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The New Demographics of 

Higher Education

Will Doyle

National Press Foundation

Business of Higher Education Seminar 

10/30/06

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Projections of Population Aged 18-24, 2006-

2050

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Projection Estimates

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Projections of Population Aged 18-24 2006-2050White Non-Hispanics Only

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Projection Estimates

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Projections of Population Aged 18-24 2006-2050African-Americans Only

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Projection Estimates

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Projections of Population Aged 18-24 2006-2050Asians Only

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Projection Estimates

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Projections of Population Aged 18-24 2006-2050Hispanics Only

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Projection Estimates

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Projections of Population Aged 18-24 2006-2050

All Racial/Ethnic Groups

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Projections of Percent of 

Population Aged 18-24 by StateStates with 10% or more increase in 18-24 Year Old Population, 2005-2030

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Projection Estimates

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Projected Dependency Ratio, 2000-2100

Under 15 and Over 65

0

5

50

55

60

65

70

75

0

1990 1995 199 2000 2010 2015 2020 2025 20 0 20 5 20 0 20 5 2050 2060 2070 20 0 2090 2100

Dependency Ra

tio

Lo I i ration

Midde I i ration

i I i ration

ct a Projected

So rce: U.S. Cens s B rea , Pop ation Projection Esti ates

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Projected Dependency Ratio, 2000-2100

65 and over only

10

15

20

25

0

5

0

5

1 0 1 5 1 2000 2010 2015 2020 2025 20 0 20 5 20 0 20 5 2050 2060 20 0 20 0 20 0 2100

Dependency Ratio (65+)

o i ration

iddle i ration

i i ration

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Projection Esti ates

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Population Pyramid, 2000

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Population Pyramid, 2025

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Population Pyramid, 2050

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Percent of Adult Population With

Advanced Tertiary Degrees

or ay

nited tates

anada

KoreaJapan

o data for 

ource: OE D, Education at a Glance: OECD Indicators -

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Percent of Population aged 25-34

With an Advanced Tertiary Degree3

3

2

5

5

2

25

3

35

4

2 2 2 2 2 3

or  ay

nited tate

orea

anada

apan

o data for 

ource: OE D, Education at a Glance: OECD Indicators -2 3

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Growth in Population With a

Bachelor¶s Degreeorwa

ana a

nite tates

orea

apan

o ata or 

ource: OE D, Education at a Glance: OECD Indicators

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Output Per Hour, All Businesses

Source: Bureau of abor Statistics, M ajor Sector Productivity and Costs

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