The game changes: shifts, disruptions and strategies
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Transcript of The game changes: shifts, disruptions and strategies
Rohit Talwar CEO - Fast Future Research
London Business School - Global Leadership SummitJune 23rd 2015
www.fastfuturepublishing.com
The Future of Business What if the game changes - Shifts, disruptions and strategies
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‘Future Proofed’ Organisations Work on 3 Horizons in Parallel
4-10+ Years
Creating the Future
1-3 Years
Search for Growth
1-12 Months
Operational Excellence
Nanotechnology / Atomically Precise
Manufacturing
3D / 4D Printing
New Computing
Architectures
Hyperconnected Internet of Humanity
Immersivity / Mixed Reality
Living
Food ChainTransformation
Energy Innovation
Robotics / Drones
Brain Uploading
A Possibility Explosion from Exponential
Science and Technology Developments
Blockchain Technology
Healthcare Transformation
Artificial Intelligence / Conscious Technology
Synthetic Biology
Human Augmentation
Information and Communications Technology Mobile Internet - Devices, Services,
Infrastructure, Commerce Next Generation Intelligent,
Personalised Internet Cloud Based Applications,
Infrastructure, Services Internet of Things / Internet of
Everything / Internet of Humanity Big Data, Data Mining and the
Automation of Knowledge AI and Deep Learning Blockchain Systems and Distributed
Autonomous Organisations
Production and Construction Systems & Technologies
Advanced Robotics / Drones 3D/4D Printing and Advanced Materials Genomics and Synthetic Biology Biomimcry Applied to Product Design
and Engineered Systems Rapid/Green/Sustainable Construction
Industry Transformation
Global Infrastructure - Roads, Transport, Energy, Water Automation of Professional Services - E.g. Accounting,
Legal, Consultancy, and Architecture Financial Services Technologies
Energy and Environment
Alternative/Renewable Energy / Storage
Advanced Oil & Gas Exploration & Recovery - Including Fracking, Methane Hydrates
Geo-Engineering, Climate / Environment Protection, Disaster Recovery / Remediation
Citizen Services and Domestic Infrastructure
Healthcare Innovation - Wellness, Prevention, Diagnosis, and Treatment Elder Care Human Modification / Augmentation / Body Shops Clean Domestic Water and Sanitation Services Smart Homes – Smart Devices, Air Con, Waste to Power Green / Electric / Autonomous / Near-Autonomous Vehicles Education Systems Transformation
New Societal Infrastructure and Services
New Food and Agriculture Solutions
Sharing / Circular Economy – Repurpose, Recycle, Reuse, Repair
Smart City Infrastructures and Services
Intelligent Transport Systems
E-Government
Pursuit of Exponential GrowthAirBnB Hotels 90x more listings per employee
GitHub Software 109x more repositories per employee
Local Motors Automotive
1000x cheaper to develop a new car model 5-22x faster to manufacture a car
Quirky Consumer Goods 10x faster product development (29 vs 300 days)
Google VenturesInvestments
2.5x more investments in early stage start-ups10x faster through design process
Valve Gaming 30x more market cap per employee
Tesla Automotive 30x more market cap per employee
Tangerine (formerly ING Direct Canada) Banking
7x more customers per employee4x more deposits per customer
Exponential Market Cap ImprovementAge (years) 2011 valuation 2014 valuation Increase
Haier 30 $19 billion $60 billion 3x
Valve 18 $1.5 billion $4.5 billion 3x
Google 17 $150 billion $400 billion 2.5x
Uber 7 $2 billion $40 billion 20x
AirBnB 6 $2 billion $10 billion 5x
Github 6 $ 500 million (est.)
$7 billion 14x
Waze 6 $ 25 million $1 billion (2013) 50x
Qirky 5 $ 50 million $2 billion 40x
Snapchat 3 0 $10 billion 10,000x +
Bitcoin, Blockchain, Smart Contracts and Distributed Accounting Ledgers
“I’m an asset, and I belong to XYC Company, here’s a digital signature to prove it”.
Decentralized Autonomous Organizations / Software Defined Companies / Corporations as a Technology
Automation Junkies and Non-Owned Entities
Virtual CollaborationNovel and Adaptive Thinking Social Intelligence
Trans DisciplinarityNew Media Literacy
Computational Thinking
Design MindsetCross Cultural Competency Sense MakingCognitive Load Management