The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President...

37
The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida March 26, 2013

Transcript of The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President...

Page 1: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America

Don McClure, Vice President

Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal

Miami, Florida

March 26, 2013

Page 2: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

2

Future Oriented InformationIn the interests of providing Encana shareholders and potential investors with information regarding Encana, including management’s assessment of Encana’s and its subsidiaries’ future plans and operations, certain statements contained in this presentation are forward-looking statements or information within the meaning of applicable securities legislation, collectively referred to herein as “forward-looking statements.” Forward-looking statements in this presentation include, but are not limited to: projections contained in the 2012 Corporate Guidance (including but not limited to estimates of cash flow, including per share amounts, natural gas, oil and natural gas liquids (“NGLs”) production, capital investment and its allocation, net divestitures, operating costs, and estimated 2012 sensitivities of cash flow and operating earnings); projections for 2013 (including but not limited to capital investment, net divestitures, net capital investment, natural gas, oil and NGLs and total liquids production, cash flow, net debt, and cash balance as of year-end); 2012 projected net debt and cash balance as of year-end; projection for long-term natural gas prices to reflect marginal supply cost; achieving a more balanced portfolio of production and cashflow; projected number of wells to be drilled in 2012 and their distribution among the Company’s plays; projected percentage shift of capital investments to liquids rich plays from 2012 to 2013 and expected cash flow contribution from liquids production by 2013; the flexibility of capital spending plans and the sources of funding therefore; the ability to maintain investment grade credit rating; ability to attract new joint venture capital and implement existing joint ventures; projection to maintain current level of dividends; the effect of the Company's risk management program, including the impact of commodity price hedges in 2012 and 2013; projections, estimates and future plans and strategies for the Canadian and USA Divisions, various properties, plays basins and other assets, including liquids content and production growth for 2012-2013, PIIP, COIP, NGIP and EUR, target well cost, drilling, completion and tie-in (“DCT”) costs, operating cost, transportation cost, drilling plans and well inventories, reductions in supply costs and estimates of reserves and economic contingent resources; forecast date of first natural gas production for Deep Panuke; projected coal to gas displacement for 2012 to 2013; expected coal unit retirements by 2025 and expected increase in potential natural gas demand; expected increase in natural gas demand from transportation; projected North American LNG export opportunity up to 2020, including from Kitimat LNG Project; short-, medium- and long-term projected increase in natural gas demand from various sectors; projected North American natural gas production from 2012 to 2013, including by product types; projected future North American natural gas prices; projected U.S. and Western Canadian ethane and propane supply and demand up to 2017; and expectations for NGLs' prices, supply and demand in the future.

Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, as there can be no assurance that the plans, intentions or expectations upon which they are based will occur. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve numerous assumptions, known and unknown risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, that contribute to the possibility that the predictions, forecasts, projections and other forward-looking statements will not occur, which may cause the Company’s actual performance and financial results in future periods to differ materially from any estimates or projections of future performance or results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These assumptions, risks and uncertainties include, among other things: volatility of, and assumptions regarding natural gas and liquids prices, including substantial or extended decline of the same and their adverse effect on the Company’s operations and financial condition and the value and amount of its reserves; assumptions based upon the Company’s current guidance; fluctuations in currency and interest rates; risk that the Company may not conclude divestitures of certain assets or other transactions (including third-party capital investments, farmouts or partnerships, which Encana may refer to from time to time as “partnerships” or “joint ventures”, regardless of the legal form) as a result of various conditions not being met; product supply and demand; market competition; risks inherent in the Company’s and its subsidiaries’ marketing operations, including credit risks; imprecision of reserves estimates and estimates of recoverable quantities of natural gas and liquids from resource plays and other sources not currently classified as proved, probable or possible reserves or economic contingent resources, including future net revenue estimates; marketing margins; potential disruption or unexpected technical difficulties in developing new facilities; unexpected cost increases or technical difficulties in constructing or modifying processing facilities; risks associated with technology; the Company’s ability to acquire or find additional reserves; hedging activities resulting in realized and unrealized losses; business interruption and casualty losses; risk of the Company not operating all of its properties and assets; counterparty risk; downgrade in credit rating and its adverse effects; liability for indemnification obligations to third parties; variability of dividends to be paid; its ability to generate sufficient cash flow from operations to meet its current and future obligations; its ability to access external sources of debt and equity capital; the timing and the costs of well and pipeline construction; the Company’s ability to secure adequate product transportation; changes in royalty, tax, environmental, greenhouse gas, carbon, accounting and other laws or regulations or the interpretations of such laws or regulations; political and economic conditions in the countries in which the Company operates; terrorist threats; risks associated with existing and potential future lawsuits and regulatory actions made against the Company; risk arising from price basis differential; risk arising from inability to enter into attractive hedges to protect the Company’s capital program; and other risks and uncertainties described from time to time in the reports and filings made with securities regulatory authorities by Encana.

