The Next Generation of LNG Carriers - Marine Money 1... · The Next Generation of LNG Carriers ......

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Marine Money Week The Next Generation of LNG Carriers June 2017

Transcript of The Next Generation of LNG Carriers - Marine Money 1... · The Next Generation of LNG Carriers ......

June 2017 | 1

Marine Money Week The Next Generation of LNG Carriers

June 2017

June 2017 | 2

§  THIS PRESENTATION (THE “PRESENTATION”) HAS BEEN PRODUCED BY FLEX LNG LTD. ("FLEX LNG" OR "THE COMPANY”), SOLELY FOR PRESENTATION PURPOSES AND DOES NOT PURPORTE TO GIVE A COMPLETE DESCRIPTION OF THE COMPANY, ITS BUSINESS OR ANY OTHER MATTER DESCRIBED HEREIN.

§  THE PRESENTATION DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER, INVITATION OR SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO BUY, SUBSCRIBE OR SELL ANY SECURTIEIS. THIS PRESENTATION IS STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, TO ANY OTHER PERSON.

§  NO REPRESENTATION OR WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY OR COMPLETENESS OF ANY INFORMATION INCLUDED HEREIN IS GIVEN BY THE COMPANY, AND THAT NOTHING CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION IS OR CAN BE RELIED UPON AS A PROMISE OR REPRESENTATION BY THE COMPANY, WHO DISCLAIM ALL AND ANY LIABILITY, WHETHER ARISING IN TORT OR CONTRACT OR OTHERWISE.

§  THE PRESENTATION SPEAKS AS OF THE DATE SET OUT ON ITS FRONT PAGE. THE COMPANY DOES NOT INTEND TO, OR WILL ASSUME ANY OBLIGATION TO, UPDATE THE PRESENTATION OR ANY OF THE INFORMATION INCLUDED HEREIN.

§  THE CONTENTS OF THE PRESENTATION ARE NOT TO BE CONSTRUED AS FINANCIAL, LEGAL, BUSINESS, INVESTMENT, TAX OR OTHER PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. EACH RECIPIENT SHOULD CONSULT WITH ITS OWN PROFESSIONAL ADVISORS FOR ANY SUCH MATTER AND ADVICE.

§  AN INVESTMENT IN THE COMPANY INVOLVES RISK, AND SEVERAL FACTORS COULD CAUSE THE ACTUAL RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS OF THE COMPANY TO BE MATERIALLY DIFFERENT FROM ANY FUTURE RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS THAT MAY BE EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED BY STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION IN THIS PRESENTATION.

§  THE PRESENTATION CONTAINS CERTAIN FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS RELATING TO THE BUSINESS, FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE AND RESULTS OF THE COMPANY AND/OR THE INDUSTRY IN WHICH IT OPERATES, SOMETIMES IDENTIFIED BY THE WORDS "BELIEVES”, "EXPECTS”, “INTENDS”, “PLANS”, “ESTIMATES” AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS. THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION, INCLUDING ASSUMPTIONS, OPINIONS AND VIEWS OF THE COMPANY OR CITED FROM THIRD PARTY SOURCES, ARE SOLELY OPINIONS AND FORECASTS WHICH ARE SUBJECT TO RISKS, UNCERTAINTIES AND OTHER FACTORS THAT MAY CAUSE ACTUAL EVENTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM ANY ANTICIPATED DEVELOPMENT. THE COMPANY DOES NOT PROVIDE ANY ASSURANCE THAT THE ASSUMPTIONS UNDERLYING SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS ARE FREE FROM ERRORS NOR DOES THE COMPANY ACCEPT ANY RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE FUTURE ACCURACY OF THE OPINIONS EXPRESSED IN THE PRESENTATION OR THE ACTUAL OCCURRENCE OF THE FORECASTED DEVELOPMENTS. NO OBLIGATION IS ASSUMED TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS OR TO CONFORM THESE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS TO ACTUAL RESULTS.

§  THIS PRESENTATION IS SUBJECT TO NORWEGIAN LAW, AND ANY DISPUTE ARISING IN RESPECT OF THIS PRESENTATION IS SUBJECT TO THE EXCLUSIVE JURISDICTION OF THE NORWEGIAN COURTS.

