Garrick Throckmorton 2015 CUES Next Top Credit Union Exec Presentation
Texas Demographics and Higher Education€¦ · Cochran Parmer Freestone Winkler Wichita Gray...
Transcript of Texas Demographics and Higher Education€¦ · Cochran Parmer Freestone Winkler Wichita Gray...
@TexasDemography
Texas Demographics and Higher Education
Texas Association of State Senior College and
University Business Officers
San Antonio, Texas
October 23, 2017
Growing States, 2000-2016
2000Population(millions)
2010Population(millions)
2016 Population (millions)
NumericChange
2010-2016 (millions)
PercentChange
2010-2016
United States 281.4 308.7 323.1 14.3 4.7%Texas 20.8 25.1 27.8 2.7 10.8%California 33.8 37.2 39.2 1.9 5.4%Florida 15.9 18.8 20.6 1.8 9.6%Georgia 8.2 9.7 10.3 .6 6.4%North Carolina 8.0 9.5 10.1 .6 6.4%Washington 5.8 6.7 7.3 .6 8.4%Arizona 5.1 6.4 6.9 .5 8.4%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count, 2016 Population Estimates.
Dallas
Howard
FoardFloyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Camp
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
FreestoneWinkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
VanZandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
LaSalle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
UptonHamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
HemphillHartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
Madison
McCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
JimWells
DeltaStonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
Bastrop
Austin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
Fort Bend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
JimHogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
Sherman Ochiltree
Comal
Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2016
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates
86%
113 - 10,000
10,001 - 50,000
50,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 500,000
500,001 - 4,589,928
Pecos
Brewster
Webb
Hudspeth
PresidioTerrell
CulbersonReeves
Val Verde
Crockett
Hill
Duval
Harris
Frio
Bell
Kerr
Kenedy
Starr
Polk
Clay
Edwards
Irion
Hall
Ellis
Jeff Davis
Sutton
Uvalde
Bee
Hale
Dallam
Leon
Bexar
Gaines
Hidalgo
Upton
Hartley
King
Erath
Jack
Kinney
Kent
Zavala
Brazoria
Tyler
GrayOldham
Dimmit
CassLynn HuntWise
La Salle
Rusk
Kimble
Lamb
Medina
Floyd
Terry
Coke
Llano
Liberty
Ector
Andrews
Milam
Travis Lee
Knox
Mills
Smith
Falls
Ward
Collin
Jones
Nolan
Potter
Burnet
Cottle
Nueces
Taylor
Zapata
Real
Coryell
Bowie
Motley
Young
Lamar
Martin
Garza
DallasFisher
Moore
Baylor
Kleberg
Archer
Scurry
Cameron
Cooke
Mason
Parker
Castro
Navarro
Brooks
Hardin
Deaf Smith
Lavaca
Donley
Hays
Goliad
Denton
El Paso
Fannin
Tarrant
Crane
Carson
Crosby
Borden
Schleicher
Gillespie
Shelby
Foard
Wood
Menard
Panola
Walker
Winkler
Harrison
Eastland
Loving
Bandera
Wichita
Hood
Matagorda
Brown
Reagan Houston
Maverick
Jasper
Coleman
Tom Green
Bailey
DeWittAtascosa
Bosque
Wharton
Concho
Runnels
Fayette
Haskell
Calhoun
Newton
Live Oak
Randall
Sterling
Jefferson
Briscoe
McMullen
Parmer
Jim Hogg
Mitchell
Wilson
Victoria
Trinity
Roberts
Howard
Bastrop
Grayson
San Saba
Midland
Hockley Dickens
Swisher
Gonzales
Anderson
Dawson
Willacy
Grimes
Wheeler
Cherokee
Colorado
Lubbock
Karnes
Red River
Refugio
Austin
Hemphill
Williamson
Jackson
Blanco
Ochiltree
McCulloch
Sherman
Wilbarger
Hansford
Callahan
McLennan
Yoakum
Angelina
Hopkins
Lipscomb
StephensPalo Pinto
Stonewall
Hamilton
MontagueCochran
Jim Wells
Limestone
Kaufman
Fort Bend
Titus
Comal
Armstrong
Kendall
FreestoneComancheGlasscock
Johnson
Galveston
Henderson
Montgomery
Brazos
Van Zandt
Chambers
Robertson
Waller
Sabine
Upshur
Hutchinson
Shackelford
Childress
Burleson
Nacogdoches
Lampasas
Collingsworth
Hardeman
Throckmorton
Guadalupe
Caldwell
Aransas
Marion
San Patricio
Madison
San Jacinto
Delta
Washington Orange
Rains
Gregg
Morris
San Augustine
Franklin
Somervell
Rockwall
Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2016
4Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates
96 counties lost population over the 6 year period.