Although Encana believes that the expectations represented by such forward-looking statements are reasonable, there can be no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of important factors is not exhaustive. In addition, assumptions relating to such forward-looking statements generally include Encana’s current expectations and projections made in light of, and generally consistent with, its historical experience and its perception of historical trends, including the conversion of resources into reserves and production as well as expectations regarding rates of advancement and innovation, generally consistent with and informed by its past experience, all of which are subject to the risk factors identified elsewhere in this presentation. Assumptions with respect to forward-looking information regarding expanding Encana's oil and NGLs production and extraction volumes are based on existing expansion of natural gas processing facilities in areas where Encana operates and the continued expansion and development of oil and NGL production from existing properties within its asset portfolio.

Forward-looking information respecting anticipated 2012 cash flow for Encana is based upon, among other things, achieving average production for 2012 of 3.0 Bcf/d of natural gas and 30,000 bbls/d of liquids, commodity prices for natural gas and liquids based on NYMEX $3.25 per Mcf and WTI of $95 per bbl, an estimated U.S./Canadian dollar foreign exchange rate of $1.00 and a weighted average number of outstanding shares for Encana of approximately 736 million. Forward-looking information respecting anticipated 2013 cash flow for Encana is based upon achieving average production for 2013 of between 2.9 Bcf/d and 3.1 Bcf/d of natural gas and 60,000 bbls/d to 70,000 bbls/d of liquids, commodity prices for natural gas and liquids based on NYMEX $3.50 per Mcf and WTI of $90 per bbl, an estimated U.S./Canadian dollar foreign exchange rate of $1.00 and a weighted average number of outstanding shares for Encana of approximately 736 million.

Furthermore, the forward‑looking statements contained in this presentation are made as of the date hereof and, except as required by law, Encana undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward‑looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The forward‑looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.

Page 3: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

3

Advisory Regarding Reserves Data & Other Oil & Gas Information Disclosure Protocols

National Instrument (“NI”) 51-101 of the Canadian Securities Administrators imposes oil and gas disclosure standards for Canadian public companies such as Encana engaged in oil and gas activities. Encana complies with the NI 51-101 annual disclosure requirements in its annual information form, most recently dated February 23, 2012 (“AIF”). The Canadian protocol disclosure is contained in Appendix A and under “Narrative Description of the Business” in the AIF. Encana has obtained an exemption dated January 4, 2011 from certain requirements of NI 51-101 to permit it to provide certain disclosure prepared in accordance with U.S. disclosure requirements, in addition to the Canadian protocol disclosure. That disclosure is primarily set forth in Appendix D of the AIF.

Reserves are the estimated remaining quantities of oil and natural gas and related substances anticipated to be recoverable from known accumulations, from a given date forward, based on: analysis of drilling, geological, geophysical and engineering data, the use of established technology, and specified economic conditions, which are generally accepted as being reasonable. Proved reserves are those reserves which can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves. Probable reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves. Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. It is unlikely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the sum of the estimated proved plus probable plus possible reserves.

