The iSAGE decision support system (DSS) · of innovation Shortage of decision support tools. ......
Transcript of The iSAGE decision support system (DSS) · of innovation Shortage of decision support tools. ......
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Sotiria VourakiDVM, Laboratory of Animal Husbandry,
Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Greece
The iSAGE decision support system (DSS)
iSAGE, Training Course, Yorkshire, UK, 4 December 2019
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European sheep & goat sector
iSAGE, Training Course, Yorkshire, UK, 4 December 2019
Low
incomes
High
production
costs
SubsidiesLow level
of innovation
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European sheep & goat sector
iSAGE, Training Course, Yorkshire, UK, 4 December 2019
Low
incomes
High
production
costs
SubsidiesLow level
of innovation
Shortage of decision support tools
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WP4 – Task 4.4Produce user friendly tools that can be provided to industry
Objective: Develop a decision support tool that will optimise sheep and goatproduction and will incorporate the recommended changes
iSAGE, Training Course, Yorkshire, UK, 4 December 2019
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Model-driven, web-based, decision support system
for sustainable small ruminant farming
• Visualization of impact of choices• Action plan on efficient farm
management• Production and profitability
optimisation
• Future what-if scenarios• Different production systems• Important farm aspects• Simple and comprehensible reports
focused on:✓ Profitability✓ Productivity
• Human readable advice• Create/compare different scenarios
Features Impacts & Benefits
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• Meat sheep production system
• Intensive
• Extensive
• Dairy sheep and goat production systems
• Intensive
• Extensive
Production and farming systems
iSAGE, Training Course, Yorkshire, UK, 4 December 2019
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Potential users• Sheep and goat farmers
• Consultants
✓ Veterinarians
✓ Animal scientists
✓ Co-operatives
• Companies
✓ Dairies
✓ Machinery construction companies
✓ Feed companies
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Methodology
• Flock size
• Production (targeted meat or milk, animal weight)
• Grazing (yes / no, area grazed, grazing time & distance, pasture availability)
• Feeding (amounts & nutritional values of feeds)
• Income from subsidies
• Costs (detailed breakdown of variable costs)
• Farm prices (products & feeds)
Input parameters
iSAGE, Training Course, Yorkshire, UK, 4 December 2019
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Methodology
• Meat sheep production system ✓ UK
o Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board (AHDB)
o National Sheep Association (NSA)
✓ Spain - Oviaragón – Pastores Grupo Cooperativo
• Dairy sheep production system
✓ France - Institut de l’ elevage (idele)
✓ Greece – Laboratory of Animal Husbandry, AUTH
• Dairy goat production system
✓ Greece - Laboratory of Animal Husbandry, AUTH
Data collection – Defaults values & acceptable ranges
iSAGE, Training Course, Yorkshire, UK, 4 December 2019
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Energy & proteinrequirements
of different categoriesof sheep and goats
Assessmentof nutritional management and impact on production
and farm economics
Algorithm
Projectional model
iSAGE, Training Course, Yorkshire, UK, 4 December 2019
Methodology
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• Simulations of scenarios - Reports on profitability & productivity
• Farm income, variable costs and gross margin
• Production estimates
• Pasture availability at the end of the year
• Useful farm statistics (e.g. ram to ewe ratio, stocking rate)
• Other advanced outputs
Estimates - Outputs
iSAGE, Training Course, Yorkshire, UK, 4 December 2019
Methodology
Meat sheep farmsLive weight
Carcass weight
Dairy sheep & goat farmsLive weight
Milk production
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• Potential intake of animals
• Pasture intake
• Total feed intake
• Metabolisable energy (ME) & protein (MP) requirements
• ME, DUP, ERDP, MCP & MP intake
• Energy and protein balance
• Outputs based on energy and protein balance
Estimates – Advanced outputs
iSAGE, Training Course, Yorkshire, UK, 4 December 2019
Methodology
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Methodology
• Input of data to designated web forms
• Check for correctness
• Comparison with theoretical min and max limits
• Central collection and storage on a cloud server
• Processing with a model algorithm
• Guide for farm management decisions
Cloud-based app
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How does it work?
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1st Step: Login
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2nd Step: My farms
iSAGE, Training Course, Yorkshire, UK, 4 December 2019
Goat
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3rd Step: Create farm
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3rd Step: Create farm
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4th Step: My farm
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5th Step: Create scenario-Input data
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5th Step: Create scenario-Input data
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5th Step: Create scenario-Input data
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5th Step: Create scenario-Input data
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5th Step: Create scenario-Input data
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5th Step: Create scenario-Input data
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5th Step: Create scenario-Input data
iSAGE, Training Course, Yorkshire, UK, 4 December 2019
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6th Step: Report page
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6th Step: Report page
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Basic simulated scenarios
• Flock size optimisation
• Production optimisation
• Pricing: Lower meat/milk prices & higher feed prices
• Extensification of the production system
• Different feeding strategies
GoalRemain sustainable
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Next steps
• Testing and feedback from sector/industry
• Improvements on the system
• Obtain defaults and ranges from other countries to create customised models
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Thank you!
iSAGE, Training Course, Yorkshire, UK, 4 December 2019