THAILAND’S ENERGY SITUATION AND MAJOR...
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THAILAND’S ENERGY SITUATION AND MAJOR CHALLENGES
� Bundit Fungtammasan� The Joint Graduate School of Energy and Environment (JGSEE)
Center for Energy Technology and Environment (CEE)King Mongkut’s University of Technology Thonburi (KMUTT)
� Naksitte Coovattanachai� Advisor to the Secretary General, National Science Technology and
Innovation Policy Office (STI), Ministry of Science and Technology� Chairman of ARC, JGSEE, KMUTT
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Thailand’s Energy Situation and Major Challenges
Outline
• Thailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy Problems
• Energy Policies and Plans
• CO2 – Reduction Outlook
• Science, Technology and Innovation Needs
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Thailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy Problems
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• Thailand Primary Energy Consumption (PEC)
(Source : Thailand Energy Situation, DEDE, 2010)
Total Thailand Primary Energy Consumption in 2008: 110 Mtoe
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Thailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy ProblemsThailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy Problems
Hydro 1.0%Biomass andBiofuel18%
Fossil fuels(coal, oil and gas) 81%
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• Final Energy Consumption by Economic Sector
Total Final Energy Consumption in 2010 : 71.2 Mtoe
(Source : Thailand Energy Situation, DEDE, 2010)
Other 0.6% Agriculture 5.4%
Manufacturing36%
Transport35%
Commercial8% Residential
15%
Thailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy ProblemsThailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy Problems
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Types of Energy Used For Electricity Generation (Present)
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Natural Gas 71%
Hydro 5% Renewable 2%
Elect. Import 1%
Coal & Lignite 21%
(Source : DEDE, Ministry of Energy)
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• Thailand has limited fossil fuel resources :� Oil reserve is insignificant.� Natural gas to run dry in 20 years� Increase use of lignite for power generation is not possible due
public opposition.
• The Role of Hydropower is limited :� Development of the remaining 7,000 MW of large hydropower is
not possible.� Thailand has been importing hydro electricity from neighboring
countries (total reserves 11,000 MW).
• Impact of Energy Import on the Economy is significant :
• Energy is not used very efficiently. � The energy intensity (E/GDP) is still high compared with those
of industrialized and neighboring countries.
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Thailand Main Energy Problems
Thailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy ProblemsThailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy Problems
Energy Import
GDP10% in 2010
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• Energy security means adequate, affordable and reliable supplies of energy.
• Thailand’s energy security needs to be improved urgently due to the following:
� Nearby 50% of fossil energy used has to be imported.
� All major commercial energies have to be imported: • Oil (~85%)• Natural gas (~25%)• Electricity (~ 5%)• Coal (~ 70%)
� About 70% of electricity is produced from natural gas.
� Nearly all fuels for the transport sector (~90%) have to be imported.
� The total cost of energy import has been rising and has reached about 11.6% of GDP in 2011
� The contribution of renewable energy cannot be increased rapidly
Energy Security Challenges
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(Source : DEDE, Ministry of Energy)
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Crude Oil Dominates Energy Import(Total Import: 65 Mtoe, 2010)
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9(Source : DEDE, Ministry of Energy)
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� On average, energy consumption grew 4.4% annually over the past 2 decades, and projected to grow at 4.2 % annually over the next 2 decades (BAU scenario)
� Electricity demand grew even faster, at 7.1% annually, becoming more dependent on electricity and gas imports from neighbors
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Rising Energy Consumption Trend
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Continued High Growth Rate in Electricity Consumption
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Relatively high energy intensity as compared to world average and developed economies
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