageStevenageStevenageStevenageStevenageStevenage









WatfordWatfordWatfordWatfordWatfordWatfordWatfordWatfordWatford


WindsorWindsorWindsorWindsorWindsorWindsorWindsorWindsorWindsor


5652Change in Minutes

0.5 to 5 (27)0.05 to 0.5 (195)0.02 to 0.05 (143)

-0.02 to 0.02 (529)-0.05 to -0.02 (66)-0.5 to -0.05 (240)-5 to -0.5 (35)

Thameslink 2000 Illustrative Test - Perceived Journey Time Savings (minutes)Thameslink 2000 Illustrative Test - Perceived Journey Time Savings (minutes)





























































































5652Change in Minutes

10 to 100 (7)5 to 10 (6)1 to 5 (49)

-1 to 1 (945)-5 to -1 (193)

-10 to -5 (26)-100 to -10 (9)

Thameslink 2000 Illustrative Test - Boarding Time Savings (minutes)Thameslink 2000 Illustrative Test - Boarding Time Savings (minutes)





























































































5652Change in £

2,400,000

1,200,000

240,000-240,000

-1,200,000

-2,400,000

Thameslink 2000 Illustrative Test - Monetary Savings ( £s )Thameslink 2000 Illustrative Test - Monetary Savings ( £s )



AlpertonAlpertonAlpertonAlpertonAlpertonAlpertonAlpertonAlpertonAlperton Camden TownCamden TownCamden TownCamden TownCamden TownCamden TownCamden TownCamden TownCamden Town

Canning TownCanning TownCanning TownCanning TownCanning TownCanning TownCanning TownCanning TownCanning Town

CranfordCranfordCranfordCranfordCranfordCranfordCranfordCranfordCranford

EalingEalingEalingEalingEalingEalingEalingEalingEaling

EdgwareEdgwareEdgwareEdgwareEdgwareEdgwareEdgwareEdgwareEdgware

FelthamFelthamFelthamFelthamFelthamFelthamFelthamFelthamFeltham

FinchleyFinchleyFinchleyFinchleyFinchleyFinchleyFinchleyFinchleyFinchley

GreenfordGreenfordGreenfordGreenfordGreenfordGreenfordGreenfordGreenfordGreenford

HackneyHackneyHackneyHackneyHackneyHackneyHackneyHackneyHackney

HammersmithHammersmithHammersmithHammersmithHammersmithHammersmithHammersmithHammersmithHammersmith

HarrowHarrowHarrowHarrowHarrowHarrowHarrowHarrowHarrow

Harrow WealdHarrow WealdHarrow WealdHarrow WealdHarrow WealdHarrow WealdHarrow WealdHarrow WealdHarrow Weald

HestonHestonHestonHestonHestonHestonHestonHestonHeston

HounslowHounslowHounslowHounslowHounslowHounslowHounslowHounslowHounslow

IslingtonIslingtonIslingtonIslingtonIslingtonIslingtonIslingtonIslingtonIslington

KewKewKewKewKewKewKewKewKew

NortholtNortholtNortholtNortholtNortholtNortholtNortholtNortholtNortholt

OsterleyOsterleyOsterleyOsterleyOsterleyOsterleyOsterleyOsterleyOsterley

PerivalePerivalePerivalePerivalePerivalePerivalePerivalePerivalePerivale

RichmondRichmondRichmondRichmondRichmondRichmondRichmondRichmondRichmond

SouthallSouthallSouthallSouthallSouthallSouthallSouthallSouthallSouthall

StratfordStratfordStratfordStratfordStratfordStratfordStratfordStratfordStratford

TwickenhamTwickenhamTwickenhamTwickenhamTwickenhamTwickenhamTwickenhamTwickenhamTwickenham

WealdstoneWealdstoneWealdstoneWealdstoneWealdstoneWealdstoneWealdstoneWealdstoneWealdstone

WembleyWembleyWembleyWembleyWembleyWembleyWembleyWembleyWembley

WoodfordWoodfordWoodfordWoodfordWoodfordWoodfordWoodfordWoodfordWoodford

ActonActonActonActonActonActonActonActonActon

BalhamBalhamBalhamBalhamBalhamBalhamBalhamBalhamBalham

BarnesBarnesBarnesBarnesBarnesBarnesBarnesBarnesBarnes BatterseaBatterseaBatterseaBatterseaBatterseaBatterseaBatterseaBatterseaBattersea

