The emperor's new cloth earley

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The Emperor’s New Clothes The Role of VC in Financing Early Stage Technology Companies 30 May2011

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Transcript of The emperor's new cloth earley

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The Emperor’s New Clothes

The Role of VC in Financing Early Stage Technology Companies

30 May2011

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The Creation of New Technology Based Firms

• Theory– Idea– Research– Concept– Development of a product/service– Prototype– Marketing– Business development

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The Creation of New Technology Based Firms

THEORY

STAGE TYPE OF FINANCE SOURCE

Research Grants PUBLIC

Concept Proof of Concept PUBLIC/PRIVATE

Development of a product/service

Seed VC

Prototype Start Up VC

Marketing Early Stage VC

Business development Development Capital VC

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• Venture Capital IS Important

– “High growth, innovative companies are disproportionately important for economic growth in the UK. Venture Capital is an important source of finance for these companies..” (Nesta 2010)

– EVCA/CMBOR 2002• Some 95% of the companies replying to the survey stated that, without venture

capital investment, they could not have existed or would have developed more slowly

• Almost 60% said that the company would not exist today without the contribution of venture capital

• An average of 46 additional jobs were created by each responding company following the venture capital investment.

Hence Governments and Commentators Regard it Highly

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The Reality (?)

The Emperor’s New Clothes(with apologies to Hans Christian Anderson)

• Does VC deliver? Or does the promise keep us all enthralled and convinced?

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The industry today?

• Declining investment

• 2005 -09– Seed and start-up -50%– Early stage -30%– Later stage -18%

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The industry today?

• Declining funds raised

– Venture 50% reduction since 2006– But similar fall for small MBO and development

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The industry today?

• Why is fundraising difficult?

– Cycle?

– Or other (rational) reluctance from investors?

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The industry today?

• Why might investors be reluctant?

1. Proportionate over-allocation

2. Returns• UK Venture returns lower than private equity (LBO)• UK Venture returns volatile (IRR 21% to -7.6%)

3. Disenchantment with the model on offer

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The industry today?

• Quality and consistency of fund managers– Range of fund performance

– And no consistently top performers?• But probably consistent under-performers?

Vintage year

1997 1999 2000 2001

Top quartile

18.6% 3.6% 2.8% 0.2%

Bottom quartile

-8.6% -13.1% -18.6% -16.8%

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The Role for Government

• Because of Investor Reluctance and the Potential Economic Returns, there is a Case for Government Intervention – currently even at later stages

How (?)– Cornerstone Funds– Co-Invest– Tax Relief– Subordinate Investor– Leverage (Yozma, SBICs, ECFs)

But Industry Must not Become Reliant !

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The industry today?

• The (common) model– Hard to put money to work and illiquid– Timing

• 10 + 2 year funds– But average holding periods 7-8 years (+IRR impact)

– Economics• 2(+)% fees

– On commitments for 5 (?) years, not money-at-work

• Monitoring, Directors, arrangement fees– Damaging to investee companies?

• 20% carried interest– Disappearing rather than collapsing hurdles?

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The industry today?

– Transparency• UK data amongst the best in the world• But everybody is top quartile !• Too many great technology stories – not enough

great returns

– Scale• Small, inefficient funds Vs US model

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The industry today?

• BUT !

– UK has the conditions for a very successful industry

• Great science• Growing entrepreneurial culture• Technologists becoming investors• Experience and expertise in investing• The City• Transatlantic links

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Thank You