The mother-child interaction and clinical judgment during acute pediatric illnesses

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~!i!!iii~i!i!!i ~ e mother-child interaction and clinical judgment g acute pediatric illnesses Paul McCarthy, MD, Kimberly Freud~gman, PhD, Domenic Cicchetti, PhD, Linda Mayes, MD, Jorge Lopez Benitez, MD, Sadek Salloum, ~D, Michael Baron, MD, Howard Fink, AID, Robert Anderson, MD, and Robert LaCamera, AID Objectives: For acutely ill children living in less than optimal environments, mothers and pediatricians may have a heightened perception of illness severi- ty, a lower specificity of clinical judgments, and a tendency to over-utilize re- sources. We examined the mother-child interaction in order to understand the relation of less optimal environments to clinical judgment and resource use. Study design: At the 2-week and 6-, 15-, and 24-month well child visits of 516 children, the mother-well child interaction was assessed by using the Biringen's Emotional Availability Scales (EAS). Data were gathered regarding maternal depression and sense of competence, infant temperament, maternal social support, life events, the home environment, and demographics. At ill vis- its, the mother-i//child interaction was assessed by using the EAS, and moth- ers and pediatricians independently assessed illness severity using the Acute Illness Observation Scales. Resource use during the illness was evaluated. Results: One thousand nine hundred eight-three acute illnesses were as- sessed. A less optimal mother-child interaction was significantly (P < .05 for all comparisons) associated with poorer reliability of mothers' judgments, lower specificity of mothers' judgments (71% vs 85%) and pediatricians' judgments (92% vs 97%), and greater use of resources (eg, for hospitaliza- tions, 2.6% of visits vs 0.7%). Adverse maternal, infant, and demographic characteristics were associated with a less optimal mother-well child (r = 0.68) and mother-ill child (r = 0.80) interaction, a heightened perception of illness severity, and greater resource use. Conclusion- Less optimal environments adversely affect the mother-child in- teraction; a poor mother-child interaction is correlated with low specificity of clinical judgment and over-utilization of resources. (J Pediavr 2000; 136:809-17) From The Departmentof Pediatrics and the Yale Child Study Center, Yale University, Schoolof Medicine, and Yale-New Haven Children's Hospital, NewHaven, Connecticut. *The following pediatriciansand nurse practitionersalsoparticipatedin thestudy:Angela Crowley, PNP,Mary Ann Davidson, PNP, Janet Geiger,MD, Liesel Gould, MD, Karen Haddad, PNP, Margaret [keda, AID, Melinda Mahabee-Gittens,MD, CynthiaMann, AID, Deborah Navedo,PNP,and CarterStilson, MD. Supported by Grant No. RO1HD26575-01 from the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. Submitted for publication Mar 17, 1999; revisions received Aug 11, 1999, and Jan 10, 2000; accepted Jan 31, 2000. Reprint requests: Paul L. McCarthy, MD, Department of Pediatrics, Yale University School of Medicine, 333 Cedar St, New Haven, CT 06520-8064. Copyright © 2000 by Mosby, Inc. 0022-3476/2000/$12.00 + 0 91211106224 doi:10.1067/mpd.2000.106224 Adverse maternal characteristics (eg, higher levels of anxiety) and social mi- lieu (eg, living in the inner city) are as- sociated with less reliable judgments by mothers about the severity of acute ill- ness in their children, with perceptions by mothers and pediatricians that an ill- ness is more severe leading to lowered specificity of clinical judgments and greater use of health resources during the illness (unpublished data). 1'2 We hypothesized that a key to Under- standing the effects of these adverse characteristics is the mother-child inter- action. Such adverse characteristics powerfully affect the mother-well child interaction. 3"17 Domains fundamental to the mother-well child interaction-- crying, response of that crying to parent comforting, providing stimuli to main- tain a child in an optimal functional state Jare also fundamental to assess- ing the degree of illness severity in a child with an acute illness. 18"20A cross- age continuity has been reported for the mother-well child interaction. 21 It is reasonable to believe that such a conti- nuity can also be documented between the mother-well child and mother-ill child interactions. These considerations 809

Transcript of The mother-child interaction and clinical judgment during acute pediatric illnesses

