The 2012 NH “Beer Poll”

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The 2012 NH “Beer Poll” CNN speaks to voters at 20 Manchester, New Hampshire, bars to "scientifically" determine the GOP primary winner.

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The 2012 NH “Beer Poll”. CNN speaks to voters at 20 Manchester, New Hampshire, bars to "scientifically" determine the GOP primary winner. What are your expectations? What type of person might support each candidate? . Mitt Romney. Mitt Romney. Ron Paul. Mitt Romney. Mitt Romney. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of The 2012 NH “Beer Poll”

Page 1: The 2012 NH “Beer Poll”

The 2012 NH “Beer Poll”

CNN speaks to voters at 20 Manchester, New Hampshire, bars to "scientifically"

determine the GOP primary winner.

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What are your expectations?What type of person might support

each candidate?

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Mitt Romney

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Mitt Romney

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Ron Paul

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Mitt Romney

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Mitt Romney

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Newt Gingrich

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Newt Gingrich

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Mitt Romney

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Mitt Romney

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Mitt Romney

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Ron Paul

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Mitt Romney

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Jon Huntsman

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Ron Paul

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Newt Gingrich

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Mitt Romney

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Ron Paul

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Mitt Romney

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Mitt Romney

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Ron Paul

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The Results

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In Percentage Terms

Votes %• Mitt Romney 11 55%• Ron Paul 5 25%• Newt Gingrich 3 15%• Jon Huntsman 1 5%• Rick Santorum 0 0%• Rick Perry 0 0%

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How does this “poll” match the CNN pre-election survey of registered NH voters?

WMUR/University of NH poll

• Mitt Romney 44%• Ron Paul 20%• Rick Santorum 8%• Newt Gingrich 8%• Jon Huntsman 7%• Rick Perry 1%

NBC/Marist University poll

• Mitt Romney 42%• Ron Paul 22%• Rick Santorum 13%• Newt Gingrich 9%• Jon Huntsman 9%• Rick Perry 1%

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How does this “poll” match the CNN pre-election survey of registered NH voters?

• The Beer Poll correctly ranks Romney, Paul and Gingrich.

• There is no support for Santorum or Perry in the Beer Poll.

• Small N poll should miss candidates with little support.

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The DetailsID Gender Hair Beard Location Beer Candidate1 F Br n Murphy's Taproom Shipyard Pumkinhead Mitt Romney2 F Br n Portland Pie Company Shipyard Applehead Ale Mitt Romney3 F Br n J.W. Hill's Sports Bar Harpoon IPA Ron Paul4 M Gray N XO On Elm Stella Artois Mitt Romney5 M Br N Shaskeen Smutty Nose Mitt Romney6 F Bl n Ate Floors Down Bud Light Newt Gingrich7 M None N Margaritas Dos Eques Newt Gingrich8 M Gray N McGarveys Coors Light Mitt Romney9 M Br mustache Wild Rover Pub Guinness Mitt Romney

10 M Br N The Farm Longtail Mitt Romney11 M Br Y Mint Bistro Sam Adams Cherry Chocolate Bock Ron Paul12 M Br Y Firefly Scrimshaw Pilsner Mitt Romney13 F Br n Hooked Sam Adams Winter Lager Jon Hunstman14 M Br Y Strange Brew Tavern Blue Point Optical Illusion Ron Paul15 M Bl mustache Millie's Tavern Millie's Pumpkin Ale Newt Gingrich16 M Br Y Jillian's Coors Light Mitt Romney17 M Br N K Lounge Pabst Blue Ribbon Ron Paul18 M Br Y Penuche's Grill Bud Light Mitt Romney19 M Br N PJs Coors Light Mitt Romney20 F Br n Dynasty Lounge Shipyard Applehead Ale Ron Paul

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Relationships

Female Male

Romney 2 9 11

33% 64% 55%

~Romney 4 5 9

67% 36% 45%

6 14 20