-2,010 - 0
1 - 1,000
1,001 - 20,000
20,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 497,469
Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2016
5Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates
Pecos
Brewster
Webb
Hudspeth
PresidioTerrell
CulbersonReeves
Val Verde
Crockett
Hill
Duval
Harris
Frio
Bell
Kerr
Kenedy
Starr
Polk
Clay
Edwards
Irion
Hall
Ellis
Jeff Davis
Sutton
Uvalde
Bee
Hale
Dallam
Leon
Bexar
Gaines
Hidalgo
Upton
Hartley
King
Erath
Jack
Kinney
Kent
Zavala
Brazoria
Tyler
GrayOldham
Dimmit
CassLynn HuntWise
La Salle
Rusk
Kimble
Lamb
Medina
Floyd
Terry
Coke
Llano
Liberty
Ector
Andrews
Milam
Travis Lee
Knox
Mills
Smith
Falls
Ward
Collin
Jones
Nolan
Potter
Burnet
Cottle
Nueces
Taylor
Zapata
Real
Coryell
Bowie
Motley
Young
Lamar
Martin
Garza
DallasFisher
Moore
Baylor
Kleberg
Archer
Scurry
Cameron
Cooke
Mason
Parker
Castro
Navarro
Brooks
Hardin
Deaf Smith
Lavaca
Donley
Hays
Goliad
Denton
El Paso
Fannin
Tarrant
Crane
Carson
Crosby
Borden
Schleicher
Gillespie
Shelby
Foard
Wood
Menard
Panola
Walker
Winkler
Harrison
Eastland
Loving
Bandera
Wichita
Hood
Matagorda
Brown
Reagan Houston
Maverick
Jasper
Coleman
Tom Green
Bailey
DeWittAtascosa
Bosque
Wharton
Concho
Runnels
Fayette
Haskell
Calhoun
Newton
Live Oak
Randall
Sterling
Jefferson
Briscoe
McMullen
Parmer
Jim Hogg
Mitchell
Wilson
Victoria
Trinity
Roberts
Howard
Bastrop
Grayson
San Saba
Midland
Hockley Dickens
Swisher
Gonzales
Anderson
Dawson
Willacy
Grimes
Wheeler
Cherokee
Colorado
Lubbock
Karnes
Red River
Refugio
Austin
Hemphill
Williamson
Jackson
Blanco
Ochiltree
McCulloch
Sherman
Wilbarger
Hansford
Callahan
McLennan
Yoakum
Angelina
Hopkins
Lipscomb
StephensPalo Pinto
Stonewall
Hamilton
MontagueCochran
Jim Wells
Limestone
Kaufman
Fort Bend
Titus
Comal
Armstrong
Kendall
FreestoneComancheGlasscock
Johnson
Galveston
Henderson
Montgomery
Brazos
Van Zandt
Chambers
Robertson
Waller
Sabine
Upshur
Hutchinson
Shackelford
Childress
Burleson
Nacogdoches
Lampasas
Collingsworth
Hardeman
Throckmorton
Guadalupe
Caldwell
Aransas
Marion
San Patricio
Madison
San Jacinto
Delta
Washington Orange
Rains
Gregg
Morris
San Augustine
Franklin
Somervell
Rockwall
-4.8% - 0%
0.1% - 2.5%
2.6% - 5%
5.1% - 10%
10.1% - 18.1%
CountyU.S. Rank
Population Change
Population Change
Percent of Change from
Natural Increase
Percent Changefrom Domestic
Migration
Percent Change from
International Migration
Harris 2 56,587 79.9% -27.9% 48.1%Tarrant 5 35,462 44.4% 37.7% 17.9%Bexar 7 33,198 44.6% 39.3% 16.1%Dallas 9 29,209 79.9% -20.9% 41.0%
Denton 11 27,689 23.9% 67.1% 9.0%Fort Bend 13 27,388 24.8% 59.4% 15.8%
Collin 14 26,506 25.8% 58.7% 15.5%Travis 17 24,505 44.2% 33.3% 22.5%
Williamson 22 20,659 20.3% 74.1% 5.6%Montgomery 24 19,769 18.5% 73.5% 8.0%
Hidalgo* 54 10,529 113.5% -33.4% 19.9%Hidalgo County had negative net migration (-13.5% of total population growth).Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates
Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, 2015-2016
Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, 2015-2016
County U.S. Rank
2015-2016Percent
Population Change
Percent Change from
Domestic Migration
Percent Change from International
Migration
Kendall 2 5.2% 95.9% 4.0%Hays 3 5.1% 82.2% 1.8%
Comal 6 4.4% 88.5% 2.0%Williamson 14 4.1% 74.1% 5.6%Fort Bend 18 3.8% 59.4% 15.8%
Montgomery 24 3.7% 73.5% 8.0%Rockwall 25 3.6% 82.2% 2.5%Denton 28 3.6% 67.1% 9.0%
Kaufman 36 3.4% 81.3% 2.2%Bastrop 42 3.1% 83.5% 0.7%
Ellis 50 3.1% 78.1% 2.6%
*Among Counties with 10,000 or more population in 2016Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates
-3.4% -2.9% -2.9% -2.8% -2.5%
-0.3% -0.1%
4.5% 4.9% 5.1% 5.1%5.9%
7.1%
9.5%10.4%
13.2%
22.1%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
Estimated Percent of Total Net-Migrant Flows to and From Texas and Other States, 2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016. ACS Migration Flows, 2015
Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000, 2010, and 2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000, 2010 Decennial Census and 2015 Population Estimates 11
NH White, 53%
NH Black, 11%
NH Asian, 3%
NH Other, 1%
Hispanic, 32%
2000
NH White, 43%
NH Black, 12%
NH Asian, 5%NH Other, 2%
Hispanic, 39%
2015
NH White, 45%
NH Black, 12%
NH Asian, 4%
NH Other, 2%
Hispanic, 38%
2010
Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 1980 to 2050
10Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1980 to 2010 Decennial Censuses; Texas Demographic Center, 2014 Population Projections, Half Migration Scenario
Racial and Ethnic Composition of Texas and Top 10 Most Populous Counties, 2015
NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian NH OtherTEXAS 43.0% 11.8% 38.8% 4.6% 1.8%Denton County 60.9% 9.3% 19.2% 8.0% 2.6%
Collin County 59.4% 9.4% 15.2% 13.4% 2.7%
Travis County 49.5% 8.0% 33.9% 6.4% 2.1%
Tarrant County 48.6% 15.6% 28.2% 5.3% 2.4%
Fort Bend County 34.6% 20.1% 24.1% 19.2% 1.9%
Harris County 31.0% 18.5% 42.0% 7.0% 1.6%
Dallas County 30.6% 22.3% 39.5% 6.0% 1.6%
Bexar County 28.7% 7.3% 59.5% 2.7% 1.7%
El Paso County 13.1% 3.2% 81.3% 1.2% 1.2%
Hidalgo County 7.0% 0.5% 91.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 Vintage Population Estimates 12
Population Pyramids for Hispanics and Non-Hispanic Whites in Texas, 2010
12
13
Annual Shares of Recent Non-Citizen Immigrants to Texas by World Area of Birth, 2005-2015
69.4%
66.8%
61.0%
57.0%
59.0%
50.6%
57.4%
50.9%
42.9%
48.6%
44.1%
17.3%
19.9%
22.4%
28.2%
26.8%
33.0%
25.5%
34.3%
40.4%
33.6%
35.8%
7.8%
5.7%
6.2%
7.8%
7.7%
7.3%
9.9%
7.1%
9.0%
8.3%
7.1%
5.5%
7.6%
10.4%
7.0%
6.5%
9.1%
7.2%
7.8%
7.8%
9.5%
13.1%
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Latin America Asia Europe Africa and Other
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS
Unauthorized and Mexican Immigration, 2015
14
15
16
Median Household Income, Texas counties, 2011-2015
DallasHoward
FoardFloyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
Freestone
Winkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
VanZandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
LaSalle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
UptonHamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Limestone
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
HemphillHartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
Madison
McCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
Jim Wells
DeltaStonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
Bastrop
Austin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
Fort Bend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
JimHogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
ShermanOchiltree
Comal
17
$22,741.00 - $35,000.00
$35,000.01 - $45,000.00
$45,000.01 - $55,000.00
$55,000.01 - $65,000.00
$65,000.01 - $89,152.00
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2011-2015 5-Year Sample
Percent of the population with income below poverty, Texas counties, 2011-2015
18Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2011-2015 5-Year Sample
1.4% - 10%
10.1% - 15%
15.1% - 20%
20.1% - 30%
30.1% - 40.3%Dallas
Howard
FoardFloyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
Freestone
Winkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
VanZandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
LaSalle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
UptonHamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Limestone
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
HemphillHartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
Madison
McCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
Jim Wells
DeltaStonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
Bastrop
Austin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
Fort Bend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
JimHogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
ShermanOchiltree
Comal
Percent of the population aged 25 and older with a bachelor’s degree or higher, 2011-2015
DallasHoward
FoardFloyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
Freestone
Winkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
VanZandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
LaSalle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
UptonHamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Limestone
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
HemphillHartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
Madison
McCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
Jim Wells
DeltaStonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
Bastrop
Austin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
Fort Bend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
JimHogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
ShermanOchiltree
Comal
19
5.1% - 15%
15.1% - 20%
20.1% - 25%
25.1% - 30%
30.1% - 49.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2011-2015 5-Year Sample
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
Mill
ions
Zero Net Migration
Half 2000 -2010
2000 -2010
2010 -2015
Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2050
20Source: Texas State Data Center 2016 Population Projections
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Mill
ions
Zero Net Migration
Half 2000 -2010
2000 -2010
2010 -2015
Estimates
Projected and Estimated Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2020
21Source: Texas State Data Center 2017 Population Projections. U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Estimates
Population and Projected Share of Population by Age Group, Texas, 1950 to 2050
22Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses and 2015 Population Estimates; Texas Demographic Center, 2014 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050
Perc
ent o
f Tot
al P
opul
atio
n
in M
illio
ns
Total Percent under 18 Percent 65 and over
Projected population ages 17-19 for Texas, 2015-2050
1,213,616
1,374,4381,451,743 1,476,943
1,608,413
1,773,391
1,950,148
2,118,850
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
Texas
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
23Source: Texas State Data Center 2016 Population Projections, 2000-2010 Migration Scenario
Projected population ages 17-19 for select Texas counties, 2015-2050
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
24Source: Texas State Data Center 2016 Population Projections, 2000-2010 Migration Scenario
Data labels for 2030 and 2050
Projected population ages 17-19 for select Texas counties, 2015-2050
61,6
77
33,9
89
34,6
95 54,5
81
54,6
84
56,4
67
101,
241
114,
770
98,4
54
62,5
24
209,
252
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
25Source: Texas State Data Center 2016 Population Projections, 2000-2010 Migration Scenario
Data labels for 2030 and 2050
Estimated number of persons enrolled in school as undergraduates, Texas Counties, 2011-2015
DallasHoward
FoardFloyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
Freestone
Winkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
VanZandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
LaSalle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
UptonHamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Limestone
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
HemphillHartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
Madison
McCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
Jim Wells
DeltaStonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
Bastrop
Austin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
Fort Bend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
JimHogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
ShermanOchiltree
Comal
26
0 - 5,000
5,001 - 20,000
20,001 - 40,000
40,001 - 90,000
90,001 - 247,074
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2011-2015 5-Year Sample
Estimated change in the number of persons enrolled in school as undergraduates, Texas Counties, 2006-2010 to
2011-2015
27Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2006-2010 and 2011-2015 5-Year Samples
DallasHoward
FoardFloyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
Freestone
Winkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
VanZandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
LaSalle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
UptonHamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Limestone
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
HemphillHartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
Madison
McCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
Jim Wells
DeltaStonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
Bastrop
Austin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
Fort Bend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
JimHogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
ShermanOchiltree
Comal
Decrease or 0
1 - 5,000
5,001 - 10,000
10,001 - 20,000
20,001 - 52,872
Public Higher Education
Source: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board.Note: Not all race/ethnicity categories that were reported are included in table.