Page 1: The mother-child interaction and clinical judgment during acute pediatric illnesses

~!i!!iii~i!i!!i ~

e mother-child interaction and clinical judgment g acute pediatric illnesses

Paul McCarthy, MD, Kimberly Freud~gman, PhD, Domenic Cicchetti, PhD, Linda Mayes, MD,

Jorge Lopez Benitez, MD, Sadek Salloum, ~D, Michael Baron, MD, Howard Fink, AID,

Robert Anderson, MD, and Robert LaCamera, AID

Objectives: For acutely ill children living in less than optimal environments, mothers and pediatricians may have a heightened perception of illness severi- ty, a lower specificity of clinical judgments, and a tendency to over-utilize re- sources. We examined the mother-child interaction in order to understand the

relation of less optimal environments to clinical judgment and resource use.

S tudy design: At the 2-week and 6-, 15-, and 24-month well child visits of 516 children, the mother-well child interaction was assessed by using the Biringen's Emotional Availability Scales (EAS). Data were gathered regarding maternal depression and sense of competence, infant temperament, maternal social support, life events, the home environment, and demographics. At ill vis- its, the mother-i//child interaction was assessed by using the EAS, and moth- ers and pediatricians independently assessed illness severity using the Acute

Illness Observation Scales. Resource use during the illness was evaluated.

Results: One thousand nine hundred eight-three acute illnesses were as- sessed. A less optimal mother-child interaction was significantly (P < .05 for all comparisons) associated with poorer reliability of mothers' judgments, lower specificity of mothers' judgments (71% vs 85%) and pediatricians' judgments (92% vs 97%), and greater use of resources (eg, for hospitaliza- tions, 2.6% of visits vs 0.7%). Adverse maternal, infant, and demographic characteristics were associated with a less optimal mother-well child (r = 0.68)

and mother-ill child (r = 0.80) interaction, a heightened perception of illness severity, and greater resource use.

Conclusion- Less optimal environments adversely affect the mother-child in- teraction; a poor mother-child interaction is correlated with low specificity of clinical judgment and over-utilization of resources. (J Pediavr 2000; 136:809-17)

From The Department of Pediatrics and the Yale Child Study Center, Yale University, School of Medicine, and Yale-New Haven Children's Hospital, New Haven, Connecticut. *The following pediatricians and nurse practitioners also participated in the study: Angela Crowley, PNP, Mary Ann Davidson, PNP, Janet Geiger, MD, Liesel Gould, MD, Karen Haddad, PNP, Margaret [keda, AID, Melinda Mahabee-Gittens, MD, Cynthia Mann, AID, Deborah Navedo, PNP, and Carter Stilson, MD. Supported by Grant No. RO1HD26575-01 from the National Institute of Child Health and

Human Development. Submitted for publication Mar 17, 1999; revisions received Aug 11, 1999, and Jan 10, 2000; accepted Jan 31, 2000. Reprint requests: Paul L. McCarthy, MD, Department of Pediatrics, Yale University School of Medicine, 333 Cedar St, New Haven, CT 06520-8064. Copyright © 2000 by Mosby, Inc. 0022-3476/2000/$12.00 + 0 91211106224 doi: 10.1067/mpd.2000.106224

Adverse maternal characteristics (eg, higher levels of anxiety) and social mi- lieu (eg, living in the inner city) are as- sociated with less reliable judgments by mothers about the severity of acute ill- ness in their children, with perceptions by mothers and pediatricians that an ill- ness is more severe leading to lowered specificity of clinical judgments and greater use of health resources during the illness (unpublished data). 1'2

We hypothesized that a key to Under- standing the effects of these adverse characteristics is the mother-child inter- action. Such adverse characteristics powerfully affect the mother-well child interaction. 3"17 Domains fundamental to the mother-well child interaction-- crying, response of that crying to parent comforting, providing stimuli to main- tain a child in an optimal functional state J a r e also fundamental to assess- ing the degree of illness severity in a child with an acute illness. 18"20 A cross- age continuity has been reported for the mother-well child interaction. 21 It is reasonable to believe that such a conti- nuity can also be documented between the mother-well child and mother-ill child interactions. These considerations

