Technical Analysis for Nifty sensex, DOW, NASDAQ, CAC, DAX, FTSE, NIKKIE, HANG SENG, and EW ALL...

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27th Dec 2013 MARKET DIARY Index Contents Page Coverage 4 UPDATE News 3 UPDATE 2 UPDATE UPDATE 1 Dec,13 (68826.10) Economic calendar 1133.18 (203.44) 44802.00 GOLD 28559.00 2013 253372.07 18286.28 25,225.45 (6939.17) 3,22,198.17 Two Wheeler Sales Trends 6,53,693.07 86307.82 1,336.62 DII Net(Cr.) (47.45) 23208.75 20.31 743.70 88.64 6684.71 15.56 33.24 EW ALL SHARE 10110.18 Chart of the Day Investor Buy(Cr.) Sale(Cr.) 2013 740000.89 1,922.28 Index Action-Nifty (26th Dec, 13) Dec,13 NASDAQ CAC 4218.71 26th Dec, 13 2665.98 DAX 9488.42 COPPER 469.55 NATURALGAS 279.30 COMMODITY PRICE CRUDEOIL Value COMMODITY/CURRENCIES EURO/RS. 85.10 Narnolia Securities Ltd. 124, 1st floor 7/1, Lords Sinha Road Kolkata -700071. Ph 033-22821500/01/02/03/04 Mob : 9830013196 email: [email protected], website : www.narnolia.com POUND/RS. 102.40 Derivative Research DOLLAR/RS. 62.16 MARKET Name Value Change Sensex 21074.89 41.88 111.90 26th Dec, 13 SILVER Nifty 6278.9 56947.59 INSTITUTIONAL TURNOVER 3.12 16126.9 HANG SENG FII Sale(Cr.) 12744.47 Net(Cr.) Buy(Cr.) Investor 44,203.12 4167.4 12.19 NIKKIE FTSE 10.50 DOW 16474.64 117.90 Quote of The Day "What's the sense in getting rich if you just stare at the ticker tape all day?" Warren Buffett SGX NIFTY : 6334 ( 16pts Down )

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Technical #analysis for #Nifty sensex, DOW, NASDAQ, CAC, DAX, FTSE, NIKKIE, HANG SENG, and EW ALL SHARE. Narnolia Securities Limited Market Diary 27.12.2013

Transcript of Technical Analysis for Nifty sensex, DOW, NASDAQ, CAC, DAX, FTSE, NIKKIE, HANG SENG, and EW ALL...

Page 1: Technical Analysis for Nifty sensex, DOW, NASDAQ, CAC, DAX, FTSE, NIKKIE, HANG SENG, and EW ALL SHARE. Narnolia Securities Limited Market Diary 27.12.2013

27th Dec 2013

MARKET DIARY

Index ↑

Contents Page Coverage ↑

4 UPDATE ↑

News 3 UPDATE ↑

2 UPDATE ↑

UPDATE ↑

1

Dec,13

(68826.10)

Economic calendar

1133.18 (203.44)

44802.00

GOLD 28559.00

2013 253372.07

18286.28 25,225.45 (6939.17)

3,22,198.17

Two Wheeler Sales Trends

6,53,693.07 86307.82

1,336.62

DII

Net(Cr.)

(47.45)

23208.75 20.31

743.70

88.64

6684.71 15.56

33.24 EW ALL SHARE 10110.18

Chart of the Day

Investor Buy(Cr.) Sale(Cr.)

2013 740000.89

1,922.28

Index Action-Nifty (26th Dec, 13) Dec,13

NASDAQ

CAC 4218.71

26th Dec, 13 2665.98

DAX 9488.42

COPPER 469.55

NATURALGAS 279.30

COMMODITY PRICE

CRUDEOIL

ValueCOMMODITY/CURRENCIES

EURO/RS. 85.10

Narnolia Securities Ltd. 124, 1st floor 7/1, Lords Sinha Road Kolkata -700071. Ph 033-22821500/01/02/03/04 Mob : 9830013196

email: [email protected], website : www.narnolia.com

POUND/RS. 102.40

Derivative Research

DOLLAR/RS. 62.16

MARKET

Name Value Change

Sensex 21074.89 41.88

111.90

26th Dec, 13

SILVER

Nifty 6278.9

56947.59

INSTITUTIONAL TURNOVER

3.12

16126.9

HANG SENG

FII

Sale(Cr.)

