The Context for Solar Resource Development: Where are we now? Amy Heinemann August 30, 2011 1.

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The Context for Solar Resource Development: Where are we now? Amy Heinemann August 30, 2011 1

Transcript of The Context for Solar Resource Development: Where are we now? Amy Heinemann August 30, 2011 1.

Page 1: The Context for Solar Resource Development: Where are we now? Amy Heinemann August 30, 2011 1.

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The Context for Solar Resource Development: Where are we now?

Amy HeinemannAugust 30, 2011

Page 2: The Context for Solar Resource Development: Where are we now? Amy Heinemann August 30, 2011 1.

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US Electric Power Industry Net Generation, 2009

US Total Energy Consumption and Electricity Generation, 2009

Source: US Energy Information Administration, Electric Power Industry 2009: Year in Review, April 2011 4

Page 5: The Context for Solar Resource Development: Where are we now? Amy Heinemann August 30, 2011 1.

State % Electricity Generation by Fuel SourceCoal Petroleum Natural

GasOther Gases

Nuclear Hydro OtherRenewables

Other

Alabama 38.8 0.2 22.1 0.1 27.7 8.8 2.1 0.3

Arkansas 43.6 0.2 19.5 - 26.4 7.3 2.8 -

Florida 24.8 4.2 54.3 - 13.4 0.1 2 1.3

Georgia 54 0.5 15.9 - 24.6 2.5 2.2 -

Louisiana 25.4 2 48.4 1.3 18.4 1.4 2.6 0.5

Mississippi 26.6 - 47.8 0.1 22.6 - 2.9 -

North Carolina

55 0.3 4.1 - 34.5 4.4 1.6 0.2

South Carolina

34.4 0.5 9.8 - 52.1 2.3 1.7 0.1

Tennessee 52.2 0.2 0.5 - 33.8 12.8 1.2 -

Source: US Energy Information Administration, July 2011 5

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Electricity Mix in the Southeast

6Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Southeast Regional Clean Energy Policy Analysis, January 2011

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Electricity Consumption per Customer by Sector, US v. SE

7Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Southeast Regional Clean Energy Policy Analysis, January 2011

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Average Retail Electricity Rates, 2009

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Installed Nameplate Capacity, 2009

Source: US Department of Energy. Renewable Energy Databook. August 2010 9

Page 10: The Context for Solar Resource Development: Where are we now? Amy Heinemann August 30, 2011 1.

Installed Nameplate Capacity (MW), 2009

Source: US Department of Energy. Renewable Energy Databook. August 2010 10

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Barriers

• High upfront cost• Low electricity rates• Lack of financing options• Permitting and interconnection processes• Other policy-related barriers• Education and awareness

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Top Renewable Energy Generators - Biomass

Source: US Department of Energy. Renewable Energy Databook. August 2010 12

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Source: US Department of Energy. Renewable Energy Databook. August 2010

Top Renewable Energy Generators– Wind

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Top Renewable Energy Generators– Solar

Source: US Department of Energy. Renewable Energy Databook. August 2010 15

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Solar Installations in 2010State Capacity

Installed in 2010 (MW-DC)

Cumulative Installed

Capacity (MW-DC)

Alabama 0.2 0.4

Arkansas 0.6 1.0

Florida 34.8 73.5

Georgia 1.6 1.8

Louisiana - 0.2

Mississippi 0.1 0.3

North Carolina 28.7 40.0

South Carolina - 0.2

Tennessee 3.8 4.7

Top 10 States, Grid-Connected PV in 2010

Top 10 States, Grid-Connected PV, Cumulative

Source: Interstate Renewable Energy Council & Larry Sherwood, US Solar Market Trends 2010, June 2011 16

Page 17: The Context for Solar Resource Development: Where are we now? Amy Heinemann August 30, 2011 1.

Renewable Energy Potential in SE

17Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Southeast Regional Clean Energy Policy Analysis, January 2011

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Policy – A Complicated Web

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To Make Sense of It…

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• Created in 1995• Funded by U.S. DOE / NREL• Managed by N.C. Solar

Center (NCSU)• Scope = government & utility

incentives & policies that promote RE & EE

• ~ 2,650 total summaries• ~200,000 users/month• DSIRE Solar Policy Guide for

state policymakers• Solar Policy Comparison

TablesDSIRE Solar (dsireusa.org/solar)20

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Renewables Portfolio Standards

Renewable portfolio standard

Renewable portfolio goal

www.dsireusa.org / June 2011

Solar water heating eligible *† Extra credit for solar or customer-sited renewables

Includes non-renewable alternative resources

WA: 15% x 2020*

CA: 33% x 2020

NV: 25% x 2025*

AZ: 15% x 2025

NM: 20% x 2020 (IOUs) 10% x 2020 (co-ops)

HI: 40% x 2030

Minimum solar or customer-sited requirement

TX: 5,880 MW x 2015

UT: 20% by 2025*

CO: 30% by 2020 (IOUs)10% by 2020 (co-ops & large

munis)*

MT: 15% x 2015 ND: 10% x

2015

SD: 10% x 2015

IA: 105 MW

MN: 25% x 2025

(Xcel: 30% x 2020)

MO: 15% x 2021

WI: Varies by utility;

10% x 2015 statewide

MI: 10% & 1,100 MW x 2015*

OH: 25% x 2025†

ME: 30% x 2000New RE: 10% x 2017

NH: 23.8% x 2025

MA: 22.1% x 2020 New RE: 15% x 2020

(+1% annually thereafter)

RI: 16% x 2020

CT: 23% x 2020NY: 29% x 2015

NJ: 20.38% RE x 2021+ 5,316 GWh solar x

2026

PA: ~18% x 2021†

MD: 20% x 2022

DE: 25% x 2026*

DC: 20% x 2020

NC: 12.5% x 2021 (IOUs)10% x 2018 (co-ops & munis)

VT: (1) RE meets any increase in retail sales x

2012; (2) 20% RE & CHP x 2017

KS: 20% x 2020

OR: 25% x 2025 (large utilities)*

5% - 10% x 2025 (smaller utilities)

IL: 25% x 2025

29 states + DC and PR have an RPS(8 states have

goals)

OK: 15% x 2015

PR: 20% x 2035

WV: 25% x 2025*†VA: 15% x 2025*

DC

IN: 15% x 2025†

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Financing Options

• Loans• Retail (3rd Party) PPAs and Leases• On-bill Financing• PACE Financing

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Net Metering• Billing arrangement between a utility and a

customer-generator that allows electricity to flow both to and from the customer.

• Many caveats and fine details can make a net metering policy heavily favor the utility.

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Interconnection StandardsInterconnection refers to the issues that must be settled between the system owner and the utility and local permitting authorities before the system is connected to the grid.

1. Technical – safety, power quality, system impacts

2. Contractual – legal and procedural issues3. Rates, fees and metering issues

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• Solar access laws• Solar permitting incentives• Solar ready building guidelines

Other Policies

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Wrap-Up• SE electricity based on coal, nuclear, and

natural gas• Solar resource is good in SE and solar

installations have been growing• High upfront cost, lack of financing options

and regulatory barriers can hinder growth of state solar market

• Policy options can be used to overcome barriers

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Questions?

Amy HeinemannNorth Carolina Solar Center

[email protected]