Teleuse@BOP Mobile penetration in Sri Lanka: Implications for telecenters Rohan Samarajiva...
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Transcript of Teleuse@BOP Mobile penetration in Sri Lanka: Implications for telecenters Rohan Samarajiva...
Teleuse@BOP
Mobile penetration in Sri Lanka: Implications for telecenters
Rohan SamarajivaRohan SamarajivaTelecenter National Alliance
Sarvodaya HQ, August 31, 2007
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Plan of presentation
Methodology and background Almost everyone has access but not ownership Who owns and uses phones? Not getting connected So where do telecenters fit in to the picture?
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*excluding FANA/FATA – Tribal Areas; **excluding N&E Provinces
Bottom of the Pyramid defined
Many definitions of poverty, but this study uses SEC D and E; between ages 18-60
SEC does not take into account income, but it is closely related to income levels
Pakistan India Sri Lanka Philippines Thailand
Population (million) 165 1,095 20 89 64
Target population of study (million)
77* 260 4** 41 15
SEC D & E
SEC A, B & C
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Overall access is very high
South Asia South East Asia
Pakistan India Sri Lanka Philippines Thailand
Used phone in last 3 months
98% 94% 92% 93% 95%
Most have used a phone in the last 3 months
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Time it takes to reach nearest phone
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Pakistan India Sri Lanka Philippines Thailand
% o
f n
on
-ow
ne
rs a
t th
e B
OP
>60 minutes
45-60 minutes
30-45 minutes
15-30 minutes
10-15 minutes
5-10 minutes
3-5 minutes
< 3 minutes
Phones are close at the BOP
Most can get to a phone in less than 30 mins
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Even in rural areas in Sri Lanka
A small number (6%) in rural areas incur up to USD 0.50 (LKR 50) to get to a phone
Time to nearest phone: urban vs. rural: Sri Lanka
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Urban Rural
Sri Lanka
% o
f n
on
ow
ner
s at
BO
P Betw een 45 - 60 minutes
Betw een 30 - 45 minutes
Betw een 15 - 30 minutes
Betw een 10 - 15 minutes
Betw een 5 - 10 minutes
Betw een 3 - 5 minutes
Less than 2 - 3 minutes
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Ownership and GDP per capita (USD, PPP)
23%
9%
22%
60%
11%
23%
7%
14%
64%
81%
59%
38%
23%
76%
18%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Pakistan India Sri Lanka Philippines Thailand
% a
t b
ott
om
of
pyr
amid
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
GD
P p
er c
apit
a, U
SD
(P
PP
)
Own a mobile Own a fixed phone (household)
Own nothing (but use something) Per Capita GDP PPP (USD)
But phone ownership was low in mid 2006, when survey was done
Just 41% of BOP own their own phone in Sri Lanka 22% own mobiles; 23% own fixed; few have both
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Most frequently used mode
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%%
at
BO
P
Public phone 35% 71% 30% 8% 7%
Relative / friend's phone 10% 1% 12% 14% 6%
Neighbours phone 8% 7% 14% 7% 1%
Mobile of another householdmember
12% 4% 6% 11% 5%
Household fixed phone 14% 9% 21% 4% 8%
Own mobile 21% 9% 17% 56% 73%
Pakistan India Sri Lanka Philippines Thailand
BOP in South Asia mainly used public phones
30% of BOP in Sri Lanka used public phones most frequently
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Why did they use their most-frequent mode?
Convenience and lack of other options override cost
Reason for selecting primary phone (use): Sri Lanka
Accessibility at any time
35%
Lack of other options30%
Lower cost18%
Accessibility in any location
2%Other6%
Privacy7%
Quality of connection
2%
Users of public phones?
Not users of public phones?
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Why own a mobile phone?
Convenience is key; privacy is more of a concern for higher-income countries (highest in Sri Lanka)
Primary reason for choosing to own a mobile
64%71% 66% 68%
92%
11%6%
9% 5%
7% 4%
20%17%
18% 16%
4%10%
3%7%
1%1%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Pakistan India Sri Lanka Philippines Thailand
% o
f mob
ile o
wne
rs a
t the
BO
P Other
It is cheaper
For privacy
So I don’t depend onothers
Convenience: accessibileat any time
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Growth in mobile phone ownership at BOP since 2001
23%
9%22%
60%
76%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
before2001
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006(Q1&2)
Year during which connection was obtained
%(c
um
ula
tive
) at
BO
P
Pakistan India Sri LankaPhilippines Thailand
92% of mobiles at Sri Lankan BOP are prepaid
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Mobiles used more often as the primary phone by males at BOP in South Asia
30%
12%
22%
56%
76%
11%5%
12%
55%
70%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Pakistan India Sri Lanka Philippines Thailand
Male Female
% o
f m
ob
ile o
wn
ers
at
BO
P
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Who decides female ownership of phone at BOP? (patriarchy lives in South Asia!)
74%
9%
26%
91%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
South Asia South East Asia
Male Female
% o
f fe
male
mob
ile o
wn
ers
at
BO
P
Who makes the decision to obtain a mobile
(among female mobile owners)?
