The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C....

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The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer Registry

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Page 1: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

The Goldilocks Quandary:

How much patient contact is just right?

NAACCR Annual Conference 2013

C. Janna Harrell, M.S.

Senior Research Analyst

Utah Cancer Registry

Page 2: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Too little contact

Page 3: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Too much contact

Page 4: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Just RightLow

The Goldilocks Quandary

Too Little

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Too Much

High

Page 5: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Overview

• Cancer registry research policies• The sample• The analysis (models and methods)• The results• The grand finale- oHow much contact is just right?

Page 6: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Recruitment through US Cancer Registries

1. Researcher initiates contact with patient

2. Registry initiates contact with patient Opt-out approach Opt-in approach

3. Physician notification required

Beskow, L. M., R. S. Sandler and M. Weinberger (2006). "Research recruitment through US central cancer registries: balancing privacy and scientific issues." Am J Public Health 96(11): 1920-1926.

Page 7: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Sample• Patients contacted Jan. 2007-Oct. 2012

• 11 studies

• Excludes:• Deceased patients/next-of-kin studies• “Lost” patients• Ineligible patients

• 9,488 patients• 75% permission studies• 25% consent studies

Page 8: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Code Definition Code Definition

100 Mailed 1st letter to patient 205 Spoke with- considering

101

Mailed 2nd letter to patient 206 Spoke with- willing

102

Letter returned w/forwarding addresses 207

Spoke with- Received, already sent to us

103

Letter returned, NO forwarding address 208 Spoke with- too sick

108

Mailed letter to new address as per patient 209 Spoke with- no cancer

110 Mailed additional items 214

Patient left message for Coordinator

200 Left message on machine 215 Spoke with- Refused

201 Left message with person 217 Spoke with- not received

202 No answer 300

Survey returned/ no consent form

204

Disconnected/Wrong number 302

Consent returned/no survey

Page 9: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Analysis

• Bi-variate analyses using chi-square and ANOVA (p value <0.05)

• Multinomial logistic regression modelso 3 models:

Everyone (excluding site) & by sex (including site)

Page 10: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Regression Models

• Outcome: Response to contact effort– Categorical: yes, no, nonresponsive

• Predictors: Sex Age at DiagnosisSite Age at ContactStage Time from diagnosis to

first contact attempt

Page 11: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Demographics: Sex & Study Type

Response n (%)

All Yes No Non-responsive

Total 9488 5416 (57%) 2284 (24%) 1788 (19%)

Sex*      Female 5749 (61%) 3278 (57%) 1238 (22%) 1232 (21%)

Male 3739 (39%) 2138 (57%) 1046 (28%) 555 (15%)

Study Type*        

Permission 7108 (75%) 3956 (56%) 1619 (23%) 1533 (22%)

Consent 2380 (25%) 1460 (61%) 665 (28%) 255 (11%)

*P value <0.0001 chi squared test

Consent studies only included prostate cancers

Page 12: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Demographics: Site

• Characteristics Response n (%) All Yes No Nonresponsive Total 9488 5416 2284 1788 Sex* Female 5749 (61 %) 3278 (57 %) 1238 (22%) 1232 (21 %) Male 3739 (39 %) 2138 (57 %) 1046 (28 %) 555 (15 %) Site* Breast 4260 (45 %) 2515 (59 %) 810 (19 %) 935 (22 %) Prostate 2380 (25 %) 1460 (61 %) 665 (28 %) 255 (11 %) Colorectal 1531 (16 %) 736 (48 %) 507 (33 %) 288 (19 %) CLL/SLL 659 (7 %) 318 (48 %) 147 (22 %) 194 (29 %) MM 175 (2 %) 95 (54 %) 58 (33 %) 22 (13 %) Ovary /female genital 358 (4 %) 228 (64 %) 83 (23 %) 47 (13 %) Childhood cancer 125 (1 %) 64 (51 %) 14 (11 %) 47 (38 %)

Site*Response n (%)

All Yes No Non-responsive

Breast 4260 (45%) 2515 (59%) 810 (19%) 935 (22%)

Prostate 2380 (25%) 1460 (61%) 665 (28%) 255 (11%)

Colorectal 1531 (16%) 736 (48%) 507 (33%) 288 (19%)

CLL/SLL 659 (7%) 318 (48%) 147 (22%) 194 (29%)

MM 175 (2%) 95 (54%) 58 (33%) 22 (13%)

Ovary /female genital

358 (4%) 228 (64%) 83 (23%) 47 (13%)

Childhood cancer 125 (1%) 64 (51%) 14 (11%) 47 (38%)

*P value <0.0001 chi squared test ICCC coded

Page 13: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Demographics: Stage

Stage*Response n (%)

All Yes No Non-responsive

In situ 855 (9%) 496 (58%) 169 (20%) 190 (22%)

Local 5033 (53%) 2893 (57%) 1248 (25%) 892 (18%)

Regional 2366 (25%) 1354 (57%) 576 (24%) 436 (18%)

Distant 973 (10%) 515 (53%) 243 (25%) 215 (22%)

Unstaged 261 (3%) 158 (61%) 48 (18%) 55 (21%)

*P value <0.001 chi squared test

SEER Summary Stage 2000

Page 14: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Demographics: Time

Time*All Yes No Non-

responsive

Mean Range Mean (S.D.) Mean (S.D.) Mean (S.D.)