BermondseyBermondseyBermondseyBermondseyBermondseyBermondseyBermondseyBermondseyBermondsey

Bethnal GreenBethnal GreenBethnal GreenBethnal GreenBethnal GreenBethnal GreenBethnal GreenBethnal GreenBethnal Green

BlackheathBlackheathBlackheathBlackheathBlackheathBlackheathBlackheathBlackheathBlackheath

BowBowBowBowBowBowBowBowBow

BrixtonBrixtonBrixtonBrixtonBrixtonBrixtonBrixtonBrixtonBrixton

CamberwellCamberwellCamberwellCamberwellCamberwellCamberwellCamberwellCamberwellCamberwell

CatfordCatfordCatfordCatfordCatfordCatfordCatfordCatfordCatford

CharltonCharltonCharltonCharltonCharltonCharltonCharltonCharltonCharltonChelseaChelseaChelseaChelseaChelseaChelseaChelseaChelseaChelseaChiswickChiswickChiswickChiswickChiswickChiswickChiswickChiswickChiswick

Church EndChurch EndChurch EndChurch EndChurch EndChurch EndChurch EndChurch EndChurch End

CityCityCityCityCityCityCityCityCity

ClaphamClaphamClaphamClaphamClaphamClaphamClaphamClaphamClapham

CricklewoodCricklewoodCricklewoodCricklewoodCricklewoodCricklewoodCricklewoodCricklewoodCricklewood

Crouch EndCrouch EndCrouch EndCrouch EndCrouch EndCrouch EndCrouch EndCrouch EndCrouch End

DalstonDalstonDalstonDalstonDalstonDalstonDalstonDalstonDalston

DeptfordDeptfordDeptfordDeptfordDeptfordDeptfordDeptfordDeptfordDeptford

DulwichDulwichDulwichDulwichDulwichDulwichDulwichDulwichDulwich

EarlsfieldEarlsfieldEarlsfieldEarlsfieldEarlsfieldEarlsfieldEarlsfieldEarlsfieldEarlsfield

East DulwichEast DulwichEast DulwichEast DulwichEast DulwichEast DulwichEast DulwichEast DulwichEast DulwichEast SheenEast SheenEast SheenEast SheenEast SheenEast SheenEast SheenEast SheenEast Sheen

EastcoteEastcoteEastcoteEastcoteEastcoteEastcoteEastcoteEastcoteEastcote

Forest GateForest GateForest GateForest GateForest GateForest GateForest GateForest GateForest Gate

Forest HillForest HillForest HillForest HillForest HillForest HillForest HillForest HillForest Hill

FulhamFulhamFulhamFulhamFulhamFulhamFulhamFulhamFulham

Golders GreenGolders GreenGolders GreenGolders GreenGolders GreenGolders GreenGolders GreenGolders GreenGolders Green

HampsteadHampsteadHampsteadHampsteadHampsteadHampsteadHampsteadHampsteadHampstead

HanwellHanwellHanwellHanwellHanwellHanwellHanwellHanwellHanwell

HarlesdenHarlesdenHarlesdenHarlesdenHarlesdenHarlesdenHarlesdenHarlesdenHarlesden

HarringayHarringayHarringayHarringayHarringayHarringayHarringayHarringayHarringay

Harrow on the HillHarrow on the HillHarrow on the HillHarrow on the HillHarrow on the HillHarrow on the HillHarrow on the HillHarrow on the HillHarrow on the Hill

Hatch EndHatch EndHatch EndHatch EndHatch EndHatch EndHatch EndHatch EndHatch End

HendonHendonHendonHendonHendonHendonHendonHendonHendon

Herne HillHerne HillHerne HillHerne HillHerne HillHerne HillHerne HillHerne HillHerne Hill

Higham HillHigham HillHigham HillHigham HillHigham HillHigham HillHigham HillHigham HillHigham Hill

Highams ParkHighams ParkHighams ParkHighams ParkHighams ParkHighams ParkHighams ParkHighams ParkHighams Park