The estimates of economic contingent resources contained in this presentation are based on definitions contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook. Contingent resources do not constitute, and should not be confused with, reserves. Contingent resources are defined as those quantities of petroleum estimated, on a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. Economic contingent resources are those contingent resources that are currently economically recoverable. In examining economic viability, the same fiscal conditions have been applied as in the estimation of reserves. There is a range of uncertainty of estimated recoverable volumes. A low estimate is considered to be a conservative estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the low estimate, which under probabilistic methodology reflects a 90 percent confidence level. A best estimate is considered to be a realistic estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the best estimate, which under probabilistic methodology reflects a 50 percent confidence level. A high estimate is considered to be an optimistic estimate. It is unlikely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the high estimate, which under probabilistic methodology reflects a 10 percent confidence level.There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the volumes currently classified as economic contingent resources. The primary contingencies which currently prevent the classification of Encana's disclosed economic contingent resources as reserves include the lack of a reasonable expectation that all internal and external approvals will be forthcoming and the lack of a documented intent to develop the resources within a reasonable time frame. Other commercial considerations that may preclude the classification of contingent resources as reserves include factors such as legal, environmental, political and regulatory matters or a lack of markets. The estimates of various classes of reserves (proved, probable, possible) and of contingent resources (low, best, high) in this presentation represent arithmetic sums of multiple estimates of such classes for different properties, which statistical principles indicate may be misleading as to volumes that may actually be recovered. Readers should give attention to the estimates of individual classes of reserves and contingent resources and appreciate the differing probabilities of recovery associated with each class.

Encana uses the terms resource play, total petroleum initially-in-place, natural gas-in-place, and crude oil-in-place. Resource play is a term used by Encana to describe an accumulation of hydrocarbons known to exist over a large areal expanse and/or thick vertical section, which when compared to a conventional play, typically has a lower geological and/or commercial development risk and lower average decline rate. Total petroleum initially-in-place (“PIIP”) is defined by the Society of Petroleum Engineers - Petroleum Resources Management System (“SPE-PRMS”) as that quantity of petroleum that is estimated to exist originally in naturally occurring accumulations. It includes that quantity of petroleum that is estimated, as of a given date, to be contained in known accumulations prior to production plus those estimated quantities in accumulations yet to be discovered (equivalent to “total resources”). Natural gas-in-place (“NGIP”) and crude oil-in-place (“COIP”) are defined in the same manner, with the substitution of “natural gas” and “crude oil” where appropriate for the word “petroleum”. As used by Encana, estimated ultimate recovery (“EUR”) has the meaning set out jointly by the Society of Petroleum Engineers and World Petroleum Congress in the year 2000, being those quantities of petroleum which are estimated, on a given date, to be potentially recoverable from an accumulation, plus those quantities already produced therefrom.

In this presentation, Encana has provided information with respect to certain of its plays and emerging opportunities which is “analogous information” as defined in NI 51-101. This analogous information includes estimates of PIIP, NGIP, COIP or EUR, all as defined in the Canadian Oil & Gas Evaluation Handbook (“COGEH”) or by the SPE-PRMS, and/or production type curves. This analogous information is presented on a basin, sub-basin or area basis utilizing data derived from Encana's internal sources, as well as from a variety of publicly available information sources which are predominantly independent in nature. Some of this data may not have been prepared by qualified reserves evaluators or auditors and the preparation of any estimates may not be in strict accordance with COGEH. Regardless, estimates by engineering and geo-technical practitioners may vary and the differences may be significant. Encana believes that the provision of this analogous information is relevant to Encana's oil and gas activities, given its acreage position and operations (either ongoing or planned) in the areas in question.There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the estimated PIIP, NGIP, COIP or EUR. 30-day IP and short-term rates are not necessarily indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery.In this presentation, certain oil and NGLs volumes have been converted to cubic feet equivalent (cfe) on the basis of one barrel (bbl) to six thousand cubic feet (Mcf). Cfe may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A conversion ratio of one bbl to six Mcf is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent value equivalency at the well head. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as an indication of value.For convenience, references in this presentation to “Encana”, the “Company”, “we”, “us” and “our” may, where applicable, refer only to or include any relevant direct and indirect subsidiary corporations and partnerships (“Subsidiaries”) of Encana Corporation, and the assets, activities and initiatives of such Subsidiaries.

