The Future of Control (Astrom)

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    Some personal reflections

    The Future of Control

    K. J. strmDepartment of Automatic Control LTH

    Lund University

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    A Broad PictureThere are examples of control from ancient time but

    control became widely used in the industries that emergedin the 19th and 20th centuries: steam power, electric power,

    ships, aircrafts, chemicals, telecommunication. Control

    was sometimes an enabling technology (aircraft, telecom).

    Similarities between different disciplines were notrecognized.

    Control became a separate engineering discipline in the

    1940s and it has developed rapidly ever since. Todaythere are applications everywhere and the field faces new

    challenges

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    TheThe HiddenHidden TechnologyTechnology

    Widely used

    Very successful

    Seldom talked about

    Except when there is a disaster Why?

    Easier to talk about devices than ideas.

    We have not presented our ideas well tocollegues in science and to broader audiences

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    1. Introduction

    2. A Brief History

    3. Control Everywhere

    4. Challenges

    5. Conclusions

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    Early use in many fieldsPower systems

    Process control

    Vehicle control

    Communication Servomechanism Theory

    Consequences

    The Second Phase The Third Phase?

    A Brief History

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    Power Generation

    Problem: Generate AC atconstant frequency

    Solution: Turbincontroller (PI)

    Side effects: Routh Hurwitzstability theory (Maxwell and

    Stodola)

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    Flight Control

    Problem: How to fly? Solution: Understand dynamics.

    Build maneuverable but unstable

    aircraft stabilize with manual

    control

    Side effect: Autopilots

    Sperry 1913

    Autonomy 1947

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    Telecommunication Problem: How to phone over long distances? How to make a

    good amplifier from bad components (vacuum tubes)

    Solution: The feedback amplifier

    Side effects: Stability and design theory (Nyquist, Bode)

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    Accurate systems from imprecise components

    Reduce effects of disturbances and component variations

    Regulate, stabilize, and shape behavior

    Drawbacks:

    Risk of Instability

    Sensor noise is fed into the system

    The Power of Feedback

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    The Scene of 1940

    Widespread use of control in many fields

    Power generation and distribution

    Process control

    Autopilots for ships and aircrafts

    Telecommunications

    The similarities were not recognized

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    The Discipline Emerges

    Drivers: The war effort, gun sights, radar,

    Concepts: Feedback, feedforward

    Design tools: Block diagrams, transfer functions Simulation: Analog

    Implementation: Analog computing

    Holistic view of theory and applications

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    ServomechanismsServomechanisms

    Theory

    Complex variables

    Laplace Transforms

    System ConceptsFeedback

    Feedforward

    Design

    Frequency Response

    Graphical Methods

    Analog simulation

    Implementation

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    TheoryTheory ofof ServomechanismsServomechanisms

    Hubert M. James

    Professor of Physics Purdue University

    Nathaniel B. Nichols

    Director of Research Taylor Instrument Companies

    Ralph S. Phillips

    Associate Professor of Mathematics University of Southern California

    Office of Scientific Research and Development

    National Defence Research Committee

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    ConsequencesConsequences

    Education

    ApplicationIndustrialization

    Organisation

    JournalsConferences

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    Optimal ControlOptimal Control

    Hamilton, Jacobi, Bellman 1957

    Euler, Lagrange, Pontryagin 1962

    Model predictive control

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    Kalman 1961:

    Efficient way to filter signals

    Combine measurements and mathematical modelto estimate process state

    New controller structure based on Kalman filter

    (Observer), state feedback (L) and feedforward

    generator

    KalmanKalman FilteringFiltering

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    Robust Control

    Classic Bode: non-minimum phase is important

    State space: reachability and observabilty

    Robustness of state feedback

    Non-robustness of output feedback Robust Control:Youla, Zames, 4 author paper:

