Thayer The Vietnam Communist Party and Relations with China

8/4/2019 Thayer The Vietnam Communist Party and Relations with China

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TheVietnamCommunist

PartyandSino

e namese e a ons

ProfessorCarlThayer

Norwe ian Center for Human Ri hts

TheUniversityofOslo,Oslo,Norway

ep em er ,


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OneOnePartyStatePartyState

onoono rgan sa onargan sa ona oc a smoc a sm

VietnamCommunistPart

VietnamCommunistPart

TheState

TheStateArmedForces

ArmedForces

MassOrganisations

MassOrganisations


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PartyPowerStructurePartyPowerStructure

>3.6

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Congress Central

Central

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members

millionmembers

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1,377delegates

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175+25members

14members

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General

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4.00

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1.00

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(inmillions)

0.00

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1986

7th

1991

8th

1996

9th

2001

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2006

11th

2011


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7.00%

ar y em ers p y eg on

5.00%

6.00%

3.00%

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SMD SCV SCH S NTB NRR NCV N

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CentralCommittee2011

u mem ers

retained

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promoted

Newfullmembers


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SecretaryGeneral

PrimeStateMinisterPresident

ChairNationalAssembly

PermanentSecretary

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CommitteeSecretariat


9/28

EdMalesky winningcoalitions

STRATFOR actiona in ig tingreC ina

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issocialistorientation

AlexVuvin modernisers antiim erialistsandrentseekers


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upporte y san t em tary

Integrationwithglobaleconomy EncourageFDIandentrepreneurship

Integrationwithglobalcommunity

Investinhumanresources,promotenewindustriesthatmeetinternationalstandards


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Antiimperialists

Modernisers

Vuvin II RegimeConservatives

o ern zers RentSeekers


12/28

SectoralCompositionoftheCentral

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9%11%

SeniorParty

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38%

42%

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cial

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13/28

PostsN=38

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2

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14/28

em ers o ng en ra

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em ers o ng os s n e

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16/28

PostsN=94

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511 PartySecretary

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=

PhungQuangThanh

PhamQuangNghi

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NguyenSinhHung

TranDaiQuang

TongThiPhong NguyenPhuTrong

NgoVanDu

LeThanhHai

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6,

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4,

and

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4


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GrowingPoweroftheOfficeofthePrime

Minister


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M r

Asymmery

Viet Nam

c now e gement of China

Acknowledgement of

Vietnamsautonomy


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Longterm

greements

JointSteering

CommitteeDefence ties

HighlevelEconomic

statevisits


22/28


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$11billiondeficit

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and

Trade

9billion

Relations

surpluswiththe


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VisitsbyCentralCommitteecommissions

Ideologicalseminars

GeneralDirectorateII(military

intelligence)


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High

level

visitsDefenceMinisters,ChiefofGeneralStaffetc.

Navalportvisits

ProfessionalMilitaryEducationandTraining

Armssales Nationaldefenceindustrycooperation


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Borderprovinces

MilitaryRegionsalongborder

Students(civilianandmilitary)

Partymedia


27/28

SpecialEnvoyFebruary2011

Deputy ea Centra Mi itaryCommittee

JointCommitteeonBoundaryDiscussions SpecialEnvoyJune2011

7roundssince2010


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TheVietnamCommunist

PartyandSino

e namese e a ons

ProfessorCarlThayer

Norwe ian Center for Human Ri hts

TheUniversityofOslo,Oslo,Norway

ep em er ,

Thayer The Vietnam Communist Party and Relations with China

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