The future of Aviation and the Environment: Advanced ...Boeing Product Strategy. Market-Driving...
Transcript of The future of Aviation and the Environment: Advanced ...Boeing Product Strategy. Market-Driving...
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Transportation Laboratory/Energy Sustainability Forum (IR3S)
International Workshop on Sustainable Transportation and Energy
University of Tokyo
The future of Aviation and the Environment: Advanced Technologies and Innovation
Duane OdaProduct Development Chief
Boeing Commercial Airplanes6 August 2009
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Key Messages
•
Challenges•
Plan and Commitment
•
Pioneering new technologies•
Alignment of technologies to Products
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2009 THE BOEING COMPANY
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Long-term demand for new airplanes remains strong
Units
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
2007 2027
19,000
35,800
29,400
6,400Retained Fleet
12,500Replacement
16,900Growth
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Boeing Product Strategy Market-Driving Products and Services
47%
44%
2%
7%
3.2 trilliondelivery dollars*
*In year 2008 dollars
2009-2028Regional jetsSingle-aisleTwin-aisle747 and larger
•
Full market coverage
from 100-500 seats
•
Environmentally progressive•
Operational commonality•
Long-range, fast, reliable•
Low operating cost•
Standardization•
Passenger experience•
Lifecycle solutions
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Deliveries by Region2008 to 2027
Market Value by Region2008 to 2027
Asia-Pacific31%
Middle East5%
Africa2%
Latin America6%
North America29%
Europe and CIS27%
Asia-Pacific38%
Middle East8%
Africa2%
Latin America4%
North America23%
Europe and CIS25%
Airlines will need more than 29,400 new airplanes valued at $3.2 trillion
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Aviation: currently small, but without further action –
CO2
emissions will increase
30,000
40,000
5,000
45,000
55,000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
10,000
35,000
20,000
15,000
50,000
25,000
60,000
Emissions by sector, 2000-2030Mt CO2
/year
2% of total
3% of total
Source: McKinsey & Co. /WBCSD Mobility 2030 model; IPCC
AirOther transportPowerIndustrialBuildingsForestryAgriculture & waste
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Key drivers of emissions reductions
2050Carbon Neutral Timeline
CO
2Em
issi
ons
Baseline
Low Carbon Fuels
ATM Investments / Improvements
Ongoing Fleet Renewal / Technology Development
Forecasted Emissions Growth w/o Reduction Measures
Presented to ICAO GIACC/3 February 2009 by Paul Steele on behalf
of ACI, CANSO, IATA and ICCAIA
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Building on a strong record of continuous innovation
Relat
ive fu
el us
e
Early Jet Airplanes
New Generation Jet Airplanes
Noise dB
MORE FUEL
LESS FUEL
HIGHERDECIBELS
LOWERDECIBELS
70%
Fuel Improvement and Reduced CO2
90%
Reduction in Noise Footprint
EVENLOWEREVEN LESS
Noise footprint based on 85 dBa.
1950s 1990s
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Our plan and commitments
75%15%25%
Pioneer new technology
Deliver progressive new products and services
Improve performance of worldwide fleet operations
100%
Relentlessly pursue manufacturing and life cycle improvements
Focus on 25% efficiency improvements in worldwide fleet fuel use and CO2
emissions by 2020
Improve CO2
emissions and fuel efficiency by at least 15%
Devote more than 75%
of R&D toward benefiting environmental performance
Use ISO 14001 continuous improvement plan for 100% of BCA manufacturing sites
Maximize Lean and recycling
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Innovative technologies for improved performance
Materialsresearch
Advanced aerodynamics
Noise reduction technologies
Renewable energy sources
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2009 THE BOEING COMPANY D906Q3946
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Researching next-generation materials
Advancing both materials and manufacturing techniques to make structures lighter and more fuel efficient
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The 787 advanced smooth-wing design adds unmatched efficiency
Advanced composites
Variable camber cruise optimization
Simple plain trailing edge flap system
Advanced raked wing tips
Small flap track fairings
High aspect ratio
All new state-of-the-art aerodynamic wing design
Advanced multi-
function spoilers
Single Slotted Flap
Droopable SpoilerCruise optimization
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Actively pursuing noise reduction technologies
Recent Research –
Chevrons2001: Quiet Technology
Demonstrator 1 (QTD1)2005: Quiet Technology
Demonstrator 2 (QTD2)
New innovations in noise reduction technology –Variable Area Fan Nozzle Smart Materials Chevron Core Nozzle with Microjets
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ENERGY HARVESTING TECHNOLOGIES
Electrodynamic:
Powering light switches with your finger.