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
Bachelor Degrees Earned at Texas 4-Year Public Institutions by Race and Ethnicity, 1988-2015
African American American Indian/Alaskan Native Asian Hispanic International Multiracial Native Hawaiian/Pacific Island Unknown or Not Reported White
Percent of Civilian Labor Force by Occupation, Texas, 2008, 2014 and 2014-2008 Difference
9.3%
4.4% 4.4%
7.7%
3.9%
12.3%
9.9%
4.7%5.3%
6.8%
3.5%
12.0%
0.5% 0.3%0.9%
-0.9% -0.4% -0.3%-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
2008 2014 Difference 2014-2008
29Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year Sample, 2008, 2010, 2014`
Earnings and Education
Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year, 2015, B20004.
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
Total Less than HS HS Graduate (orEquivalent)
Some College orAssociate's
Degree
Bachelor'sDegree
Graduate orProfessional
Degree
Earn
ings
($)
Median Earnings in the Past 12 Months by Sex by Educational Attainment for the Population 25 Years and Over
Texas Male Female
Educational Attainment, Persons Aged 25 Years and Older, Texas, 2011 and 2015
2011 2015
Percent high school graduate or higher 81.1% 82.4% *
Percent bachelor's degree or higher 26.4% 28.4% *
31U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 1-Year Samples, 2011 and 2015* Years significantly different p<.05
Percent Distribution of Educational Attainment of Persons Aged 25 Years and Older, Texas, 2008, 2011, and 2015
20.4% 18.9% 17.6%
25.4% 25.5% 25.3%
28.8% 29.1% 28.7%
17.1% 17.7% 18.7%
8.3% 8.7% 9.7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2008 2011 2015
Perc
ent
Year
Graduate orProfessional Degree
Bachelor Degree
Some College orAssociate Degree
High School orEquivelent
Less than High School
42.9%
57.1%
45.8%
54.2%
32Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year Samples, 2008-2015
11.8% 12.2%6.7%
36.5% 33.6%
29.6%
14.2% 23.9%
27.6%27.5%
36.3%
15.9%
32.2%
22.7%24.0%
22.4%
57.7%
37.2%
13.2% 15.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Black Asian Non-HispanicWhite
Hispanic All Other
Bachelor, Graduate,Professional Degree
Some College or AssociateDegree
High School or Equivelant
Less than High School
33
Educational Attainment of Persons Age 25 Years and Older by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, 2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year Sample, 2015
Trends in Educational Attainment of Persons in the Labor Force (25-64 Years of Age) in Texas by Race/Ethnicity –
High School Graduates and Above
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001-2011
Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates,
Texas
35
15.0%
23.8%
31.3%
20.1%
9.8%
18.1%
24.0%
29.9%
18.7%
9.3%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
Less than High School High School orEquivalent
Some College /Associate Degree
Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional Degree
Perc
ent o
f the
Civ
ilian
Lab
or F
orce
Educational Attainment
2011 ACS
2030 Constant 2011 %
These should be going DOWN These should be going UP
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS.Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario
Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, and 2030 Using Trended
Rates, Texas
36
15.0%
23.8%
31.3%
20.1%
9.8%11.4%
20.4%
34.3%
22.1%
11.8%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
Less than High School High School orEquivalent
Some College /Associate Degree
Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional Degree
Perc
ent o
f the
Civ
ilian
Lab
or F
orce
Educational Attainment
2011 ACS
2030 Trended (2001-2011 Trend)
These should be going DOWN These should be going UP
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS.Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario
Contact
State DemographerOffice: (210) 458-6530Email: [email protected]: demographics.texas.gov
Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.
@TexasDemography
37