Page 4: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

Canada and United States: Importance of Energy Partnership

• Bi-Lateral Trade• Oil• Natural Gas• Electricity

• Canada 6th largest oil producer in world (3 MMBbl/d in 2011)

• Canada 3rd largest oil reserves in world behind Saudi Arabia and Venezuela

• Common objectives to further strengthen environmental monitoring programs around air, land, water, and biodiversity

Page 5: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

North American* Shale Play Activity

* Canada and United States

Page 6: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

Tremendous Asset BaseLeading North American Portfolio of Resource Plays

Greater Sierra (inc. Horn River)

Duvernay

Cutbank Ridge

Bighorn

Clearwater

Jonah

DJ NiobraraNiobrara/MancosPiceance

TexasHaynesville

Tuscaloosa

Collingwood/Utica

Deep Panuke

Resource Play

Emerging Play

Mississippian LimeSan Juan

Eaglebine

Clearwater Oil

Peace River Arch

Biased to organic growth: We have amassed large, concentrated, contiguous land positions in the core of many of North America’s best resource plays – at low entry costs.

Page 7: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

77

Traditional Wells Horizontal Drilling

Horizontal Drilling

Page 8: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

88

Hydraulic FracturingPumping fluid under high pressure to fracture formation

Hydraulic Fractures

Creates fracture “highway” for gas to be rapidly produced from formation

Page 9: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

9

Increase in Initial Production RatesThe Result of Shale Development

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

9

Source: IHS Energy, Encana

99

Page 10: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

10

Jan

Jan

FebFeb

Mar

Mar

AprApr

May

May

May

Jun

Jun Ju

lJu

lAug

AugSep

SepO

ctO

ctO

ctNov

NovDec

Dec1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

5.50

6.00

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Weekly Average NYMEX PricesNYMEX Historical PricesPrompt month traded significantly lower in 2012 than in the previous three years

due to high storage levels coming off a warm winter. A more normal winter alleviated storage concerns, pushing prices back towards historical levels.US$/MMBtu

Source: Encana Fundamentals, CME

Page 11: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

11

Coal/Gas Comparison

Source: Energy Information Administration

Page 12: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

12Source: Energy Information Administration

Carbon Dioxide Emission from Energy ConsumptionC

O2

Em

iss

ion

s(M

illio

n M

etr

ic T

on

s o

f C

arb

on

Dio

xid

e)

Year (January – October)

Page 13: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

13

Abundance of natural gas enables an energy plan that will include…

• Natural gas as a preferred fuel for power generation

• Natural gas as a transportation fuel

• Expanded natural gas use in industrial applications

• Accessing new markets – LNG export

Encana’s Vision for the Future Leading North American Resource Play Company

Page 14: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Jan-10

Mar-10

May-10

Jul-10

Sep-10

Nov-10

Jan-11

Mar-11

May-11

Jul-11

Sep-11

Nov-11

Jan-12

Mar-12

% of TotalGeneration

Coal

Natural Gas

58

60

62

64

66

68

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

Share of Power Generation

0

5

10

15

20

25

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Plant/Pipeline

Electric

Industrial

Commercial

Transportation

Residential

Source: Energy Information Administration (EIA); *3 year growth.

Natural Gas Consumption Sectors (Bcf/d)

Natural Gas Consumption (Bcf/d)

U.S Natural Gas Demand StoryStrong Growth Continues

Page 15: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

Coal-to-Gas DisplacementHistorical and Implied by Natural Gas Prices

Jan 2011

Apr 2011

Jul 2011

Oct 2011

Jan 2012

Apr 2012

Jul 2012

Oct 2012

Jan 2013

Apr 2013

Jul 2013

Oct 2013

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Estimated Historical Implied by Forward CurveAverage Annual Displacement.