12744.47

Net(Cr.)Buy(Cr.)Investor

44,203.12

4167.4 12.19

NIKKIE

FTSE

10.50

DOW 16474.64 117.90

Quote of The Day "What's the sense in getting rich if you just stare at the ticker tape all day?"

Warren Buffett

SGX NIFTY : 6334 (

16pts Down )

Page 2: Technical Analysis for Nifty sensex, DOW, NASDAQ, CAC, DAX, FTSE, NIKKIE, HANG SENG, and EW ALL SHARE. Narnolia Securities Limited Market Diary 27.12.2013

NIFTY SNAPSHOT

Nifty Spot

Nifty Jan 2013 Future 6343

Nifty Feb 2013 Future 6388

Nifty Jan 2013 Open Interest 18952650

Nifty Feb 2013 Open Interest 987500

21 DMA of Spot NIfty GRAPH

50 DMA of

Spot NiftyVOLATILITY INDEX (VIX)

1

Nifty (Jan Series) Option OI Distribution:

Index Outlook

Activity of Nifty (Jan Series) Strike FIIs Activity (Fig in Cr)

CALL PUT Segment Buy Sell Net

OI % Chng OI % Chng

6000 765800 13.7 2622050 15.9 INDEX FUTURE 4,400 4,187 213

6100 858150 15.3 2562850 23.4 INDEX OPTION 10,136 10,732 (596)

6200 1055400 14.1 2745200 25.7 STOCK FUTURE 8,420 8,627 (207)

6300 2135100 25.4 2490950 35.8 STOCK OPTION 590 629 (39)

6400 2708250 28.9 1146450 25.5 TOTAL 23,546 24,174 (629)

6500 3227900 27.3 684800 24.5

Fresh Long Seen In (Rising OI -Rising Price) Fresh Shorts Seen In: (Rising OI -Falling Price)

Scrip OI OI ch% CMP Ch% Scrip OI OI ch% CMP Ch%

ZEEL 37,64,000 50.9 280.2 0.1 GODREJIND 14,05,000 16.5 259.6 -3.8

COALINDIA 110,19,000 8.4 283.6 0.7 PETRONET 20,42,000 14.6 121.8 -3.8

AUROPHARMA 142,08,000 7.1 309.9 4.0 INDUSINDBK 64,53,000 10.3 416.6 -4.0

TATASTEEL 167,75,000 2.9 415.4 0.7 UNIONBANK 100,81,000 8.6 119.1 -2.8

HCLTECH 33,89,000 2.5 1182.1 0.2 IRB 129,52,000 7.6 91.6 -4.1

PCR (OI) YESTERDAY'S IMPACT TRADE

STOCK T1 T2 STOCK STRIKE CE STOCK STRIKE PE

SRTRANSFIN 1.71 0.17 SBIN 1800 CE SBIN 1750 PE

FEDERALBNK 0.41 0.15 RELIANCE 900 CE INFY 3500 PE

KTKBANK 0.45 0.26 JPASSOCIAT 55 CE AXISBANK 1300 PE

IOB 0.31 0.18 AXISBANK 1300 CE TATASTEEL 420 PE

BATAINDIA 0.64 0.37 DLF 170 CE MCDOWELL-N 2500 PE

Derivative Research

6278.90(+10.50)

6219

14.88(-0.70)

7 DMA of Spot Nifty

PUT CALL RATIO

6232

6178

Page 3: Technical Analysis for Nifty sensex, DOW, NASDAQ, CAC, DAX, FTSE, NIKKIE, HANG SENG, and EW ALL SHARE. Narnolia Securities Limited Market Diary 27.12.2013

Top Performers 1D % Change Top Performers 1W % Change

Top Performers

1M

% Change

ONELIFECAP 19.98 RICOAUTO 64.41 SVCRES 100.00

KEI 19.96 LIBERTSHOE 58.11 RICOAUTO 93.68

VARUNSHIP 19.95 A2ZMES 47.41 DQE 88.15

PROVOGE 19.92 WELCORP 44.70 MLKFOOD 83.59

ATLANTA 19.89 ASIANTILES 40.69 BFUTILITIE 75.48

Worst Performers

1D

% Change

Worst Performers

1W

% Change

Worst Performers

1M

% Change

RODIUM (10.17) STAR (58.09) STAR (61.63)

DHANUS (9.09) TFL (22.33) ZENITHINFO (55.39)

SINCLAIR (6.07) ZENITHINFO (21.55) KINETICENG (46.86)

EICLLTD (5.00) SANWARIA (18.60) SIGRUN (42.11)

MURLIIND (5.00) MAVENSBIO (17.05) MBSWITCH (41.89)

• Bhel has bagged a Rs 1,023 crore contract from Neyveli Lignite Corporation for supplying turbine generator package at a thermal power

project in Tamil Nadu. The order is for their upcoming 1,000 MW Neyveli New Thermal Power Project (NNTPP) at Neyveli, Tamil Nadu.

