TD Newcrest Unconventional Oil and Gas Forum

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TD Newcrest Unconventional TD Newcrest Unconventional July 15, 2010 Oil and Gas Forum Oil and Gas Forum Sunshine Oilsands Ltd. Confidential

Transcript of TD Newcrest Unconventional Oil and Gas Forum

Page 1: TD Newcrest Unconventional Oil and Gas Forum

TD Newcrest Unconventional TD Newcrest Unconventional

July 15, 2010

Oil and Gas ForumOil and Gas Forum

Sunshine Oilsands Ltd. Confidential

Page 2: TD Newcrest Unconventional Oil and Gas Forum

DisclaimerDisclaimer

This Presentation (the “Presentation”) includes forward-looking statements relating to, among other things, (a) the future financial performance and objectives of Sunshine Oilsands Ltd. (the “Corporation”) and (b) plans and expectations for the ( ) ( ) p poperation of the Corporation. These forward-looking statements are typically, but not always, identified by terminology such as “may,” will,” “should,” “expect,” “anticipates,” “plans,” “intends,” “believes,” “estimates,” “projects,” “predicts,” “seeks,” “potential,” “continue” or other similar terminology. Forward-looking statements are inherently unreliable, and prospective investors should not rely on them. The forward-looking statements are based on the Corporation’s current expectations, assumptions, estimates and projections about future events. Actual results are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in a forward-looking statement as a result of numerous risk factors. The Corporation has no obligation to update or otherwise revise any forward-looking statements after the date of this Presentation or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

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Corporate OverviewCorporate Overview

Sunshine Oilsands Ltd. is a Calgary based company focused on development of its 1,000,640 acres (4002.56 km2) of 100% WI oil sands leases in the Athabasca oil sands region

GLJ resource estimate July 1, 201043.8 Billion bbls PIIP2.2 Billion Best Estimate Contingent 54 MM bbls 2P

Share capitalBasic shares: 70.8 MillionFully diluted shares: 90 7 MillionFully diluted shares: 90.7 Million

no shareholder owns greater than 15%

Total equity capital raised: of $219.0 Million, $63 Million of available cash and no outstanding debt.

Diverse portfolio of significant assets grouped into three distinct business segments:Conventional heavy oilConventional heavy oil

Commenced development with a program initiating in AugustPrimary production potential of 3,000 bbl/d

Cretaceous sandstoneFirst SAGD 10,000 bbl/d application submitted in Q1/2010First steam late in 2012

CarbonatesFi t il t li ti dFirst pilot application approvedPilot commencement in Q4/2010

Cretaceous sandstone SAGD production capacity of 180,000 bbl/d from only 68 sectionsTremendous resource upside to be established in future delineation programs on our 100% owned landsSignificant resource and production potential in carbonate reservoirs

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Value Contribution ComponentsValue Contribution Components

ShareholderShareholderValue

• Largest land position of non-partnered leases in the Athabasca Oilsands region

• Land holdings located exclusively in the

• Establish sustainability thru short line ofsight to production and cash flow(Muskwa)I bl b l th h

Assets

People

Plan

• Land holdings located exclusively in the Athabasca Region (1,000,640 acres)

• Portfolio consists of three asset groupings• Conventional Heavy Oil: potential short lineof sight to cash flow

• Cretaceous Sandstone: high value, large

• Proven track record of execution with other successful companies (Chevron,Total SA, BP, Amoco, Heritage Oil Plc, Rally Energy, Deer Creek, Connacher and Flint)Di i i l l d i l (200

• Increase recoverable barrels through cost effective delineation

• Stage the development of our cretaceous production foundation

• Execute Harper Carbonate Pilot and continue to dimension the carbonate upside

People

production profile SAGD assets• Carbonates: substantial long term value

assets• Conventional or Thermal recovery only, no

mining of resourcesN t ili d i i it

• Divisional leaders in place (200 years experience)

• Proven operations experience in numerous hydrocarbon plays including conventional heavy oil, cretaceous sandstone and carbonate reservoirs

upside• Utilize our land position as currency• Maintain an efficient and transparent capital structure

Sunshine Oilsands Ltd. Confidential

• No tailing ponds or mining pits

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Board of Directors and Management TeamBoard of Directors and Management TeamMichael J. Hibberd, BA, MBA, LLB - Co-Chairman of Sunshine Oilsands Ltd Songning Shen, M.Sc., P.Geol - Co-Chairman of Sunshine Oilsands LtdMichael J. Hibberd, BA, MBA, LLB Co Chairman of Sunshine Oilsands Ltd.• Chairman and Co-CEO of Sunshine Oilsands from February 2007 to October 2008

