The IEA and its Energy Data Centre...Hydro 2.1% Biofuels and waste 2.3% Other³ 1973 0.2% Coal²...

31
The IEA and its Energy Data Centre Duncan Millard, Chief Statistician, IEA IEA/IPCC meeting 13 th December 2017

Transcript of The IEA and its Energy Data Centre...Hydro 2.1% Biofuels and waste 2.3% Other³ 1973 0.2% Coal²...

Page 1: The IEA and its Energy Data Centre...Hydro 2.1% Biofuels and waste 2.3% Other³ 1973 0.2% Coal² 17.1% Oil 36.0% Natural gas 26.9% Nuclear 9.8% Hydro 2.3% Biofuels and waste 5.7% 2.2%

The IEA and its Energy Data Centre

Duncan Millard, Chief Statistician, IEA

IEA/IPCC meeting 13th December 2017

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© IEA 2017

The IEA

Formed in 1973 in wake of oil embargo with mission to promote member country energy security –autonomous agency of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)

29 (30) member countriesAsia Pacific: Australia, Japan, Republic of Korea and New ZealandAmericas: United States, Canada, (Mexico, imminent) Europe: Austria, Belgium, Czech Rep, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey and the UK, the European Commission also participates in the work of the IEAChile is in the process of accession to become members of the IEAChina, Indonesia, Thailand, India, Morocco, Brazil and Singapore are countries in Association

Decision-making body: Governing Board - Consists of member country representatives

Data and statistics at the heart of the Agencies work – directly and as input to analysis and advice

Modernisation and Open door policy started in 2015

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© IEA 2017

Total primary energy supply (TPES) by region

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

14 000

16 000

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

World TPES from 1990 to 2015 by region (Mtoe)

Americas Europe Asia Africa Oceania Bunkers¹

Source: IEA, Key World Energy Statistics, 2017

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© IEA 2017

World total primary energy supply by region

IEA and association countries use around 70% of energy, now unlike in 1973, the share between them is

more equal

IEA¹60.2%

IEA Association countries¹

10.6%

IEA Accession countries¹

1.0%

Other countries¹

25.2%

Bunkers² 3.0%

1973

IEA¹36.6%

IEA Association countries¹

31.0%

IEA Accession countries¹

1.6%

Other countries¹

28.0%

Bunkers² 2.8%

2015

13 647 Mtoe6 101 Mtoe

Source: IEA, Key World Energy Statistics, 2017

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© IEA 2017

World total primary energy supply by fuel

Oil remains key input fuel, with gas growing in importance

Coal²22.6%

Oil52.6%

Natural gas

18.9%

Nuclear1.3%

Hydro2.1%

Biofuels and

waste2.3%

Other³0.2%1973

Coal²17.1%

Oil36.0%

Natural gas26.9%

Nuclear9.8%

Hydro2.3%

Biofuels and waste5.7%

Other³2.2%

2016

3 740 Mtoe 5 257 Mtoe

Source: IEA, Key World Energy Statistics, 2017

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© IEA 2017

World total final consumption by sector

Transport’s importance for energy consumption is growing

Industry 38%

Transport 23%

Residential 24%

Commerce and public services

8%

Agriculture/forestry

3%

Non-specified (other)

4%

Industry 37%

Transport 29%

Residential 22%

Commerce and public services

8%

Agriculture/forestry

2%

Non-specified (other)

2%

1971 2015

4 244 Mtoe 9 384 Mtoe

Source: IEA, World Energy Balances, 2017

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© IEA 2017

Data collection at the IEA: the road to global outreach

• IEA collects data from 150 countries, on a voluntary basis for all non-OECD countries

NON-OECD

IEANon IEAOECD

AssociationRest

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© IEA 2017

OECD

• 5 annual Joint questionnaires (covering 95 flows over 75 products/categories)

• Annual collection on Energy efficiency, RD&D and forecasts

• Quarterly questionnaire on prices and taxes

• Monthly questionnaire • Electricity• Oil and gas (M-2)• Oil and gas (JODI) (M-1)

