The Common Law of International Trade and the Future of the World Trade Organization Thomas Cottier...
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The Common Law of International Trade and the Future of the World
Trade Organization
Thomas Cottier CIGI Campus Auditorium, Waterloo Canada
February 3, 2016
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 1
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 2
Perceptions and Realities • Doha Development
Agenda stalling with minor results in December 2015 (Nairobi)
• Forum Shifting to PTA in particular TTIP, TTP, RCEP
• Multipolar World • WTO and multilateralism
increasingly perceived irrelevant
• No major protectionism during and after Financial and Debt Crisis 2007-2014)
• New WTO Members (128 to 162)
• Central Role of WTO Dispute Settlement (more than 500 disputes registered since 1995)
• WTO Law is the Foundation of all modern RTAs
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 3
The Common Law of International Trade
• RTAs all structured on the basis of WTO law disciplines
• Shared values and principles • Core legal concepts of tariffs, QRs, non-discrimination
(national treatment) and exceptions • Structure of agreements follow WTO law • WTO-plus and sometimes WTO-minus• Introduction of new areas (e.g. labour, environment,
competition, investment, TK protection)
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 4
Dialectical Relationship
• Multilateralism and Preferentialism mutually supportive over time: – 1883 and 1886 IPR Conventions (Paris and Berne)
based upon set of bilateral agreements – GATT 1947 based upon US Reciprocal Trade
Agreements – Preferential Trade in Services based upon 1995
GATS Agreement – TTIP /TTP/RCEP: Future Multilateralization in
WTO to be expected (2020-2030) 6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 5
A Comparative Approach
• The experience of Roman Law and the Glossatores • The formation of the Common Law • The process of modern codification in Civil Law • Modern federalism• The evolution of EU Law • All depending on strong central legal institutions,
scholarship and civil society support
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 6
PTA Institutions• With the exception of the European Union,
CU and PTAs show weak institutional frameworks
• Lack of central bodies and secretariats• Lack of dispute settlement experience and
experienced infrastructure • Mainly model of ad hoc arbitration (e.g. TTP
chapter 28)
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 7
Splendid Isolation
• PTAs not well connected and concerted• Jurisdiction limited to specific agreement,
subject to Article 31 VCLT interpretation• Conflicting rules create difficulties for
regulating “behind the border issues” • For example: GI protection in Canada in the
quadrangle of TRIPs, NAFTA, CETA and TTP)
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 8
Towards a World Trade Court
• From Fragmentation to Coherence – Art. 3.2 DSU and the status of non-WTO law in
dispute settlement – Potential of Article 25 DSU (Arbitration)– Expanding the jurisdiction of the WTO to
Preferential Trade Agreements – Institutional implications and cost structures
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 9
Monitoring Existing Agreements in the WTO
• The evolution of the common law of international trade calls for stronger institutions beyond dispute settlement:
• Proactive role of the WTO Secretariat in monitoring existing agreements – TPRM – Dispute Settlement: A voice for the Secretariat and
enhanced transparency – Guardian of the system: right to lodge consultations
and complaints against failing members
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 10
Future Negotiations
• Due to decline of traditional MFN, market access negotiations will continue to take place in preferential fora and settings
• Negotiations on non-tariff barriers depend upon market size and spill-over effects
• CETA, TTP, TTIP• Preferential negotiations excluded areas which would
deploy free rider effects (e.g. disciplines on domestic support)
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 11
Unique Selling Propositions
• WTO member need to focus on USPs of multilateralism and related Organisations: – Multilateral Know-how and expertise of the WTO – Trade Community in Geneva and NGOs– Areas with MFN and strong spill-over effects:
• Conditions of competition (subsidies, IPRs, competition policy)
• Technical regulations, food standards, domestic regulation of services
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 12
Farewell to Trade Rounds• With market access (tariffs, QRs) and services dealt
with mainly preferentially, the rationale for trade rounds no longer exist
• Instead: Sectorial negotiations and on-going quasi legislative processes (building upon past experience: Financial Services, Telecom, GPA, Access to Essential Drugs)
• Integrated approach covering goods, services, investment, competition, government procurement (e.g. climate change mitigation and adaption)
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 13
Potential Sectors• Energy:
– Agreement on Electricity – Agreement on Fossil Fuels
• Agreement on Extracted Minerals • Agreement on Specific Services, e.g:
– Civil Aviation (Airlines) – Maritime Transports– Disciplines on Economic Migration beyond GATS
• Need to develop close working relationship with specialised international organizations
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 14
Horizontal Issues
• Trade Remedies for goods and services (unfair competition approach) for dumping and subsidization
• Trade and Investment • Trade and Competition Policy (Anti-trust)• Institutional issues: role of secretariat,
extending jurisdiction to RTAs, cooperation with other IOs
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 15
Modifying Consensus Diplomacy
• The shift to PTAs is partly caused by rigidity within WTO talks
• Return to WTO talks requires more flexible attitudes
• Diplomacy should adopt consensus-minus as established under DSU and/or weighted voting
• Formally blocking consensus should be subject to vital interests, reasoned statements and need to confirmation upon cooling-off
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 16
Conclusions
• Integrated approach to trade regulation: towards a common law and the role of academic research and teaching
• Need to strengthen central institutions, in particular WTO monitoring and dispute settlement: extending jurisdiction to RTAs
• Sectorial negotiations • Qualified consensus
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 17
Thank you for your [email protected]
18 Journal of International Economic Law 3-20 (2015)
6/22/2015 World Trade Institute Berne 18