Bottom of the Pyramid
Not getting connected
1.2 millionfrom BOP in Sri Lanka will not get connected between mid-2006 & mid-2008
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The biggest barrier to ownership at the BOP is affordability
31% plan to get connected between mid-2006 and mid-2008
Potential primary
market for telecenters
BUT, 28% will not
1.3 million (31% of BOP)
1.8 million (41% of BOP)
1.2 million (28% of BOP)
Don't own and don't
plan to buy a phone
Plan to buy a phone between mid-2006 & mid-
2008
Already own a phone
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What do we know about this group?
The majority in Sri Lanka will be females
36%48%
39%47% 44%
64%52%
61%53% 56%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Pakistan India Sri Lanka Philippines Thailand% o
f non-o
wners
at
BO
P w
ho d
o n
ot
pla
n t
o b
uy
a
phone
FemaleMale
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Among those not planning to buy phones, males are more dependent on public phones, while women are more dependent on other peoples’ phones
78%
32%
88%79%
51%
36%
13%17% 14% 17%
22%
68%
12%21%
49%
64%
87%83% 86% 83%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female
Pakistan India Sri Lanka Philippines Thailand
% o
f th
ose
not
pla
nnin
g t
o b
uy
a p
hone
Other peoples' phones
Public phones
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What do we know about this group?
The large majority will be rural
42%53%
14%
46%
8%
58%47%
86%
54%
92%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Pakistan India Sri Lanka Philippines Thailand% o
f non-o
wners
at
BO
P w
ho d
o n
ot
pla
n t
o b
uy
a
phone
Rural
Urban
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50%
67%
45%57%
16%
13%
19%
39% 22%
79%
25%
12%15%
13% 14%4% 7% 6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Pakistan India Sri Lanka Philippines Thailand% o
f non-o
wners
at
BO
P w
ho d
o n
ot
pla
n t
o b
uy
a
phone Above 3rd quartile
Median-3rd quartile
1st Quartile-median
Below 1st Quartile
What do we know about this group?
Poorer. The large majority will have monthly household incomes below USD 75.81 (median) (~ LKR 7500)
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What do we know about this group?
Older The mean age of this group will be 40 years of age
compared to mean age of mobile owners at BOP of 33 years
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What do we know about this group?
Make fewer calls They make and receive a total of 8.65 calls per month
Compared to the average for the Sri Lankan BOP of 23.2 (compared to those who plan to buy a phone who make and receive a total of 15.05 calls per month)
Non-owners
Do not plan on buying phone by mid-2008
Plan on buyingphone by mid-2008
Mean monthly number of calls
(incoming + outgoing)8.65 15.05
Source: diary
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Currently few at the BOP use the Internet; even fewer know what it is
Pakistan India Sri Lanka Philippines Thailand
Use the Internet 1.9% 0.3% 1.5% 8.8% 10.4%
36.0%
71.9%
28.6%
14.3%
35.7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Pakistan India Sri Lanka Philippines Thailand
% o
f bott
om
of th
e p
yra
mid
Not heard of Internet
Internet ‘un-awareness’
Next to the Philippines, highest level of knowledge. . .
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Even less so in rural Sri Lanka
23.8%
67.0%
23.5%
9.3% 9.6%
48.7%
77.9%
29.6%
19.8%
42.8%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
Pakistan India Sri Lanka Philippines Thailand
% a
t B
OP
Urban
Rural
Pakistan India Sri Lanka Philippines Thailand
Use the Internet Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural
3.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 2.1% 1.4% 12.8% 4.3% 22.0% 2.3%
Internet ‘un-awareness’
Not a massive urban-rural gap in knowledge
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In sum, telecenters should…
To attract the phone-owners Provide affordable services, especially international
At ~USD 0.20 (LKR 20), LK international calls are now overpriced Planned decreases since 2003 have not occurred because
of cartel behavior in the international market But to make Internet-PSTN calls, telecenter operators will
need to have international credit/debit cards Can operators offer discounted prices to
telecenters/bureaus? Collectively, we should develop more services that people can
use on the Internet (more useful e-gov, . . . ) And publicize them broadly
Provide more than Internet, more than voice Teach people how to use new services
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In sum, telecenters should…
To attract the non-owning segment Provide a welcoming, caring environment
Be female-friendly Cater to the needs of an older clientele Provide settings where conversations cannot be overheard; Internet
activity cannot be observed by others Different from conventional telecenter user profile
Difficult, but not impossible, to run these two marketing strategies in parallel Women are interested in international calls, so some overlap This group also wants to learn how to use new services
Can the telecenter become an “EZbuddy” (mobile payphone)? Take the phone to the non-owning women? Can telcos offer “Super 5 +2” type international prices on
“EZbuddy”?
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International calls
71% of international calls at the BOP in Sri Lanka are made by women
88% are made by rural people
29%
71%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Sri Lanka
% o
f int
erna
tiona
l cal
ls
FemaleMale
Source: Diary
12%
88%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Sri Lanka
% o
f int
erna
tiona
l cal
ls
RuralUrban