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led to the following conceptual frame- work. Impoverished environments ad- versely affect both the mother-well child and mother-ill child interaction, leading to a less optimal interactive state during illness. This, in turn, re- suits in the child being perceived as more ill, consequently leading to poor- er specificity of clinical judgments and greater use of health resources. This conceptual framework allows applica- tion of techniques used to assess the mother-well child interaction to the mother ill child interaction and exami- nation of the effect of those maternal, infant, and social milieu characteristics that powerfully affect the mother-well child interaction on the mother-ill child interaction and, hence, clinical judgment. If more powerful determi- nants of clinical judgment and re- source use can be identified, then intervention strategies can be focused more appropriately.

STUDY HYPOTHESES Hypothesis I

The mother-well child interaction will be correlated with the mother-ill child interaction.

A less optimal mother-well child in- teraction will be correlated with a less optimal mother-ill child interaction.

Hypothesis H A less optimal mother-well child and

mother-ill child interaction will be cor- related with: (1) poorer reliability and specificity of mothers' judgments dur- ing illness, (2) poorer specificity of pe- diatricians' judgments during illness, (3) more test ordering by pediatricians during illness, and (4) greater use of medical resources by pediatricians and by mothers during illness.

Hypothesis III Adverse maternal (depression, par-

enting sense of competence), infant (temperament), and social milieu (qual- ity of home environment, social sup- ports, life events) characteristics will be

associated with a less optimal mother- child interaction when the child is well and when the child is ill, and hence, with poorer reliability and specificity of mothers' judgment and poorer speci- fic@ of pediatricians' judgment during illness and greater use of tests and re- sources during illness.

METHODS Study Population and Design

Patients were enrolled at a medical center primary care center, the urban private practice of R.A. and R.L. (A- L), and the suburban private practice of M.B. and H.F. (B-F). These sites were chosen to ensure that the study participants represented a broad range of sociodemographic characteristics. Previous experience indicated, for ex- ample, that mothers in the PCC versus those in a suburban practice would be younger, less likely to have college de- grees, and more likely to be receiving federal assistance. 1'2 Study partici- pants gave informed written consent, and the study protocol was approved by the Human Investigation Commit- tee of the Yale University School of Medicine.

Mother-Child Interaction At the 2-week and 6-, 15-, and 24-

month well child visits, pediatricians or nurse practitioners scored 3 domains (Maternal Sensitivity, Maternal Hos- tility, and Child Responsivity) of Birin- gen's Emotional Availability Scale, a measure of the mother-child interac- tion. 22"24 EAS scoring was done after a 2-minute observation period (during which the mother played with the child), after the history and the physi- cal examination. Pediatricians and nurse practitioners were trained to score the EAS reliably (see Results), In order to test the convergent validity of the EAS scoring, videotapes of the well child care visit were made in a 20% subsample (videotaped cohort) and scored by the method of Bornstein by a blinded observer. 2s'26

Maternal, Infant, and Social Milieu Characteristics

Within 2 weeks of the well child care visit, a child developmentalist (K.E), blinded to EAS data, visited the home and scored the Caldwell H O M E Scales 2z and the Supplemental H O M E for Impoverished Familles. 28 Mothers filled out the Beck Depression Invento- ry, 29 the Parenting Social Support Index, 3° the Rothbart Infant Tempera- ment Questionnaire, 31 Parenting Sense of Competence Scale, a2 and a revised version of the Life Events Question- naire of Abidenaa; demographic data were recorded. A research associate gathered and collated these latter data completed by mothers; hence, the in- vestigators were unaware of these re- sults. Pediatricians were also unaware of H O M E and SHIF data.

