The Challenges to Implementing an AMR System in the Middle East Presented By: Maha Chalouhi Chalhoub...
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Transcript of The Challenges to Implementing an AMR System in the Middle East Presented By: Maha Chalouhi Chalhoub...
The Challenges to Implementing an AMR System in the Middle
EastPresented By:
Maha Chalouhi Chalhoub
NEEDSNear East Engineering and Development Services
Date:
February 1, 2005
Table of Content• Energy Status in the Middle East
• AMR Enterprise Solution
• AMR Challenges in the Area
• AMR Potential
February 1, 2005
2
Energy Status in the Middle East Countries
Electric Generation Capacity in some ME countries
1.5
17.7
31
5
1.7
26.6
9.3
2.2 1.475
7.6
32.3
5.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Country
GW
2003 Total Generation Capacity in the ME :
154 GW
* Check Source of Information Slide
February 1, 2005
3
Projection of Electricity Consumption in the ME Area (2001-2025)
926818
723635
476
0100200300400500600700800900
1000
2001 2010 2015 2020 2025
Year
TW
h
Average Net Electricity Consumption Growth:
2.8% / year
Energy Status in the Middle East Countries
* Source: Energy Information Administration
February 1, 2005
4
Energy Status in the Middle East Countries
Projection of Natural Gas Consumption in the ME Area (2001-2025)
12.1
10.5
8.57.9
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2001 2010 2020 2025
Year
Tri
llio
n C
ub
ic F
ee
t
* Source: Energy Information Administration
February 1, 2005
5
Energy Status in the Middle East Countries
Facts in the Middle East:
- Saudi Arabia has 25% of proven oil reserve, UAE 10%, Kuwait 8%.- 2004 KSA oil exports revenues > 100 billion $- 2001: ME produced 32% of crude oil world production- The largest reserve of natural gas is in ME: 3rd in Qatar, 5th in UAE: ME holds 35% of world’s estimated reserve in gas- 2004 GDP Growth: UAE: 4%, Bahrain/Jordan: 4.6%, Qatar: 4.7%, KSA: 6.1%.- Dubai: the Model of the New 21st Century City: Internet City, Children’s City, Festivity City, Knowledge Village
February 1, 2005
6
Population Growth
Maturity of Various Business Lines
Economic / Industrial Boom
Great Potential Business Market Area
Energy Status in the Middle East Countries
February 1, 2005
7
HOWEVER…
- Electricity Prices differs from lowest prices (Qatar, Saudi, UAE, Syria) to the highest prices in the world (Lebanon, Jordan)
- Losses are stamped by non-technical losses like electricity theft that may reach 24% of production
- Electricity Demand may exceed sometimes electricity supply leading some ME countries to import electricity from neighbors to avoid black-out
- Many ME Power Sectors are State-Owned: No competition.
Energy Status in the Middle East Countries
* Check Source of Information Slide
February 1, 2005
8
Energy Status in the Middle East Countries
Operation Deficiency
High Rate of Non-Technical Losses
Quality of Service not matching Quality of Life
Great Potential for Customer Services Improvement
February 1, 2005
9
Energy Status in the Middle East Countries
Transformations in Middle East Power Sector:
- Qatar: 2000: Privatization: Asset of MEW → QEWC 2001: Ras Laffan IWPP
- Bahrain: In 2004: First contract for IPP / Consideration of Privatization of entire electricity sector
- UAE: In 1998: ADWED → ADWEA / 2nd IPP in Gulf area
- Jordan: Deregulation distribution and generation power network
-In 2002, grid linking project: Egypt, Jordan, Syria and others
February 1, 2005
10
Technologies Adoptedin the Middle East Countries
Automation
Projects (EMS/DMS)
LV AMR
Pilot Project
BAHRAINNational Control Center Trends
Serious Efforts in ME were put to manage the HV Level. Why not the MV and LV Device ?
