The Israeli Residential Market - ΑΡΧΙΚΗ group... · consulting Paz Group 2 Paz Group is...

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consulting The Israeli Residential Market Daniela Paz Erez Paz Group Founder & CEO This presentation may not be used for any purpose without direct, written permission from Paz Group, Ltd. May 9, 2016 G721001

Transcript of The Israeli Residential Market - ΑΡΧΙΚΗ group... · consulting Paz Group 2 Paz Group is...

Page 1: The Israeli Residential Market - ΑΡΧΙΚΗ group... · consulting Paz Group 2 Paz Group is Israel’s leading real estate consultancy (According to Dun’s 100). With nearly 20

consulting

The Israeli Residential Market Daniela Paz Erez Paz Group Founder & CEO

This presentation may not be used for any purpose without direct, written

permission from Paz Group, Ltd.

May 9, 2016 G721001

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consulting

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Paz Group 2

■ Paz Group is Israel’s leading real estate consultancy (According to Dun’s 100).

■ With nearly 20 years in the industry, Paz’s expertise spans all real estate sectors, including property

appraisals, construction loan monitoring, urban planning, economic research & business consulting.

■ The company has supported thousands of projects in the private and public sectors, including the

monitoring of tens of thousands of housing units and advised on the most complex and critical national

development projects in Israel.

■ Among Paz’s customers: government ministries, local municipalities, banks, real estate entrepreneurs,

developers and contractors.

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Agenda

1. Residential Market Overview

2. Government Policies and Programs within the Housing Sector

3. Construction Potential in Israel

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RESIDENTIAL MARKET

OVERVIEW

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Characteristics of the Residential Units

Multi-family units 61%

Single Family units

39%

Existing 2.457 m residential units

Anticipated types of residential units over the next

decade

Single Family units

29%

3-6 Stories 15%

4-7 Stories 28%

10 Stories and up

28%

2.582m Households Potential of 1m Units

Source: Central Bureau of Statistics and data analyses conducted by Paz Group Ltd.

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Israel’s Housing Shortage: Causes and Triggers

Source: Israel’s Central Bureau of Statistics, 1995 & 2008: Population Census, 2014: Labour Force & Construction Completion Surveys

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Housing Construction and Population Growth

Source: Central Bureau of Statistics, Housing Starts and Completions

Housing Units Housing Starts Project Completions

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Housing Prices

Source: Central Bureau of Statistics, Housing Sales Records and data analyses conducted by Paz Group Ltd.

NIS (thousands)

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Production Process

Land ownership Private

7%

State 93%

The Apartment Production Process

Government goal: 60,000 unit housing starts each year

Zoning Evacuation Infrastructure Construction Permit

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GOVERNMENT POLICIES

AND PROGRAMS WITHIN

THE HOUSING SECTOR

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Residential Units Approved by the Planning Authorities

Source: Interior Ministry, Annual Report 2014

*2016 Development Targets

Residential Units

*

100,000 99,514

Haifa 11,209

North 10,459

Jerusalem 11,651

South 20,524

Center 20,251

Tel Aviv 25,420

North Center Jerusalem

2015 Nationwide 100,000 Units

63,467

75,368

62,553

32,462

24,506 23,409 24,630 23,749

South

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Free Up Land of IDF Bases

IDF Bases 60,000 Units

Defense Industries 40,000 Units

North Center Jerusalem

Development of 100,000 Units

Sde Dov 17,000

Shalishut”" 1,200 “HaKirya” 1,000

Tel HaShomer 20,000

Tzrifin 17,000

Sirkin 12,000

IDF bases and defense industries in central Israel

Israel Military Industries 30,000

Source: Government Resolution 2392.

South

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Transportation Infrastructure for Residential Projects Roads and Public Transport Budget (According to the State Budget) (Million NIS)

North Center Jerusalem

Ashkelon Beer Sheba Railway

Jerusalem Light Rail Extension

Tel Aviv Light Rail

531 + HaSharon Railway

The Metronit (BRT) Extension

Highway 6 Extension

Transportation Projects which support

Residential Development

Source: Ministry of Finance, State Budget 2015

South

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Framework Agreements

Developers Infrastructure

License & Permits

Residents Educational and

Public Facilities

Municipality Development

Costs & Timeline

Government

Increased Housing Stock

Accelerated Development

High Demand Areas

Planning Certainty

Cooperation

Transparency

Haifa 34,000

Jerusalem 8,000

South 57,000

Center 108,000

Nationwide 210,000 Units

North Center Jerusalem

Source: Israel Land Authority and Paz Group Ltd.

South

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Urban Regeneration

Haifa 155,000

North 55,000

Jerusalem 105,000

South 85,000

Center 410,000

Nationwide 810,000 Units

Potential of 10,000 New Housing Units

Per Year

Potential for Urban Renewal

North Center Jerusalem

PINUY BINUY RAZE AND REBUILD Demolition of old buildings and new construction of increased density

TAMA 38 Expansion and reinforcement of old buildings

Source: Data analyses conducted by Paz Group Ltd.

South

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The “Resident Price” Plan

● Can be sold only to non-home owners – by lottery

● Price reduction of at least $50,000 as compared to market prices.

● Construction according to uniform standards.

Haifa 7,000

North 4,000

Jerusalem 5,000

South 5,500

Center 7,500

Nationwide 30,000 Units of 100,000

Government goal

Tenders published thus far

North Center Jerusalem

In 2015-2017 all land tenders will be subject to the “Buyer’s Price”

The “Buyer’s Price” Plan

Source: Israel Land Authority analyses conducted by Paz Group Ltd.

South

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Rental Market

■ Publishing state tenders ■ Purchase of entire buildings ■ New zoning is directed to rental housing ■ Tax benefits and building rights for rental projects ■ Additional 20,000 Student dormitory beds

International Comparison - Percentage of Rentals

Note: The above statistics do not include Kibbutz housing or units rented from family members and close friends.

Source: Central Bureau of Statistics, National Social Survey, 2013; Survey data processed by Paz Group

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Policy Measures to Encourage the Long Term Rental Market

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CONSTRUCTION

POTENTIAL IN ISRAEL

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Residential Units Under Construction

Residential Units

Source: Central Bureau of Statistics, Construction in Israel

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Residential Market Needs

40,000 Units

27 Months

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Summary & Call For Action

Opportunity for foreign

construction companies

Demand for

residential

units

Need for

housing

prices

reduction

Government

support

and actions

Diverse

residential

market

Increased

construction

capability

Shortened

construction

period

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Thank you

Paz Group - Real Estate Consulting

2 Ha-Menofim St. P.O Box 12305

Hertzliya Pituach 46728 Israel

Tel +972 9 9700800 Fax +972 9 9700801

[email protected] www.pazgroup.co.il