The Current Situation. What We Thought Would Happen The “Bumpy Plateau”
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Transcript of The Current Situation. What We Thought Would Happen The “Bumpy Plateau”
The Current SituationThe Current Situation
What We Thought Would Happen
The “Bumpy Plateau”
What Actually Happened
Peak Oil Crashed The Financial System
Without Increased Energy InputsThere’s No Economic “Growth”
Without growth, the financial system is not sustainable
Without “Growth,” Debt Can’t Be Repaid
US Is Broke at All Levels
Unable To Service Debt
The USA Blew It
Frankenstein Securities = Experiment That Failed
Frankenstein Securities Are Dead
No More Ability to Generate Further Massive Credit
Revolving Credit EconomyIs Gone Forever
=
Without Lavish Credit
Middle Class Ceases To Exist
Capital is Flying Out of the System
America’s Oil Problem
The Old Theory
A New Wrinkle
Credit Dmitry Orlov for Ingenius Chart
Financial Crisis > Commercial Crisis > Political Crisis
Global Oil Production Collapses Much Faster
Problems We Already Know About:
• Oil Export Crisis
• Oil Nationalism
• Sclerotic Infrastructure
• Aging Oil Workforce
• Geopolitical Friction
• Canceled Projects
The Zombie Economy
Why Are These People Laughing?
I Will Give You More Bonds Tomorrow
For a Hamburger Today
What Now ? ? ?
Complex Systems Break Down
The Way We Produce Our Food
The Way We Do Commerce
The Way We Move Across The Landscape
The Way We Inhabit The Landscape
AlsoBankingOil MarketsSchoolingMedicineEt Cetera. . . .
So-Called “Solutions” or “Intelligent Responses”
Fuggeddabowdit(Techno-grandiosity)
Intelligent Response:Urban Edge Meets
Productive Farmland
“Solution” - Electric Car
Demographic Shifts Coming
Where the Action Will Be
Where The Action Will Be Also
Where the Action Won’t Be
Future Urban Development
Smaller IncrementHuman ScaleFiner Details
Project: Broekpolder District The Netherlands
Rob Krier, Architect
Fuhgeddabowdit
Toast
Example of Compound FailureThe Demise of Happy Motoring
The Future of Happy Motoring
We’re Too Dumb To Do This
Not “Cutting Edge” Enough
De-Complexifying the Hard Way
Downscaling And Relocalization