AMR Pilot Projects/Contract
Signature
National Control Center
February 1, 2005
11
Generation Level
Transmission Level
Distribution Level
Consumer Level
Black-outs
Historical information
Classic network
Continuous Supply
Responsive, Intelligent Network
Real-time Information
Non-technical lossesImmediate Actions Required
Manual / lengthy collectionAutomated / Remote
Today Utility Objectives February 1, 2005
12
Generation Level
Transmission Level
Distribution Level
Consumer Level
Black-outs
Historical information
Classic network
Continuous Supply
Responsive, Intelligent Network
Real-time Information
Fraud unidentifiedImmediate Identification
Manual / lengthy collectionAutomated / Remote
Today Utility Objectives February 1, 2005
13
Automation Status in the MEFebruary 1, 2005
14
Enterprise Utility System
CISCISEnhanced energy tracking,
data analysis, and customer relation
MISMIS Developed policy setting,
cost/benefit analysis and work flow procedure
WISWIS Warehouse Control,
Minimum Stock Monitoring,Purchasing Control
Automation:Automation:Automatic Meter Reading
LOAD ManagementDistribution AutomationSubstation Automation
NEEDS Master PLAN“Enterprise Utility System”
GISGIS
Network Mapping, Data Management,
Utility Business Activities
DMSDMSImproved operation,
Quality of service,
Productivity improvement
EMSEMSSecure Operation, Quality of Supply, System Efficiency
February 1, 2005
15
Financial Flow
Flow measurements
& control settings Billing & collection
management systems
Monitoring control
& reliability of supply
Technical Flow
Technical and non-technical losses
Fuel
Digital Modeling of a Utility
Generation Transmission Distribution KWh
79
3 Phase
Consumption Water, and Electricity
DM CMNM NM NM
Financial Flow
METERING THROUGHOUT THE NETWORK IS THE CHALLENGE
February 1, 2005
16
i
i i
i
i i
i i
i
Generation Level
Transmission Level
Distribution Level
Consumer Level
Black-outs
Historical information
Classic network
Continuous Supply
Responsive, Intelligent Network
Real-time Information
Fraud unidentified
Immediate Identification
Manual / lengthy collectionAutomated / Remote
AMR Transforms the UtilityFebruary 1, 2005
17
i
i i
i
i i
i i
i
AMR Transforms the Utility
UTILITY BENEFIT: Cost Minimization of Customer Management Course of Action
February 1, 2005
18
i
i i
i
i i
i i
i
AMR Transforms the Utility
CUSTOMER BENEFIT: Customized Tariffs & Value Added Services
February 1, 2005
19
Bills Collected
Bills Issued
Bills CollectedEnergy Distributed
Bills IssuedEnergy Consumed
Increasing Increasing
Collection Collection
EfficiencyEfficiency
Enhancing Enhancing
Reading Reading
EfficiencyEfficiency
Improving Improving
Overall Overall
EfficiencyEfficiency
Energy Distributed
Bills
Consumed
Bill $Bill $
Bills
Collected
Bill $Bill $
Bills
Issued
Bill $Bill $
Transactions EfficiencyFebruary 1, 2005
20
i i
i
i i
i i
i
i i
i
i i
i i
Supply – Demand BalanceT
echn
ical
Flo
wF
inancial Flow
February 1, 2005
21
AMR: The Business Driven Approach
Au
tom
ati
c M
ete
r R
ea
din
g T
ec
hn
olo
gy
System Not Open
No Enterprise System No
IntegrationEnergy /
LoadTracking
ResourcesManagement
CostOptimization
Load Management
February 1, 2005
22
AMR ImplementationBottleneck in ME Countries
IMPLEMENTATIONBOTTLENECKS
Investments RisksFear of Unrecoverable Cost
Lack of EnterprisePerspective System Not Open
Lack of Standards
Regulatory Uncertainties Solution Driven by ProductUncertainty to Capture Value
Immaturity of Digital Utility Concept
Absence of Awareness
February 1, 2005
23
More Understandings of Utility’s / Customer’s Needs &
Expectations
More Understandings of Utility’s / Customer’s Needs &
Expectations
AMR : How to Move Ahead?
- Involvement of Regional Role- Understanding Implementation Constraints- Building Internal Capabilities- Use of Advanced Technologies
- Changing or Upgrading Meters- Meeting Dynamic Growth- Financing Strategies Elaboration- Benefit/Cost Payback Analysis- Decision Support- Strategic Planning Development - Portfolio Creation Dynamic Rate Structure
More Awarenes
s
More Expertise & Dedicated Consultancy Services
February 1, 2005
24
Turnkey AMR System Project
Contract Negotiation
Technical Specification
Request for Proposal Preparation
Bid Evaluation
Vendors
Pre-Qualification
Feasibility Study
System Development and Testing
Meters Installation
February 1, 2005
25
AMR Potential
4-6%LOSSES
Well Structured Network
8-25%LOSSES
Current Networks
AMR
Because only 1% LOSSES in 1GW
Current Networks
SMinimum 2.5 Million
February 1, 2005
26
AMR Potential
Electric Generation Capacity in some ME countries
1.4
17.7
31
5
1.7
26.6
9.3
2.2 1.475
7.6
32.3
5.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Country
GW
Cost of 1% Losses (Million USD)
3.75
44.2
77.5
12.54.2
66.5
23.2
5.5 3.7
19
80.7
14
0102030405060708090
Bahra
in (2
002)
Egypt
(200
2)
Iran
(200
3)
Iraq(
2004
)
Jord
an (2
003)
KSA (200
3)
Kuwai
t (20
04)
Leba
non
(200
3)
Qatar
(200
4)
Syria
(200
2)
Turke
y (20
03)
UAE (200
2)
Country
Mil
lio
n U
SD
February 1, 2005
27
Projection of Electricity Consumption in the ME Area (2001-2025)
926
818723
635
476
0100
200300
400500
600700
800900
1000
2001 2010 2015 2020 2025
Year
Bill
ion
KW
h
Projection Cost of 1% Losses of Electricity Consumption in ME Area (2001-2025)
238
317.5361.5
409
463
050
100150200250300350400450500
2001 2010 2015 2020 2025
Year
Mill
ion
USD
AMR PotentialFebruary 1, 2005
28
Source of Information
• Dubai Electricity and Water Authority (DEWA)• Abu Dhabi Electricity and Water Authority
(ADWEA)• Energy Information Administration• The World Bank• The United Nations Stats• The Saudi Arabia Information Resource• Emiri Diwan - Qatar
February 1, 2005
THANK YOU
For More Reference:
Paper ‘Transforming the Utility Business Environment’ / Metering International / Issue4
Contact Address: [email protected]