Age at Diagnosis

52 0-94 51 (11.6) 55 (12.0) 50 (12.7)

Age at Contact 61 18-10160 (10.7) 64 (10.8) 58 (11.4)

Years from Diagnosis to First Contact

8.5 0-39 8.4 (6.0) 8.4 (6.0) 9 (6.4)

*P value <0.001 ANOVA

S.D.- standard deviation

Page 15: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Basic Model- both sexes

ComparisonReply

(ref=yes)Odds Ratio

(C.I.)Distant vs. Local

Stage* No 0.69 (0.56-0.83)

Male vs. Female* Non-responsive 1.24 (1.05-1.45)

Age at Diagnosis* No 1.04 (1.04-1.05)

Age at Diagnosis* Non-responsive 0.99 (0.987-0.998)

Years from Diagnosis to First Contact

Attempt*No 1.04 (1.03-1.05)

*P value < 0.05

Page 16: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Females: SiteComparison

(ref=colorectal)Reply

(ref=yes)Odds Ratio

(C.I.)

Breast* No 0.62 (0.50-0.77)

Breast* Non-responsive 0.74 (0.59-0.93)

CLL/SLL* No 0.59 (0.38-0.93)

CLL/SLL* Non-responsive 2.35 (1.48-3.73)

Ovary/Genital Organ* No 0.61 (0.44-0.86)

Ovary/Genital Organ* Non-responsive 0.49 (0.33-0.73)

*P value < 0.05

Page 17: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Females

ComparisonReply

(ref=yes)Odds Ratio

(C.I.)

Distant vs. Local* Non-responsive 0.67 (0.45-0.99)

Age at Diagnosis* No 1.04 (1.03-1.05)

Age at Diagnosis* Non-responsive

0.99 (0.979-0.996)

Years from Diagnosis to First Contact Attempt* No 1.01 (0.998-1.021)

*P value < 0.05

Page 18: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Males

ComparisonReply

(ref=yes)Odds Ratio

(C.I.)

CLL/SLL vs. Colorectal* No 0.42 (0.22-0.81)

Age at Diagnosis* No 1.05 (1.04-1.07)

Age at Diagnosis* Nonresponsive 0.98 (0.969-0.997)

*P value < 0.05

Page 19: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

All Contact Attempts

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 210

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Contact Attempts

Pe

op

le

Page 20: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Contact Attempts by Response

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011121314151617181920210

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800YesNoNonresponsive

Contact Attempts

Pe

op

le Mean

Page 21: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Contact Attempts

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 160

20

40

60

80

100

Yes NoContact Attempts

% R

es

po

nd

ing

Page 22: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Contact Attempts

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 160

20

40

60

80

100

Yes NoContact Attempts

% R

es

po

nd

ing

Page 23: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Contact Attempts

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 160

20

40

60

80

100

Yes NoContact Attempts

% R

es

po

nd

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Page 24: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Contact Attempts

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 160

20

40

60

80

100

Yes NoContact Attempts

% R

es

po

nd

ing 95% responded by

8 contact attempts

Page 25: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Conclusions

• Only men get prostate cancer

• After 8 contact attempts 95% of those who will respond, have responded

• As age increases, refusals increase and nonresponders decrease

• Younger ages were more likely to be nonresponders

Page 26: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Limitations• Contact protocol varied by study• Consent studies lack diversity• Population lacks diversity• Geography and SES• Generalizability

– Limited sites considered– Are Utahns more willing to participate?

• Simmons, R.G., A.L. Yuan-Chin, et al. (2013). “Examining the challenges of family recruitment to behavioral intervention trials…” Trials 14:116

Page 27: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Future Research & Considerations

• Adjust contact effort based on target population

• Additional analysis with a diverse population including additional variables

• Examine relationship between registry policies, participation rates, and study’s response rate– Simmons, R.G., A.L. Yuan-Chin, et al. (2013).

“Examining the challenges of family recruitment to behavioral intervention trials…” Trials 14:116

Page 28: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Acknowledgment: The UCR Team

Co-authors: Susan VanRoosendaal, Kim Herget, Nan Stroup

UCR Operations Staff

Patient Contact Staff

Page 29: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Acknowledgment

Research was supported by the Utah Cancer Registry, which is funded by Contract No. HHSN261201000026C from the National Cancer Institute's SEER Program with additional support from the Utah State Department of Health and the University of Utah

Page 30: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Contact me

http://UCR.utah.edu

Janna Harrell, M.S.Senior Research Analyst

Utah Cancer Registry801-581-8407

[email protected]

Page 31: The Goldilocks Quandary: How much patient contact is just right? NAACCR Annual Conference 2013 C. Janna Harrell, M.S. Senior Research Analyst Utah Cancer.

Thank you for your time and attention.