7.4

4.5

Year-Over-Year Displacement

Year Bcf/d

2011 1.3

2012 4.6

2013F (2.9)

2.8

Bcf/dThe forward curve implies a loss in coal-to-gas displacement of 2.9 Bcf/d

from 2012-2013.

Source: Encana Fundamentals, EIA, Ventyx, NYMEX Note: forward curve as of January 30, 2013.

Page 16: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

Source: Encana Fundamentals, company announcements.

Between 2012 and 2025 50 GWs of coal-fired capacity retirements have been announced, representing a 5.4 Bcf/d potential NG demand opportunity.

Long-term: Coal Unit Retirements5 Bcf/d Demand Opportunity

Page 17: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

17Source: Data and forecast from EIA, Encana

Transportation and Oil & Gas OpportunityUSA and Canada (Bcf/d)

Displaceable Market Volume: 73 Bcfe/d

Most Commercially Ready

Influence on Early Adoption

Largest Opportunity

CURRENT FUEL CONSUMPTION BY MARKET SEGMENT

2022 SCENARIONATURAL GAS FUELS ADOPTION

Cumulative Demand ~ 4 Bcf/d

47 Bcf/d

15 Bcf/d4 Bcf/d 4 Bcf/d 2 Bcf/d 1 Bcf/d

% – Forecast Segment Adoption Level

818 MM kg CO2e (25%)

317 MM kg CO2e (28%)

85 MM kg CO2e (28%)

85 MM kg CO2e (28%)

42 MM kg CO2e (28%)

51 MM kg CO2e (28%)

Potential GHG Emission Eliminations

Page 18: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

The North American Market is RespondingInfrastructure Growth and Recent Industry Announcements

2008 2009 2010 20110

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

831 825

9521030

38 36 44 46

CNG LNG

Total NGV Station Count

Growth Since 2008

197 CNG Stations & 8 LNG Stations Total Capital ~$500 Million

96

Source: Energy Information Administration (EIA), 2010; Statistics Canada; U.S. Dept of Energy AFDC.

Station Infrastructure• Shell/Travel Centers of America

− 100 LNG stations planned• Clean Energy LNG station expansion

− “America’s Natural Gas Highway” • Encana/Heckmann

− Mobile and fixed stations• Over 100 new CNG stations planned

New Natural Gas Vehicles and Engines• “Big 3” offering pick-ups• Volvo/Navistar – on road• Cummins/Westport – on road• Caterpillar/Cummins – off road• Caterpillar/Westport – rail

Industry Announcements

Page 19: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

Projected New Natural Gas Demand CreationExcellent Opportunities Diversified Across Many Sectors

Bcf/dShort Term

< 3 yrsMedium Term

3 to 10 yrs Long Term10 years +

Announced Retirements 1 to 2* 2 to 4 4 +

Incremental Power 0 to 1 7 to 9 10 to 14 +

Industrial 0 to 1 2 to 3 3 +

LNG Export – USA 0 2 to 4 4 to 6

LNG Export – Canada 0 2 to 3 2 to 5

Transportation < 0.1 1 to 2 2 +

Gas to Liquids 0 < 1 1 +

Total 1 to 4 16 to 26 26 to 35

*A portion of this demand is currently being realized by natural gas.

Page 20: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

20

Jan

2008 Jun

2008 Nov

2008 Apr

2009 Sep

2009 Feb

2010 Jul

2010 Dec

2010 May

2011 Oct

2011 Mar

2012 Aug

2012 Jan

2013

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

Oil Rigs Gas Rigs

Drilling for OilRig Shift

The number of oil-directed rigs has more than tripled since January 2010, while the number of gas-directed rigs has dropped by approximately 58 percent.Rigs

Source: Encana Fundamentals, Smith Bits

Page 21: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

21

Page 22: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

22

Page 23: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

The challenges continue . . .