Songning Shen, M.Sc., P.Geol Co Chairman of Sunshine Oilsands Ltd.• President and Co-CEO of Sunshine Oilsands from February 2007 to October 2008

Tseung Hok Ming, Master Degree of Finance - Chairman of the Board, Orient Holdings Group Limited; Chairman of the Board,

Orient International Petroleum & Chemical Limited; Vice President, Hong Kong Financial Service Institute; Honorary President, Hong

Kong Association of Medium-and-Small Enterprises

Kevin Flaherty, MBA -Managing Director of Savitar

Acquisitions PTE Ltd.Raymond Fong, P.Eng. -CEO for China Coal Corporation

Zhijun Qin, M.Sc. - President of GPT Group Ltd.

Mike Seth, BA Sc. - President of Seth Consultants Ltd.

Greg Turnbull, BA, LLB -Regional Managing Partner

(Calgary) with McCarthy Tétrault LLP

• +25 years experience• Previously VP of Operations & Engineering with Rally Energy Corp. and VP Corporate Development and Planning with Flint Energy Services, Senior Manager BP Canada, Amoco

Doug Brown, B.Sc., P.Eng. – Co-CEO and COO

John Kowal, B. Comm., MBA Co-CEO• +25 years experience• Previously CFO for Total E&P Canada and Deer Creek Energy

• 30 years experience• Previously CFO for Patch International and Great Plains Exploration, Amoco Canada

Tom Rouse, B.Comm., CMA – Chief Financial Officer

David Sealock, BA, RET – Executive Vice President, Corporate Operations• +25 years experience• Previously VP of Corporate Services with MegaWest Energy and senior management positions with Total E&P Canada, Chevron Canada, Deer Creek Energy and Petrovera Resources

• +20 years experience• Previously Principal Project Engineer with Honeywell International and Aspen Technology

Dr. Songbo Cong, PhD, P.Eng. – Vice President, Facilities Engineering

• +25 years experience

Dan Dugas – Vice President, Field Operations25 years experience

• Previously Operations Supervisor for EnCana, Foster Creek and Amoco BP, Wolf Lake

• +7 years experience in oilsands regulatory approvals• Previously involved in projects for Chevron, Shell, JACOS, Nexen

Jason Hancheruk, RPFT – Vice President, Regulatory, Environmental and Stakeholder Affairs

• +35 years experience in drilling, completions and constructionPreviously with First Calgary Petroleum Ecumed Centurion Rally Energy Mobil Oil HCO Energy Morgan Hydrocarbons Ledge Resources

Gordon Sanders – Vice President, Drilling and Construction

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• Previously with First Calgary Petroleum, Ecumed, Centurion, Rally Energy, Mobil Oil, HCO Energy, Morgan Hydrocarbons, Ledge Resources

• +19 years experience• Previously Finance Director for Rally Energy Corp. and VP, Finance with Ziff Energy Group

Al Stark, B.Comm., CGA – Controller

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Asset Diversity Asset Diversity

Carbonate

Technology: CSS or SAGDAPI: 9 to 12

on

Conventional H Oil

CretaceousSandstone

Technology: SAGD API: 8 to10Steam: YesDiluents: YesPricing: LLB 2%

API: 9 to 12Steam: YesDiluents: YesPricing: LLB - 2%

(Blended) - 25% (Hot)

Depth: 550 m

Prod

uctio Technology: Horizontal

API: 12 to 16Steam: NoDiluents: NoPricing: LLB - 10%Depth: 450 m

Heavy Oil Pricing: LLB - 2% (Blended) - 25% (Hot)

Depth: 200 m to 430 m

40 to 70% Recovery

R li bl d di t bl

Potential +30% recovery

Knowledge base and emerging technologies growing

Harper pilot key activity to initiate and prove mobility

4 to 10% recovery on primary

Short time line to cash flow

Controllable capital and lifting costs

Reliable and predictable

Reservoir conformance maturing and predisposed to optimization

initiate and prove mobility

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TimeSignificant Economic Potential in Three Asset Categories

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AssetsAssets

GLJ resource estimate July 1, 201043.8 Billion PIIP

Harper

2.2 Billion Best Estimate Contingent ($3.1 Billion PV10%)

1,000,640 Acres (1,563.5 sections)Ells

Legend Lake

7 Primary Areas 100% ownership and operatorship

Vast inventory of land provides the Corporation with optionality

Ft McMurray

West Ells

Thickwoody

Area participants include Shell, Husky, CNRL, Total, Suncor, Chevron, Athabasca Oil Sands & Imperial Oil MuskwaTotal