Thermoelectric:
Using temperature gradients to power dimmable windows.
Piezoelectric:
A vibration-powered wireless sensor
The Spectrolab solar cell:
Concentrating solar power to make it cost-effective
FUEL CELLSThe Boeing Fuel Cell Demonstrator, achieved the first manned mission where straight-level flight was powered solely by a hydrogen fuel cell.
Actively pursuing renewable energy sources
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Electrodynamics convert finger pressure into electrical power
Eliminating wires between the seat and the PSU –
saving weight which translates to fuel and emissions reductions
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Thermoelectric devices convert a temperature gradient into electrical power
Recaptures the energy used to warm the cabin air
Provides power to dimmable window reducing electric demand
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Piezoelectric harvesters convert vibrations into electrical energy
Uses airplane vibrations to power small electrical demand applications such as a wireless sensor to monitor structural health of the airplane
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Boeing Fuel Cell Airplane Demonstrator
Battery Pack
Electric Motor
5,000 psi Gaseous Hydrogen
20kW PEM Fuel Cell(from Intelligent Energy)
MotorController
Fuel CellController
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Roadmapping Focusing on the right Technologies
Boeing Proprietary – Product Development Sensitive
Today
Mother Nature
Passengers
Airlines Lower operating cost, more revenue
Few Emissions, Quieter, Longer lasting
MARKET ROADMAP(What the World Wants) Low Fares, Enhanced Flying Experience, Point to Point Service
Systems
Engine
Aero
Materials
TECHNOLOGY ROADMAPS(Pull Solutions)
FutureTime
Product Offerings
PRODUCT ROADMAP(Needed Capabilities)
Engine
Aero
Materials
Systems
Less fuel usage, Higher Reliability, Lower Noise & Emission
Speed and Efficiency
Potential Future Products and Services
Passenger Pleasing Environment, Lower Acquisition Cost, Enhanced Safety
Lighter, lower cost
Alignmen
t of T
echnology S
olutions t
o
Product
Needs a
nd Mark
et Req
uiremen
ts
with th
e Right T
iming
(Push Disruptive “Game Changing” Possibilities)
&
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The 787 Dreamliner uses advanced technologies to improve environmental efficiency
Cleaner, quieter and more efficient20%*
Reduction in fuel and CO2
28%
Below 2008 industry limits for NOx
60%*
Smaller noise footprint
Advanced Wing Design
Enhanced Flight Deck
Composite Primary StructureAdvanced Engines and Nacelles
Innovative SystemsTechnologies
*Relative to the 767
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The 747-8 uses advanced technologies to improve environmental efficiency
Cleaner, quieter and more efficient16%*
Reduction in fuel and CO2
28%
Below 2008 industry limits for NOx
30%*
Smaller noise footprint
New Wing Design Enhanced Flight Deck
787 Dreamliner TechnologyHigh-bypass Engines
Advanced Nacelles and Chevron Nozzles
Advanced Materials
*Relative to the 747-400
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Environmental Technology Demonstrator Program
•
Low Power Electric Deice•
Variable Area Fan Nozzle
•
New FMS Concepts•
Tailored Departures•
Way-point cut-back
•
Smart Wing Elements
Quiet Nose Gear
Objective:Reduce emissions and noise by enhancing efficiency of wing, propulsion system, and take-off and landing flight procedures
•
Engine Improvements
•
System Improvements for efficiency (i.e. fuel cells)
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Successful flight test program demonstrated sustainable
biofuel
viability
Identified sustainable biofuel sourcesDemonstrated technical feasibility on various engine / airframe combinationsPromoted development of viable commercial markets
20%Coconut &Babassu
Feb 2008
50%Jatropha
Dec 2008
50%Algae & Jatropha
Jan 2009
50%Camelina,
Jatropha
& Algae
Jan 2009
Increasing level of test objectives
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Our plan and commitments
75%15%25%
Pioneer new technology
Deliver progressive new products and services
Improve performance of worldwide fleet operations
100%
Relentlessly pursue manufacturing and life cycle improvements
Focus on 25% efficiency improvements in worldwide fleet fuel use and CO2
emissions by 2020.
Improve CO2
emissions and fuel efficiency by at least 15%
Devote more than 75%
of R&D toward benefiting environmental performance
100% of Boeing major manufacturing sites will
maintain ISO 14001 certification.
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Looking to the FutureWhat is being done today and what is the future?
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2009 THE BOEING COMPANY