The basic principles of managing - Open Online Trading...
Transcript of The basic principles of managing - Open Online Trading...
The basic principles of managing
personal finances are simple - Set
your financial goals, make an
investment plan to achieve them,
take an adequate cover for life,
health and assets, plan your taxes
well in advance, etc. Yet, we see,
many investors find it hard to
implement the simple piece of
advice given to improve their
financial health. This indeed has a
relation to advice we get to
improve our physical health, 'Eat
right and exercise regularly' may
sound simple and obvious, but is
hard to implement. Isn't it?
This is mainly because we tend to
Anup BagchiMD & CEO
ICICI Securities Ltd.
be hostages of habits and routines.The positive side of this nature is that if we do make up our mind
to follow a routine we will stick to it. The other side of this nature is
that it is difficult to change our existing habits. So it all comes to
taking the first step and form new habits.
Say for example, most of us understand that life and health
insurance covers are essential in case of an untoward event.
However, there are certain routines, such as mixing insurance
with investment, relying only on employer-provided health cover,
which deviate us from following the right practices i.e. separating
insurance from investment and taking an independent health
cover. Then, there are also certain individuals, who believe taking
insurance is a waste of money altogether. That's one of the
reasons why insurance penetration (measured as the ratio of
1ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
premium to gross domestic product) is very low in India, at 3.1
percent for life insurance and 0.8 percent for general insurance,
as per the latest report. For the sector as a whole, it is 3.9 percent,
as against the world average of 6.3 percent.
Further, it is a well-established fact that growth assets, such as
equity, are best for long-term financial goals, since they tend to
outperform all other assets in the long run and are inflation-and-
tax-efficient. Yet, we see, less than 5 percent of India's population
investing into equity. Majority of investors prefer investing into
debt instruments even for their long-term goals. Real estate is
another preferred option among investors, including wealthy.
Nearly half of the Indian ultra high net-worth individuals (UHNWI)
investment portfolios are allocated in property - the highest
across the globe, according to the Knight Frank Wealth Report
2015.
These routines and practices are not only limited to insurance
and investments, but also to taxes related investments. By now,
most of us understand that taxes should be planned well in
advance, preferably at the start of the new financial year, yet we
tend to keep it for the last moment. Our cover story of this edition
takes you through such routines, which most investors follow,
and ways to adopt better practices.
To reiterate, the basic principles of managing personal finances
remain same and are simple. It is now time to implement them
and secure our future. ICICIdirect is committed to helping you
reach your financial goals. Our message remains the same - 'Keep
investing and stay invested for your life goals'. Through this
magazine and our website www.icicidirect.com we want to make
an earnest attempt to partner with you in setting and achieving
your financial goals. Do walk into any of your Neighbourhood
Financial Superstore and talk to us.
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Fundamentals of investing owe itself to the academicians well
as to the practitioners. Theories usually are unable to capture
all constraints and practice is unable to implement without
biases or errors. So if indeed there are some rules that have
been accepted both in theory and practice ….they should
simply be embraced. Our cover story of this edition takes you
through some of these fundamental rules that can help you
better manage your finances.
Last month being the Budget month, we also feature a write up
'Budget Review' stating key measures announced and its
impact on economy and various market sectors. We also
highlight key changes w.r.t. to personal finances in our Ask Our
Planner section.
The edition also features an interview with Mr. Nimesh Shah,
MD & CEO, ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund, who shares his views
on budget, economy, markets, sectors, etc., along with advice
for retail investors in the current scenario in terms of their
overall portfolio and asset allocation.
We also offer comprehensive information and analysis on
equity diversified funds, the ever-green option for individuals
to invest for their long-term financial goals. So read on, stay
updated and involved.
Do write in with your feedback at moneymanager@
icicisecurities.com and share your thoughts.
Editor & Publisher : Abhishake Mathur, CFA
Coordinating Editor : Yogita Khatri
Editorial Board : Sameer Chavan, CWM®, Pankaj Pandey
CMEditorial Team : Azeem Ahmad, Nithyakumar VP CFP , Nitin Kunte, Sachin Jain, Sheetal Ashar
ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
Your magazine is now also available on www.magzter.com, a digital newsstand.
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MD Desk.............................................................................................. 1
Editorial................................................................................................2
Contents .............................................................................................. 3
News .................................................................................................. 4
Union Budget 2015 Review.................................................................... 5
Debt Market Round-up & Outlook............................................................ 9
Getting Technical with Dharmesh Shah..................................................12
Derivatives Strategy by Amit Gupta.......................................................14
Stock Ideas: Inox Leisure and M&M......................................................18
Flavour of the Month: Getting Your Finances in Order
Do you follow the right financial practices to manage your
personal finances? Here's why you should….................................26
Tête-à-tête: 'India is the most attractive emerging market in the world’
An interview with Nimesh Shah, MD & CEO, ICICI Prudential
Mutual Fund..................................................................................... 33
Ask Our Planner: Income-tax Benefits Post Budget
Your personal finance queries answered…....................................39
Mutual Fund Analysis: Category – Diversified Equity Funds
An ever-green option for individuals to invest for their long-term
financial goals….............................................................................. 42
Mutual Fund Top Picks
Here we present our research team's top mutual fund
recommendations, across equity and debt categories…..............49
Equity Model Portfolio..........................................................................51
Quiz Time............................................................................................56
Monthly Trends....................................................................................57
Premium Education Programmes Schedule.............................................61
ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
4ICICIdirect Money Manager
Mutual Fund houses want tax sops for pension products on lines of NPS
Mutual fund houses have said that tax benefits for retirement solutions should be provided on the lines of the New Pension System (NPS) as they are planning to enter pension funds sector in a big way. The Budget has made an additional tax break of Rs 50,000 into the NPS investment under section 80CC(D) of the Income Tax Act. Currently, three MF houses, out of a total of 45, are having products in the pension segment and they are UTI MF, Franklin Templeton and the recently launched retirement product by Reliance Mutual Fund.
Courtesy: The Financial Express
India's trade deficit narrowed to a 17-month low of $6.8 billion in February as oil imports declined by over 55 per cent from a month earlier, government data showed. Imports fell an annual 15.66 per cent last month year-on-year to $28.39 billion. Merchandise exports also declined 15.02 per cent year-on-year to $21.55 billion, the data showed
Courtesy: The Hindu Business Line
Trade deficit narrows to $6.8 bn in February, lowest in 17-months
Roughly one of every two rupees in mutual fund equity schemes was invested after December 2012. The average holding period for only around half of them is greater than two years, show data from the Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI). In fact, a quarter of them have an average holding period of six months or less. A large proportion of this is said to be on account of investors exiting as the markets have risen, as well as possible commission-led churning.
Courtesy: Business Standard
Equity MF holding period under 2 years for 50% investors
Over 50 million members of EPFO will have to wait for a few months to be able to use the online PF withdrawal facility as the retirement fund body wants the system to be "foolproof". After the launch of this facility, subscribers will be able to apply online for withdrawal of the provident fund which will be transferred directly to their bank accounts. At present, the subscribers who wish to settle their accounts with the Employees' Provident Fund Organisation are required to apply manually for withdrawing PF.
Courtesy: Business Standard
EPFO's online PF withdrawal facility to take more time
March 2015
5ICICIdirect Money Manager
Budget 2015-16 Review: Making “One India” accomplish durable growth template
March 2015
BUDGET REVIEW
NDA's first full-fledged Budget was balanced between growth & fiscal prudence and saw a paradigm shift in its thinking to bring ideas of social security for the weaker section. It also expanded the savings pool by c rea t ing a fung ib i l i t y m e c h a n i s m t o c o n v e r t physical savings into financial sav ings . I n i t s r e f i ned architecture, the government has realigned its relationship with the states by empowering t h e m t h r o u g h h i g h e r devolution (62% of national revenue), which could be channelised towards on-the-ground spending. Though fiscal roadmap has been s t r e t c h e d b y a y e a r, incremental deficit is being earmarked for infrastructure spending while a concrete mechanism to dissuade black economy is encouraging. Overall, the Budget addresses three strategic pillars of the economy by inter-weaving pro-poor, pro-growth and pro-investors agenda in the same breath.
The government has shifted its strategic focus to the JAM
trinity (Jan Dhan, Aadhar and Mobi le) a long with Jan Suraksha as it plans to introduce universal social security system for all Indians. The JAM trinity would allow the government to transfer social benefits in a leakage-proof, well-targeted and c a s h l e s s m a n n e r. T h e government's commitment t o w a r d s a n o t h e r g a m e changing reform, goods and s e r v i c e s t a x ( G S T ) , i s commendable. The Finance Minister (FM) highlighted that a state-of-the-art indirect tax system would be put in place by April 1, 2016, which could help increase tax-GDP (gross domestic product) (including states) ratio to 20% from 17.5% over two years . Surprisingly, the corporate tax rationalisation roadmap was introduced, which was not anticipated, in general. The government proposed to reduce the corporate tax rate to 25% from 30% over the next four years starting from FY17E. T h e g o v e r n m e n t a l s o simplified the procedure for Indian companies to attract
6ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
foreign investment by doing away with the distinction between different types of f o r e i g n i n v e s t m e n t s , especially foreign portfolio investments (FPIs) and foreign direct investments (FDIs), and replaced them with composite caps.
Key measures announced in this Budget:
- On the tax receipt front, the government is targeting 15.2% year-on-year (YoY) growth in gross tax revenues for FY16E and appears reasonable given the increase in indirect taxes (full impact of excise hike for petroleum products and hike in service tax). However, net tax revenues could grow 1% YoY in FY16E given cooperative federalism.
- Incidentally, the government for the first time highlighted its fiscal road map and aims toachieve fiscal deficit target of 3.9% in FY16E; 3.5% in FY17E and 3% in FY18E. Further, the quality of expenditure is also improving with a shift towards cap i ta l expendi ture vs . r e v e n u e e x p e n d i t u r e . Finally,though the government revised its FY16 fiscal deficit
target to 3.9% vs. 3.6% pre p l a n n e d e a r l i e r , t h e i n c r e m e n t a l d e f i c i t i s beingutilised for infrastructure spending.
- A new bi l l would be i n t r o d u c e d t o t a c k l e b e n a m i t r a n s a c t i o n a n d domestic black money. The enforcement agencies would be empowered to attach assets. The government also m a d e q u o t i n g o f PA N mandatory for transaction worth > 1,00,000.
We believe the government's FY16E fiscal deficit target hinges on its disinvestment target of 69,500 crore.
Other key measures:
- Public sector undertakings (PSUs) to undertake capex of 3,17,889 crore, 34% growth YoY.
- Creation of Micro Units Deve lopment Re f inance Agency (MUDRA) Bank, with a corpus of 20,000 crore and credit guarantee corpus of 3,000 crore.
- F o r w a r d M a r k e t s Commission (FMC) to be merged with Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI).
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BUDGET REVIEW
7ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
- Increase the present rate of service tax plus education cess
from 12.36% to a consolidated rate of 14%
BUDGET REVIEW
Containing deficit at 3.9% with enhanced fiscal federalism
Particulars FY14A FY15REYoY (%) FY16BE YoY (%) FY16IEYoY (%) Comments
Gross Tax
Revenues
1138733 1251392 9.9 1449491 15.8 1442166 15.2 We anticipate gross tax revenues will grow 15.2% YoY on
account of full impact of hike for excise duty on petroleum
products & hike in service tax
Less: State
Shares & Others
322,880 342,928 6.2 524,870 53.1 524,870 53 States share has been hiked to 42% from 32% in line with 14th
Finance Comm. recommendation
Net Tax revenue 815853 908464 11.4 919843 1.3 917296 1.0
Non Tax Revenues
Dividend 90435 88781 -1.8 100651 13.4 100651 13.4
Dividend includes ~ 64477 crore in FY16 vs. 60358 crore in ` `
FY15 from RBI
Economic services 67657 83730 23.8 74017 -11.6 75000 (10.4)
The budgeted figure includes receipt of 42865 crore from `
spectrum auction (telecom), which is achievable if additional
3G spectrum is auctioned
Others 40778 45321 11.1 47065 3.8 47065 3.8
Total 1014723 1126296 11.0 1141576 1.4 1140012 1.2
Capital Receipts
Recovery of Loans 12497 10886 -12.9 10753 -1.2 10753 (1.2)
Disinvestments 29368 31350 6.7 69500 121.7 70000 123.3
With huge disinvestment pipeline such as ONGC, IOC, Balco,
HZL along with IPO of HAL & RINL & monetisation of SUUTI,
we believe FY16 disinvestment target is achievable
Total 41865 42236 0.9 80253 90.0 80753 91.2 Total Receipts 1056588 1168532 10.6 1221829 4.6 1220765 4.5
Non plan Expenditure
Subsidies
Fertilizer 72970 70967 -2.7 72969 2.8 72969 2.8
Food 115000 122676 6.7 124419 1.4 125000 1.9
Food Security Bill allocation to remain higher as it is yet to be
rolled out across all states
Petroleum 63427 60270 -5.0 30000 -50.2 30000 (50.2)
Petroleum subsidy also includes efficiency benefits from
implementation of DBT mechanism in LPG & kerosense. Any
delay to check leakages would lead to slippage in subsidies
to ~ 39000 crore assuming crude oil at US$60 per barrel`
Other subsidies 9260 12779 38.0 16423 28.5 16423 28.5
Other expenditure 845462 946532 12.0 1068389 12.9 1068389 12.9
Total 1106120 1213224 9.7 1312200 8.2 1312781 8.2
Plan Expenditure 453327 467934 3.2 465277 -0.6 465000 (0.6) Though plan expenditure is kept flat, the quality of expenditure
has improved with higher allocation towards capital expenditure
Total Expenditure 1559447 1681158 7.8 1777477 5.7 1777781 5.7
Fiscal deficit 502859 512626 1.9 555648 8.4 557016 8.7
GDP estimates 1134505612653762 11.5 14108945 11.5 14108945 -
Fiscal deficit as %
of GDP
4.4% 4.1% NA 3.9% NA 3.9% NA Fiscal deficit is expected to come down by 20 bps despite
higher state revenues sharing & focus towards development
expenditure
Government Revenue & Expenditure
Infra Push: Key proposals to execute planned capex
Significant focus has been given to budgeted plan capital expenditure, which increased 34% YoY to 1,35,257 crore in (FY16-BE) whereas budgeted plan revenue expenditure has been reduced by 10% YoY to
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3,30,020 crore in FY16BE. Some key (mega investment) proposals announced are:
- Proposal for completing 1 lakh km of roads currently under construction plus sanctioning and building another 1 lakh km of road is of topmost priority.
8ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
- Proposal to launch five Ultra Mega Power Projects (UMPPs) with a capital expenditure (capex) of 1,00,000 crore subject to receipt of key clearances.
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- Proposa l to enhance renewable energy capacity of 175 GW (solar – 100 GW, wind – 60 GW, biomass – 10 GW and 5 GW small hydro) from current level of ~40 GW
Sectoral Impact: Budget 2015-16Measure Sectors ImpactedImpact Key stocksEntertainment sector brought under the service tax net Entertainment Negative PVR, Inox Leisure, Eros, Dish TV, Hathway
Clean energy cess on coal from 100/tonne to ` `
200/tonne
Metals and Mining /
Power
Negative / Neutral Hindalco, Sesa Sterlite / NTPC, Tata power, CESC
Proposal to launch 5 UMPP subject to receipt of key
clearances
Power/Capital goods Positive Bhel, L&T, Thermax, NTPC, Tata Power
Proposal to set up 1,75,000 MW renewable capacity Power/Capital goods Positive Tata Power, NTPC, Power Grid, Kalpataru
Reduction of excise duty on manufacture of footwear from
12% to 6% (on retail price exceeding 1000/pair)`
Retail Positive Bata India, Liberty Shoes, Relaxo Footwear
Comprehensive Bankruptcy Code to be brought in FY15-16 BFSI Positive PNB, BOB
NBFCs to be considered ‘Financial Institution’ for
SARFAESI Act
NBFCs Positive HDFC, IDFC
Forward Markets commission to be merged with Sebi BFSI Positive Kotak Mahindra Bank, MCX
Increase in deduction limit for health insurance premium BFSI Positive Reliance Capital, Max India and HDFC Ltd
Distinction between different types of foreign investments,
especially between FPI & FDI has been done away with
BFSI Positive Axis bank, Indusind Bank
Government to infuse 7940 crore in PSU banks in FY16` BFSI Negative PNB, BoI, Syndicate Bank, Dena Bank
Increase in credit to agricultural sector at 8.5 lakh crore` Agriculture Positive Rallis India, EPC Industrie, KSB Pumps
Allocation of 5300 crore for various irrigation schemes ` Agriculture Positive EPC Industrie, KSB Pumps
Excise increase in below 65 mm cigarettes by 25% &
above 65 mm by 15%
FMCG Negative ITC, VST industries
Increase in excise duty from 12% to 18% on plastic
products (polymers)
Consumer Durable Negative Wimplast
Completing 1 lakh km of roads currently under
construction and sanctioning and building another 1 lakh
km. Increased outlays on roads by 14,031 crore `
Infrastructure Positive Ashoka Buildcon, IRB Infrastructure, Simplex
Infrastruture & NCC
Increase in road cess from 2 per litre to 4 per litre on ` `
petrol and diesel
Infrastructure Positive Ashoka Buildcon, IRB Infrastructure, Simplex
Infrastruture, NCC & L&T
Establishment of National Investment and Infrastructure
Fund (NIIF) with an initial annual flow of 20,000 crore`
Infrastructure Positive Ashoka Buildcon, IRB Infrastructure, Simplex
Infrastruture, NCC & L&T
Tax free infrastructure bonds for projects in rail, road and
irrigation sectors
Infrastructure Positive Simplex Infrastructure, NCC & L&T
Rationalisation of capital gains regime for sponsors and
tax pass through status for Infrastructure investment
Trusts (InvITs)
Infrastructure Positive Ashoka Buildcon & IRB Infrastructure
Rationalisation of capital gains regime for sponsors and
tax pass through status for REITs
Real Estate Positive Oberoi Realty
Government to increase visa on arrival facilities to 150
countries from 43 at present. Further, the government to
invest in 22 world heritage sites to promote tourism
Hotels Positive IHCL, Cox&Kings, EIH
Government committed to rationalise subsidies Oil & Gas Positive Oil India, HPCL, IOC, Gail
Basic custom duty on Metallurgical coke increase from
2.5% to 5%
Metals and Mining Negative Kalyani Steel
We are bullish on domestic-o r i e n t e d s e c t o r s l i k e automobiles, cement, capital goods, and banks. Defensive sectors like FMCG, pharmaceuticals and IT could
perform in line with broader markets. We maintain our December 2015 Sensex and Nifty target of 32,500 and 9750, respectively.
BUDGET REVIEW
9ICICIdirect Money Manager February 2015
DEBT MARKET ROUND UP& OUTLOOK
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Surprise interest rate cut; more cuts ahead
In February, benchmarks yields
for the whole month stayed in
the range of 7.70-7.73% as
market participants awaited
the Union Budget 2015-16
before taking any directional
view. The month started with
the Reserve Bank of India's
(RBI's) sixth bimonthly review
wherein it kept interest rates
unchanged, in l ine with
expectations. However, the
statutory liquidity ratio (SLR)
was reduced by 50 basis points
(bps) while the policy tone was
construed as less dovish than
anticipated by markets. The
January consumer price
inflation (CPI) on the revised
2011-12 base came in at
5.11%, also in line with
expectations. The Union
B u d g e t 2 0 1 5 - 1 6 w a s
announced on the last day of
Government Securities (G-Sec) Yield March 5 January 31 Change (bps)
the month, post which yields
moved up marginally to 7.76-
7.78%. However, in a surprise
move on March 4, 2015, the
RBI pre-empted a repo rate cut
of another 25 bps from 7.75%
to 7.5% outside the policy
review cycle. Two things
prompted the bank to act “the
still weak state of certain
sectors of the economy as well
as the global trend towards
easing suggests that any policy
action should be anticipatory
once sufficient data support
the policy stance. Second, with
the release of the agreement
on the monetary policy
framework, it is appropriate for
the Reserve Bank to offer
guidance on how it will
implement the mandate”.
Yields again retracted to
around 7.70%.
10-year 7.72 7.69 2.8
5-year 7.78 7.67 10.8
3-year 7.79 7.98 -19.5
1-year 7.91 7.96 -4.9
10ICICIdirect Money Manager February 2015
DEBT MARKET ROUND UP& OUTLOOK
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Corporate Bond Yields March 5 January 31 Change (bps)
AAA 10-year 8.36 8.33 3
AAA 5-year 8.40 8.38 2
AAA 3-year 8.46 8.41 5
AAA 1-year 8.57 8.47 10
AA 10-year 8.91 8.93 -2
AA 5-year 9.15 9.00 15
AA 3-year 8.90 9.06 -16
AA 1-year 9.06 9.13 -7
Credit Spread March 6 January 31
G sec - AAA 10-year 65 64
G sec - AAA 5-year 62 71
G sec - AAA 3-year 67 43
G sec - AAA 1-year 66 51
On corporate bonds, the RBI restricted foreign institutional investor (FII) investment in less than three year maturity bond, which pushed up yields at the shorter tenure. The investment limit in corporate bonds is $51 bi l l ion. The FI I l imit in government bond has already been exhausted.
The liquidity position remains comfortable as seen in the drop in ca l l and CBLO (Collateralized Borrowing and Lending Obligation) rates to 7.50% and 6.45%,respectively. Even banks on an average borrowed 4,582 crore on a daily basis against 12,575 crore on average borrowing in the previous month.
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Money Market Rates March 5 January 31 Change (bps)
Call 7.50 7.75 -25
CBLO 6.45 7.72 -127.09
Certificate of Deposit (CD) Rates March 5 January 31 Change (bps)
12 Months 8.47 8.59 -12
6 Months 8.47 8.53 -6
3 Months 8.47 8.36 11
1 Month 8.47 8.18 29
11ICICIdirect Money Manager February 2015
DEBT MARKET ROUND UP& OUTLOOK
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Commercial Paper (CP) Rates March 5 January 31 Change 12 Months 8.91 8.97 -5.75
6 Months 8.94 8.86 7.75
3 Months 9.03 8.80 22.5
1 Month 9.20 8.31 89
Volume Data (Average for the month – Rs. Crore) February2015 January2015 Change
Call Volume 13410.6 16913.9 -3503.3
CBLO Volume 76258.3 71086.5 5171.8
LAF Volume 4582.5 12575 -7992.5
Data source for all the above tables: Bloomberg
Outlook
We believe the odds remain in favour of the government secur i t ies (G -Sec) y ie ld trending down over the next one or two years. The front loaded rate cuts by the RBI can push overall interest rates down depending on how soon banks transit it into the system by re-pricing their assets and liabilities lower.
The central government has signed a memorandum with the RBI setting out a clear inflation objective to bring the inflation rate to the mid-point of the band of 4 +/- 2%. CPI, as per our assessment, should average close to 5% for Fy16 (on assumption of normal m o n s o o n a n d s t a b l e currency). Hence, it should likely stay on the intended path. This creates room for the
RBI to cut rates by another 50 bps to earn a real return of 2%.
On the supply front, the Budget has pegged the market borrowing for FY16 at 6 lakh crore on a gross basis and 4.56 lakh crore on a net basis. Both the gross and net market borrowings were close to m a r k e t e x p e c t a t i o n s . Borrowings related concern is expected to come down, given the government's commitment towards reducing the fiscal deficit to 3% of GDP (gross domestic product) by Fy17.
Investors may look to lock in the current close to 9%-10% accruals available on corporate bonds via investing in short-term credit opportunities funds. While interest rates may come down, returns in long bond and gilt funds returns may moderate compared to last year.
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ICICIdirect Money Manager
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
Bulls rejuvenated, Sensex to scale 31,000
March 2015
Domestic equity benchmarks were in consolidation mode throughout February as the markets digested the strong gains accrued in January 2015. Structurally, this is construed as a positive trait as the market c o r r e c t s t h e e x c e s s e s developed after a strong rise by taking a step back before making the next forward leap.
We believe the markets are f i rmly poised af ter the February consolidation and offer a fresh entry opportunity to ride the next up move towards 31,000, 9,370 levels (Sensex, Nifty) in the coming month. The potential higher bottom at February 2014 low is placed in the vicinity of key value area of 27,950, 8,400, which are the short-term floors for the benchmarks.
The corrective dip in the first half of February retraced the January 2015 rally (8,065 to
8,996) by nearly 61.8% placed at 27,950, 8,420 levels. The previous two correct ive declines during September and December 2014 also bottomed out precisely at the 61.8% retracement of their respec t ive ra l l i es . Th is tendency of bottoming out at t h e g o l d e n F i b o n a c c i retracement of the major rallies highlights the overall positive price structure and augurs well for the longevity of the larger uptrend.
Since February 2014, the benchmarks have followed a peculiar price-wise trait as each major up leg has measured average 3,000 p o i n t s o n t h e S e n s e x correspondingly 900 points on the Nifty. We believe the benchmarks will maintain this price-wise symmetry and the current up move starting February 2014 low of 28,044, 8,470 will lead the benchmarks towards 31,000, 9,370 levels, respectively, in the coming month.
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ICICIdirect Money Manager
BSE Sensex – Monthly Candlestick Chart
March 201513
The views expressed in the article are personal views of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of ICICI Securities.