Page 24: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

24

Water Potential contamination Uses too much Use produces same amount

of energy regardless of energy source

Fluid management regulations

Land

Air

Methane leaks Volatile organic compound

emissions

Values Urban areas Traffic Noise Surface disturbance

Industry does not care about the environment

Industry is highly profitable Industry gouges public with

excessive gasoline prices

Challenges Post Election . . . Regulatory Uncertainty and Public Misperceptions

Page 25: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

Working through the challenges . . . Engage, Educate, Execute

Page 26: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

Advancing Resource Play Hub DevelopmentTrack Record of Continuous Supply Cost Reductions

• Substantial cost reductions through resource play hub model

• Multi-well pad using fit-for-purpose rig

• Highly efficient repeatable process

• Cost savings with minimal surface and environmental impact

Concentrated resource + Pad drilling + Repeatable process = Resource Play Hub

Hydraulic pressure fractures rock)

Productive formation

Formation core

Page 27: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

Q & A

Page 28: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

2828

Surface Casing Cement

Steel Surface Casing

Production Casing Cement*

Steel Production Casing

Production Tubing*

Aquifer

Multiple Layers of Groundwater Protection

*Geologic conditions do not always allow production casing cement to be circulated back to the surface; tubing not always utilized.

How Do We Protect Ground Water?Safety at the Surface

Page 29: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

2929

Potassium chloride0.06%

Guar gum / Hydroxyethyl cellulose0.056%

Isopropanol0.085%

Petroleum distillate0.088%

Sodium chloride0.01%

Borate salts0.007%

Citric acid0.004%

N,n-dimethyl formamide0.002%

Glutaraldehyde0.001%

Acid0.123%

Ammonium Persulfate0.043%

Potassium carbonate0.011%

Source: DOE, GWPC: Modern Gas ShaleDevelopment In the United States: A Primer (2009)

What’s in the Frac Fluid?

Other common uses: soap, cosmetics, ice-cream, toothpaste, water treatment,

disinfectants, medicines

0.49%ADDITIVES

Page 30: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

30

Introduction• The North American natural gas market has undergone a

transformation in which the ability of the industry to deliver gas to the market has dramatically increased

– Technological advances have unlocked a vast resource once thought uneconomic to develop

– Shale gas plays now account for about 26 percent of North American natural gas production

– Resource deliverability is driven by rig count

• IHS Global Insight estimates that the shale gas industry contributed over 600,000 jobs in 2010 and expects by 2015 that number could increase to 870,000 jobs

• Immense resource is available with supply cost between $4.00 and $6.00/MMBtu

Note: North America refers to the United States and Canada unless noted otherwise

Page 31: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

1,409 1,400513

980 850

694

1,023

499

627

1,625

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

NPC 2011 MITei 2010 PGC 2011

P90 P50 P10 NEB

Resource (Tcf)

Source: National Petroleum Council, Potential Gas Committee, Canada National Energy Board, MITei, EIA

4,014

3,273

2,333

Vast Energy Resources in North America Technology Continues to Unlock Shale Gas

Confidential

At 2011 consumption rates for North America (~27 Tcf) there is an estimated 86 to 149 years of supply

Page 32: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

$0.00

$1.00

$2.00

$3.00

$4.00

$5.00

$6.00

$7.00

$8.00

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

1,500 US : 400 CAN 2,000 US : 600 CAN 2,500 US : 800 CAN

North American Annual Supply DeliverabilityAssessing the Future Potential

Source: Encana Fundamentals; *Note: Does not consider the impact of hedging, JV capital or well inventory.

Industry can deploy more rigs and deliver a larger volume of gas to the market in the future with nominal increase in supply cost

Deliverability from One Year of Drilling (Bcf/d)

Rig’s Running

Supply Cost $/MMBtu(9% after tax return; 2011 costs)

• Approximate 50/50 spilt oil and gas rigs

• Assumes current spud to completion times

• Assumes 2011 industry supply cost structure

Confidential

Page 33: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

3333

950’

SN

4800’

1500’

6000’ from Surface to Williams Fork Producing Horizon

Pay zone = 3000’ thick

Piceance Resource Play HubExtended Reach S-shaped Wells

Page 34: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

3434

• Multiple wells drilled from one pad– Reduces surface impact and rig moves– 52 wells on one 4.2 acre pad!