Disclaimer

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FLEX LNG at a Glance

COMPANY SNAPSHOT

FLEX LNG FLEET

6 173,400

Owned Fleet

173,400

174,000 174,000

Chartered-In Vessels

4 173,400 170,000 160,000 155,000

•  4 chartered-in TFDEs for 6 months firm period (+6 months option) from March 2017

•  155k-174k TFDE vessels • Building market presence and operational experience

•  6 LNG MEGI vessels on order (Owned) • Under contruction at DSME and SHI in Korea • Delivering Q1-Q2 2018, Q2-Q3 2019

1. FLEX LNG is focused on providing safe, reliable, and cost effective solutions in the LNG shipping industry • FLEX LNG aims to become a leading supplier of LNG

Carriers and floating storage & regasification units (“FSRUs”) 2. FLEX LNG is listed on the Oslo Axess Stock Exchange with

a market capitalization of NOK 3.6bn / USD 430m • Majority shareholder Geveran Trading Co Ltd is committed

to building up FLEX LNG into major player in LNG shipping and floating regasification

3. FLEX LNG’s fleet will provide Charterers with highly efficient tonnage to cut fuel consumption and reduced boil off rate (BOR) • MEGI propulsion has ~30% lower fuel consumption than Tri-

Fuel Diesel Electric (TFDE) vessels 4. FLEX LNG is actively pursuing opportunities in the FSRU

market • Opportunities may include FSRU newbuildings for long-term

charters and/or conversions of existing vessels

173,400 173,400

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LNG Carrier (R)evolution

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1970 1995 2020

# LNGC Existing Fleet Orderbook

# Vessels

Steam Turbine: First LNG Vessel 1969

4-Stroke Diesel Engines: First Dual Fuel (DFDE) in 2004 First Tri Fuel (TFDE) in 2008

2-Stroke Engines MEGI/X-DF: First MEGI in 2016 First X-DF in 2017

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Steam Turbine Propulsion: •  Steam turbine propulsion was the norm for nearly 40 years •  Propulsion system capable of burning gas •  Higher consumption fed by higher Boil-Off Rates (BOR) Tri Fuel Diesel Electric Propulsion: •  Technical innovation allows diesel generators to burn gas. Multiple generators provide electricity to propulsion motors •  Improved fuel consumption by ~35% vs. Steam vessels •  Lower BOR containment systems developed allowing for increase in delivered volumes of LNG MEGI / XDF Two-Stroke Propulsion: •  Direct gas injection into medium speed direct drive engines •  Improved fuel consumption by ~25% vs. TFDE and >50% vs. Steam vessels •  Lower consumption levels mean excess BOG at slow speeds. Re-liquefaction systems developed to recover excess boil-off

LNG Shipping – Technological Evolution

LNGC Fleet and Orderbook by Propulsion Type

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10

20

30

40

50

'72 '74 '76 '78 '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16 '18 '20 '22

# Vessels MEGI ST DFDE/TFDE Other XD-F

41%

8%

5% 44%

2%

The LNG fleet is undergoing a

transformation to 2-stroke

tonnage (MEGI and X-DF)

Source: Affinity LNG

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LNG Trend: Bigger, Better Ships, at Lower Shipyard Prices

173 165 150 155 185

205 220 220 245

212 202 202 201 209 205 200 190 185

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

-

50

100

150

200

250

2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015

Size m3 (‘000)

Thou

sand

s

US$ million Average Price Average Size

LNGC Ships Have Grown in Cargo Capacity and Improved Fuel Efficiency and Boil Off Rates, Whilst Shipyard Prices Have Decreased •  Average newbuilding price per cubic meter of cargo

capacity has decreased over the last ten years

•  The average delivered vessel size has increased by ~13% since 2000

•  The average newbuilding price per cubic meter decreased by ~15%

Unit Transportation Costs (UTC) have declined basis same Charter Rates •  Increased cargo capacity •  Decreased fuel consumption •  Steady to decreasing contract prices

•  Modern two stroke LNGC provide improved shipping efficiency for Charterers/Consumers

LNGC Newbuilding Average Prices vs. Average Vessel Size

Unit Transportation Cost: Comparison of LNG Ship Types

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

ST 138k TFDE 160k TFDE 174k X-DF 174k MEGI 174k

$ / mmbtu

2017

Source: DSME, MAN, FLEX LNG

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Unit Transportation Cost Breakdown – U.S. to Japan

On a Unit Transportation Cost basis, the vessels will be on par with other vessel performance classes: •  TFDE at US$ 100,000 pd •  145,000 m3 ST ~US$ 73,000 pd

•  174,000 m3 MEGI ~US$ 118,000 pd Vessel UTC is affected by two major factors: •  The daily boil-off rate of the containment

system •  The fuel efficiency and flexibility of the

propulsion system Voyage Assumptions: Sabine Pass to Tokyo Bay via Panama Canal (9278 nm), Round Trip, BOG priced at US$ 5.50 / MMBtu