In the entire up move since February 2014, the index has followed a peculiar price wise tendency as each major up-leg has measured average 3000 points. This highlights a well structured uptrend and firm grip of the bulls from medium term perspective
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
The 14 week RSI highlights an established uptrend as
the indicator continues to oscillate in the bull market band of 55 to 75 readings since February 2014 till date
2976 points
2911 points
3062 points
3098 points
3068 points
Price equality (3000 pts) @ 31000 levels
61.8%
Ø The index has formed a potential higher bottom precisely near 61.8% retracement of the January rally during February correction
Ø We expect the index to maintain the price wise trait of last one year where by each major up move has measured average 3000 points and the current up move from February 2015 low will lead the index towards 31000 levels in the coming months
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
ICICIdirect Money Manager
DERIVATIVES STRATEGY
Reiterate last Monthly Derivatives target of 9300/9500 for Nifty.Key support placed at 8840
Amit Gupta
Head - Derivatives Research,ICICI Securities
March 201514
February series closes with loss of
3% as participants remain cautious
ahead of Budget
• Ahead of the Union Budget,
the Nifty and broader markets
t r a d e d w i t h a a u t i o u s
undertone during February.
For the series, the Nifty was
down 3%.
• A key reason for the decline
was the absence of major
participants from the markets.
After pulling the market over
9% in January, FIIs took a
breather in February as they
waited for the government to
deliver in the Union Budget.
Sectoral focus seems to be on
private banking, IT & pharma in
coming month
• During last month, the oil &
gas , bank ing and au to
remained negative whereas
strong buying was seen in
technology, helping the Nifty to
arrest a more severe decline.
Support was also lent by
cement and capital goods on
hopes of a strong push to infra
spending.
• With the Union Budget now
announced, the focus is likely
to revolve around key budget
beneficiaries. The banking and
finance space have been key
beneficiaries from the Budget.
These sectors had also seen
short build-up in the February
series. Later, they witnessed
high rollover of short positions.
Thus, the banking and finance
space could continue on a
pullback rally on the back of
short covering.
Nifty expiry returns in trailing 12 months
-3%
9%
-4%
4%
-1%
3%3%4%
6%
3%
6%
3%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
Jan'1
5
Dec
Nov
Oct
Sep
Aug
Jul
Jun
May
Apr
Mar
15ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
Sectoral performance in Feb :a mixed bag
Nifty: We reiterate last target of
9300/9500 for Nifty with key
support placed at 8840
• In March options build-up,
the highest Call build up was
seen at 9000 Call of 5.4 million
s h a r e s . C u r r e n t l y, C a l l
additions are seen in the 9400
Call strike as well. The open
interest in this strike is well
over 3.5 million shares. Thus, if
the Nifty is able to close above
9000, upsides in the Nifty could
continue towards 9400- 9500.
• Among Put options, the
highest OI of over 4 million
shares is at 8500 Put. However,
recent additions in Put options
are focused on 8800 and
8700 Put options , both of
which have OI of over 3 million
shares each. Hence, declines
on the Nifty are likely to get
arrested near 8840.
• As explained later in the
presentation, the Nifty has
given average positive return
of 6.5% in 30 days post the
Budget. With that calculation,
the Nifty is likely to hit 9400 in
the March series.
• The global liquidity situation
is also improving further. ECB
is expected to start its QE
programme this month along
with existing Bank of Japan
stimulus, China rate cut. Thus,
the liquidity situation bodes
well for Indian equities, as the
Indian economy is currently
one of the fastest growing ones
and is likely to attract a chunk of
emerging market money
allocation.
• Nifty +/- 2 Sigma band
suggests if the Nifty is able to
surpass mean + 2 sigma level
of 9035, upsides could
continue till 9400 as the sigma
b a n d w o u l d a g a i n s e e
expansion.
DERIVATIVES STRATEGY
-5-3-11357
Technology
Metal
Capital Goods
Oil & Gas
Bank
Auto
% monthly return
16ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
Nifty options build-up in March series …
Nifty 2 sigma Band : sigma expansion likely
Bank Nifty: Likely to move towards
highest Call base of 21000 with
support near 19300
• The Bank Nifty declined over
10% in the first half of the
February series as FIIs created
short positions in the banking
index post a weak set of
numbers from some index
heavyweights. However, as the
index has recovered above the
last month’s VWAP of 19300,
we believe upsides in the
banking index may continue
till the previous highs and
highest Call base of 21000.
• Bank Nifty/Nifty price ratio
has reverted from 2.13 levels,
which was very close to the last
four-year breakout of 2.11.
Hence, the Bank Nifty should
outperform the Nifty from here
onwards. That is why it seems
the uptrend, which has started
now in private banking is likely
to continue in the coming
weeks.
• The immediate support for
the banking index is placed at
19300. The bias should remain
positive in the index above this
level. On the higher side, it
seems to be heading towards
21000.
• The noticeable Put base of
the Bank Nifty is also placed
near 19000. The decline in
implied volatility along with
increase in open interest at this
strike suggests Put writing at
this strike.
• The maximum short build up
was seen in Bank Nifty futures
in the February series to the
tune of 23%. Hence, if the
index holds above 19300, short
covering may eventually pan
out in it. In addition, the VWAP
of the banking index in the last
series was also placed near
19300, hence strengthening
support at this level for the
banking index.
DERIVATIVES STRATEGY
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
8500
8600
8700
8800
8900
9000
9100
9200
9300
9400
9500
OI i
n M
illio
n S
hare
s
Call OI Put OI
5700
6200
6700
7200
7700
8200
8700
9200
Mar
-14
Apr
-14
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug
-14
Sep
-14
Oct
-14
Nov
-14
Dec
-14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Close UBB(2) BollMA (100) on Close LBB(2)
17ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
DERIVATIVES STRATEGY
Bank Nifty options build-up for March series
India VIX: Likely to move lower towards 14 post major event of Union Budget
• With the Union Budget being announced, long Vega position are getting closed. Hence, volatility is sliding down. Options writing has also picked up after the Budget supporting the volati l i ty decline. With the current PCR OI of 0.9, the PCR OI is likely to move up on the back of increased Put writing, which
will further push volatility lower.
• In today’s session, India VIX has come down below the support level of 16, which is its 100 & 200 DMA level. We believe this level is now likely to act as a resistance and India VIX is likely to trade in the range of 13-16.
• Ke w n e w s f l o w s o n domest ic fronts include inflation in the middle of March. Looking at the trend, there seems to be no major surprises around this.Globally as well, with the tart of ECB QE, volatility is likely to remain subdued. RBI action on rates or Greece debt turmoil flaring up would be key events that could push volatility higher.
India VIX likely to move towards lower towards 14, as the key event is out…
The views expressed in the article are personal views of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of ICICI Securities.
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
1900
0
1920
0
1940
0
1960
0
1980
0
2000
0
2020
0
2040
0
2060
0
2080
0
2100
0
Call OI Put OI
18
STOCK IDEAS
ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
Inox: A play on the consumerism story
Company BackgroundI n o x Le i s u r e L t d . w a s incorporated as a public limited company on November 9, 1999. It is a part of the Inox group that has a rich lineage of successful businesses such as Inox Wind, Inox Air Products, etc. Inox Leisure operates as a subsidiary of Gujarat Fluorochemicals Ltd. It started as a four screen multiplex in Pune and is now a force to reckon within the Indian multiplex space with ~361 screens spread across 92 properties in 50 cities. The company is the second largest player in the multiplex space with a multiplex screen market share of ~21%. It is behind PVR, which has about 463 screens in its portfolio and a multiplex screen market share of about 27.2%. Apart from the organic expansion, the company has also grown inorganically by acquiring 89 Cinemas, Fame Cinemas and Satyam Cineplexes over the period. The Satyam acquisition has been a strategic move for the
company cement ing i ts position in the northern belt of the country and also helping it bridge the gap with the No. 1 player. Inox has a strong presence in the southern and eastern states with about 82 and 70 screens, respectively ( p r e - S a t y a m ) . T h e management intends to add about 181 screens by FY17E end, thereby reaching a screen count of about 546 screens. Factoring in certain delays, we have incorporated addition of 134 screens over the next two years.
The Indian film industry is expected to grow at 12.3% CAGR from 13,800 crore to 21,980 crore in FY14-18E. Increasing screen penetration and an exponential increase in middle class consumption spending (to $3.2 trillion by 2025) may act as catalysts. Inox would emerge as a clear beneficiary of this consumerism trend. It is expected to post revenue
Investment Rationale
Consumerism to drive film industry, Inox set to emerge as beneficiary
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19ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
CAGR of 19.8% over FY14-17E to 1,312.2 crore from 762.8 crore.
Cinema is the most preferred and cheapest source of out-of-home entertainment in India, with Average Ticket Price (ATP) at $0.7, among the lowest in the wor ld . Wi th r i s ing investment in content and a b e t t e r m o v i e w a t c h i n g e x p e r i e n c e , m u l t i p l e x penetration is bound to increase. Inox as the second largest exhibitor is expected to see a 17.2% expansion in screens to 499 by FY17 from 310 in FY14, and 6.5% CAGR in ATP to 188.
Multiplex operators generally follow an asset-light model. However, of the total 94 locations, Inox has about seven owned properties in prime locations spread across 4 lakh sq ft in Pune, Mumbai, Gujarat, Jaipur, etc. The owned nature of properties is also helping in saving lease rentals.
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ATP to soar to new heights; cheapest source of out-of-home entertainment
Potential value-unlocking from owned properties
However, according to the management, the current m a r k e t v a l u e o f t h e s e properties would be closer to 400 crore while the book value is about Rs. 150 crore. A sale-and- leaseback o f these properties could free-up funds to repay debt, resulting in RoCE expansion, though it will be EBITDA margin dilutive (in the form of higher rentals). However, the management has indicated that it has no such plans in the foreseeable future.
With limited competition, rapid screen rollout, rising footfalls and increasing investment in content, Inox's PAT is expected to grow more than double by FY17E. Though the stock has rallied ~69% in the last year, we believe there is room for a further re-rating. Using sum-of-the-parts (SOTP), we value the ordinary shares at 22x FY17E EPS and treasury shares at 50% discount to current price to arrive at a target price of Rs. 240/share, implying an upside of 33%. We initiate coverage on Inox with BUY recommendation.
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Valuations to catch up with fundamentals; initiate with BUY rating
STOCK IDEAS
STOCK IDEAS
20ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
Key Financials
Valuations Summary
Stock Data
Net sales ( crore) 762.8 920.8 1,080 1,312.2
EBITDA ( crore) 122 138.6 172.2 242.1
Net profit ( crore) 36.9 20.9 41.2 88.9
EPS ( ) 4.8 2.4 4.8 10.4
FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
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P/E (x) 37.3 74 37.5 17.4
Target P/E (x) 49.5 98.4 49.9 23.1
EV / EBITDA (x) 15.9 15 12.2 8.5
P/BV (x) 3.5 2.7 2.5 2.2
RoNW (%) 9.4 3.7 6.8 12.8
RoCE (%) 11.6 5.8 8 13
FY13 FY14E FY15E FY16E
Market capitalization ( crore) 1,736.2
Total debt (FY14) ( crore) 223.7
Cash and investments (FY14) ( crore) 19.3
Enterprise value (EV) ( crore) 1,940.6
52-week High/Low ( ) 191 / 84
Equity capital ( crore) 96.2
Face value ( ) 10
MF holding (%) 5.9
FII holding (%) 14
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STOCK IDEAS
Key Risks
Dependency on third-party content
Higher than expected rate of GST -
Double edged sword
Though the planning stage in
India lasts 18-24 months, the
implementation stage is just
about six months, leading to
severe cost overruns. Just as
stadiums would be empty if a
sporting match is not thrilling
enough, cinema halls would be
very scantily occupied if the
movie fails to generate viewer
interest. Exhibitors are totally
dependent on third-party
content. In the event that
movies do not fare well at the
box office, footfalls decline
and, hence, occupancies
reduce. A larger number of
misses than hits at the box
office could impact our footfall
assumptions. In such an
eventuality, the topline could
be impacted.
The media industry is plagued
by issues of high taxation as
well as double taxation. Taxes
differ from state to state with
some states like Maharashtra,
Bihar and Karnataka having
taxes in excess of 45%. Inox
pays an average entertainment
tax of ~18-19%, service taxes
on property rentals and value
added tax (VAT) of food and
beverage (F&B) revenues. This
takes a toll on its margins.
Under the goods and services
tax (GST) regime, companies
would be able to get advantage
of input tax credit. According
to management, the neutral tax
rate for Inox would be in the
range of 22-23%. If the GST
rate is fixed above this, it could
impact margins for Inox. Vice
versa, in case the rate is fixed at
a lower end, the company's
margins could expand to that
e x t e n t ( a f t e r p a y i n g
distribution charges which are
paid on net collection). We
have not factored this in our
estimates.
21ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
(CAGR: Compounded annual growth rate; RoCE: Return on capital employed;
EBITDA: Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization; EPS:
Earnings per share; P/E: Price-to-earnings; EV: Enterprise value; P/BV: Price-to-
book value; RoNW: Return on net worth; MF: Mutual Funds; FII: Foreign
Institutional Investors)
22ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
M&M: Launches major trigger for growth!
Company BackgroundMahindra and Mahindra
(M&M) manufactures utility
vehicles, light commercial
vehicles and tractors in India.