HighburyHighburyHighburyHighburyHighburyHighburyHighburyHighburyHighbury

HighgateHighgateHighgateHighgateHighgateHighgateHighgateHighgateHighgate

Hither GreenHither GreenHither GreenHither GreenHither GreenHither GreenHither GreenHither GreenHither Green

HolbornHolbornHolbornHolbornHolbornHolbornHolbornHolbornHolborn

HollowayHollowayHollowayHollowayHollowayHollowayHollowayHollowayHolloway

HornseyHornseyHornseyHornseyHornseyHornseyHornseyHornseyHornsey

Isle of DogsIsle of DogsIsle of DogsIsle of DogsIsle of DogsIsle of DogsIsle of DogsIsle of DogsIsle of DogsKensingtonKensingtonKensingtonKensingtonKensingtonKensingtonKensingtonKensingtonKensington

Kentish TownKentish TownKentish TownKentish TownKentish TownKentish TownKentish TownKentish TownKentish Town

KentonKentonKentonKentonKentonKentonKentonKentonKenton

KidbrookeKidbrookeKidbrookeKidbrookeKidbrookeKidbrookeKidbrookeKidbrookeKidbrooke

KilburnKilburnKilburnKilburnKilburnKilburnKilburnKilburnKilburn

KingsburyKingsburyKingsburyKingsburyKingsburyKingsburyKingsburyKingsburyKingsbury

LambethLambethLambethLambethLambethLambethLambethLambethLambeth

LeeLeeLeeLeeLeeLeeLeeLeeLee

LewishamLewishamLewishamLewishamLewishamLewishamLewishamLewishamLewisham

LeytonLeytonLeytonLeytonLeytonLeytonLeytonLeytonLeyton

LeytonstoneLeytonstoneLeytonstoneLeytonstoneLeytonstoneLeytonstoneLeytonstoneLeytonstoneLeytonstone

Lower ClaptonLower ClaptonLower ClaptonLower ClaptonLower ClaptonLower ClaptonLower ClaptonLower ClaptonLower Clapton

MaryleboneMaryleboneMaryleboneMaryleboneMaryleboneMaryleboneMaryleboneMaryleboneMarylebone

MortlakeMortlakeMortlakeMortlakeMortlakeMortlakeMortlakeMortlakeMortlake

MottinghamMottinghamMottinghamMottinghamMottinghamMottinghamMottinghamMottinghamMottingham

Muswell HillMuswell HillMuswell HillMuswell HillMuswell HillMuswell HillMuswell HillMuswell HillMuswell Hill

NeasdenNeasdenNeasdenNeasdenNeasdenNeasdenNeasdenNeasdenNeasden

New CrossNew CrossNew CrossNew CrossNew CrossNew CrossNew CrossNew CrossNew Cross

Norwood GreenNorwood GreenNorwood GreenNorwood GreenNorwood GreenNorwood GreenNorwood GreenNorwood GreenNorwood Green

PaddingtonPaddingtonPaddingtonPaddingtonPaddingtonPaddingtonPaddingtonPaddingtonPaddington

Park RoyalPark RoyalPark RoyalPark RoyalPark RoyalPark RoyalPark RoyalPark RoyalPark Royal

PeckhamPeckhamPeckhamPeckhamPeckhamPeckhamPeckhamPeckhamPeckham

PetershamPetershamPetershamPetershamPetershamPetershamPetershamPetershamPetersham

PinnerPinnerPinnerPinnerPinnerPinnerPinnerPinnerPinner

PlaistowPlaistowPlaistowPlaistowPlaistowPlaistowPlaistowPlaistowPlaistow

PoplarPoplarPoplarPoplarPoplarPoplarPoplarPoplarPoplar

PutneyPutneyPutneyPutneyPutneyPutneyPutneyPutneyPutney

RoehamptonRoehamptonRoehamptonRoehamptonRoehamptonRoehamptonRoehamptonRoehamptonRoehampton

Shepherd's BushShepherd's BushShepherd's BushShepherd's BushShepherd's BushShepherd's BushShepherd's BushShepherd's BushShepherd's Bush

ShoreditchShoreditchShoreditchShoreditchShoreditchShoreditchShoreditchShoreditchShoreditch