• Emergency questionnaires

Non-OECD

• Voluntary

• Joint IEA/UNECE/Eurostat

questionnaires used by some and

growing

• Network of statistics contacts in 120

countries

• Cooperation with international

organisations

Data Collection by the IEA – source: direct from countries

Common objective for all - to improve timeliness and detail of data sent to IEA

http://www.iea.org/statistics/resources/questionnaires/

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© IEA 2017

Energy efficiency data collection

▪ Covers end-use energy and activity for four sectors:

residential, services, industry, transport

▪ Agreed by member countries in 2009 (IEA Ministerial)

▪ Developed with international experts, based on historical work on indicators

(Odyssee, LNBL, etc)

▪ Disaggregation level varies across sectors

▪ Includes graphical tools for data quality checks

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© IEA 2017

IEA statistics dissemination

Annual and quarterly PublicationsFuel Information books, World energy statistics & balances, CO2 emissions…

Electronic data filesData online service

IEA websiteAtlas, Sankey flows…

BookletKey World Energy Statistics

Mobile AppAndroid, apple and windows

Free

overviews

from books

saw15,000

downloads in

first 3 weeks

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© IEA 2017

• Comparable data for over 150 countries

and regions in balance format

• Same definitions

• Country notes to explain

World energy balances

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© IEA 2017

IEA data on CO2 emissions

• Data released twice a year (April for OECD, September

for the full world)

• Including a set of emission factors for electricity

generation (CO2 / kWh) for all countries covered in

IEA statistics

• Free data on line and provided to COP delegates to

support the discussions

• Data also used in various other IEA publications

CO2 emissions and drivers (Kaya decomposition),

2000-2015 (2000 = 100)

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

110.0

120.0

130.0

2000 2005 2010 2015

Population GDP/population

TPES/GDP CO₂/TPES

CO₂ emissions

50

100

150

200

250

2000 2005 2010 2015

Population GDP/population

TPES/GDP CO₂/TPES

CO₂ emissions

Annex I Non-Annex I

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© IEA 2017

International cooperation is key: global harmonization work

International Recommendations on

Energy Statistics (IRES)

• IEA leading harmonisation effort with

partners

• Elaborated through very wide

consultation (Oslo City Group and

InterEnerStat)

• Adopted by the UN Statistical

Commission in 2011

• IPCC and UNFCC are members

https://unstats.un.org/UNSD/energy/ires/default.htm

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© IEA 2017

Examples of IEA cooperation activities around energy and carbon data

• Review of UNFCCC inventories

- Qualitative and quantitative analyses of the discrepancies between CRF and data

submitted to the IEA are provided by the IEA to the UNFCCC, for use in the official

process of review of GHG inventories

• Contribution to IPCC Guidelines and broader cooperation with IPCC

- IEA contributing author to 1996, 2006 Guidelines and 2019 Refinements for Energy

- This joint IEA/IPCC workshop on energy data

• Collaboration with PBL/JRC (EDGAR database)

- IEA provides energy and CO2 emissions from fuel combustion historical data

- PBL/JRC provides estimates of emissions from other GHGs and from other sectors

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Support from the IEA

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© IEA 2017

What Support Does The IEA Provide?

Continuous improvement

in data quality

Manuals

TrainingCapacity Building

Open communication

with country sources

Uniformity across

agencies

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© IEA 2017

Energy Statistics Manuals and guidance

Available in 10 languages Available in 3 languages

Over 170 country practices

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© IEA 2017

The IEA has organised 12 training events and co-organised 20 others since 2015, training more than

1000 statisticians

IEA Statistics Training Events in collaboration with other organisations

Organised by IEA only

In collaboration with IRENA

In collaboration with AFREC

In collaboration with APEC

In collaboration with UNSD

In collaboration with ASEAN

In collaboration with JODI

6

In collaboration with EU4Energy

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© IEA 2017

Online Training: The IEA Online School Program 2017

9 webinars to cover the range of energy statistics, http://www.iea.org/training/ieaonlinestatisticstrainingprogramme/ieaonlinestatisticsschool2017/

(aiming to make available in other languages (French, Spanish, Arabic, Chinese, Russian)

Over 8,000 watched on line material since summer 2016

Module Content Webinar Date of release

Prices Both on data collection and

analysis of data.