The company has also made a
foray into the medium and
heavy commercial vehicles
(MHCV) segment. M&M is the
market leader in both the utility
vehicle and tractor segments
with a dominant share in the
segment. M&M has diversified
into many new businesses and
become a US$15.9-billion
multinational group with more
than 1,55,000 employees in
over 100 countries across the
globe with operations in
aerospace , a f termarket ,
agribusiness, automotive,
components, construction
e q u i p m e n t , c o n s u l t i n g
services, defence, energy,
farm equipment, finance &
i n s u r a n c e , i n d u s t r i a l
equ ipment , in fo rmat ion
technology, le isure and
hospitality, logistics, real
es ta te , re ta i l , and two
wheelers.
Investment Rationale
New product launches to drive
volumes in market share FY16E-17E
The M&M util ity vehicle
portfolio has seen significant
market share erosion (~18%
since FY12 down to ~38%) in
the past years owing to lack of
a new appealing offering in the
compact sports utility vehicle
(SUV) segment. New entrants
like Duster and Ecosport have
gained customer mind space.
However, M&M has clearly
highlighted that FY16E would
be an aggressive launch year
with Q1 to Q3 witnessing three
new product launches (two
consumer/one commercial)
along with three new refreshes
on two brand-new platforms.
The compact SUV segment is
expected to grow faster as
customers take to it as
a l t e r n a t e t o p r e m i u m
hatchbacks. We expect M&M
to regain market share as
volumes improve. We also
e x p e c t p r i c i n g t o b e
competitive (signalled by small
engine sizes to claim excise
STOCK IDEAS
23ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
benefits) vis-à-vis larger global
peers to provide better value
proposition.
With a strong margin profile
and relatively low capital
expenditure (capex) & product
development expenses, the
farm equipment sector (FES)
segment is a cash cow
business in M&M's portfolio.
W e b e l i e v e , a s f a r m
mechanisation levels increase
and global food grain glut
reduces coupled with a better
monsoon season, the FES
segment could witness a fast
turnaround in volumes by
H2FY16E. M&M has been
outpacing the industry. Its
market share has been on the
uptrend and currently stands at
~44% (highest in three years).
With the launch of new
products/platform like Arjun
Nuvo being well accepted,
overall realisations and gross
margins would remain on an
uptrend.
FES segment to remain cash cow...
Lot depends on monsoons
S u b s i d i a r y / i n v e s t m e n t s
performance remains impressive
Along with strength of the core
business, the performance of
s u b s i d i a r i e s l i k e Te c h
Mahindra has continued to
remain impressive across
business areas like financials,
in format ion technology,
infrastructure, hospitality, etc.
In addition, its automotive
subsidiary in South Korea,
SsangYong Motors, has also
recently launched its first new
p r o d u c t ( T i v o l i ) s i n c e
acquis i t ion (FY11) . The
s y n e r g y b e n e f i t s w i t h
SsangYong like platform
s h a r i n g , r e s e a r c h &
development (R&D), common
sourcing, etc. are likely to bring
benefits to M&M's in the
c o m i n g p e r i o d s . M & M
conglomerate approach and
investment nature led them to
unlock deep value (MESL,
Mahindra CIE being cases in
p o i n t ) . T h i s h i g h l i g h t s
m a n a g e m e n t ' s h o l i s t i c
approach to value creation.
M&M has been one of the
worst hit incumbent original
equipment manufacturers
Valuations factoring in lot of
negatives… Time to be contrarian
STOCK IDEAS
24ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
STOCK IDEAS
( O E M s ) i n F Y 1 5 E w i t h
problems ranging from loss of
m a r k e t s h a r e o n t h e
automotive side in H1 to the
sudden dec l ine in FES
business in H2. However, the
ability to sustain profitability at
a respectable level amid all the
a f o r e s a i d p r e s s u r e s
demonstrates business and
management strength. We
believe currently the risk-
r e w a r d b e t w e e n
positive/negative is loaded in
favour of the former. Core
valuations (~5.6x EV/EBITDA
FY17E, ~11x FY17E EPS) are
alluring. We value the stock on
a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP)
basis , valuing the core
business at 7.5x EV/EBITDA
F Y 1 7 E t o 8 3 0 a n d
subsidiaries at 627 to arrive at
an SOTP target price of 1,457.
We recommend a BUY on the
stock.
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Key Financials
Valuations Summary
Net sales ( crore) 40,509 39,351 44,277 50,499
EBITDA ( crore) 4,618 4,386 5,712 7,124
Net profit ( crore) 3,655 3,486 4,001 4,949
EPS ( ) 62.3 59.1 67.8 83.8
FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
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P/E (x) 20.6 21.8 19 15.3
Core EV/EBITDA (x) 8.6 9.1 7 5.6
Target Core EV/EBITDA (x) 11.6 12.2 9.4 7.5
P/BV (x) 4.5 3.9 3.4 3
RoNW (%) 21.8 18.1 18.2 19.3
RoCE (%) 18.3 14.9 18.2 20.7
FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
25ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
STOCK IDEAS
Stock Data
Market capitalization ( crore) 75,856
Total debt (FY14) ( crore) 3,545
Cash and investments (FY14) ( crore) 4,670
EV ( crore) 74,731
52-week High/Low ( ) 1,434/8,40
Equity capital ( crore) 295.2
Face value ( ) 5
DII holding (%) 17.7
FII holding (%) 38.6
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Key RiskFailure of expected success in
product launches M&M is undertaking multiple
platforms and numerous
product launches (3 new
variants) in FY16E and then
subsequently in FY17E. The
expectation is that new
products would be able to aid
M&M in clawing back lost
market share in the Utility
vehicle space. This key
expectation is one of the major
reasons for the contrarian
approach towards the stock
and any failures on the product
demand or quality or customer
feedback could be major
negative in terms of valuations
and sentiment for the stock.
26ICICIdirect Money Manager
FLAVOUR OF THE MONTH
Getting your finances in order
March 2015
Take a moment and think about your current financial practices. Do you
mix insurance with investment? Do you rely only on your employer-
provided health cover? Do you invest too conservatively even for your
long-term financial goals? It is important to assess your current financial
practices and think whether these are right. It is only then you will be able
to address any issues that are there. We find a common set of practices
among investors, which are not prudent to follow. One misstep alone may
not harm us, but taken together over time, these can cost us huge in the
long run. Ahead of the new financial year, we offer a look at these common
practices, and ways to stop them. Read on.
1. Considering insurance as a form of investment
Most of us look at insurance as a form of investment. We buy life insurance policies in an anticipation to get something in return or at least the premium that we have paid. Which is why, majority of investors, consider buying term plans with ' return ofpremium' feature than 'pure' term plans, which do not provide anything in return in c a s e o f s u r v i v a l o f a policyholder at the end of the term.
However, it is not a good practice to mix insurance with investment. The core purpose of insurance is to provide protection. Buying a pure term plan for protection purpose
and investing separately for goals helps. Let's understand this with an example:
For a 30-year old healthy male, for a sum assured of Rs. 25 lakh and a term of 25 years, a p p r o x i m a t e p r e m i u m charged in a 'pure' term plan is 4,300 p.a., whereas for a term
plan with 'return of premium' feature, it is around 11,300 p.a. This means, the actual premium for covering the risk of death is only 4,300 p.a., and in a 'return of premium' term plan, the remaining 7,000 p.a. is utilized to invest a n d r e c o v e r t h e t o t a l premiums paid of 2,82,500 (11,300 x 25 years). So, if you look at the return generated from this, it is around 3.50% p.a. only (For an investment of
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27ICICIdirect Money Manager
FLAVOUR OF THE MONTH
March 2015
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7,000 p.a., to grow at 2,82,500, return required is only 3.50% p.a.)
Instead, if you take a pure term plan for 4,300 p.a. and the balance 7,000 p.a. invest into, say, equity mutual funds, you will be able to accumulate 10.45 lakh, assuming a return of 12% p.a.
Most of the salaried people rely only on the group health insurance cover provided by their employers, and do not take the separate cover. For instance, last year, the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (IRDA) had estimated that in India, only 2.73 crore people had an i n d i v i d u a l c o v e r f o r themselves.
“Among our customers who have so far opted for fee-based financial planning, around 67% of the customers did not have a separate health insurance cover at the time of enrolling f o r t h e s e r v i c e , ” s a y s Nithyakumar VP, Financial Planner with ICICIdirect Financial Planning Services.
2. Relying only on employer-provided health cover
Relying only on group health insurance cover of your employer is not advisable for the following reasons: Of late, some employers have asked employees to bear a part of the premium; some have started covering only employee and immediate family, not parents. Further, when one shifts job, there is no cover during the break period.
A new employer may or may not provide a health cover. An existing employer could also withdraw the cover anytime. Further, the amount of cover provided by your employer may not be sufficient.
Last but not the least, when one re l ies only on the employer-provided cover, and decides to take a separate cover later i.e. closer to retirement, the premium is very high, one may have to u n d e r g o a m e d i c a l examination and may not get the cover if he or she has any critical disease.
There is also a waiting period for pre-existing diseases to be covered. Hence, it is important to take a separate health cover,
28ICICIdirect Money Manager
FLAVOUR OF THE MONTH
March 2015
early in life, to avoid these circumstances.
There is another report ' A a r o g y a B h a r a t 2 0 1 5 ' , released by NATHEALTH, which shows that 70% Indians don't have health insurance. Remember, medical expenses can quickly wipe out savings and investments and thus jeopard i ze our fami ly ' s financial well-being. So, don't let health insurance take a backseat, procure it today and maintain it regularly to lead a hassle-free life.
This is another common practice among investors, to invest a lump sum amount in public provident fund (PPF) account, towards the end of every financial year in order to save tax.
This is mainly because most of us are not aware of the minute details of how a PPF account works, and look at it as just another instrument for saving taxes or accumulating a corpus for future requirement.
Instead of contributing at the
3. Investing a lump sum in PPF towards the end of financial year for saving tax
last moment, if you try and contribute to your PPF account at the start of every financial year, it can make a good difference to your accumulated corpus. Let's understand this with an example:
Say you invest 1 lakh p.a. into PPF for next 15 years. If this investment is made at the end of every financial year, you will be accumulating 28.23 lakh at the end of 15 years, assuming an average return of 8.5% p.a. But, if you invest at the start of every financial year, you will be able to accumulate 30.63 lakh at the same rate of return, giving you an additional amount of 2.40 lakh in the corpus.
The habit of investing in post of f ice (PO) schemes or traditional fixed deposits (Fds) for long- term goals such as child's higher education and marriage is another common practice among Indians. We c a n s e e , e v e n t o d a y, grandparents gifting an FD of a longer tenure in the name of
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4. Investing too conservatively for long-term goals
29ICICIdirect Money Manager
FLAVOUR OF THE MONTH
March 2015
grandchildren, for any future requirement.
While investing early on for children's goals is good, investing conservatively in debt instruments for such long-term goals will hardly beat the inflation. Further, the c o s t o f e d u c a t i o n i s skyrocketing; the returns generated by debt instruments would hardly keep the pace with rising cost. To add to it, the returns generated from debt instruments are taxable and h e n c e , t h e n e t r e t u r n generated is much lower than the growth assets such as equity.
Say for example, you invest 5 lakh today into an FD for 10 years to fund your child's graduation after 10 years. You expect the cost of graduation to be 5 lakh (in today's value). With the cost of education growing at a rapid pace, the cost can grow up to 12.97 lakh after 10 years (assuming an inflation rate of 10% p.a.). However, the FD can grow to 11.84 lakh after 10 years (assuming an interest rate of 9% p.a.). But after tax, the FD
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will fetch only 9.72 lakh (assuming a tax of 30.9%) as against the future cost of graduation of 12.97 lakh.
Thus, for long-term goals, it is always advisable to invest into growth assets such as equity mutual funds, which will protect you not only against inflation, but also taxes. In fact, the amount required to invest also comes down due to these benefits. In the above example, the lump sum investment required in an FD was 5 lakh, but if you invest in equity mutual funds, it will be just 4.18 lakh to accumulate the future value of 12.97 lakh (assuming a return of 12% p.a.). And to accumulate the future value of 12.97 lakh (post tax), the lumpsum investment required in an FD would be 6.98 lakh as against
4 . 1 8 l a k h i n e q u i t y instruments.
Some individuals do invest in growth assets, such as equity mutual funds, for their long-term goals. However, they choose div idend opt ion
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5. Opting for dividend schemes of mutual funds for long-term goals
30ICICIdirect Money Manager
FLAVOUR OF THE MONTH
March 2015
instead of growth option. They see dividend as a regular income (though funds do not declare dividend on a regular basis), in addition to the appreciation expected from the fund.
However, one should note that, whenever a mutual fund declares dividend, the NAV of a fund comes down to the extent of the dividend declared. For example, if the NAV of a fund is 35 and the fund declares a
dividend of 5 per unit, the NAV of a fund comes down to 30 post dividend. So, when you opt for the dividend option, you actually withdraw the part of the capi ta l appreciated, in the form of dividend. It is therefore better to opt for growth option for long-term financial goals, as one generally does not require income in between in the form of dividends, plus the capital keeps getting appreciated over the long run.