Chevron

Taken OSL

Imperial Oil

CNRL

Shell

Suncor

Petro Cdn

Chevron

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Portage/Pelican Lake

Husky

Nexen

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Oil Sands Project MapOil Sands Project Map

Sunshine Harper Sunshine Legend Lk Value Creation

AOSC Grosmont

Sunshine West Ells

Sunshine ThickwoodShell Grosmont

AOSC Dover

g

HSE Sunrise

SU Firebag

Value Creation

AOSC/PETROCHINA MacKay

STP MacKayLaricina Corner

ET Poplar CrIVAN Tamarack

Laricina Poplar Cr

BQI Axe Lk

CVE Borealis

SU MacKay

Chevron Ells RiverTotal Joslyn

Shell Carmon Cr

BTE Seal

PWT Seal

NPE Red Earth

Laricina Germain

CNQ Britnell

Sunshine Muskwa

ECA Pelican Lk

Shell Seal

AOSC HangingstoneHSE Saleski

OSUM/Laricina Saleski

ELE W. Surmount

COP Surmount

SU MeadowCLL Great Divide

NXY/OPC Long Lk

ELE HangingstoneJACOS/NXY Hangingstone

MacKay

CNQ Gregoire LkAOS Ft McM

Koch Reno

CVE Narrow Lk MEG Christina

CVE Foster Ck

BVN JackfishCVE Christina

ERF Kirby

Statoil

PBG Whitesands

CNQ Kirby

Oil Sands Project Map

Oil Sands LeasesPrimary Heavy Oil ProductionProducing In-Situ ProjectPl d I Sit P j t

CNQ Wolf Lk

OSUM Taiga

HSE Tucker

CNQ Primrose

IMO Cold Lk

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Planned In-Situ Project

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Muskwa Wabiskaw

CONVENTIONAL HEAVY OILCONVENTIONAL HEAVY OIL

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Conventional Heavy Oil OverviewConventional Heavy Oil Overview

Significant potential for Conventional heavy oil production exists in Muskwa and Portage/Pelican Lake project areas Sh ll C d W d hPortage/Pelican Lake project areasHigh grade road access to permits all season activityWell developed infrastructurePotential short line of sight to cash flow in

Shell Canada: WoodenhouseShell Activating Production Scheme

CNRL: North WabiskawCNRL Development Drilling

Sunshine: Muskwa

Potential short line of sight to cash flow in Q3 2010 at MuskwaPotential of Portage/Pelican Lake areas to be assessed in the next winter drilling program

Encana: Pelican Lake IIICNRL: Brintnell

CNRL: Wabiskaw

• Existing production projects in the Wabiskaw formation with various

CNRL: Pelican Lake

CNRL: South Wabiskawoperators developing the offset lands

• Sunshine’s Muskwa play in the Wabiskaw formation

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Wabiskaw formation

Production of 65,000+ bbl/d from region today

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1111--4 Production Test and Access Road Construction4 Production Test and Access Road Construction

Vertical well test confirms reservoir performanceAll weather road in final phase of construction4 Horizontal wells to be drilled in

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4 Horizontal wells to be drilled in August - September of this year

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Muskwa Muskwa –– Facility Layout and Development PlanFacility Layout and Development Plan

Road construction to be completed by the end of July 2010160 spacing units Horizontal well developmentHorizontal well development begins in August 2010 with 4 wellsDevelopment program may be accelerated to drill up to 24 wells by end of 2010of 2010

2,500

3,000

3,500

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

bbl/d

Gathering LinesConnection LineRoad

0

Future Road Construction

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Muskwa Main Access Road

Sunshine’s Cleaning Facility

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SAGD Thermal Development

CRETACEOUS SANDSTONECRETACEOUS SANDSTONE

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Cretaceous SAGD Initial Development AreaCretaceous SAGD Initial Development Area

T96

R19W4 R17W4 R16W4R18W4

Legend LakeLegend LakeLegend LakeLegend Lake

Legend LakeLegend LakeSunshine is focusing on three core areas for early developmentThe three core areas have been adjudicated by GLJ

T95 EllsEllsEllsElls

EllsElls

adjudicated by GLJSunshine has applied reservoir characterization technology to forecast development resultsSunshine has completed full a TIA on access road options and

T94

EllsElls TIA on access road options and is participating with multi-stakeholder groups

