The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US,...

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The Israeli Economy From Economic Crisis to Stable Growth May 2019

Transcript of The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US,...

Page 1: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

The Israeli Economy

From Economic Crisis to Stable Growth

M a y 2 0 1 9

Page 2: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Israel The Land of

(Economic) Miracles

Page 3: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Israel Economy | Past & Present

1984 2018

GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $

Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1%

Current Account Balance

(% of GDP) -5.8% 2.0%

Budget Balance

(% of GDP) -15.3% -2.9%

Public Debt (% of GDP) 284% 60.5%

Net External Assets 18.8- B$ 126.6 B$

Source: EIU, CBS, Bank of Israel

Page 4: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

World trade growth (%)

GDP Growth | Global Comparison

Source: OECD, Central Bureau of Statistics, BOI

5.0%

4.2%

5.7% 6.2%

3.0%

1.4%

5.7%

5.1%

2.2%

4.3% 3.9%

2.6%

4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.2%

-6.0%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019*

OECD World Israel

Israel’s growth rate has exceeded the average growth rate of advanced economies

Page 5: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Source: CBS, OECD

Av. growth rate, 2008-2018

One of the fastest-growing economies among all of OECD countries in the past decade

GDP Growth | Global Comparison

-3.0

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

Page 6: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Av. GDP growth & GDP Per Capita

GDP Growth | Global Comparison

Source: EIU, OECD. Avg 2008-2018

Turkey

Ireland

Israel

Poland South Korea

Chile Australia

Slovakia

Mexico New Zealand

Sweden Canada

Czech Republic

U.S

Switzerland

Germany Norway Hungary

U.K Austria

Belgium Netherlands Estonia France Slovenia

Denmark Japan

Spain

Finland

Portugal Italy

Greece

OECD - Av.

-3.0

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

- 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000

Page 7: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

-18.0

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-14.0

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-10.0

-8.0

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-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

0.0

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Fiscal Policy Budget balance & Government Debt | % GDP

Source: Bank of Israel

Maastricht Criteria – Government Debt

Maastricht Criteria – Budget Balance

Page 8: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Monetary Policy Real Interest Rate* | 2019

Source: Bank of Israel

*Real Interest Rate = Nominal Interest Rate / Inflation Expectations

-2.00%

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

Jan

94

Sep

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May

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Page 9: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Source: World Bank (2014)

Trade Policy Av. Import Taxes

Page 10: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Ireland Japan Israel Rating Firm

A2 (Stable) A1 (Stable) A1 (Positive)

A+ (Stable) A+ (Stable) AA- (Stable)

A+ (Stable) A (Negative) A+ (Stable)

Israel’s Credit Ratings

Israel’s Highest-Ever Credit

Rating

Page 11: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

For the last 30 years - Exports of goods and services has been a major growth

engine in the Israeli economy

Exports of goods and services | 1980-2018 (B$)

6 13

20

31 28 28 31 37 41 44

51 59

47 57

65 61 63 64 57 56 59 61

3

5

8

16 13 12

14

16 17

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21

25

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36 36

37 39 45

50

1980 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Services Goods

*2018 – IEI Economic Unit Forecast

Page 12: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Israel’s Innovation Innovation is the main growth engine of the Israeli export

Page 13: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Source: The Bloomberg Innovation Index 2019

The Bloomberg Innovation Index 2019 World Most Innovative Economies

Page 14: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Israel is 1st in the World in expenditure on R&D (research & development) as % of

GDP, demonstrating innovation, development and creativity.

Source: World Bank

Investment in R&D as % of GDP | 2010-2016 Av. | Leading Countries

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

Page 15: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Source: The Bloomberg Innovation Index 2019

The Bloomberg Innovation Index 2019

Page 16: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

High Degree of Innovation The Global Competitiveness Index | 2018

Quality of scientific research institutions

University-industry collaboration in R&D

Company spending on R&D

Page 17: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

In the past decade the industrial export was mainly affected by the rapid

growth of the Hi-Tech industry

Industrial Exports | by sector, 1995-2018

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5

10

15

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25

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

B$

High - technology industries Medium - high technology industries

Medium - low technology industries Low - technology industries

Page 18: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Low Tech Industries

7%

Hi-Tech Industries

49%

Med-Hi Tech Industries

30%

Med-Low Tech Industries

14%

22B$

3B$

6B$

14B$

Exports of Hi-tech products comprise about 50% of all Industrial Export

Industrial Exports | by sector, 2014-2018 Av.

Page 19: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

In Hi-tech services export grew dramatically over the past years, and has

become the main growth engine for export in recent years

Export of Services | 2002-2018

8.9 9.4 11.1 12.4 12.7 14.2 16.5 14.0 16.9 15.6 16.0 18.5 18.9 18.6 18.0 20.2 21.4 3.2 4.1

4.8 5.0 6.3

7.0 8.3

8.3 8.2

13.6 15.8

16.4 16.9 18.3 21.5

24.5 28.7

0.0

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15.0

20.0

25.0

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Export of Hi-Tech Services Rest of Services

*2018 – IEI Economic Unit estimation

Page 20: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Export by regional trade, 2002-2018 | in billions of USD

10.9 10.0

5.8

15.5 12.3

6.1

10.3

5.3

2.7

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Asia European Union USA

Page 21: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Export by regional trade | in % Share of total

32.5% 33.6%

21.6%

14.3%

23.0%

29.2%

2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002

European Union Asia USA

Page 22: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

15%

10%

3%

6%

17% 4% 1%

30%

10% 4% Pharmaceutical products

Electronical components

Medical & Surgical equipment

Aircraft

Computing, Electronic & Optical equipment

Services for the Hi-tech Industry

Telecommunications Services

Computing services & Software

R&D Services (exc.start-up companies)

Exports of services from start-up companies

Source: IEICI Calculations & Estimations

Services

Industrial

High-tech Export totaled at 51.4B$ in 2018

46% of Israel’s Export

Hi-tech Sectors | Industrial & Services

Page 23: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Number of Technological Startups

5,000

3,000 2,500 2,500

TLV London Berlin Paris

Page 24: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Total VC Investments | 2013-2018

6-year consecutive growth!

During 2018 Israeli hi-tech

companies raised 6.5 B$

in 623 transactions 2.4

3.8

4.8 5.1

5.5

6.5

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2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Bill

ion

s o

f U

SD

Page 25: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

0.8 0.6 1.0

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Bill

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Israeli Buy Side M&A Deal (M$)

Foreign Buy Side M&A Deal (M$) 2018 experienced a

significant increase in the

number of acquisitions of

Israeli targets by foreign

buyers compared to

previous years

Acquisitions of Israeli Companies | Foreign and domestic 2014-2018

Page 26: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Acquisitions of Israeli Companies | By country of origin 2014-2018

Page 27: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Number of Israeli High-Tech M&As | By Sector

Page 28: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

More than 300 Multinational R&D centers In Israel

Tele-communications

New Media

Software

Electronics

Life Science Medical Dev.

Life Science Bio & Pharma

Page 29: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

Israel’s Economy - Summary

Open Economy Export Oriented Growth High Skilled Human Resources Rapid Development of Technology & Hi-Tech Industries Entrepreneurial Culture (Start Up Nation)

Page 30: The Israeli Economy - Export · Israel Economy | Past & Present 1984 2018 GDP per capita (US, current prices) 6,870 $ 41,180 $ Inflation Rate (Year End) 444% 1.1% Current Account

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