The new investment framework and supported housing Jake Eliot, Policy Officer SHiP Conference 2011...

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The new investment framework and supported housing Jake Eliot, Policy Officer SHiP Conference 2011 Friday 4 February

Transcript of The new investment framework and supported housing Jake Eliot, Policy Officer SHiP Conference 2011...

The new investment framework and supported housing

Jake Eliot, Policy OfficerSHiP Conference 2011

Friday 4 February

Summary

• The Spending Review and context• Quick look at the new framework• Issues for supported housing• Localism Bill and tenure reform• Discussion

A brave new world?

• Financial context:- cut the deficit - the new investment framework

• Ideological position: - social housing seen as stagnant- culture of dependency- Local leadership- tenancy and allocation reform - regulatory reform

• Housing: NAHP 60% cash cut:- £4.5 billion (including existing commitments,

mortgage rescue, empty homes, places of change and G&TSs) over next 4 years

- ‘flexibility’ to fill the capital hole- new ‘Affordable Rent’ tenure at up to 80% of

market rent (on a proportion of re-lets and new build) in return for an agreement on new supply.

CSR: The headlines

• 19% cut across departmental and capital budgets• CLG: largest cut – departmental budget by 51%, capital

spending by 74%

The new funding model

• Government argue a limited capital pot can provide 150,000 new affordable homes

• But... future supply is extremely sensitive,

o proportion of re-lets at new tenure o market rent levels – LHA and housing benefit caps

....New model will not generate capacity everywhere

Quick look at affordability in SE

£0

£50

£100

£150

£200

£250

£300

Brig

hton

Mole

Valle

y

Guild

ford

Tan

drid

ge

T'b

ridge

& M

alling

Sev

enoa

ks

Mid

Sus

sex

Tun

brid

ge W

ells

Hors

ham

Adu

r

Cra

wle

y

Wor

thin

g

Chic

hest

er

Dart

ford

Gra

vesh

am

Sw

ale

Cant

erbur

y

Maid

stone

Wea

lden

Roth

er

She

pway

Ash

ford

Tha

net

Medw

ay

Hast

ings

Dove

r

£'s

per

wee

k -

2 b

ed p

rope

rty

Weekly cost of renting from an RSL

Private rent

Weekly cost of buying a lower quartile priced flat

Old model vs new model

Social Rent Affordable Rent

Rents at c. 50% of market rent Rents at up to 80% of market rent

Grant at c. £80k unit (nationally) Grant as part of the wider offer

Limited use of existing assets – disposals and conversions

More active asset management strategies involving conversions of voids and disposals

Lifetime tenancies Fixed term tenancies – with opportunity to extend

• Level of flexibility? What about service charges?• Where does the model work? • What’s the ‘market rate’ for supported housing?• In local relationships, who’s making the case for

supported and specialist? • Interaction with welfare reform? • Will near market rents be affordable or create

work disincentives?

Some big questions about supported housing

• How to deliver range of solutions and value for money for grant

• High risk of revenue model

• Challenge of timescales

Key issues for development

The major stumbling block:rents and benefits

Family size Housing need Benefits left for housing costs within £500 cap

Couple with 4 children 3b6p £129.95

Couple with 5 children 4b7p £65.97

• Rent risks – need confirmation of high level principle between CLG/DWP that is covered and not subject to further review after sign-off

• £500 p.w. (£26k p.a.) benefits cap for larger families as proposed by the Universal Credit

• If this cap remains it will limit the supply of larger homes, particularly in high value areas. HCA/CLG in discussion with DWP.

• Certainty on benefits • Enabling rents and

service charges• Sensible partner

engagement• Product flexibility • Operational control for

housing associations

Radical reform needs real flexibility

Other potential solutions

• Non-grant development models

• Equity release through asset management

• Better or different investment partnerships?o Health or social serviceso Consortia with developing associations

Where do we go from here?

• End of Jan/early Feb - HCA publish prospectus • Feb to end of March – bids invited from providers • April to May – assessment of bids • Early to mid June – ‘National mediation’• Mid June – HCA Board/Ministerial sign-off• Late June – contracts signed.

Agreeing investment packages

• Need tight proposals for first eighteen months of programme

• Critical to have local authorities on board – particularly to deliver supported and specialist

• Know the risks of engaging….• ….and the risks of not engaging

Wait, did someone say ‘Localism’?

Flexible Tenancies and tenancy strategies

• Flexible tenancies of at least 2 years

• Limited succession rights

• Local Authorities not obliged to have open waiting lists

• Local authorities will have a strategic tenancy policies

• More tenant transfers outside allocation system to improve mobility

Jake Eliot

Policy Officer

020 7067 [email protected]

www.housing.org.uk/careandsupport

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