Thayer Vietnam and the Major Powers: International Defence Cooperation
Thayer US-Vietnam Defence Relations
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Transcript of Thayer US-Vietnam Defence Relations
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The Outlook for US-Vietnam Relations
Carlyle A. Thayer
Presentation to East-West Center
Washington, DCMarch 23, 2011
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China-Vietnam
Cambodian Conflict 1979-91 1990-91 Normalization 1999-2000 Comprehensive
Cooperation in the NewCentury
2005 bilateral defenceconsultations
2009 strategic cooperativepartnership
2010 November 1st StrategicDefence Security Dialogue
United States-Vietnam
Vietnam War 1965-75 1995 Normalization 2001 Bilateral Trade Agrm. 2004 annual defence
dialogue
June 2005 IMETAgreement and intelligencesharing counter-terrorism
2008 1st Political, Securityand Defense Dialogue
2010 August Defense PolicyDialogue
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$12 billion
deficitwith
China
$9 billion
surpluswith theUS
Economic
and TradeRela:ons
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China-Vietnam
2002-10 six visits byVietnamese Defence Minister
and two return visits byChinese Defence Minister
Equal exchanges by chiefs ofGeneral Staff, GPD andGLD (political/logistics)
Exchanges by MilitaryRegion Commanders
United States-Vietnam
2000-10 two visits by U.S.Secretary of Defense andtwo visits by Vietnamese
Defence Minister
2003 turning point 1994-2010: nine visits by
Commander U.S. PacificCommand
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China-Vietnam
2000 Gulf of Tonkindelineation and FisheriesAgreement
Nov. 2001 PLAN JiangweiII guided missile frigatevisits Ho Chi Minh City
Nov. 2008 PLAN trainingship Zheng Hevisits Ho ChiMinh City
United States-Vietnam
2003 USS Vandergrift,HCMC
2004 USS CurtisWilbur, DaNang
2005 USS Gary, HCMC 2006 USS Patriotand USS
Salvor, HCMC
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China-Vietnam
Dec. 2009 PLA ships ChengHaiand Chao YangvisitHaiphong
April 2006-May 2010 ninejoint naval patrols conductedin Gulf of Tonkin
May 2010 joint China-VietnamSearch and Rescue Exercise(SAREX)
November 2010 PLAN frigatevisits Da Nang
United States-Vietnam
2007 USS Peleliu, Da Nang; andUSS Patriotand USS Guardian, HaiPhong
2008 USNS Mercy, Nha Trang andUSS Mustin, Da Nang 2009 USNS Bruce Heezen, Da Nang;
USNS Safeguard, Ho Chi Minh City;USS Blue Ridgeand USS Lassen, DaNang
2010 USNS Richard E. Byrd, HonKhoi Port; USNS Mercy, Qui Nhon;USS John S. McCain, Da Nang
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1st Joint Naval Engagement
Activities (Aug 2010)
15th Anniversary of US-Vietnam Diplomatic Relations
USS John S. McCain makes port call Da Nang
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USS George Washington Aug 2010
USS John D. Stennis
April 2009
USS Jacksonville (SSN 699),
Pacific Command, Dec 2009
USS George H.W. Bush Aug 2010
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Access to Cam Ranh Bay
Three Nos
1. No military alliances2. No foreign military bases onVietnamese territory3. No use of third countries to combat
another country
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China-Vietnam
Extensive discussions onarmy-building
Under consideration: Exchanges in personnel
training
Vietnamese participationat National Defence
University Disaster relief
United States-Vietnam
Extended IMET Foreign Military Training: FY2003 & 2004 = nil FY2004 N = 20 (13 at APCSS) FY2005 17 (9 at APCSS and 8
IMET).
IMET English language andmedical training
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China-Vietnam
Demining along landborder
Agreement on land border(1999) and subsequent
demarcation
United States-Vietnam
MIA-POW full accounting Demining and UXE Agent Orange joint research Humanitarian assistance and
disaster relief (flood control)
Counter-terrorism
Military medicine research(HIV/AIDS)
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Vietnam-United States
2003 Vietnamese observersat COBRA GOLD
May 2007 Vietnameseobservers at Western PacificNaval Symposium
2007-08 Vietnameseobservers at annual mid-
year US-Southeast Asiabilateral joint exercises
United States-Vietnam
1997 Proposed: tacticaldiscussions and joint trainingexchanges in jungle warfare
2002: counter drug trafficking 2007: send US officers and
cadets to train in Vietnamese
universities 2009 participation in SAR
exercise?
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China-Vietnam
2005 NORINCO ammunitionfor small arms and artillery,
military vehicles, and co-production ammunition andheavy machine guns
2005 Defence Ministers discussNDI cooperation
2005 Chinas Commission forScience, Technology andIndustry visits Vietnam
United States-Vietnam
1994 CINCPAC proposesequipment exchanges/sales
2003 David Lamb, LAT,attractive arms market
2005 US Ambassador: repairand maintenance mooted, USNto purchase supplies
2006 Seretary RumsfieldVietnam to buy military spareparts
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China-Vietnam
2008 Vietnamese DeputyDefence Minister holdsdiscusisons with ChinasCommission for Science,Technology and Industry inBeijing; suggestscooperation in personneltraining, frontier and
coastal defence and otherfields
United States-Vietnam
2006 Sec State sale, lease,export or transfer non-lethaldefence articles and defenceservices authorized
2006 PresidentialMemorandum Vietnameligible under ForeignAssistance Act of 1961; but
excluded from lethal enditems or their components,
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United States-Vietnam
non-lethal crowd control devicesand night vision devices.
2007 InternationalTrafficking in ArmsRegulations amended toallow trade with Vietnam oncase by case basis
2007 U.S.-ASEAN BusinessCouncil opens office inHanoi
United States-Vietnam
2007: U.S.-ASEANBusiness Council hosts visitto Hanoi by U.S. Defense
and Security Corporate
Executive Delegation (ITT,
Aerospace, Lockheed
Martin, Northrop
Grumman, Oracle)
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Attended meeting of Proliferation Security Initiativeheld in New Zealand
2004 Attended CHOD meeting (Asia-Pacific Chiefs ofDefence) for first time, Tokyo
U.S. Global Threat Reduction Initiative Shangri-La Dialogue (2008) US Chairman JCS met with Vietnam representative
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ASEAN
China
USA
NewZealand
Japan
India
SouthKorea
Australia
Russia
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Plus USA & Russia
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Vietnams Strategic Significance
1. South China Sea littoral state2. Emerging middle income country3. Gradual defence modernisation4. Key player in ASEAN5. Key player in regional architecture6. Potential strategic partner of US
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The Outlook for US-Vietnam Relations
Carlyle A. Thayer
Presentation to East-West Center
Washington, DCMarch 23, 2011