Energy prices (data reporting

and use)

16/08

Data

analysis

Dedicated to energy analysts. Energy efficiency 23/08

Energy balances 06/09

CO2 13/09

Data

reporting

Primarily for our contacts to be

trained in how to use the Joint

Questionnaires.

Renewables 23/08

Coal 20/09

Electricity and heat 27/09

Oil 04/10

Gas 11/10

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© IEA 2017

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© IEA 2017

Why do we need energy data?

• “There is a clear need for increasing co-operation among the IEA family to

address global challenges effectively. Raising the quality of global energy data

and statistics also depends heavily on international co-operation”. Concept paper for

the 2017 IEA Ministerial meeting.

• Ministers also noted the prominence of the IEA as the world’s leading source of

authoritative energy analysis, data and statistics Summary of the Chair, Mr. Ibrahim Baylan,

Minister for Policy Coordination and Energy, Sweden 2017 IEA Ministerial Meeting

Energy security Production

Energy access Off grid generation

Renewables RD&D

Prices Investment

Energy efficiency/use

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© IEA 2017

Why a country needs comprehensive energy statistics

▪ Energy underpins all economic activity (output and transport)

▪ Need to ensure adequate security and understand risk to supply – be able to

understand all flows and ability to model the future

▪ Provides clear understanding for investors and business

▪ Understanding energy use allows for efficiency, greater output at lower cost

▪ Required to address climate change and identify cost effective steps

▪ Design, monitor and evaluate policies

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© IEA 2017

What flows are collected annually?

Production

Import

Export

International Marine Bunkers

Stock Changes

Domestic Supply

Transfers

Statistical Differences

Transformation Sector (18 sub-sectors)

Energy Sector (16 sub-sectors)

Distribution Losses

Final Consumption

Industry Sector (13 sub-sectors)

Transport (7 sub-sectors)

Other Sectors (4 sub-sectors)

Non Energy Uses

Electricity and Heat Outputs TOTAL: 95 FLOWS

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© IEA 2017

What products are collected annually?

▪ Coal (17 products/categories)

▪ Natural gas

▪ Crude Oil and Petroleum products (25 products)

▪ Nuclear Energy

▪ Hydro Energy

▪ Renewable Energy (19 products/categories)

▪ Waste Energy (3 products/categories)

▪ Electricity

▪ Heat (7 categories)TOTAL: over 75 products/categories

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© IEA 2017

Structure of the IEA

Executive Office

Dr. Fatih Birol (Executive Director)

Paul Simons (Deputy Executive Director)

Directorate of Global ergy Economics

Fatih Birol

Directorate of Energy Markets and Security

Keisuke Sadamori

Directorate of Sustainability, Technology

and Outlooks

Dave Turk (acting)

Office of Global

Energy Relations

Energy Data

Centre

And TCB

Office of Legal

Counsel

Office of

Management and

Administration

Office of

Communication

and Information

Economics and

Investment

Office

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© IEA 2017

Energy Data Centre

Head of Division

Duncan Millard

Coal, Electricity

and Renewables

Vladimir Kubecek

Oil and

Natural Gas

Erica Robin

Balances, Prices &

Taxes, Efficiency

and Emissions

Roberta Quadrelli

Non-Member

Countries

Celine Rouquette

Annual Coal

Short-Term Statistics

(coal, electricity)