It is a well established fact that diversification helps reduce the overall portfolio risk while
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6. Over-diversifying stock and MF holdings
maintaining the expected level of returns. However, if you overdo, it could actually work against you. Many investors don't realize how the portfolio becomes too complex to u n d e r s t a n d w i t h o v e r -diversification. Further, the tracking and monitoring becomes difficult.
We have seen investors holding as many as 40 mutual funds (MFs) and 100 stocks in a portfolio. There is a misplaced belief that with every additional stock / mutual fund in the portfolio, the overall risk gets reduced to that extent. However, this is not true.
According to the modern portfolio theory, you would come very close to achieving optimal diversity after adding about the 20th stock to your portfolio. In Edwin J. Elton and Martin J. Gruber's book "Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis", they conclude that the average standard deviation (risk) of a portfolio of one stock was 49.2%, while increasing the number of stocks in the a v e r a g e w e l l - b a l a n c e d
31ICICIdirect Money Manager
FLAVOUR OF THE MONTH
March 2015
Source: Investopedia
While in case of mutual funds, 7-8 funds - across categories of equity, debt and gold- make a good number. It does not make sense to pi le up 30-40 schemes, since mutual funds itself offer you the inherent benefit of diversification.
Further, with every addition, there could be a chance of duplication, without adding any value to the portfolio. For
example, all diversified equity funds have a basket of stocks, with the holdings spread across companies and sectors. If you choose 10 to 15 diversified equity funds, each having at least 50-60 stocks in their kitty, you could end up paying more money for funds which are picking the same set of stocks.
This is another common practice / misconception among MF investors. The general theory behind this misconception is that a lower NAV fund can grow faster than a higher NAV fund. However, this is not the case. Let's understand this with an example:
There are two similar MF schemes, Scheme 'A' with NAV of 15 and Scheme 'B' with NAV 150. Let's assume you invest 15,000 into both. You will get 1,000 units of Scheme 'A' and 100 units of Scheme 'B'. If the market goes up by 20%, then the NAV of Scheme 'A' goes up to 18, whereas NAV of Scheme 'B' goes up to 180.
7. Buying MFs with lower NAV thinking they are cheap/give better return
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portfolio could reduce the portfolio's standard deviation to a maximum of 19.2% (this number represents market risk). However, they also found that with a portfolio of 20 stocks the risk was reduced to about 20%. Therefore, the additional stocks from 20 to 1,000 only reduced the portfolio's risk by about 0.8%, while the first 20 stocks reduced the portfolio's risk by 29.2% (49.2%-20%).
32ICICIdirect Money Manager
FLAVOUR OF THE MONTH
March 2015
The value of Scheme 'A' would be 18,000 (1,000 units x 18) and the value of Scheme 'B' would be 18,000 (100 units x
180). Hence, it does not matter whether the NAV is lower or higher.
Instead of looking at the NAV of a fund, it is important to look at other various factors such as its historical performance and track record, risk-adjusted rate of return, expense ratio, etc.
Usually, in case of financial emergency, people turn to personal loans. However, there are certain alternatives which may come in handy in hard t i m e s . T h e s e i n c l u d e leveraging your existing assets a n d i n v e s t m e n t s s u c h proper ty, go ld , shares , insurance policies, fixed deposits, etc. There are loans available against these assets and the interest rates on these are generally lower (13-15% p.a.) when compared to personal loans (16 - 30% p.a.). One may also go in for an overdraft facility offered by various banks against savings or current accounts in case of
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8. Taking personal loan instead of leveraging existing assets
an emergency.
Not only life and health insurance, general insurance penetration is also low in India, e.g. home insurance. Most Indians do not bother to take home insurance, even though the rates are low. It is important to get your assets such as home, home contents, etc. accurately appraised and take a cover to fit your collection. It costs just about 15 a day to insure your most valuable asset - your home - and its contents (Assuming you take a cover of 50 lakh). If you already have insurance, consider whether you need an update.
The way we build our routines today define the future course of our financial position. It is therefore important to follow g o o d p e r s o n a l f i n a n c e practices in order to secure our future. Managing personal finances is not difficult, it is all in our control to be disciplined with our investments, and lead a healthy financial life.
9. Leaving assets uninsured
Summing up
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33ICICIdirect Money Manager
‘India is the most attractive emerging market in the world'
With the current price of crude and good growth prospects, India is the most attractive emerging market in the world and therefore, it is an opportunity for people to invest for the long-term in Indian equities, says Nimesh Shah, MD & CEO, ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund, in an interview with ICICIdirect Money Manager. The outlook for equity markets is very positive for the next 3-5 years, he adds. Excerpts:
Nimesh Shah,
MD & CEO,
ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund
Tête-à-tête
March 2015
Q:
A:
How do you broadly review the
Union Budget 2015-16? What are
the key posi t ives and the
negatives?
The FY16 Union Budget, a
much awaited event, laid down
a roadmap for economy,
having delivered against the
backdrop of high expectations.
The government has done well
t o r e i t e r a t e t h e f i s c a l
conso l ida t ion roadmap,
vis ibi l i ty on the capital
expenditure (capex) cycle and
thrust on infrastructure. One
highlight is that the road map
to implement the Goods and
Service Tax (GST) has been laid
down.
I t h a s i n c r e a s e d t a x
deductibles for individuals.
The government has also
come out with a system to
monetise household gold
holdings thus allowing for
productive use of gold. It seeks
to widen the social safety net,
which all in all, will strengthen
and aid India's economic rise.
While the boost towards the
capex cycle is not really
substantial, it is clearly a good
star t g iven the current
economic situation.
What do you think of the
economy, on both global and
domestic fronts?
Q:
34ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
Tête-à-tête
A: Currently, India is in the early
s tages of an economic
recovery. The current account
deficit (CAD) is under control,
wholesale inflation is negative,
and interest rate cut cycle has
only just begun. So there is a
huge scope for the long-term
investor as the economy
expands and gross domestic
p r o d u c t ( G D P ) g r o w t h
recovers. A lower oil price and
lower CAD bodes well and
saves considerable amounts
for the government.
As for the global scenario, one
of the most widely talked about
expectations for the current
year is the rate hike in US, and
currency headwinds taking
place globally. It may be
difficult for the US to have a
h i g h e r i n t e r e s t r a t e
environment, while the rest of
the developed world is
conducting some form of
quantitative easing (QE) or
another. Europe is on a bond
buying spree, and so is Japan.
T h i s s c e n a r i o i t s e l f i s
tantamount to tightening in the
US.
However, if the US does raise
interest rates this year due to a
strong economy, i t wi l l
def ini tely impact global
markets. Equity markets are
pricing a low or zero interest
rate environment. A rate hike in
the US will mean equity assets
will get re-priced which will
give opportunities across
equity assets.
What is your outlook for the
market? Will it sustain the
momentum?
With the current price of
crude and good growth
prospects, India is the most
attractive emerging market in
the world. Equities albeit not
cheap, continue to remain a
good long term investment
destination. The outlook for
equity markets is very positive
for the next 3-5 years. In the
short run, we have seen a
decent uptick in the market,
complemented by a positive
rate cut from the Reserve Bank
of India (RBI). On the flipside,
global headwinds coming from
Europe and US combined with
richer domestic valuations
should keep optimism in
check.
Q:
A:
35ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
Tête-à-tête
In fact, it will be suitable to have
a subdued market rally this
year because after two good
years in the market, investors
tend to get exuberant and
invest with hopes that the
markets give 30 percent
returns every year.
No one can really predict the
market. Investors shouldn't get
swayed by the past returns of
the market. Therefore, a
sideways movement is good
for the market. For the rest of
2015 we expect continued
volatility with decent upticks
and a few downdrafts based on
domestic and global news
f low. From a va luat ion
perspective, any consolidation
is healthy for the markets and
beneficial to prevent high
investor expectations.
What are the risks to the market?
Broader market valuations
will look quite high with
earnings multiple ranging
about 20 times. But the fact is
we are talking about specific
stocks. There are pockets
w h e r e v a l u a t i o n s a r e
expensive, and others that are
Q:
A:
not-so-expensive, among
them are the rate-sensitive
sectors.
Second, there's a risk of crude
prices spiking back to $90 or
$100 per barrel because we
benefit immensely out of crude
falling as an economy. Besides,
that there would be external
risks if something happens in
Venezuela or Greece, markets
would react. It will make equity
prices gyrate significantly. But,
in my view, it's more of an
opportunity, than a risk.
What are your key takeaways
from third quarter earnings? What
is the road ahead for corporate
earnings?
India's macro fundamentals
like CAD, inflation, lower crude
prices and growth impulses
are improving. Further, in this
Budget, there is a clear thrust
on infrastructure which is a
step towards recovery. It's the
only way the wheels of the
economy can start running
comfortably again. This could
benefit certain sectors in the
i n f r a s t r u c t u r e s p a c e .
Cascading benefits could
Q:
A:
36ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
Tête-à-tête
boost demand aiding the
domestic cyclical sectors. As
the investment cycle picks up,
these sectors will further gain
strength. All this should result
in earnings expansion over 3-5
years.
How do you generate investment
ideas? What makes you say, “Yes, I
want to invest in this company" or
"No, I don't want to”?
In the first part, we look at
the s tocks which have
performed badly. We also
figure out why institutional
investors are underinvested
and why external analysts
have degraded that particular
stock - this is the starting point
for us. Similarly, we also look at
stocks which have done well
and why institutional investors
are overweight, and why
analysts have put 'BUY' for that
particular stock.
In both the scenarios, we try to
make a case to move out of a
set of stocks, which have done
well, to stocks which have
done badly. In the next part, we
try to find out why people are
negative on that stock, meet
Q:
A:
the management of the
company and do our own
internal research. But that is
not enough; when we are
using value investing, we
figure out whether that stock
can improve from the current
s i tuat ion. We meet the
companies and sector analysts
among all the brokerages.
After going through all the
annual reports, participating in
conference calls, we look at
where the stock is placed in a
cycle and then decide whether
the stock should be bought or
not.
So it's a combination of cycles,
sector, industry and company
valuations - all these factors are
considered before including
the stock in the portfolio. A
combinat ion o f under
investment and valuations
gives us the best value
investment.
How do you approach valuation,
and what type of returns do you
target?
We believe in a concept of
relative value. In 2007, we
found significant value in
Q:
A:
37ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
Tête-à-tête
consumer, pharmaceutical and
technology. Therefore, at any
point of time, we will be able to
find value in something at least
relative to the rest. In our
opinion, given the way markets
have got integrated, there is lot
of scope to find value at all
points of time. What is required
is the intrinsic approach to buy
value while others don't like it;
in first place, it becomes value
because others don't like it.
Where do you think interest
rates will be one year from now?
A: Towards the end of the year,
we believe interest rates may
be substantially lower in order
t o a i d t h e e c o n o m i c
expansion.
Post-budget, which sectors
would you now look to add to your
portfolio and which ones could see
a miss?
In such an environment, one
segment that is likely to do well
is clearly the highly leveraged
segment. A fifty-basis point
cut, once passed through to
the broader economy, will
reduce the interest burden of
leveraged companies. Many
Q:
Q:
A:
highly leveraged companies
did badly relative to the rest of
the market, and some of them
are well-poised to make the
most of the lower interest rate
cycle.
Debt ridden companies may
not necessarily have the best
financials or the best balance
sheets hence, it requires
intensive research to narrow
down to specific companies.
Financials is another area that
looks quite promising. Public
sector banks require capital
and over time with lower
interest rates should benefit
banks as it will improve growth
and reduced non-performing
assets (NPAs). A combination
of lower interest rates, lower
NPAs, and capital infusion are
extremely positive for the
financial sector.
Also, with visibility on capex
revival through increased
government spending and
addressing issues of financing
infrastructure projects could
benefit certain sectors in the
infrastructure space.
In your opinion, what is the Q:
38ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
Tête-à-tête
single biggest mistake that keeps
investors from reaching their
goals?
Not adhering to asset
allocation model is one of the
biggest mistakes that keeps
investors from reaching their
financial goals. Building a
portfolio based on the suitable
asset a l locat ion, inst i ls
discipline in investing, helps
avoid the tendency to invest at
market tops and redeem at
market bottoms.
What is your advice for investors
at this point in terms of their overall
portfolio and asset allocation?
I f i n v e s t o r s a r e
underinvested in equities, they
may look to invest lump sum in
equity strategies which are
defensive (or have cash) as
equity markets have run up
and if the markets offer
opportunities over the course
of next few months or one
year, these strategies will have
enough cash to buy equities. It
may be a prudent strategy,
A:
Q:
A :
thus, to add flavour of funds in
the balanced advantage and
dynamic asset allocation
category. These funds seek to
increase allocation to equity
when the markets are cheap,
and book profits in equities
when markets are rising
thereby reducing volatility and
boosting returns.
However, if an investor is well
invested in equities, we would
recommend investing this
amount in a staggered manner
through equity mutual funds
over the course of next 6-9
months. With the current price
of crude and good growth
prospects, India is the most
attractive emerging market in
the world and therefore, it is an
opportunity for people to
invest for the long-term in
Indian equities. The outlook for
equity markets is very positive
for the next 3-5 years.