Clinical Judgment and Resource Use

During acute illness visits to the pe- diatrician, the mother and the pediatri- cian (or nurse practitioner) observed the child for 2 minutes and then inde- pendently scored the Acute Illness Observation Scales. 2° The AIOS are composed of 6 items, which assess by observation an ill child's degree of toxi- city; adequate levels of reliability and validity of the AIOS have been demon- strated. 1,2,20 After the observation peri- od, history, and physical examination, the pediatrician scored the 3 domains of the EAS. Tests ordered, prescriptions written, follow-up appointments made, and hospital admissions were recorded on a standardized form. Mothers were provided a teaching videotape of the AIOS. For the videotaped cohort, ill visits were videotaped and analyzed by the method of Bornstein. Data about test ordering by pediatricians during the illness, prescriptions written, fol- low-up appointments made, and hospi- talizations were gathered 2 weeks after the ill visit by review of standardized forms, phone logs, patient charts, and hospital medical records. Mothers' use of the emergency department was also

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analyzed in this review. All partici- pants in the study, with the exception of the principal investigator (EM.), were blinded to study hypotheses.

Data Analytic Techniques

HYPOTHESIS I. The correlation of the mother-well child EAS total score to the mother-il l child EAS total score was studied by using Pearson r corre- lation with re calculation. The re value, the proportion of variation explained in the outcome by the predictor vari- ables, is derived by squaring the r cor- relation and multiplying by 100%. The re values of 1% to 8%, 9% to 24%, and 25% to 48% indicate, respectively, a small, medium, and large explanation of variation in the outcome. 34 For this analysis, the correlation of the mean of the EAS total scores for the individual mother-child dyad at all of their well visits to the mean of EAS total scores at all ill visits for the same dyad was studied. Thus the mother-infant dyad is the unit of analysis.

HYPOTHESIS II. Mothers ' reliability of AIOS scoring, that is, level of agree- ment with the pediatrician, was as- sessed by using the weighted kappa statistic. The percent of ill visits in which the z of kappa was above the median were then compared when the ill EAS total score was below the me- dian. 55 A z of kappa above the median indicated perfect agreement.

The specificity of mothers' and pedia- tricians' AIOS scoring was calculated by constructing 2 x 2 tables. A positive test result was an AIOS score > 10; a negative test resuk was a score _<10.1'2'20 In the 2

x 2 tables, test positivity or negativity was assessed in relation to whether a se- rious illness was present. The definition of a serious illness 18'20'36'37 was the pres-

ence of a significant positive laboratory test result including isolation of bacteria from a normally sterile body fluid, isola- tion of a pathogen from stool, aseptic cerebrospinal fluid pleocytosis, pneu- monia demonstrated by chest x-ray

film, hypoxemia during a lower respi- ratory tract infection, or abnormalities of serum electrolytes, usually during acute gastroenteritis. Of children with a significant positive laboratory test re- sult during an acute illness, 97% to 98% will have one or several of the above defined abnormalities. 1

Specificity is the proportion of pa- tients who do not have a serious illness (ie, who do not have a significant posi- tive laboratory test result) who are scored as test negative (are given an AIOS score <10). If patients who do not have a serious illness are perceived as having a serious illness and thus scored as test positive (are given an AIOS score > 10), then specificity is re- duced; it was hypothesized that a less optimal mother-child interaction would have this effect on perception of illness severity, thus reducing specificity.

Specificity was examined when EAS total scores during ill visits were below the median. In this analysis, unlike that in hypotheses I, the ill visit is the unit of analysis.

The use of the following resources was examined during itl visits when the ill EAS score for that visit was below the median: (1) diagnostic tests, (2) prescriptions, (3) hospitalizations, and (4) scheduled follow-up visits. For this analysis, each of these variables was scored as present or absent. A sim- ilar analysis was done when the well EAS total score temporally closest to the ill visit was below the median.

Mothers ' use of the ED was exam- ined only in the PCC cohort. In this cohort, the ED at the Yale-New Haven Children's Hospital was readily avail- able. To examine differences in relia- bility (z of kappa), specificity, and use of resources when EAS total scores (both well and ill) were below the me- dian, the ;(2 statistic was used.

HYPOTHESIS III. Results relating to hypothesis III were studied by using multivariate techniques. 38 The indepen- dent variables were (1) total score or, when appropriate, subscale scores for

life events and maternal, infant, and so- cial milieu characteristics and (2) demo- graphic data including maternal age, years of education, employment, father living in the home, parity, federal assis- tance, race/ethnic group (African American, white, Hispanic, other), and sex. Analysis of intercorrelations among independent variables revealed that de- mographic data were intercorrelated (eg, maternal education and employ- ment), as were Caldwell H O M E and SHIF data. Regarding other maternal, infant, and social milieu data, and as in our previous research, 2° a minimal uni- variate r value between a given pair of predictor variables of beyond 0.60 was used as a criterion for deleting that vari- able in the pair that had a lower correla- tion with the dependent variable; none of the paired r values met this criterion for collinearity, so that none of these maternal, infant, and social milieu pre- dictor variables required deletion.

