TEDx Navesink 2015: to be AND not to be - Quantum Intelligence
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Transcript of TEDx Navesink 2015: to be AND not to be - Quantum Intelligence
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Lora Aroyo & Chris Welty to be AND not to be:
Quantum Intelligence
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Cognitive Digital Assistants next generation PDA
machines model
human decision making
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your tea, Earl Grey, hot, is ready at the replicator
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there is 33% probability that you are going to
say “make it so”
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I have a meeting in Utrecht
I BIKE every day to work
Would I use the bike to go there?
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I have a meeting in Utrecht
I BIKE every day to work
SENSE
Machines behaving badly
Would I use the bike to go there?
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I have a meeting in Utrecht
I BIKE every day to work
Why does this happen?
Machines behaving badly
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all the information machines have is all the information there is
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there is always other kinds of information …
maybe you should have biked to work
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SENSE
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observations in psychology ...
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Order II Clinton OK? 53% Gore OK? 66%
Order I 76% Gore OK?
58% Clinton OK?
Gallup Poll, September 6–7, 1997
“irrational human behavior”: order matters
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Order II Clinton OK? 53% Gore OK? 66%
Order I 76% Gore OK?
58% Clinton OK?
Gallup Poll, September 6–7, 1997
“irrational human behavior”: order matters
SENSE
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environment foreign policy
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KEEP CALM
AND LIKE
CLINTON
& KEEP CALM
AND DON’T LIKE
CLINTON people can’t believe contradictions
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there is always other kinds of information …
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back in the day…
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SENSE back in the day…
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SENSE
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we need new math
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quantum math makes sense of duality
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uncertainty entanglement
duality
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quantum math makes sense of irrational human behavior
KEEP CALM
AND LIKE
CLINTON
&KEEP CALM
AND DON’T LIKE
CLINTON
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P (EVENT) + P (not_EVENT) = 1
basic law of probability theory
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P ( ) = 0.58
in probability theory: measuring one of them is enough
IF
P ( ) = 1- 0.58 = 0.42
THEN
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environment
foreign policy
Al Gore
George W. Bush
my feet hurt
Monica Lewinsky
in reality: there is always other information
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CrowdTrutheven expert opinions are affected by external information
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P ( ) = 0.75
Antibiotics doesn’t treat Typhus?
Antibiotics treat Typhus?
P ( ) = 0.50
medical CrowdTruth
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P ( ) = 0.50
quantum math makes sense with context effect
P ( ) = 0.75
P ( ) + P ( ) = 0.75 + 0.50 ≠ 1
context effect 0.25
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you seem moody today, shall I just call you a cab?
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QuantumTruthmakes sense