The views expressed in the interview are personal views of the authors and do
not necessarily represent the views of ICICI Securities.
39ICICIdirect Money Manager
ASK OUR PLANNER
Income tax benefits post budget
March 2015
Q:
A:
Can you brief on the tax benefits
provided by the recent budget for
individuals? Also, in the recent
budget, the Finance Minister had
remarked that salaried people can
get exemptions upto 4,44,200 per
year. Please let me know what all
components are included in this
figure.- Rajesh Kumar
The recent budget has given
below provisions with respect
to deductions on income for
individuals:
SECTION 80C
Limit for deduction under
Section 80 CCC for investment
in pension schemes raised to
1,50,000 from 1,00,000.
However, the overall limit of
1,50,000 under section 80CCE
i.e.
combined deduction U/s 80C,
80CCC and 80CCD(1) remains
same as before.
For contribution made
towards the National Pension
System (NPS), additional
deduction of 50,000 is
a l l o w e d u n d e r s e c t i o n
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80CCD(1B), which is over and
above the existing deductions.
Deduction is proposed to be
introduced retrospectively
f r o m F Y 2 0 1 4 - 1 5 f o r
subscriptions made towards
Sukanya Samriddhi Scheme,
relating to education of the girl
ch i ld . Addi t iona l ly, any
payment received from
such a scheme is proposed to
be exempt from tax.
SECTION 80D
Limit of deduction of health
insurance premium has been
increased to 25,000 f r o m
15,000; for senior citizens, the
limit has been increased to
30,000 from 20,000.
OTHERS
People aged above 80 and
no t covered by hea l th
insurance will be allowed
deduction of 30,000 for
medical expenses.
Deduction under Section
80G is proposed to be
introduced for donation made
to Swachh Bharat Kosh and
Clean Ganga Fund to the extent
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40ICICIdirect Money Manager
ASK OUR PLANNER
March 2015
of 100% of thedonation.
Additional deduction of
25,000 allowed for differently-
abled persons under Section
80DD and Section 80U.
For salaried individuals,
t r a n s p o r t a l l o w a n c e
exemption is being increased
from 800 per month to
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1,600 per month.
The additional deductions
/exemption as aforesaid
introduced in the Union Budget
2015-16, t ranslates into
incremental tax savings of
7,168, 14,337 and 21,506 for
individual tax payer falling
under the 10%, 20% and 30%
tax slabs, respectively.
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To answer your other query about the exemptions upto 4,44,200 p.a., the break-up of the same is as below:
`
Deductions under 80C
` 1,50,000
Deductions under 80CCD for contribution to NPS
` 50,000
Interest on house property loan (self-occupied) under Sec.24 ` 2,00,000
Exemption with new transportation allowance of Rs. 1,600 x 12 months ` 19,200
New deductible health insurance premium under 80D
` 25,000
Total ` 4,44,200
Q: Thank you for giving a brief idea
on pension policy in your last
edition. I am having a pension
policy which has completed 5 years
of policy term and value is around
Rs.6 lakh. You had mentioned that
the entire fund value would be
taxable if I surrender the policy.
Instead of surrendering the policy
what if I transfer this 6 lakh
amount as premium to my other
policy or make top up. As in many
companies, we have an option of
transferring premium from one
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policy to another if it has completed
the lock-in periods. Kindly let me
know what would be the taxation
part in this case.- Sushil Salian
When a pension policy is
surrendered, the end use of
funds is immaterial and the
proceeds are added to your
income and taxed as per your
income slab. In this case, the
surrender proceeds from the
pension policy are being
utilized to pay premium for
A:
41ICICIdirect Money Manager
ASK OUR PLANNER
March 2015
other insurance policies and
this does not affect the taxation
of surrender proceeds of the
pension policy by any means
(even if the funds do not
actually come to you and are
transferred to your other policy
within the insurance
company).
I am 32 year male and a doctor by
profession. I am looking for a
retirement mutual fund. I wanted to
start a systematic investment plan
(SIP) of Reliance Retirement Fund -
Wealth Creation scheme which
was recently launched. Kindly give
me advice whether this is a good
fund to invest and if not whether
any other mutual fund which has
provisions of retirement is there to
invest. My retirement time is 30
years from now.- Abhishek Balani
It is good to note that you are
looking to start investing for
your retirement at this stage of
your life itself. If you start
investing for retirement (which
is 30 years away) from now,
your investments can grow
signif icantly due to the
compounding effect over a
longer tenure.
Q:
A:
As you have a longer tenure of
30 years to ret irement,
investing into proper equity
mutual funds would make
more sense. Also, the long-
term capital gains on normal
equity mutual funds are
exempt from tax, as per the
current tax laws.
Till now, there have been only a
couple of retirement specific
funds in the industry and these
funds take lesser exposure into
equity. And, the long term
capital gains were also taxed,
as the minimum exposure to
equity was less than 65%.
However, the recently
i n t r o d u c e d R e l i a n c e
Retirement Fund – Wealth
Creation Scheme takes a
minimum of 65% and a
maximum of 100% exposure
into equity and is
benchmarked to S&P BSE 100
Index. This means that the
long-term capital gains are
exempt from tax. In addition to
this, deduction can be claimed
from your income under
S e c t i o n 8 0 C u p t o a n
investment of 1.50 lakh p.a.
into the scheme.
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MUTUAL FUND ANALYSIS
42ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
Category: Equity Diversified Funds
Here we analyze top-performing equity diversified funds, the ever-green option for individuals to invest for their long-term financial goals.
Reliance Equity Opportunities
Fund Objective:The primary investment objective of the scheme is to generate capital appreciation and provide long-term growth opportunities by investing in a portfolio constituted of equity securities and equity related securities.Key Information:NAV as on February 27, 2015 ( ) 77.1
Inception Date March 28,2005
Fund Manager Sailesh Raj Bhan
Minimum Investment (`)
Lumpsum 5000
SIP 500
Expense Ratio (%) 2.13
Exit Load 1% on or Before 1Y,
Nil after 1Y
Benchmark S&P BSE 100
Last declared Quarterly AAUM(`cr) 11172
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Product Label:
This product is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
Long term capital growth.
Investment in equity and euity related securities.
High risk. (BROWN)
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Fund Manager: Sailesh Raj Bhan
Mr. Sailesh Raj Bhan, CFA is a Deputy Chief Investment Of f icer (C IO) o f Equ i ty
Investments at Rel iance Mutual Fund. He has about 19 years of experience in equity research, analysis, and fund management, of which 10 years have been spent at Reliance Mutual Fund.
The fund does well in market rallies beating the benchmark as well as peers by good margins. On downturns, the performance is closer to the benchmark. Recently in the CY14 rally, the fund delivered 60% return, double the benchmark due to its exposure t o p h a r m a c e u t i c a l a n d technology stocks. It has a higher standard deviation compared to peers on account of higher exposure to midcap stocks. The fund delivers in bull markets and is best suited for an aggressive investor.
Performance:
Performance vs. Benchmark
22.2
67.7
30
22.1
11.8
44.4
19.2
12
0
20
40
60
80
6 Month 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
Retu
rn
%
Fund Benchmark
43ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
MUTUAL FUND ANALYSIS
31-Dec-13 31-Dec-12
31-Dec-13 31-Dec-12 31-Dec-11
31-Dec-14
Last Three Years Performance
Fund Name
2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
Calendar Year-wise Performance
* Since inception to December 31, 2014
Note: Investors should note that past performance may or may not be repeated in future
Current Value of Standard Investment of ` 10000 in the
NAV as on Dec 31 ( ) 74.0 46.4 44.3 30.1 38.4
Return (%) 59.7 4.6 47.4 -21.6 30.5
Benchmark (%) 32.3 5.9 30.0 -25.7 15.7
Net Assets (` Cr) 10670 5291 4990 3159 2861
`
Reliance Equity Opportunities
Fund 59.67 4.56 47.35
Benchmark 32.28 5.87 29.96
S&P BSE Sensex 29.89 8.98 25.70
Scheme 74490
Benchmark 41443
S&P BSE Sensex 42354
Portfolio:
The fund has a well diversified
portfolio. Exposure to any
particular sector does not
exceed 12%. Also, there is a
good mix of large and midcap
stocks with higher orientation
towards midcap . Some
midcap bets to which the fund
m a n g e r h a s i n c r e a s e d
exposure include Ramco
Cements, Havel ls India,
Castrol, Simplex Infra, etc.
The fund manager has taken
exposure to hotel companies,
which are not seen in peer
funds.
Overall, a diversified portfolio
with exposure to diverse
companies within the sector
makes the fund a good choice
for long term investing.
Top 10 Holdings Asset Type %
State Bank Of India Domestic Equities 5.3
HDFC Bank Ltd. Domestic Equities 5.2
Divis Laboratories Ltd. Domestic Equities 4.3
HCL Technologies Ltd. Domestic Equities 3.7
Cummins India Ltd. Domestic Equities 3.7
Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. Domestic Equities 3.5
Trent Ltd. Domestic Equities 3.4
Bharat Forge Ltd. Domestic Equities 3.4
The Indian Hotels Company Ltd. Domestic Equities 3.4
Larsen & Toubro Ltd. Domestic Equities 3.1
44ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
MUTUAL FUND ANALYSIS
Top 10 Sector Asset Type %
Pharmaceuticals & Drugs Domestic Equities 11.2
IT - Software Domestic Equities 10.5
Bank - Private Domestic Equities 9.5
Bank - Public Domestic Equities 7.4
Electric Equipment Domestic Equities 7.1
Retailing Domestic Equities 5.6
Hotel, Resort & Restaurants Domestic Equities 4.5
Electronics - Components Domestic Equities 4.0
Diesel Engines Domestic Equities 3.7
Automobiles - Passenger Cars Domestic Equities 3.5
Whats In % %Whats Out
Portfolio AttributesTotal Stocks 65
Top 10 Holdings (%) 38.9
Fund P/E Ratio 30.8
Benchmark P/E Ratio –
Fund P/BV Ratio 5.9
Risk ParametersStandard Deviation (%) 14.22
Beta 0.83
Sharpe ratio 0.23
R Squared 0.79
Alpha (%) -3.53
Asset AllocationEquity 97.8
Debt 0.0Cash 2.2
Performance of all the schemes managed by the fund manager
Fund Name31-Dec-13
31-Dec-14
31-Dec-12
31-Dec-13
31- -11Dec
31- -12Dec
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.
(Blue) Investors understand that
their principal will be at low risk
(Yellow) Investors understand that
their principal will be at meduim risk
(Brown) Investors understand
that their principal will be at high
risk
Data as on February 27, 2015; Portfolio details as on January 31, 2015Source: ICICIdirect.com Research, Accord Fintech
Castrol India Ltd. 0.2
Axis Bank Ltd. 0.5
Asian Paints Ltd. 0.5
Dividend HistoryDate Dividend (%)
Mar-18-2014 20
Mar-04-2013 25
Mar-30-2012 15
Mar-14-2011 20
Jul-27-2009 20
Mar-24-2008 15
Reliance Equity Opportunities Fund(G) 59.67 4.56 47.35
S&P BSE 100 32.28 5.87 29.96
Reliance ELSS Fund-I(G) 56.81 1.37 47.09
S&P BSE 100 32.28 5.87 29.96
Reliance Pharma Fund(G) 49.46 20.87 34.84
S&P BSE Health Care 47.43 22.55 38.53
Reliance Media & Entertainment Fund(G) 41.24 -1.52 57.96
– -- -- –
45ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
MUTUAL FUND ANALYSIS
Franklin India Prima Plus
Fund Objective:
To provide growth of capital plus regular dividend through a diversified portfolio of e q u i t i e s , f i x e d i n c o m e securities and money market instruments.
Key Information:
Product Label:This product is suitable for investors seeking*:
• Long term capital appreciation.
• Primarily a large cap fund with some allocation to small / mid cap stocks.
• High risk** (BROWN)
Fund Manager: Anand RadhakrishnanMr. Anand Radhakrishnan, CFA is Chief Investment Officer (CIO), Franklin Equity – India. H e i s r e s p o n s i b l e f o r overseeing all local equity funds. Mr. Radhakrishnan has been in the investment
NAV as on February 27, 2015 ( ) 441.2
Inception Date September 29,1994
Fund Manager Anand Radhakrishnan
Minimum Investment (`)
Lumpsum 5000
SIP 500
Expense Ratio (%) 2.30
Exit Load 1% on or before 1Y
Benchmark CNX 500 Index
Last declared Quarterly AAUM(` cr) 3790
`
management industry since 1994.
The fund, in over 20 years of existence has delivered 20% Compounded Annualised Return (CAR) against 15% CAR delivered by its benchmark CNX 500. The performance can largely be attributed to the asset management company's in-built research process and fundamental ideologies along with the star fund managers who have managed the fund exceptionally better than its peer diversified multicap funds. Mr Radhakrishnan has been managing the fund since April 2007 and has delivered 16% CAR since then. The performance across market cycles has been above the benchmark be it the crash of CY08, wherein CNX 500 was down 57%. The fund curtailed loss to -47%. Even in rallies, the fund has beaten index returns by decent margins. We believe it can be a perfect all weather fund due to its multicap portfolio allocation and the fund management team, which is one of the best in industry and recognised worldwide for the same.