The outcomes sequentially examined were (1) AIOS scores of mothers and pediatricians and (2) use (present, absent) of tests, prescriptions, and hos- pitalizations and recommendation of follow-up visits. Mothers ' use of the ED (quantitated as 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and ->6 visits) in the PCC cohort was also examined. In the multivariate analyses, the Pearson r statistic was used with r e calculation. This is a multiple regres- sion technique, available as part of data analytic capacity of SAS software (SAS Institute, Cary, NC). This tech- nique, known as r-squared, evaluates and presents in rank order the follow- ing information: the ordered r-squared values of each of the 1~ input variables, taken alone; followed by the actual, or best (meaning correct), set of ordered input variables, taken two at a time; then followed by the ordered set of the best triad of input variables, with the process proceeding up to the presenta- tion of the r-squared value of all 1~ pre- dictor variables taken together. In order to distinguish meaningful from trivial values of r-squared, for any com- bination of predictors (eg, the best set

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Table/. Sociodemographic characteristics*

of 10 input variables), the process was terminated when a given number of predictors failed to consistently add at least an additional 1% to the value of r- squared. This process of termination is consistent with the method of Cohen. 34 For this analysis, mean scores for ma- ternal, infant, social milieu, and life events data for each mother-infant dyad were used for the predictor vari- ables; the correlations of these mean predictor scores of each mother-infant dyad to the data for each ill visit for the same dyad was then studied.

RESULTS Study Population

The study began enrolling mothers in February 1995 and was completed

in March 1998. For the total study sample, 380 mothers were asked to participate, 316 enrolled, and 226 (72%) remained at study completion; these proportions did not vary signif- icantly by s tudy site. Numbers en- rolled at each study site were: PCC, 151; A-L, 111; and B-E 54. Data gathered from patients who subse- quently dropped from the study were used in the analyses of study hy- potheses. Sixty-three mother-lnfant pairs were enrolled in the videotaped cohort.

Table I outlines demographic data of the cohorts at each study site. These data indicate that the study popula- tions at the 3 study sites differed and represented a spectrum of sociodemo- graphic characteristics.

Reliability and Convergent Validity of EAS Scoring

The EAS scoring of study pediatri- cians and nurse practitioners on a sam- ple of well and ill children not enrolled in the study was reliable as compared with the scoring of K.F. (weighted kappa, KV¢, was 0.61, 0.63, and 0.71 for Maternal Sensitivity, Maternal Hostili- ty, and Infant Responsivity, respective- ly, which represents good chance cor- rected agreement)fi 9 Further, EAS scoring by pediatricians at the 6-month well child visit had high intercorrela- tions with scoring by the method of Bornstein of videotapes recorded at the same visit when the 2 methods were compared by a blinded observer. 4° Fi- nally, EAS scores (all 3 domains of the EAS and total score) at well visits of all 316 patients were highly correlated with pediatricians' global assessment of the mother-child interaction scored at the same visit on a 5-point Likert scale. 41

Frequency of Scoring Well EAS, Maternal, Infan~ and Social Milieu Characteristics and Ill Visits: Extent of Health Resource Use

The mother-well child interaction in the study population was assessed by using the EAS on 937 separate occa- sions. The mean number of EAS as- sessments for each mother-infant dyad was similar at the 3 study sites: PCC, 2.9; A-L, 3.0; and B-F, 3.2.

For the 316 patients, there was a mean of 2.4 home visits for the Cald- well H O M E / S H I F assessment for each mother-infant dyad. The total number of completed instruments for maternal, infant, and social milieu char- acteristics for 316 patients were: BDI, 806; Parenting Sense of Competence, 776; RIBQ, 803; Parenting Social Sup- port Index, 800; and Life Events Ques- tionnaire of Abiden, 789. The mean number of instruments completed per mother-infant dyad was higher in the suburban B-F practice than in the PCC or urban A-L practice.

