The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. Dubai,...

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The Data Tsunami Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation

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Chris Buist's presentation to the TMT Finance and Investment MENA Forum in Dubai, May 2014: Mobile data traffic is doubling every two years, driven by smartphones and LTE. EBITDA will be squeezed and ROI will fall unless operators act now to increase capacity and bandwidth to respond to demand. Network sharing and industry consolidation will change the face of the industry. Coleago helps operators respond to these challenges.

Transcript of The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. Dubai,...

Page 1: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. Dubai, May 2014

The Data TsunamiSpectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation

Page 2: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. Dubai, May 2014

Mobile data traffic is doubling every two years

© Copyright Coleago 2014

TMT Finance & Investment - MENA 2014 - Dubai 1

Source: Ericsson (November 2013)

Page 3: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. Dubai, May 2014

Feature/Basic Phone

Smartphone

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Feature/Basic Phone Smartphone Mobile PC/Router/Tablet

Smartphones and LTE drive traffic growth

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TMT Finance & Investment - MENA 2014 - Dubai 2

Source: Ericsson (November 2013)

Central Europe, Middle East & Africa subscriptions (m)

49%

Source: Ericsson (November 2013)

81%

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Traffic growth varies between regions/markets

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Global mobile traffic (monthly ExaBytes)

Page 5: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. Dubai, May 2014

Operators need to act now

Increase capacity and bandwidth to respond to

demand

Re-farm spectrum

Add small cells

Invest in transmission

More spectrum

Introduce LTE and LTE-A

Increase revenues?

Data tariffs that reflect bandwidth and volume needs

New services

Superior network performance

Better customer segmentation

Better churn management

Revenues will not keep pace with costs

Engage Managed Service providers, particularly for

cloud

Share network infrastructure

Merge or acquire

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$

Time

Costs

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Network sharing – 200% growth in 4 years

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Source: Coleago

2001-09 deals

2001-14 deals

+200%

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2014 – an uptick in MNO in-market M&A?

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In-market MNO M&A transactions

Source: Coleago

Page 8: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. Dubai, May 2014

Regulators have a difficult balancing act

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Clarity

Stability

Page 9: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. Dubai, May 2014

How Coleago helps operators

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Spectrum services

Spectrum strategy, valuation and auction support

More than 50 projects worldwide, on every

continent

Transaction services

Strategy and business planning

Information Memorandum

Due diligence

Implementation planning/execution

More than 20 projects to date

Network sharing services

TowerCos, active, passive and spectrum sharing

End-to-end from strategy through to transformation

Projects completed in 8 markets

We've written the book!

Page 10: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. Dubai, May 2014

Key messages

© Copyright Coleago 2014

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Data traffic will increase dramatically

$

Time

Costs

EBITDA will be squeezed and ROI

will fall unless operators act now

Sharing and consolidation will

change the face of the industry

Coleago helps operators respond to these challenges

Page 11: The Data Tsunami - Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. Dubai, May 2014

Thank you

This presentation and our white papers re

Spectrum, Network Sharing and Transaction

services will be available to download from TMT

shortly after this conference.

© Copyright Coleago 2014

TMT Finance & Investment - MENA 2014 - Dubai 10

Chris Buist

+43 664 352 1068

[email protected]

www.coleago.com

Director

Coleago Consulting Ltd