    Doyle, Glover, Khargonekar, Francis

    Fundamental limitations

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    1. Introduction

    2. A Brief History

    3. Control Everywhere

    4. Challenges

    5. Conclusions

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    Keep graphics

    below the te and

    to the right

    Power Generation andDistribution

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    Process Control

    Keep graphics

    below the te and

    to the right

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    Buildings

    Design &Energy Analysis

    Windows &Lighting

    HVAC

    Safety

    Elevators

    IndoorEnvironment

    NaturalVentilation

    Vibrationdamping

    Sensors, Networks,Communications, ControlsSlide from UTRC

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    Vehicles

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    Consumer Electronics

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    PhysicsPhysics

    The causality issue Nobel prizes in Physics

    Gustaf Dalen 1912

    Simon van der Meer 1984

    Quantum and molecular systems

    Turbulence

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    Instruments Giga to NanoAdaptive Optics Atomic Force Microscope

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    Feedback is a central feature of life. The process of

    feedback governs how we grow, respond to stress

    and challenge, and regulate factors such as body

    temperature, blood pressure, and cholesterol level.The mechanisms operate at every level, from the

    interaction of proteins in cells to the interaction of

    organisms in complex ecologies.

    Mahlon B Hoagland and B Dodson The Way Life Works Times Books 1995

    BiologyBiology

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    ChallengesChallengesIncreased use in engineeringIncreased use in engineering

    NetworksNetworks

    Autonomous systemsAutonomous systems

    Learning, reasoning and cognitionLearning, reasoning and cognition

    Natural scienceNatural science

    Devices and ideas in physicsDevices and ideas in physics

    Strong systems orientation in biologyStrong systems orientation in biology

    Many previous attempts. Will it work this time?Many previous attempts. Will it work this time?

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    New ProblemsNew Problems Complex networked systems

    Sensor rich control

    Actuator rich control

    High level control principles Safe design of embedded systems

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    Autonomous Systems Adaptation

    Learning Cognition

    Safety Diagnostics

    Maintenance

    Reconfiguration

    Dickmanns 1995 - 95% autonomi

    Darpa Grand Challenge

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    The Holistic View

    Process and control co-design (architecture)

    Modeling (physics and data)

    Architecture (sensors, actuators, MMI)

    Control design (remember simple controllers) Implementation (hardware, software)

    Verification

    Commissioning (tuning) Operation (diagnostics, prognostics)

    Upgrade and reconfiguration

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    AFOSRNAE

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    Control Computing

    Logic, languages, DES,FSM

    High complexity, abstractions

    Architecture

    The CS Barrier

    Feedback,Stability, ODE, PDEModerate complexity

    Robustness

    The controller

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    Modeling and Simulation

    There will be growth in areas of simulationand modeling around the creation of new

    engineering structures. Computer-based

    design-build engineering ... will become the

    norm for most product designs,

    accelerating the creation of complex

    structures for which multiple subsystems

    combine to form a final product.

    NAE The Engineer of 2020

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    Automotive Climate Control

    Picture courtesy of Behr GmbH & Co.

    Audi, BMW, DaimlerCrysler,

    Volkswagen and their suppliers havestandardized on Modelica

    Suppliers provide components and

    validated Modelica models based on

    the AirConditioning library fromModelon

    Car manufacturers evaluate

    complete system by simulation

    IP protected by extensive encryption

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    Educational ChallengesEducational Challenges Educating the future engineers

    Education of physicists and biologist

    Dilemma of emerging fields

    Filter out the fundamentals and exploit

    advances in computation

    Deep knowledge in specific areas

    Broad knowledge of neighboring fields

    Ability to communicate and to work in

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    Trademark Automatic Control

    Systems and Control

    Control and Automation

    Control and Dynamical Systems

    Cyberphysical Systems

    Cybernetics

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    1. Introduction

    2. A Brief History

    3. Control Everywhere4. Challenges

    5. Conclusions

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    Conclusions Control is a vital dynamic field

    Networked embedded systems

    Autonomy and safety

    The educational challenge

    Recover the holistic view

    Our trademark

    CM P

    C

    C