SnaresbrookSnaresbrookSnaresbrookSnaresbrookSnaresbrookSnaresbrookSnaresbrookSnaresbrookSnaresbrook

SouthwarkSouthwarkSouthwarkSouthwarkSouthwarkSouthwarkSouthwarkSouthwarkSouthwark

St. John's WoodSt. John's WoodSt. John's WoodSt. John's WoodSt. John's WoodSt. John's WoodSt. John's WoodSt. John's WoodSt. John's Wood

Stamford HillStamford HillStamford HillStamford HillStamford HillStamford HillStamford HillStamford HillStamford Hill

StanmoreStanmoreStanmoreStanmoreStanmoreStanmoreStanmoreStanmoreStanmore

StepneyStepneyStepneyStepneyStepneyStepneyStepneyStepneyStepney

Stoke NewingtonStoke NewingtonStoke NewingtonStoke NewingtonStoke NewingtonStoke NewingtonStoke NewingtonStoke NewingtonStoke Newington


TottenhamTottenhamTottenhamTottenhamTottenhamTottenhamTottenhamTottenhamTottenham

Tulse HillTulse HillTulse HillTulse HillTulse HillTulse HillTulse HillTulse HillTulse Hill

Upper ClaptonUpper ClaptonUpper ClaptonUpper ClaptonUpper ClaptonUpper ClaptonUpper ClaptonUpper ClaptonUpper Clapton

WalthamstowWalthamstowWalthamstowWalthamstowWalthamstowWalthamstowWalthamstowWalthamstowWalthamstow

WalworthWalworthWalworthWalworthWalworthWalworthWalworthWalworthWalworth

WandsworthWandsworthWandsworthWandsworthWandsworthWandsworthWandsworthWandsworthWandsworth

WansteadWansteadWansteadWansteadWansteadWansteadWansteadWansteadWanstead

West HamWest HamWest HamWest HamWest HamWest HamWest HamWest HamWest Ham

WestminsterWestminsterWestminsterWestminsterWestminsterWestminsterWestminsterWestminsterWestminster

WhitechapelWhitechapelWhitechapelWhitechapelWhitechapelWhitechapelWhitechapelWhitechapelWhitechapel

WillesdenWillesdenWillesdenWillesdenWillesdenWillesdenWillesdenWillesdenWillesden

Wood EndWood EndWood EndWood EndWood EndWood EndWood EndWood EndWood End

Wood GreenWood GreenWood GreenWood GreenWood GreenWood GreenWood GreenWood GreenWood Green

YeadingYeadingYeadingYeadingYeadingYeadingYeadingYeadingYeading

Crowding Relief5282 - Base

0.05 to 100 (12)0.02 to 0.05 (8)

-0.02 to 0.02 (1284)-0.05 to -0.02 (150)-0.1 to -0.05 (46)-2 to -0.1 (24)

Thameslink 2000 Illustrative Test - Localised Crowding ReliefThameslink 2000 Illustrative Test - Localised Crowding Relief


FLEXIBILITY OF PLANET99FLEXIBILITY OF PLANET99

• Automated input of demand.

• Automated input of transit lines.

• Enhanced presentation of economic and financial effects of scheme through interface with GIS.

• Automated input of demand.

• Automated input of transit lines.

• Enhanced presentation of economic and financial effects of scheme through interface with GIS.


Please contact:

Jeremy Douch,GIBB Transport Planning,GIBB Ltd,GIBB House,London Road,Reading, RG6 1BLUK

Tel: +44 (0) 1189 635000Fax: +44 (0) 1189 635100EMail: [email protected]

Please contact:

Jeremy Douch,GIBB Transport Planning,GIBB Ltd,GIBB House,London Road,Reading, RG6 1BLUK

Tel: +44 (0) 1189 635000Fax: +44 (0) 1189 635100EMail: [email protected]

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON PLANET99FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON PLANET99

THE PLANET99 MODEL DEMAND AND REVENUE FORECASTING TOOL FOR RAIL OPERATORS 8th EUROPEAN EMME/2 USERS...

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Transcript of THE PLANET99 MODEL DEMAND AND REVENUE FORECASTING TOOL FOR RAIL OPERATORS 8th EUROPEAN EMME/2 USERS...