THE FAB FOUR FOR 2019: COFFEE, WHEAT, CORN, …the fab four for 2019: coffee, wheat, corn, platinum...

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THE FAB FOUR FOR 2019: COFFEE, WHEAT, CORN, PLATINUM - AND MAYBE THE AUSSY $ OLD RESEARCH FROM JAKE BERNSTEIN, JANUARY HIGHS DEFINE THE YEAR…. WHEAT – LONG AT 5.03 ON JAN 2 nd

Transcript of THE FAB FOUR FOR 2019: COFFEE, WHEAT, CORN, …the fab four for 2019: coffee, wheat, corn, platinum...

  • THE FAB FOUR FOR 2019: COFFEE, WHEAT, CORN, PLATINUM - AND MAYBE THE AUSSY $ OLD RESEARCH FROM JAKE BERNSTEIN, JANUARY HIGHS DEFINE THE YEAR….

    WHEAT – LONG AT 5.03 ON JAN 2nd

  • CORN – STILL HOLDING THE WHOLE 2018 CROP UNPRICED…

    MAJOR DATE ON 3/29…ACREAGE REPORT…PROBABLY A GAP UP OR DOWN – FND Low Possible 3/1? BE VERY CAREFUL SELLING CALLS – OR DOING PREMIUM OFFER CONTRACTS

  • COFFEE- HOLDING MAJOR LONG INVESTMENT POSITIONS

    LOTS OF MARKETS WAITING TO BREAK OUT…WHAT MIGHT BE THE CATALYST?

  • PLATINUM – NOT SOMETHING WE NORMALLY WATCH…BUT IT IS A EXTREMELY MATURE BEAR MARKET

    OUT OF TIME…HASN’T BROKEN PRIOR YEAR HIGH SINCE 2011…THAT IS GETTING OLD IN THE TOOTH…

  • WEEKLY CHART

    TACTIC WOULD BE TO BUY PLATINUM AND SHORT GOLD…RATIO IS TERRIBLY OVERSOLD

  • AND FOR JORDAN…THE AUSSIE DOLLAR…REMEMBER THIS IS A COMMODITY DRIVEN CURRENCY

  • AND THE OTHER COMMODITY DRIVEN CURRENCY…THE CANADIAN $

    STRONGER LOOK RELATIVE TO THE AUSSIE…

  • SOYBEANS FOR FUN…WE HAVE NO OLD INVENTORY…AND NO NEW HEDGES IN PLACE YET- 1060 TARGET

    As, beans continue to coil, today’s low actually becomes a big time indicator, especially in the SX19.

  • BUT LET US NOT FORGET THE BIG PICTURE… CORN IS EXTREMELY CHEAP!

    I WILL BE RIDICULED, BUT HONESTLY, THE MOST LIKELY BULL MARKET TARGET IS 550 MINIMUM.

  • COFFEE IS EXTREMELY CHEAP! AND THE 114 MONTH CYCLE POINTS HIGHER

    IT IS PRICED LESS THAN 2005, DESPITE 25% INFLATION SINCE THEN…ONE OF THE REASONS THE .25 SUPPORT IS SO EASY TO FULFILL ITS DESTINY, OVER AND OVER, REGARDLESS OF MARKET.

  • WHEAT HAS BEEN LEADING FOR YEARS…MEANING THIS YEAR’S TOP WOULD BE A LONG-TERM HIGH AND REQUIRE MULTIYEAR HEDGING…NOTICE AUGUST TARGET…IF IT RUNS…BE READY

    BULL MARKET SINCE 2016, JUST NEEDS A SPIKE HIGHER TO END 3 YEAR RALLY

  • A BREIF HISTORY OF THE WORLD….NOT REALLY…JUST THE REPS OF THE 60 YEAR CYCLE: 1929=90

    WEEK OF: OCT 15 LOW, JAN 14 HIGH+13, MAY 27 LOW+20, 7/29 HIGH+10 = 43(45)weeks

  • THE DATA FOR 1959 = OR 60 YEARS = GANN’s FAVORITE CYCLE = GANN GLOBAL 60 YEAR CYCLE

    WEEK OF: OCT 28 LOW, DEC 10 HIGH+6, DEC 29 LOW+3, 4/14 HIGH; 5/27 HIGH+21 = 30weeks; 8/4= +10; 9/4=+15, SO 45 FROM THE LOW IS 9/5/19.

    10/28

    12/29

    12/10

    4/14 8/4

    5/27

    7/9

    9/4

  • THE DATA FOR 1988 = OR 31 YEARS- I AM USING THIS DUE TO SIMILAR NATURES OF 1987 AND 2018 FWIW

    AND TO BE FAIR, WE NEED TO EXTEND THE CHART IN TO THE SUMMER

    12/9

    12/30

    8/11

    5/2

  • ENTIRE 1988 CHART

    WEEK OF: AUG 11 LOW, JUNE 27 HIGH+45; HIGH TO SELL=7/5 HIGH+48

    6/27

    8/11

  • THIS IS THE WAY BULL MARKETS START…JUST HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE IF IT HAPPENS

    THE REQUIRED DISCLAIMER: (While this is obvious, we have been advised to add it.)

    • Farming involves risk of loss and gain – You can make or lose more than your initial investment – Just ask a hog or dairy farmer! OR a grain farmer in 2016

    • The information and strategies discussed today are certain to produce losses at some point in the future – Reducing risk is never free and the word CERTAIN is carefully chosen!

    • Managing risk requires the taking of risks, risking even more than your initial capital. • No thoughts expressed in these documents are intended for people or entities that are not farmers • Any and all actions taken by you, are your responsibility.

    A futures account is not required nor is it recommended. AND REMEMBER…if you follow our approach you WILL lose money sometimes. Freedom is only found by a man or woman when they make their own decisions and take responsibility for the outcome.