Performance:
46ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
MUTUAL FUND ANALYSIS
Performance vs. Benchmark
Fund Benchmark
31-Dec-13 31-Dec-12
31-Dec-13 31-Dec-12 31-Dec-11
31-Dec-14
Last Three Years Performance
Fund Name
2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
Calendar Year-wise Performance
Current Value of Standard Investment of ` 10000 in the
* As on Sep 30, 2014
22.2
65.6
27
18.6
13.5
49.7
20.1
11.8
010203040506070
6 Month 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
Retu
rn%
NAV as on Dec 31 ( ) 417.6 266.3 252.3 192.6 230.4
Return (%) 56.8 5.6 31.0 -16.4 19.5
Benchmark (%) 37.8 3.6 31.8 -27.2 14.1
Net Assets (` Cr) 3568 2014 2142 1679 1842
`
Franklin India Prima Plus Fund 56.79 5.55 31.04
Benchmark 37.82 3.61 31.84
S&P BSE Sensex 29.89 8.98 25.70
Scheme 417601
Benchmark 62246
S&P BSE Sensex 63157
Note: Investors should note that past performance may or may not be repeated in future
Portfolio:
The fund predominantly
invests in wealth creating
companies that generate a
return on capital in excess of
their cost of capital. The fund,
at present, is overweight on
private banks with 27%
exposure. Despite the poor
result show, the fund manager
added Bank of Baroda to his
holding in public sector
undertaking (PSU) banks. The
next highest exposure is to
pharmaceutical companies,
even after the exposure being
trimmed from 11% to 9% in the
past year. Third largest
exposure is to technology
c o m p a n i e s w h e r e i n
preference is for company
specific triggers over sector
positives. Other companies
that have been added to the
portfolio include refinery
companies, select companies
on consumption themes like
Havells India, Voltas, Marico,
etc. Overall, we believe the
portfolio is positioned to
benefit from a decline in
i n t e r e s t r a t e s a n d
implementation of economic
reforms. We believe it will have
relatively higher beta over
peers due to concentrated
exposure to the banking
sector. However, the stock
select ion within sectors
provides strength to the overall
portfolio composition.
47ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
MUTUAL FUND ANALYSIS
Top 10 Holdings Asset Type %
HDFC Bank Ltd. Domestic Equities 5.9
ICICI Bank Ltd. Domestic Equities 5.6
Infosys Ltd. Domestic Equities 4.9
Call Money Cash & Cash Equivalents 4.7
Bharti Airtel Ltd. Domestic Equities 3.9
Yes Bank Ltd. Domestic Equities 3.9
IndusInd Bank Ltd. Domestic Equities 3.8
Eicher Motors Ltd. Domestic Equities 3.2
Bosch Ltd. Domestic Equities 2.8
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Ltd. Domestic Equities 2.7
Top 10 Sector Asset Type %
Bank - Private Domestic Equities 26.9
Pharmaceuticals & Drugs Domestic Equities 8.1
IT - Software Domestic Equities 7.8
Auto Ancillary Domestic Equities 6.4
Automobiles-Trucks/Lcv Domestic Equities 4.3
Telecommunication - Service Provider Domestic Equities 4.1
Refineries Domestic Equities 3.7
Diesel Engines Domestic Equities 2.9
Diversified Domestic Equities 2.7
Chemicals Domestic Equities 2.7
Whats In % %Whats OutTitan Company Ltd. 0.4 Himatsingka Seide Ltd. 0.2
Repco Home Finance Ltd. 0.3
Asset AllocationEquity 95.3
Debt 0.0
Cash 4.7
Portfolio AttributesTotal Stocks 60.0
Top 10 Holdings (%) 41.3
Fund P/E Ratio 32.4
Benchmark P/E Ratio –
Fund P/BV Ratio 6.1
48ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
MUTUAL FUND ANALYSIS
Risk ParametersStandard Deviation (%) 11.84
Beta 0.82
Sharpe ratio 0.26
R Squared 0.91
Alpha (%) 2.15
Dividend HistoryDate Dividend (%)
Feb-16-2015 25
Feb-24-2014 20
Feb-18-2013 30
Mar-05-2012 25
Feb-21-2011 30
Feb-22-2010 60
Performance of all the schemes managed by the fund manager
Fund Name31-Dec-13
31-Dec-14
31-Dec-12
31-Dec-13
31- -11Dec
31- -12Dec
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.
(Blue) Investors understand that
their principal will be at low risk
(Yellow) Investors understand that
their principal will be at meduim risk
(Brown) Investors understand
that their principal will be at high
risk
Data as on February 27, 2015; Portfolio details as on January 31, 2015Source: ICICIdirect.com Research, Accord Fintech
Franklin Build India Fund(G) 93.80 6.06 39.91
CNX 500 Index 37.82 3.61 31.84
Franklin India Smaller Cos Fund(G) 89.92 13.22 51.70
CNX Midcap 55.91 -5.10 39.16
Franklin India High Growth Cos Fund(G) 79.58 9.22 42.54
CNX 500 Index 37.82 3.61 31.84
Franklin India Prima Fund(G) 78.14 7.40 44.42
CNX 500 Index 37.82 3.61 31.84
Franklin India Opportunities Fund(G) 58.58 2.14 27.51
S&P BSE 200 35.47 4.38 30.98
Franklin India Taxshield(G) 56.92 6.14 29.38
CNX 500 Index 37.82 3.61 31.84
Franklin India Prima Plus Fund(G) 56.79 5.55 31.04
CNX 500 Index 37.82 3.61 31.84
Franklin India Flexi Cap Fund(G) 55.90 7.07 31.45
CNX 500 Index 37.82 3.61 31.84
Franklin India Life Stage FOFs-20(G) 38.91 3.54 26.22
CNX 500 Index 37.82 3.61 31.84
Franklin India Bluechip Fund(G) 37.22 4.08 26.79
S&P BSE SENSEX 29.89 8.98 25.70
Franklin India Life Stage FOFs-30(G) 29.90 3.86 19.87
CNX 500 Index 37.82 3.61 31.84
Franklin India Dynamic PE Ratio FOFs(G) 24.74 3.93 20.02
Crisil Balanced Fund Index 25.34 6.05 21.27
Franklin India Life Stage FOFs-40(G) 24.32 4.36 17.24
CNX 500 Index 37.82 3.61 31.84
Franklin India MIP(G) 22.39 5.97 14.19
Crisil MIP Blended Index 16.83 4.41 12.10
Franklin India Life Stage FOFs-50(G) 17.28 3.86 14.33
Crisil Composite Bond Fund Index 14.31 3.79 9.36
Franklin Infotech Fund(G) 16.75 53.34 0.26
S&P BSE IT 16.54 59.78 -1.18
Franklin India Life Stage FOFs-50s +FR(G) 14.77 7.70 12.79
Crisil Liquid Fund Index 9.21 9.03 8.52
49ICICIdirect Money Manager
MUTUAL FUND TOP PICKS
Wth over thousand of mutual fund schemes available in the market, selecting the right ones may become too complex. To make it easy for you, we present our research team’s top recommendations, across equity and debt categories
Mutual Fund Top Picks
Equity
Category Top Picks
Largecaps Axis Equity FundBirla Sunlife Frontline equity FundICICI Pru Focussed Bluechip Equity FundUTI Opportunities Fund
Midcaps HDFC Midcap Opportunities FundICICI Prudential Value Discovery FundFranklin India Smaller Companies FundSBI Magnum Global Fund
Diversified Franklin India Prima PlusICICI Prudential Dynamic PlanReliance Equity Opportunities
ELSS Axis Long Term EquityICICI Prudential Tax PlanFranklin India Tax shield
Sector - Banking ICICI Prudential Banking Reliance BankingUTI Banking
March 2015
50ICICIdirect Money Manager
MUTUAL FUND TOP PICKS
March 2015
Short Term Birla Sunlife Short Term FundHDFC Short Term Opportunities FundICICI Pru Short Term Plan
Credit Opportunities Fund
Birla Sunlife Medium Term PlanFranklin India Short term PlanICICI Prudential Regular Savings
Income Funds ICICI Prudential Dynamic Bond FundBirla Sun Life Income Plus - Regular Plan IDFC Dynamic Bond Fund
Gilts Funds ICICI Pru Gilt Inv. PF PlanBirla Sunlife Gilt Plus
MIP(Aggressive)
Birla Sunlife Savings 5ICICI Prudential MIP 25DSP Blackrock MIP
Debt
Category Top Picks
Liquid Funds HDFC Cash Mgmnt Saving Plan ICIC Pru Liquid PlanReliance Liquid Treasury Plan
Ultra Short Term Birla Sunlife Savings FundFranklin India Ultra Short Term Bond FundICICI Pru Flexible Income Plan
51ICICIdirect Money Manager
EQUITY MODEL PORTFOLIO
Our indicative large-cap equity model portfolio (“Quality-21”) has continued to deliver an impressive return of 96.7% (inclusive of dividends) till date (as on March 3, 2015) since its inception (June 21, 2011) vis-à-vis the benchmark index (S&P BSE Sensex) return of 67.8% during the same period, out-performance of ~29%. This validates our thesis of selecting companies with sound business fundamentals that forms the core theme of our portfolio. Our “Consistent-15” mid-cap portfolio also continues to outperform, delivering 113.7% (inclusive of dividends) till date (as on March 3, 2015) vis-à-vis the benchmark index (CNX Midcap) return of 73.1%, out-performance of 40.6%. Our consistent out-performance demonstrates our superior stock picking ability as markets in H2FY15 aligned to our view of favourable risk-reward, good franchisee vs. reward-at-any-risk businesses. Some key performers of our portfolio are Lupin, Sun Pharmaceuticals, Axis Bank, TCS and Shree Cement delivering ~160-330% returns since inception.
We have always suggested the systematic investment plan (SIP) mode of investment and still find a lot of merit in it as the preferred mode of deployment given the market conditions and volatility associated since the inception of the portfolio. It has outperformed other portfolios, thus, reinforcing our belief in a plan of investment. However, now we are also advising clients to look at lump sum investments at any possible dips.
The last few months saw a paradigm shift in the global energy industry as crude prices declined to a historic five-year low to $58 (down ~40% since June 2014). Intense competition among oil-producing nations for market share (OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) vs. non-OPEC) and ramp-up in US shale resources led to this slump in global commodity aided further by languishing global growth prospects. While world economies adjust to this new normal, India, which fulfils ~80% of its oil demand through imports, could be a major beneficiary of this benign oil scenario. Thus, domestic equities attracted strong foreign institutional investor (FII) flows ($16 billion+ during Cy14, highest ever) helped by a stable, reformist central government. Consequently, sectors geared towards a pick-up in domestic economy like consumer discretionary, banks, auto and cement outperformed the benchmark index. On the other hand, defensives
March 2015
52ICICIdirect Money Manager
EQUITY MODEL PORTFOLIO
saw profit booking as CNX IT and FMCG indices underperformed by ~13% each during 2014 on moderating valuations and changing investor preference.
Thus, we rebalanced our portfolio in December 2014, to capture the essence of a broader economic revival, growing urbanisation and benefits of crude declines. Accordingly, thus add stocks like Castrol India (crude), CARE (economy), Voltas (consumerisation) and Heidelberg Cement (value buying) while we feel Tata Steel, ONGC are well placed to be added to large-cap portfolio.
Though we have a tilt towards higher beta that could generate substantial returns given their respective market dominance, we have not deviated from our core focus on holding good brands. We exit DCB (74% returns), JK Cement (71%) to book profits since potential upside appears limited, hereafter, and remove Tata Global Beverages and Oberoi Realty as company-specific headwinds could likely persist in the medium term.
Our conviction in domestic recovery is visible in terms of relative weightage of sector vis-à-vis the index. We remain overweight on the consumer discretionary (auto, consumer), financials (private sector banks in particular), and the infra space (cement, infra and power). This has been primarily triggered by hopes of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on the back of moderating inflation and possibility of decisive action in the infrastructure and real economy space by the new government. We are also overweight on telecom, media owing to reducing concerns & better earnings growth.
We have turned underweight on oil & gas as we have chosen to replace Reliance with ONGC, which has better risk-reward (muted return of investment (RoI) from unrelated investments could impact the former while the latter has lessening regulatory challenges). We continue to remain underweight on pure play defensives (IT, FMCG) as secular earnings coupled with sector rotation could de-rate valuations and offer limited upside. We remain equal weight on pharmaceuticals, metals (global generic opportunity, stock specific play).
On individual names, we are strongly overweight on companies like L&T and UltraTech in the infrastructure space while we prefer HDFC & SBI in financials.