• Apollo Hospital promoter family’s holding company PCR Investments has bought shares worth Rs 87.66 crore through open market. PCR

Investments bought one million shares at a price of Rs 876.67 a share. The company has not disclosed the name of the sellers. The Reddys—the

promoter family of Apollo Hospitals—hold around 34.35% stake in the company, of which 18.42% stake is held by PCR Investments while the

rest is with individual family members, as of September 30, 2013.

• Lanco Infratech is looking to sell three power projects for Rs 6,350 crore and road projects worth Rs 668 crore as a part of debt reduction

programme. All sales will take place between 2016 and 2020.

• Allahabad Bank has got the shareholders' approval for a preferential issue of Rs 400 crore and a Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP) of Rs

320 crore for shoring up the equity base of the lender.

Markets Snapshot

Top Price Performers

Worst Price Performers

• IRB Infrastructure Developers Ltd has informed that IRB Westcoast Tollway Pvt. Ltd. - wholly-owned Subsidiary of the Company, has achieved

financial closure in terms of the Concession Agreement executed with NHAI, by tying up of Project finance of Rs. 1,406 Crore. The total cost of

this project is Rs. 2,639 Crore, out of which viability gap funding from NHAI of Rs.536 crores, equity contribution by the Company will be approx.

Rs. 697 Crore and remaining will be funded through Project finance of Rs. 1,406 Crore. The average cost of this Project finance is approx. 11.75%

p.a.

Top News :

• Force Motors has decided to observe a 'block closure' for the Company’s plants located at Akurdi, Pune, Maharashtra and Pithampur, Madhya

Pradesh from December 28, 2013 to January 01, 2014.

• The British Banker's Association said that the number of new mortgages approved rose to 45,000 last month from October’s revised total of

43,300. Analysts had expected the number of new mortgages approved to rise to 44,500 in November.

• U.S. Commerce Department said that total durable goods orders, which include transportation items, increased by a seasonally adjusted

3.5% last month, easily surpassing expectations for a 2% gain. Orders for durable goods in October were revised to a 0.7% decline from a

previously reported drop of 1.6%.

• U.S. Census Bureau said new home sales fell by 2.1% to a seasonally adjusted 464,000 units last months, compared to expectations for a

decline to 445,000. New home sales for October rose by 474,000 units.

• Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport said that Japanese Housing Starts rose to a seasonally adjusted 14.1%, from 7.1% in the

preceding quarter.Analysts had expected Japanese Housing Starts to rise to 9.2% in the last quarter.

• Grasim Industries has informed that the operations of the Chemical Plant at Vilayat in Gujarat have resumed now. The Company have also

commenced operations of the downstream Epoxy Plant at Vilayat. The full capacity at both the Plants will be achieved in a phased manner.

Page 4: Technical Analysis for Nifty sensex, DOW, NASDAQ, CAC, DAX, FTSE, NIKKIE, HANG SENG, and EW ALL SHARE. Narnolia Securities Limited Market Diary 27.12.2013

• Maruti Suzuki Mgt Guideline : Company which expects retail sales to be flat for FY14 fiscal. But bumper sales in rural areas, which saw 18

percent growth in the April to November period, cushioned the slump in demand for cars in cities. The hinterland will be a key focus area for

the company. But Mgt was tight lipped on Suzuki’s plans to increase stake in Maruti .

Management Tweets

• Andhra Bank Mgt Guideline : The quantum of non-performing loans (NPLs) at Andhra Bank is likely to stay above 5 percent for the rest of

the financial year . Bank expected the bank’s earnings to improve by the second quarter next fiscal, during which time the bank may look to

raise additional capital through a qualified institutional placement.

• Prestige Est Mgt Guideline : Company is trying to keep its dependence on debt very low and has been able to bring down the borrowing

costs by 1 percent this fiscal. Mgt said acquiring land projects is an ongoing business plan for the company. Prestige Estates recently has

launched its ambitious project Lake Side Habitat and the pre-launch sales had been very encouraging .

