The global energy landscape and its impact on Bangladesh Dr. Boris Gehring TÜV SÜD Slide 1...
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Transcript of The global energy landscape and its impact on Bangladesh Dr. Boris Gehring TÜV SÜD Slide 1...
The global energy landscape and its impact on Bangladesh
Dr. Boris Gehring
TÜV SÜD Slide 113/10/15 ‘Safe Future Now’ Summit on Power and Energy in Bangladesh
Global energy outlook
13-01-31TÜV SÜD Slide 213/10/15 ‘Safe Future Now’ Summit on Power and Energy in Bangladesh
Source: International Energy Outlook, 2013
Quadrillion Btu49.5% growth in
consumption in 20 years
43.3% growth in consumption projected by
2040
Demand fuelled by coal, oil, gas, and nuclear
renewables
1995
1998
2001
2004
2007
2010
2013
2016
2019
2022
2025
2028
2031
2034
2037
2040
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
World energy consumption
Liquids Coal Natural gas Renewables Nuclear
49.5%
43.3%
Energy landscape in Bangladesh
13-01-31TÜV SÜD Slide 313/10/15 ‘Safe Future Now’ Summit on Power and Energy in Bangladesh
82% increase in energy demand from 2010 to 2030
95% of energy generation from coal, oil and gas
Energy demand 20% higher than capacity in 2014
90 GW of capacity to be installed from 2014 to 2019 Source: Power System Master Plan 2010
Energy landscape in Bangladesh
13-01-31TÜV SÜD Slide 413/10/15 ‘Safe Future Now’ Summit on Power and Energy in Bangladesh
Source: Enipedia, Energy & Industry group, Delft University of Technology
49% of total capacity of conventional plants near or
beyond lifespan
Increasing emphasis on clean coal and gas technologies
Power plant efficiency levels below world average
Middle East Africa Asia Europe Bangladesh North America0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
≥ 20 years old <20 years old
Proportion of aging conventional plants
Energy efficiency – the fifth fuel
13-01-31TÜV SÜD Slide 513/10/15 ‘Safe Future Now’ Summit on Power and Energy in Bangladesh
The potential of energy efficiency in BangladeshThermal Power Plants Average efficiency: 28.57% 8 – 10% more power can be generated
through better processes and technologies
1% improvement in country-level average gas generation efficiency can translate into USD 66 million in fuel cost savings over 15 years
Source: World Energy Council, 2013
Efficiency of Thermal Power Plants
Middle East Africa Asia Europe Bangladesh North America0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
34.2
38
34.5
37.9
28.57
40.2
%
Objectives
Balancing operational efficiency, availability and compliance to environmental standards
Efficiency: Minimising energy loss in power generation and maximising output• 7 - 15 % of the power generated in fossil-fuel
plants is consumed by the plant’s auxiliary systems.
Availability: Minimising downtime due to unforeseen repairs or maintenance needed due to breakdowns
Compliance to standards: Minimising emissions and ensuring safety to meet national and international standards
Solutions
Integrated solutions that focus on operation and implementation synergies
Renovation & Modernisation • Include NDT, performance tests, energy audits• Increase lifetime of plants by 15 to 20 years• Increase rated capacity by 4 – 8%• Increase efficiency by 8 – 10%
Asset Integrity Management, Operation & Maintenance • Include in-service inspections, preventive &
predictive maintenance• Maximise productivity, avoid unnecessary
shutdown
Independent inspection and assessment• Ensure adherance to environmental and safety
standards
Achieving operational efficiency in existing plants
13-01-31TÜV SÜD Slide 613/10/15 ‘Safe Future Now’ Summit on Power and Energy in Bangladesh
Challenges
Managing risk and maximizing investment certainty
Prevention or minimization of project delays• Main causes of delays include inaccurate
time estimation, poor site quality assurance, delayed approvals and quality control problems
• 1- year delay in project completion directly led to USD 40 million in cost overrun in Middle East
Uncertainty project costs• A study by the US Department of Energy
estimates that scope and labour changes, delays, plant performance deviations and other unforeseen costs may add an additional 15% to 20% to plant construction costs
Solutions
Having adequate Due diligence services• Ensures detail due diligence focusing on
technical, environmental, sustainability and commercial
Comprehensive owner’s engineering and supply chain service• Ensures smooth project management and
quality assurance from project conception to plant commissioning
Comprehensive understanding of grid services • To optimise electrical interconnection of your
power plants, it is important to analyze grid connection conditions; grid connection application; technical requirements for grid connection and device grid compatibility
Ensuring smooth development of new-built plants
13-01-31TÜV SÜD Slide 713/10/15 ‘Safe Future Now’ Summit on Power and Energy in Bangladesh
Supply chain solutions for new build plants
QAinspection
(IQC)Loading/unloading
supervision
Pre-shipmentinspection
Finalinspection
Verification ofConformity & Procurement
certification Stageinspection
Siteassessment
Supplychain audits
Marketsurveillance
management
Tender & contractmanagement
Vendor Qualification &
Supplier Valuation
TÜV SÜD Slide 813/10/15 ‘Safe Future Now’ Summit on Power and Energy in Bangladesh
Post-shipment inspection
ProcurementAssurance
Customised end-to-end solutions
From feasibility and planning through to procurement, construction, commissioning, operation, maintenance, and decommissioning, TÜV SÜD ensures improved operational safety, reliability and overall performance of power plants for investors, engineering, procurement and construction contractors, and operators.
13-01-31TÜV SÜD Slide 913/10/15 ‘Safe Future Now’ Summit on Power and Energy in Bangladesh
Your business benefits
TÜV SÜD Slide 10‘Safe Future Now’ Summit on Power and Energy in Bangladesh13/10/15
Increase availability, optimize performanceTÜV SÜD’s experts help you obtain professional advice in performance optimization to reduce outage time
and increase your return on investment.
Promote efficiency, reduce emissions
Our experts’ impartial perspective fosters cost
efficiency in your organisation, while their comprehensive
knowledge contributes to your emissions goals.
Minimise risk, improve reliability
We help you to reduce the risk of conventional power plant incidents, enhance safety for people and the
environment, increase process transparency and eliminate
interface problems.
Strengthenyour competitive
edgeLeverage on our expertise in safety and statutory compliance for legal
certainty. Third-party certification by TÜV SÜD demonstrates your
commitment to quality.
http://www.tuv-sud.com.bd/bd-en/industry/power-energy/conventional-power
Thank you for your attention.
TÜV SÜD Slide 1113/10/15 ‘Safe Future Now’ Summit on Power and Energy in Bangladesh