Table II outlines the mean scores of maternal, infant, and social milieu char-

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acteristies at the 3 study sites. The

mean scores were derived by determin- ing the mean of each individual sub-

ject's scores and then taking a mean for each of the 5 study sites. PCC mothers as compared with mothers at the pri- vate practice sites had lower, less opti- mal scores on the H O M E and S H I F

and higher, less optimal scores on the BDI. There were no meaningful differ-

ences in mean scores of other charac- teristics among the 3 study populations.

There was a total of 2444 illness

episodes in the cohort . O f this total, 1985 (81%) were assessed in the s tudy protocol. The mean number of ill visits per patient assessed was quite similar across the 5 sites: PCC, 6.4; A-

L, 5.5; and B-E 6.3. The EAS and A IO S were completed by the s tudy pediatr ic ians in 1958 (98%) of the

1983 illness episodes. Mothers com- pleted the A I O S in 1885 (96%) of these episodes.

In these 1985 ill visit episodes, 50 se- rious illnesses, meeting the criteria out-

lined in the Methods section, occurred. Regarding medical resource use, in

1426 of the 1983 visits at least one pre- scription was given, in 556 at least one diagnostic test was done, in 34 a hospi- tal admission occurred, and in 522 fol- low-up appointments were made.

Analysis of Study Hypotheses

HYPOTHESIS I. The correlat ion of the mother-wel l child interaction to the

mother-il l child interaction was inves- tigated. The Pearson r correlation was

0.65 (r ~ 42.2%). Although mean well EAS scores did not differ by age, a sec- ond correlational analysis was done, which controlled for age and in which the ill visit, ra ther than the mother- infant pair, was the unit of analysis. The Pearson r correlat ion of the ill EAS score during a specific ill visit to the well EAS score of that mother- infant dyad that was scored temporally closest to the ill visit was studied. The r correlat ion between the well and ill EAS scores was 0.44.

Table II. Mean scores of maternal, infant, and social milieu characteristics by study site

TablelII. Relation of ill EAS score above and below the median to selected measures

Thus the mother-wel l child interac- tion and the mother- i l l child interac-

tion are correlated, and for individual mother-infant pairs, the quality of the well interaction predicts the quality of the ill interaction.

HYPOTHESIS II. A less optimal mother- child interaction during illness (an ill EAS total score below the median)

significantly affected the specificity, re- liability, and use of resources in the di-

rection hypothesized (Table III). The mean ill EAS scores (+_ SD) of mother- infant dyads below and above the me- dian were t6.6 _+ 1.12 and 19.5 _+ 0.73, respectively. A well EAS total score

below the median similarly affected the use of resources (Table IV); contrary to our hypothesis, a well EAS total score

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Tab/e/E. Relation of well EAS above and below the median to resource use

Tab/e V. Relation of maternal, infant, social milieu, life events, and demographic data to the mother-well child interaction

Table VI. Relation of well EAS scores and maternal, infant, social milieu, life events, and demographic data to ill EAS scores

~ llv~ in hom~

below the median did not affect speci- ficity or reliability (data not shown).

HYPOTHESIS I I I . The predictor vari- ables (maternal, infant, social milieu, life events, and demographic data) had an r correlation of 0,68 and r 2 of 46% to the mother-well child interaction

(well EAS total score) (Table V). The SHIE H O M E (Restriction), H O M E (Maternal Responsiveness), and BDI accounted for most of the variance ex- plained in the well EAS.

The correlation of the mother-well child interaction, maternal, infant, so- cial milieu, and demographic data to

the mother-ill child interaction (ill EAS total score) was also studied. The predictor variables had an r of 0.80 (t 2 64%) with the ill EAS (Table VI). The well EAS total score, H O M E (Daily Stimulation), and H O M E (Maternal Responsiveness) accounted for most of the variance explained in the ill EAS.