LNGC Comparative Analysis: 145K ST vs. 160K TFDE vs. 174K MEGI

Generic  Vessel  Class  Specifica0ons  

Vessel  Class   145k  ST   160k  TFDE   174k  MEGI  

Capacity    

           Cubic  Meters   145,000  m3   160,645  m3   174,000m3  

           Tonnes  (@  98.5%)   65,414   72,472   78,497  

Propulsion  System   ST   TFDE   MEGI  

Daily  Boil-­‐Off  Rates   0.15%     0.10%   0.06%  

             Delivered  Mmbtu   3,133,341   3,591,128   3,950,462  

Charter  Hire  Rate  (US$  /  day)   72,784   100,000   118,364  

           Voyage  DuraMon   48.86  days   48.86  days   48.86  days  

           Transit  Speed   16.5  kts   16.5  kts   16.5  kts  

           Laden  HFOE      ConsumpMon  /  day     142   91   68  

             Ballast  HFOE  ConsumpMon  /  day     146   102   69  

Total  Trade  Costs  (US$)  

           Charter  Hire   3,556,118   4,885,859   5,783,098  

           Fuel  Costs   47,726   38,933   34,348  

           Boil-­‐Off   1,551,970   1,061,014   814,872  

           Port  Charges   312,000   312,000   312,000  

           Canal  Fees   583,600   637,732   683,940  

     Total  Voyage  Costs   6,051,414   6,935,537   7,629,518  

Unit  Cost  Per  MMBtu  

           Charter  Hire   1.13   1.36   1.46  

           Fuel  Costs   0.02   0.01   0.01  

           Boil-­‐Off   0.50   0.30   0.21  

           Port  Charges   0.10   0.09   0.08  

           Canal  Fees   0.19   0.18   0.17  

     Total  Voyage  Cost  Per  MMBtu   1.93   1.93   1.93  

Source: Poten & Partners

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Efficiency Commands a Premium in LNG Shipping

Brokers began publishing assessed two-stroke (MEGI and X-DF) spot charter rates in January 2017

Sources: Arctic Shipping Research, Fearnley LNG, Clarksons

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

January-17 February-17 March-17 April-17 May-17

ST TFDE MEGI/X-DF Assessment

US$/ day

There are currently ten MEGIs on the water (all under term TC contracts)

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

2014 2015 2016 2017

ST TFDE

US$/ day

June 2017 | 9

Right Ships at the Right Time

Source: FLEX LNG

Only 11 Open LNGCs out of 101 through 2021

28

41

19

2

1

5

5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

2017 2018 2019 2020-2021

Term Charters Uncommitted

# Vessels Most of the vessels in the orderbook are committed to long term charters

•  Currently, there are 101 LNGC newbuildings under construction

•  90% of the LNGC newbuildings built by 2021 are committed for long term charters

FLEX LNG owns 6 out of the 11 open LNG newbuildings, four of which delivers in 2018 and two in 2019

•  Limited ordering – only 8 LNGC newbuildings contracted over the last 18 months

•  Ramp up of LNG global supply is expected to drive strong demand for term charters of modern tonnage

•  Incremental LNGC demand 30-50 vessels by 2021

•  Most of the recent long term charters has been MEGI or XDF vessels

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FLEX LNG Strategic Focus

FLEX LNG has the goal of becoming a leading supplier of LNG Carriers and FSRUs by leveraging on its state of the art LNGCs and extensive experience in the FSRU sector

The LNG market is growing rapidly and 30-50 additional vessels will be required by 2020 •  New export projects will add 25-30 mtpa of LNG per year over through 2020

•  The current orderbook is insufficient to meet this demand for LNGCs •  FLEX LNG is well positioned to provide customers with superior transportation efficiency

•  Further newbuildings will be considered as the market evolves

FLEX LNG has chartered in LNG vessels at competitive rates going into an improving market •  Four LNGCs chartered-in will allow FLEX LNG to become operational one year before the delivery of the newbuild vessels •  FLEX LNG is building strong relationships with Charterers whilst developing our operational capabilities and reputation in market

•  Having LNGCs on charter also allows FLEX LNG to offer flexible delivery timing and charter periods in combination with the owned fleet

FLEX LNG is actively pursuing opportunities in the FSRU market to leverage its experience with the development and implementation of FSRU projects •  Opportunities may include FSRU newbuildings for long-term chartering contracts and/or conversions of existing vessels

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Thank You