• Three-phase gathering via pipeline– No tanks on location = no VOC emissions

• Centralized production facility– Captures VOC’s– Treat & recycle over 90% of produced water

• Frac water distribution via pipeline– Reduces truck trips >150,000/year

• Closed-loop drilling system (all of Colorado)

– Eliminates waste pit for drill cuttings

Piceance Resource Play HubBest Management Practices

Page 35: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

Ethane and its DerivativesPrimarily Petrochemical Demand

Ethane C2H6

C2+ NGL Stream

Natural Gas

Crude Oil Associated Gas

(Turbo Expansion)

(Fractionation)

(DeHydrogenation)

End-Use Demand

EthyleneC2H4

Refinery/Industrial Fuel, ResCom Fuel (left in NG stream)

Polyethylene n-[C2H4]-n

(Polymerization)Packaging Film, Bags, Bottles, Toys, Piping, Fuel Tanks

HDPE, LDPE, LLDPE

Ethylene Oxide

C2H4O

(Oxidation)

+ O2

Ethylene Glycol HO–CH2CH2–OH

Engine coolant, antifreeze, Polyester

Lubricants, Laxatives, Skin creams, Toothpaste

+ H2O

(Polymerization)

Polyethylene Glycol H-(O-CH2-CH2)n-OH

(Hydration)

+ H2O

Alpha OlefinsC4-C30

Lubricants, Surfactants, Wax, AlcoholsEthylene

DichlorideClCH2-CH2Cl

EthylbenzeneC6H5CH2CH3

(Oligomerization)

Chlorine

(Chlorination)

PolyVinyl ChlorideClCH2-CH2Cl

Benzene

Piping, Flooring, Siding, Fabrics, Sports, etc.

StyreneC6H5CH=CH2

(Alkylation)

Most widely used plastic, food packaging, foam packaging, etc.

PVC

PolyStyrene[C6H5CH=CH2]

(Polymerization)

MEG

% of Demand

59%

14%

3%

12%

7%

Other Uses5%

Page 36: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

Propane, Propylene & DerivativesAll Kinds of Demand

Propane C3H8

C2+ NGL Stream

Natural Gas

Crude Oil Associated Gas

(Turbo Expansion)

(Fractionation)

(DeHydrogenation)

End-Use Demand

PropyleneC3H6

Space Heating, Transport, Industrial, Farm Use

Polypropylenen-[C3H6]-n

(Polymerization)Packaging, Food Containers, Banknotes, Fabrics, Auto parts

Propylene Oxide

CH3CHCH2O

(Oxidation)

+ O2

Polyurethane, polyester textiles, biological uses

Antifreeze, Preservative, Textile Base

(Hydrolization)

Propylene Glycol H-(O-CH2-CH2)n-OH

Oxo AlcoholsC4-C30

Plasticizers

CumeneC6H5CH(CH3)2 

AcrylonitrileC3H3N

(Oligomerization)

Plastics Building block (Phenol)

(Alkylation)

ABS Plastic precursor, acids manufacture precursor, rubber precursor

% of Demand

62%

8%

8%

12%

10%

Benzene

Refinery Output

(Ammoxidation)

Ammonia

Page 37: The natural gas revolution and energy self-reliance in North America Don McClure, Vice President Government & Stakeholder Relations & Legal Miami, Florida.

U.S. Natural Gas LiquidsFeedstocks for Petrochemical Production

Source: Encana Fundamentals

EthaneC2

EthyleneC2H4

Polyethylene(C2H4)n

PropaneC3

PropyleneC3H6

Polypropylene(C3H6)n

PropaneC3

PropyleneC3H6

BenzeneC6H6

+ CumeneC6H6.C3H7

PropaneC3

PropyleneC3H6

BenzeneC6H6

+ CumeneC6H6.C3H7

PhenolC6H5OH