For the preceding 2 analyses, in 87% of instances the direction of correlation was in the hypothesized direction; that is, adverse characteristics, such as de- pression, were associated with less op- timal, lower EAS scores, and always in the hypothesized direction for the following predictor variables: HOME, SHIF, BDI, EAS, Demographic, RIBQ-Diztress to Approach, RIBQ- Distress to Limitation, and Parenting Social Support Index-Number of Peo- ple in Support Network.

Multivariate techniques were used to calculate separate models for the rela- tion of the predictor variables (mater- nal, infant, social milieu, demographic, and ill EAS total score) to the following outcomes: pediatricians' AIOS scoring, mothers' AIOS scoring, prescription use, diagnostic test use, hospitaliza- tions, recommendation of a follow-up visit, and mothers' use of the ED. In Table VII, the r correlation of all these predictor variables to the outcome llst- ed and the proportion of variation explained in the outcome by the pre- dictor variables (r e ) is noted. The r e or prediction of variation in the outcome represents, according to the criteria of Cohen, 34 medium effect sizes for AIOS scores, use of prescriptions, di- agnostic tests, and hospitalizations and large effect sizes for recommendation of a follow-up visit and use of the ED. As anticipated (because of the high in- tercorrelation between--on the one hand--maternal, infant, social milieu, and demographic data a n d - o n the other hand--EAS scores), maternal, infant, social milieu, and demographic data were components of all of the models in Table VII. In 82% of in- stances, the correlation of independent variable to the selected outcome was in

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the direction hypothesized; that is, ad- verse characteristics, such as depres- sion, were associated with higher AIOS scores. The r correlations of all HOME, SHIE BDI, RIBQ-Distress to Approach and RIBQ-Distress to Limitation, EAS, illness severity, and demographic data to the selected out- comes were always in the hypothesized direction.

In all of these analyses, illness severi- ty (serious illness present, yes/no) as a predictor variable contributed modest- ly at best to the r2; for example, illness severity accounted for only 6%, 1%, and 1% of the variance explained in, respectively, pediatricians' AIOS score, mothers' AIOS score, and test ordering.

If demographic data were removed from the predictor variables in Table VII, the prediction of outcomes in Table VII by maternal, infant, and so- cial milieu characteristics alone would be somewhat less but still robust (eg, for pediatricians AIOS' score 17.6% vs 21.2% in Table VII). Thus adverse ma- ternal, infant, and social milieu data, independent of demographic data, are important predictors of clinical judg- ments and resource use.

To control for age in the analyses of hypothesis III, the maternal, infant, so- cial milieu, and life events data that were scored temporally closest to the ill visit were used. The correlations noted in Table VII continued to be demonstrated but generally with less- ening of effect; for example, P for pe- diatricians' AIOS score was 17%, for mothers' AIOS scores 14%, and for hospitalizations 15% versus (Table VII) 21%, 23%, and 22%, respectively. Predicting use of the ED improved in the age-adjusted analysis versus the non-age-adjusted analysis (32% vs 29%, respectively).

DISCUSSION

For mother-infant dyads, the interac- tion when the child is well predicts the

MCCARTHY ET AL

Table VII. r Correlations and r 2 of maternal, infant, social milieu, life events, demo- graphic and ill EAS data to selected outcomes

quality when the child is sick. Less op- timal interactions during illness reduce significantly mothers' reliability and pe- diatricians' and mothers' specificity and increase use of resources. The mother- child interaction and the maternal, in- fant, and social milieu characteristics used in this study were more robust in predicting use of resources than were predictors used in a previous study (unpublished data). 1,2 Correlations in this report were in the direction hy- pothesized; adverse measures were associated with higher perceptions of illness severity, lower specificity of judgments, and greater resource use.