Annual Oil

Annual Electricity

Annual Renewables

Annual Natural Gas

Energy Prices

and Taxes

Energy Statistics

and Balances

SLT and R&D

Statistics

CO2 Emissions

Energy Statistics and Balances

of Non-OECD Countries

Energy Statistics and Balances

of Non-OECD Countries

Energy Statistics and Balances

of Non-OECD Countries

Energy Statistics and Balances

of Non-OECD Countries

Desk-Top PublisherSharon Burghgraeve

SecretariatMaike Fischmann

OECD NMC

Energy efficiency

Energy Statistics and Balances

of Non-OECD Countries

Energy Statistics and Balances

of Non-OECD Countries

Monthly Oil

StatisticsMonthly Gas

Statistics

Oil Emergency

Gas Trade

Flow Maps

JODI

Attachedistheannualquestionnaireforcoalwhichprovidesfor thesubmissionof1997dataandarevisionof1996datawhere applicable. Administrationsarerequestedtocompletethe questionnaireatthelatest 30October1998. However,ifdataare availableearlier,pleasedonothesitatetosendyourquestionnaire totheHeadofDivision,EnergyStatistics,CombinedEnergy Staff,whowillforwardthedatatotheUnitedNationsEconomic Commission for Europe (Geneva). In addition,Memberstatesof theEuropeanUnionarerequestedtotransmitthecompleted questionnairetoEurostat,HeadofUnit,EnergyStatistics, BâtimentJeanMonnet,PlateauduKirschberg,L-2920, Luxembourg.

COAL

ANNUAL QUESTIONNAIRE

1996 and 1997

ORGANISATION FORECONOMIC CO-OPERATIONAND DEVELOPMENT

INTERNATIONAL ENERGYAGENCY

COMMITTEE FORENERGY POLICY

UNITED NATIONSSTATISTICAL DIVISION

ECONOMIC COMMISSIONFOR EUROPE

STATISTICAL DIVISION(QUEST/OIL/1/Rev.1)

COMMISSION OF THEEUROPEANCOMMUNITIES

EUROSTAT

ENERGY UNIT

SLT

Questionnaire

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© IEA 2017

IEA Training and Capacity Building Overview in 2017

In 2016 the IEA directly trained 594 statisticians worldwide and over 4,000 online

Association countries

Accession countries

IEA

15

398

53

45

113

164

189

20

40

40

People trained/continent

People trained/country

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© IEA 2017

• A series of prerecorded short videos addressing fundamental issues in energy statistics.

• Short clips of 90-120 seconds

• Act as a reference point for anyone looking for an explanation on a specific energy related subject

• Work underway to convert energy efficiency manuals, stats and policy , to on-line tools

• http://www.iea.org/training/ieaonlinestatisticstrainingprogramme/statisticstoolkitvideos/

• What is the difference between primary and secondary energy?

• Calorific values – What is a TOE?

• What is an energy balance?

• What is the difference between TPES and TFC?

• What is energy intensity?

• Supply & Demand Breakdown

• How to calculate a weighted average?

• Transformation & energy sector own use

• What is the difference between input into transformation sector and total final consumption?

Online Training: Toolbox Videos

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© IEA 2017

A few basic principles for establishing an energy information system

▪ Do not collect statistics for the sake of collecting statistics but collect only statistics which are needed

▪ Explore options for use of Administrative data

▪ Establish a legal basis

▪ Establish a proper reporting mechanism:

- Questionnaires (as user friendly as possible)

- A network of contacts

- An agreed timetable

▪ Establish proper dissemination mechanism

▪ Allocate proper resources to collect/process the data

▪ Review methodology and process, to anticipate and adapt to change in the energy situation

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© IEA 2017

Role of the statistics team

From 4 year IEA statistics strategy, first produced in 2016

Mission

To be the premier source of worldwide energy statistics

Goals/Objectives

• To provide the statistics needed to support the mission of the Agency and all members

• To be a global reference in the methodological work on energy statistics

• To provide and further develop comprehensive global energy statistics and enhance

their dissemination to inform debate and facilitate advancements in energy policy

• To improve countries ability to produce energy stats, through training and cooperation,

with a particular emphasis on association countries

• Raise the profile of statistics and statisticians and highlight the relevance to policy

making

• To provide opportunities for staff to develop skills and experience

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© IEA 2017

Data collection at the IEA: the road to global outreach

• IEA collects data from 150 countries, on a voluntary basis for all non-OECD countries

NON-OECD

IEANon IEAOECD

AssociationRest