March 2015
53ICICIdirect Money Manager
EQUITY MODEL PORTFOLIO
Name of the company
Largecap Stocks
Model Portfolio
Largecap(%)
Midcap(%)
Diversified(%)
March 2015
Consumer Discretionary 12 8.4
United Spirits 4 2.8
Tata Motors DVR 4 2.8
Bajaj Auto 2 1.4
Titan 2 1.4
BFSI 30 21
HDFC 8 5.6
HDFC Bank 7 4.9
SBI 8 5.6
Axis Bank 7 4.9
Power, Infrastructure & Cement 15 10.5
L & T 8 5.6
UltraTech Cement 7 4.9
FMCG 8 5.6
ITC 8 5.6
Metals & Mining 4 2.8
Tata Steel 4 2.8
Oil and Gas 8 5.6
ONGC 6 4.2
Gail 2 1.4
Pharma 5 3.5
Lupin 2 1.4
Sun Pharma 3 2.1
IT 13 9.1
Infosys 5 3.5
TCS 5 3.5
Wipro 3 2.1
Telecom 3 2.1
Bharti Airtel 3 2.1
Media 2 1.4
Zee Entertainment 2 1.4
Largecap share in diversified 70
54ICICIdirect Money Manager
EQUITY MODEL PORTFOLIO
Midcap Stocks
Content source: ICICIdirect.com Research
ICICI Securities Ltd. has been assigned an advisory mandate by Ranbaxy Laboratories Limited with regard to Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited's acquisition of Ranbaxy Laboratories Limited. This report is prepared on the basis of publicly available information.
ICICI Securities Limited has received an advisory mandate from Natco Pharma. This report is prepared based on publicly available information.
ICICI Securities has received an investment banking mandate from Government of India for disinvestment in ONGC. This report is prepared based on publicly available information.
This report is based on publicly available information.
Name of the company Model Portfolio
Largecap(%)
Midcap(%)
Diversified(%)
March 2015
Consumer Discretionary 34 10.2
Bosch 6 1.8
Cox & Kings Ltd 6 1.8
Arvind 6 1.8
Voltas 8 2.4
Castrol 8 2.4
IT 6 1.8
Info Edge 6 1.8
BFSI 14 4.2
CARE 6 1.8
IndusInd Bank 8 2.4
FMCG 8 2.4
Kansai Nerolac 8 2.4
Pharma 6 1.8
Natco Pharma 6 1.8
Media 8 2.4
PVR 8 2.4
Capital Goods 6 1.8
Cummins 6 1.8
Realty/Infrasturcture/Cement 18 5.4
Heidelberg Cement 6 1.8
Container Corporation of India 6 1.8
Shree Cement 6 1.8
Midcap share in diversified 100 30
Total of all three portfolios 100 100 100
55ICICIdirect Money Manager
EQUITY MODEL PORTFOLIO
Performance* so far Since inception
*Returns (in %) as on , 2015
Large-cap Portfolio Benchmark: BSE Sensex; Mid-cap Portfolio
Benchmark: CNX Midcap; Diversified Portfolio Benchmark: Combination
of BSE Sensex and CNX Midcap
March 03
Value of ` 1,00,000 invested via SIP at the end of every month
Portfolio Benchmark
Investment Value of Investment in Portfolio Value if invested in Benchmark
Start date of SIP: June 30, 2011; *Value as on March 03, 2015
March 2015
96.7
113.7
100.3
67.873.1
66.8
0
25
50
75
100
125
%
4,6
00,0
00
4,6
00,0
00
4,6
00,0
00
6,9
94,5
13
8,7
36,5
11
7,4
60,5
07
6,4
79,3
43
7,3
61,0
91
6,7
02,3
92
3,500,000
4,500,000
5,500,000
6,500,000
7,500,000
8,500,000
|
QUIZ TIME
1. The Budget allowed additional deduction of Rs. ______ for
investment made into National Pension System (NPS).
2. The health insurance premium deduction has been increased
from Rs. ______ to Rs. ______ in case of senior citizens.
3. Salaried individuals now can get exemptions upto Rs. ______ per
financial year.
4. The investment limit in corporate bonds is $______ billion for
foreign institutional investors (FII).
5. Limit for deduction under Section 80 CCC for investment in
pension schemes has been raised from Rs. ______ to Rs. ______.
Note: All the answers are in the stories that have appeared in this
edition of ICICIdirect Money Manager. You may send in your
answers at:
The answers will be published in our next edition. The names of the
earliest all correct entries will be published too. So jog your grey
cells and be quick to send in your entries.
Correct answers for the February 2015 quiz are:
1. The government is looking to increase the lock-in period for
Public Provident Fund (PPF) from current ______ years to ______
years in this Budget.
A: 6 years to 8 years
2. When you surrender a pension policy, there is indexation benefit
available on the gains generated. True / False
A: False
3. Investment into National Pension Scheme (NPS) is available for
tax deduction under section ______ of Income Tax Act.
A: 80CCD
4. In case of a pension policy, you have an option to convert 100%
of the maturity amount into an annuity. True / False
A: True
5. Expand CBLO.
A: Collateralized Borrowing and Lending Obligation
56ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
57ICICIdirect Money Manager
MONTHLY TRENDS
8.00
7.74
7.6
7.7
7.7
7.8
7.8
7.9
7.9
8.0
8.0
8.1
Jan-15 Feb-15
(%)
48.24
49.76
45.0
46.0
47.0
48.0
49.0
50.0
51.0
52.0
53.0
54.0
30-Jan 6-Feb 13-Feb 20-Feb 27-Feb
$ pe
r ba
rrel
5325.16
489.31609.00
546.70
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
FII DII
.
WPI INFLATION (FOOD)
(The figures are in %)
CRUDE OIL
NYMEX crude oil prices ($/barrel)
FII & DII INVESTMENTS
(Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) and domestic institutional
investors (DII) net equity investment ( ` in crore)
March 2015
58ICICIdirect Money Manager
29182.95
29361.50
27600
27800
28000
28200
28400
28600
28800
29000
29200
29400
29600
30-Jan 6-Feb 13-Feb 20-Feb 27-Feb
8808.90
8901.85
8300
8400
8500
8600
8700
8800
8900
9000
30-Jan 6-Feb 13-Feb 20-Feb 27-Feb
DOMESTIC INDICES BSE Sensex
NSE Nifty
1.06%
0.61%
March 2015
20.17
16.97
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30-Jan 6-Feb 13-Feb 20-Feb 27-FebVIX
VOLATILITY INDEX (VIX)
MONTHLY TRENDS
VIX is a key measure of market expectations of near term volatility. When the markets are highly volatile, the VIX tends to rise.
59ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
17164.95
18132.70
16500
16800
17100
17400
17700
18000
18300
18600
30-Jan 6-Feb 13-Feb 20-Feb 27-Feb
GLOBAL INDICESDow Jones
4635.24
4963.53
4400
4500
4600
4700
4800
4900
5000
5100
30-Jan 6-Feb 13-Feb 20-Feb 27-Feb
NASDAQ
62.01
61.65
61.0
61.2
61.4
61.6
61.8
62.0
62.2
62.4
62.6
30-Jan 6-Feb 13-Feb 20-Feb 27-Feb
US
D /
INR
EXCHANGE RATES USD-INR
0.58%
MONTHLY TRENDS
5.64%
7.08%
60ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
69.99
69.00
65.0
67.0
69.0
71.0
73.0
30-Jan 6-Feb 13-Feb 20-Feb 27-Feb
€/
INR
1282.80
1212.55
1100
1175
1250
1325
30-Jan 6-Feb 13-Feb 20-Feb 27-Feb
$ pe
r O
unce
17.22
16.60
15.0
17.0
19.0
30-Jan 6-Feb 13-Feb 20-Feb 27-Feb
$ pe
r Oun
ce
POUND-INR
EURO-INR
BULLION GOLD
(The prices are in $ per ounce).
SILVER
(The prices are in $ per ounce). (Source for all indicators: Bloomberg, Reuters)
MONTHLY TRENDS
93.42
95.14
91.0
92.0
93.0
94.0
95.0
96.0
97.0
30-Jan 6-Feb 13-Feb 20-Feb 27-Feb
£/
INR
1.83%
1.40%
61ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
ICICIdirect Centre for Financial Learning (ICFL) imparts quality education on financial markets to beginners and amateurs, student, housewives, working professionals and self employed. ICFL's broad objective is to make participant feel confident to start investing in stock market.
Here is the list of our programmes scheduled for the month of March, 2015.
Schedule for Beginners' programme on Futures and Options (F&O) TradingSr.No
City Dates For More Information & Registration call:
Premium Education Programmes Schedule
Sr.No City Dates For More Information & Registration call:
Schedule for Fast-Track Programme on Futures & Options (F&O)
Sr.No City Dates For More Information & Registration call:
Schedule for Fast-Track Programme on Stock Investing
Sr.No
City Dates For More Information & Registration call:
Schedule for Market Master Programme
1 Pune 14 and 15 MAR, 2015 Kusmakar on 7875442311
2 New Delhi 21 and 22 MAR, 2015 Vishal on 07838290143, Harneet on 09582158693
3 Mumbai 21 and 22 MAR, 2015 Vidhu on 9619716146
4 Thane 28 and 29 MAR, 2015 Vidhu on 9619716146
5 Pune 28 and 29 MAR, 2015 Kusmakar on 7875442311
6 Bangalore 28 and 29 MAR, 2015 Subrata on 9620001478
7 Rajkot 01 MAR, 2015 Yogesh on 8238053563
8 Vadodara 08 MAR, 2015 Yogesh on 8238053563
9 Bhopal 15 MAR, 2015 Kusmakar on 7875442311
10 Jaipur 01 MAR, 2015 Vishal on 07838290143
11 Jodhpur 01 MAR, 2015 Vishal on 07838290143
12 Bhubaneshwar 01 MAR, 2015 Sumit Sarkar on 8017516187
13 Ghaziabad 01 MAR, 2015 Harneet on 09582158693
14 Surat 01 MAR, 2015 Yogesh on 8238053563
15 Ahmedabad 01 MAR, 2015 Yogesh on 8238053563
16 Indore 15 MAR, 2015 Kusmakar on 7875442311
17 Lucknow 15 MAR, 2015 Harneet on 09582158693
18 Bangalore 14 and 15 MAR, 2015 Subrata on 9620001478
19 New Delhi 21 and 22 MAR, 2015 Vishal on 07838290143, Harneet on 09582158693
Sr.No
City Dates For More Information & Registration call:
Schedule for Technical Analysis Programme
20 Hyderabad 07 and 08 MAR, 2015 Ruchi on 8297362323
21 New Delhi 14 and 15 MAR, 2015 Vishal on 07838290143, Harneet on 09582158693
22 Bangalore 14 and 15 MAR, 2015 Subrata on 9620001478
62ICICIdirect Money Manager March 2015
Sr.No
City Dates For More Information & Registration call:
Schedule for Advanced Derivatives Trading Strategies Programme
Sr.No City Dates For More Information & Registration call:
Schedule for Fast-track Technical Analysis Programme
Contact us
Email:
Send us an email at [email protected] mention the name, date and venue of the programme you have
attended or wish to attend, for faster resolution of your queries.
SMS:
SMS EDU to 5676766 for more details
23 Kolkata 21 and 22 MAR, 2015 Sumit Sarkar on 8017516187
24 Mumbai 28 and 29 MAR, 2015 Vidhu on 9619716146
Sr.No
City Dates For More Information & Registration call:
Schedule for Foundation Programme on Stock Investing
25 Pune 07 and 08 MAR, 2015 Kusmakar on 7875442311
26 Kolkata 07 and 08 MAR, 2015 Sumit Sarkar on 8017516187
27 Navi Mumbai 14 and 15 MAR, 2015 Manish Jamb on 8451057943
28 Mumbai 14 and 15 MAR, 2015 Vidhu on 9619716146
29 New Delhi 14 and 15 MAR, 2015 Vishal on 07838290143, Harneet on 09582158693
30 Mumbai 14 and 15 MAR, 2015 Vidhu on 9619716146
31 Thane 14 and 15 MAR, 2015 Vidhu on 9619716146
32 Bangalore 14 and 15 MAR, 2015 Subrata on 9620001478
33 Gurgaon 14 and 15 MAR, 2015 Vishal on 07838290143
34 New Delhi 21 and 22 MAR, 2015 Vishal on 07838290143, Harneet on 09582158693
35 Hyderabad 21 and 22 MAR, 2015 Ruchi on 8297362323
36 Pune 21 and 22 MAR, 2015 Kusmakar on 7875442311
37 New Delhi 28 and 29 MAR, 2015 Vishal on 07838290143, Harneet on 09582158693
38 Kolkata 28 and 29 MAR, 2015 Sumit Sarkar on 8017516187
39 Dhanbad 01 MAR, 2015 Sumit Sarkar on 8017516187
40 Dehradun 01 MAR, 2015 Harneet on 09582158693
41 Jamshedpur 01 MAR, 2015 Sumit Sarkar on 8017516187
42 Jamnagar 15 MAR, 2015 Yogesh on 8238053563
43 Meerut 15 MAR, 2015 Harneet on 09582158693
44 Ajmer 15 MAR, 2015 Vishal on 07838290143
45 Vapi 22 MAR, 2015 Yogesh on 8238053563
held in January 2015