The Economics of Heat Stress- Albert DeVries
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Transcript of The Economics of Heat Stress- Albert DeVries
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Albert De Vries
Department of Animal SciencesUniversity of Florida
Gainesville, Florida, [email protected]
Economics of Heat Stress: Implications for Management
DAIReXNET Webinar, April 9, 2012
Supported by AFRI Competitive Grant no. 2010-85122-20623 from USDA-NIFA
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Topics
• Cost of heat stress, value of cooling• Improved fertility in summer• Sexed semen mix
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Dairy heat stress losses in USA
St-Pierre et al. (2003)• Feed intake • Milk production • Reproduction • Repro culling • Death
Average losses due to heat stress• Without any heat abatement:
$167 per cow per year
• With optimal heat abatement system:$100 per cow per year
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Annual production and economic losses in 6 states (minimum heat
abatement)
State
Dry matter intake (lbs/cow/
yr)
Milk (lbs/cow/y
r)
Days open
Repro culling (%)
Deaths
(%)
Annual hours of
heat stress (%)
Loss ($/cow/yr
)
WI 201 403 9 0.6 0.1 9 72
CA 320 646 12 0.9 0.2 12 110
NM 370 745 23 2.2 0.5 20 168
AZ 798 1609 26 2.5 0.5 22 256
FL 1971 3975 59 8.0 1.7 49 676
TX 2196 4425 54 7.4 1.6 36 698
After St-Pierre et al. (2003)
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Florida seasonal pregnancy rates 1976-2002
summer
winter
De Vries and Risco, 2005
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Florida Observation
• Many seasonal breeding herds– Calve in fall, breed in winter, dry in summer
• Preferably no calving in late spring/summer– Heat stress during calving– Death risk (cows, calves)– Milk production , fertility
• Getting cows pregnant in summer: late spring / summer calving
• How important is it to get cows pregnant in summer?
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Can we improve profitability
by improved fertility andbetter insemination
decisions?A story of calving patterns
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Systems approach
• Large spreadsheet(+) with heifers and cows, lactation curves, fertility, feed intakes, labor, prices, etc.
• Decisions: replacement, insemination, calf raising• Closed herd: sell surplus heifer calves + all bull
calves• Optimize profit per (milking) slot per year• Heat stress effects on milk production, fertility,
death risk
• This is difficult
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Relative humidity, temperature and temperature humidity index
for Orlando, Florida
min H
max H
max F
min F
THI
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Seasonal herdconstraint: 1300 total cows
cows calved
heifers calved
heifer calves born
heifer calves kept
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Seasonal herdconstraint: 1300 total cows
Milk Cows milking
Open cows
Cows present
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• Increase probability of conception by 10%
• For example: 40% + 0.1 * 40% = 44%
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+10% Probability of conception
constraint: 1300 total cowsNormal +10% Prob.
conception
Profit/slot/year $728 $767+$39/slot/year
heifers
cows
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Inseminations+10% probability of conception
constraint: 1300 total cows
cows
heifers
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Delayed inseminations+10% probability of conception
constraint: 1300 total cows
cows
heifers
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Calvings+10% probability of conception
constraint: 1300 total cows
cows
heifers
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1000 milking cows constraint
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Seasonal herdconstraint: 1000 milking cows
Milk Cows milking
Open cows
Cows present
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Inseminations+10% probability of conceptionconstraint: 1000 milking cows
+$60/slot/year
Normal +10% Prob. conception
Profit/milking slot/year $587 $647
cows
heifers
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Present and milking+10% probability of conceptionconstraint: 1000 milking cows
present
milking
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Delayed inseminations+10% probability of conceptionconstraint: 1000 milking cows
heifers
cowscows
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Calvings+10% probability of conceptionconstraint: 1000 milking cows
cows
heifers
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Sexed, fresh IVF embryo transfer in summer increases
conception rates• Summer transfer of sexed in-vitro fertilized
embryos• 200% of conventional AI summer conception rate• 88% heifer calves
Stewart et al. (2011)
• Economics? • $90 per IVF-ET transfer• $250 sold heifer calf, $50 sold bull calf• Change in calving pattern
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IVF-ET in summer: scenario Aconception rates and #inseminations,
IVF-ETAll summer “breedings” with IVF-ETNo delayed inseminationsAll calves sold, heifers purchased1300 total cows constraint
conception rate
inseminations/ET
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IVF-ET in summer: scenario ACows calved and milking
All summer “breedings” with IVF-ETNo delayed inseminationsAll calves sold, heifers purchased1300 total cows constraint
Value of IVF-ET: -$4 /milking slot/year Normal: $779, IVF-ET: $775
milking
calved
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IVF-ET in summer: scenario Bconception rates and #inseminations,
#IVF-ETOptimal summer “breedings”Allow delayed inseminations1000 milking cows constraint
inseminations/ET
conception rate
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IVF-ET in summer: scenario BCows calved and milking
Optimal summer “breedings”Allow delayed inseminations1000 milking cows constraint
Value of IVF-ET: $88 /milking slot/year Normal: $569, IVF-ET: $657milking
calved
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Conventional, sexed semen, and summer heat stress
• $20 conventional dairy semen– Normal fertility– 48% heifer calves– Extra heifers calves sold for $250, bull calves $50
• $35 female sexed semen– 80% of normal fertility– 88% heifer calves– Extra heifer calves sold for $250, bull calves $50
• What is the optimal mix?
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Conventional and sexed semen mix
constraint: 1000 milking cows
Profit conventional only: $587 / milking slot / yearProfit sexed + conventional: $624 / milking slot / year (+$37)
conv. cows
sexed heifers
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Summary• Cooling dairy cows pays in hot climates
• Value of improving fertility in summer depends on seasonality of cow performance (milk, fertility) andherd constraints (parlor capacity, cash flow)
• Seasonality has major implications for optimal insemination mix
What do you think?Thank [email protected]