• Shree Cement Mgt Guideline : Company expects revival in demand soon becasue the base in the past three-five years had been very low

as there had not been any significant rise in the cement prices over three-four years. The company's current capacity is at 13.5 mt, which it

expects to double up to 26 mt in the next three-four years.The company expects to end Q3 with same margins as Q2. Industry participants

attribute the falling cement prices to weak demand trend and expect a meaningful pick-up only after elections, as infra activity picks up, said

a CLSA report. It has downgraded Shree Cements to outperformer from buy.

• Havells Mgt Guideline : Mgt believes the Indian economy is bottoming out and a turnaround in sentiment should increase demand for its

products. About 25 percent of the company’s business comes from the industrial segment, That segment had started de-growing at the start

of the year and has now inched up to 10 percent growth. Mgt believe this will be followed by a revival in the consumer business, which is 75

percent of our business. The company-level net profit margins had slowed down to 10 odd percent. company expect them to increase to 13-

13.5 percent by next year . Mgt expected 5-6 percent profits at the operating level going forward.

Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday

23-Dec 24-Dec 25-Dec 26-Dec 27-Dec

US

Core PCE Price Index m/m , Personal

Spending m/m , Personal Income

m/m , Revised UoM Consumer

Sentiment .

Core Durable Goods Orders m/m ,

Durable Goods Orders m/m , HPI m/m ,

CB Consumer Confidence , New Home

Sales , Richmond Manufacturing Index .

HolidayRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment ,

Revised UoM Inflation Expectations .

UK/EURO

ZONE

Nationwide HPI m/m , CBI Realized

Sales , Italian Retail Sales m/m ,

Italian Prelim CPI m/m , German

Import Prices m/m .

BBA Mortgage Approvals. HolidayUnemployment Claims , Natural Gas Storage ,

Crude Oil Inventories .

German Retail Sales m/m , German

Prelim CPI m/m , French Consumer

Spending m/m , Italian Monthly

Unemployment Rate .

INDIA

Economic Calendar

Page 5: Technical Analysis for Nifty sensex, DOW, NASDAQ, CAC, DAX, FTSE, NIKKIE, HANG SENG, and EW ALL SHARE. Narnolia Securities Limited Market Diary 27.12.2013

Risk Disclosure & Disclaimer  :This report/message is for the personal information of the authorized recipient and does not construe to be any

investment, legal or taxation advice to you. Narnolia Securities Ltd. (Hereinafter referred as NSL) is not soliciting any action based upon it. This

report/message is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and should not be reproduced or

redistributed to any other person in any form. The report/message is based upon publicly available information, findings of our research wing

“Eastwind” & information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and we do not provide any express

or implied warranty of any kind, and also these are subject to change without notice. The recipients of this report should rely on their own

investigations, should use their own judgment for taking any investment decisions keeping in mind that past performance is not necessarily a

guide to future performance & that the the value of any investment or income are subject to market and other risks. Further it will be safe to

assume that NSL and /or its Group or associate Companies, their Directors, affiliates and/or employees may have interests/ positions, financial or

otherwise, individually or otherwise in the recommended/mentioned securities/mutual funds/ model funds and other investment products

which may be added or disposed including & other mentioned in this report/message.

BSE Code Company Name Date BSE Code Company Name Date

514358 Everlon Syn 4-Jan-14 532977 Bajaj Auto 16-Jan-14

536709 VAK POW INF 4-Jan-14 500490 Bajaj Holdings 16-Jan-14

507488 GM Breweries 7-Jan-14 500411 Thermax 21-Jan-14

521248 Kitex Garments 9-Jan-14 533573 Alembic Pharma 22-Jan-14

509567 Goa Carbon-$ 11-Jan-14 500010 HDFC 22-Jan-14

507984 SER Inds 11-Jan-14 507598 KLRF 27-Jan-14

500086 Exide Inds 13-Jan-14 505250 GG Dandekar 31-Jan-14

532978 Bajaj Finserv 15-Jan-14 500165 Kansai Nerolac 31-Jan-14

500034 BAJFINANCE 15-Jan-14 524038 Venlon Enter 31-Jan-14

532977 Bajaj Auto 16-Jan-14 522261 Dolphin Offsh-$ 3-Feb-14

Result Calendar Q3FY14