Acute illnesses in children in the first 2 to 3 years of life are often caused by viral infections. Only 2% to 3% repre- sent serious illnesses such as pneumo- nia, bacteremia, meningitis, or urinary tract infection. 42 Children in this age group with a serious illness may not have typical physical examination find- ings. 43 Hence, observation of the child's state of well-being, most impor- tantly the manner in which the child responds to stimuli either from the par- ent or the physician, becomes a critical component of the evaluation of severi- ty of illness. Our previous work has outlined 6 key observation items (the AIOS), which, when used for observa- tional assessment of a child with an acute illness, are reliable and also spe- cific and sensitive for serious illness- es. 2° Because the 6 items in the AIOS represent data that could potentially be assessed by parents, especially stimu-

lus-response data, a randomized, con- trolled trial was conducted, which compared the observational assess- ments of parents taught to use these scales with those of parents using glob- al assessment of severity of illness. 1,2

As compared with the observational assessments of pediatricians made simultaneously with the parents and before the history and physical exami- nation in over 700 acute illness episodes, the observational assessments of parents in the control group, and to a lesser extent, in the intervention group were characterized by perceiv- ing a child as more ill. This heightened perception of illness lowered the relia- bility and specificity of parents' clinical judgments. 1 It was further found that adverse maternal (eg, higher levels of state and trait anxiety) and social milieu (eg, 1Mng in the inner city) characteris- tics exacerbated the tendency of moth- ers to perceive their child as more ill, thus reducing specificity. 2 A post hoc analysis showed that such adverse char- acteristlcs were also correlated with pe- diatricians perceiving the child as more ill and ordering more tests--9% of the variance in perception of degree of ill- ness, that is, AIOS scores (vs 21% in this report) and 6% of the variance in test ordering (vs 22% in this report).

Similar findings were recently re- ported by McConnechie et a144 in Rochester. When comparing hospital- ization rates for inner-city and subur- ban children while controlling for severity of illness, it was found that

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hospitalizations for less serious illness- es, such as gastroenteritis, which are at

the discretion of the physician, were 3 times as frequent in inner-city children compared with suburban children. Such discret ionary admissions repre- sented 59% of admissions in the study population. In the 2 populations, there were no differences in hospitalization rates for illnesses, such as congenital anomalies, in which less physician dis- cretion was involved. The authors questioned whether clinical judgment was being applied in different ways in the 2 populations. Further, E D use

rates for children in Medicaid man- aged care programs, who often live in

impoverished environments, are 400 to 600 E D visits per 1000 patients per year as compared with rates of 75 to 180 per 1000 patients p e r y e a r for chil- dren with commercial insurance. 45 The

adverse maternal, infant, social milieu, life events, EAS, and demographic data (the predic tor variables used in

this report) accounted for 22% of the variance in hospital admissions and

29% of E D use. Hence, our data pro- vide an explanatory model for the in- creased hospitalization rates and E D use in mother- infant dyads in inner- city, stressed environments.

The model outlined here explains the findings of previous studies. It also presents the oppor tuni ty to s tudy in- terventions focused on those factors that can be identified at well child care

visits, which powerful ly influence the perception of illness and use of health care resources. A previous s tudy of

such interventions for families with ill children was able to reduce inappro- priate use of follow-up care by half. 46

There are limitations to this study. Not all patients had all planned assess-

ments performed. This was sometimes due to difficulty in contacting patients by phone or by letter because of changes in phone numbers or address- es. This was seen more often in urban

patients. However, in general, the number of assessments for each moth-

er-infant dyad was robust (eg, a mean

of 3 EAS evaluations ra ther than the planned 4). Attr i t ion also resulted in incomplete data gathering on enrolled patients. The re tent ion of s tudy sub- jects over 30 months of follow-up was reasonable, 72%. Attr i t ion rates did not differ by study site. We attempted to compensate for attrition bias by in- cluding data on patients who dropped from the study in our analysis. We plan

to analyze further the issue of attrition bias by using a method developed by one of u s 47 t o assure that results do not

differ between those completing and those not completing the study.

Our s tudy repor ts a correlat ion be- tween the mother -wel l child and mother- i l l child interaction, between the mother-ill child interaction and the specificity of judgments and use of resources, and between less optimal environments and the mother-child in- teraction. Our s tudy hypotheses did not address the issue of whether the mother-child interaction mediates the

effects of environment on clinical judg-

ment. The question concerning possi-

ble mediator effects is a complex one and requires the design of a follow-up investigation that tests such a hypothe- sis directly. 48

We thank Donald Showalter for assistance in statistical analyses; the office staffs at partici- pating practices for their cooperation; and Paula Fackelman, Ilaria Borghese, and Ricar- da Tomlin for their help with data entry.

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