RESERVOIRT93

T92 ThickwoodThickwood

RESERVOIRWabiskaw Member, Deltaic Sands Net Bitumen Pay: 12 – 22mReservoir Depth: 200 – 430m

T91ThickwoodThickwood

Porosity: 32 – 33%Bitumen Saturations: over 70%OBIP > 10m: 4.6 Billion bblsExcellent Permeability

Sunshine Oilsands Ltd. Confidential

T90

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Reservoir Characteristic ComparisonReservoir Characteristic Comparison

Projects Company Net Pay(m) Porosity Bitumen

Saturation

Reservoir Depth

(m)Facies

Legend Lake Sunshine 12 16 32% 72% 430 Deltaic SandsLegend Lake Sunshine 12-16 32% 72% 430 Deltaic Sands

West Ells Sunshine 15-22 33% 78% 255 Deltaic Sands

Thickwood Sunshine 12-20 33% 73% 200 Deltaic Sands

West Dover AOSC 13-17 33% 77% 220 Deltaic Sands

Mackay River AOSC 18-24 33% 77% 180 Channel/DeltaicSands

G Di id C h 1 21 32% 8 % 400 Ch l S dGreat Divide Connacher 15-21 32% 85% 400 Channel Sands

Christina Lake EnCana 25 35% 81% 400 Channel Sands

Hangingstone Jacos 15-24 33% 80% 350 Channel Sandsg g

Mackay River Petro-Canada 15-35 34% 74% 137 Channel Sands

Ells River Chevron 15-30 33% 78% 220 Deltaic Sands

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West Ells SAGD Phase 1 & 2West Ells SAGD Phase 1 & 2

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CARBONATE RESOURCESCARBONATE RESOURCES

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Sunshine Carbonate Properties and Bitumen TrendSunshine Carbonate Properties and Bitumen Trend

Sunshine has captured significant carbonate resourcesLeduc Grosmont NiskuLeduc, Grosmont, Nisku, Wabamun and Blueridge all in play2010 seismic will identify yexploration targets and guide core holes2010 – 2011 seismic and core h l d i d t

Blueridge/

hole program designed to realize maximum PIIP and contingent resources

Sunshine & LaricinaWabamun Bitumen Area

Sunshine & Laricina currently have the only approved carbonate pilots

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Harper: Grosmont Growth and PilotHarper: Grosmont Growth and Pilot

Pilot well 11-21 mirrors the excellent Grosmont geology at 14-21, planned for winter of 2010Pilot Approved by ERCB on November 27, 2009

Fluid to surface will confirm in-situ mobility and thermal response Will support subsequent evaluation of technologiesPilot results will support a 2,000 bbl/d pilot design and executionPotential to add ½ billion barrels to Best Estimate Contingent resource case

Future core holes and seismic program are beingFuture core holes and seismic program are being planned to increase adjudicated resource numbers

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Pipeline Access and Coking CapacityPipeline Access and Coking Capacity

Increasing demand for transportation fuel(gasoline, jet, and diesel) worldwide and theexpected increase in heavy oil production and pipeline capacity has led many refiners to upgradepipeline capacity has led many refiners to upgradetheir facilities to process heavier feed stocks

Many refiners are upgrading existing refiningfacilities, focusing primarily on the ability to process these heavier crudes by adding heavy oilprocess these heavier crudes by adding heavy oilconversions processes such as ebullated-bed hydrocrackers, delayed cokers, resid FCC units or visbreakers

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Value Contribution FactorsValue Contribution Factors

• International scale• Three significant asset

groups• Significant production

St bl lti d d

• Divisional leaders in place• 200 years of senior

management experience• Proven track record of

execution• Stable multi-decade profiles

• Tremendous upside

Sunshine’s

execution

Sunshine’sSunshine s Assets

Sunshine s People

• Detailed execution plans formulated

• 2 production approvals in place

• 10,000 bbl/d SAGD li ti fil d

• Simple capital structure with low share count

• No debt

application filed• Additional SAGD

applications in progress

Development Capital S

Sunshine Oilsands Ltd. Confidential

Development Structure

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Milestones Milestones

YTD 2010 Milestones:Completed Winter 2009/10 drilling program (20 wells)Submitted a 10 000 bbl/d application for West Ells Phase 1Submitted a 10,000 bbl/d application for West Ells Phase 1Completed a $93.5MM financingUpdated GLJ report taking into account our most recent seismic and drilling programsdrilling programs

Future MilestonesMuskwa area primary production developmentMuskwa area primary production developmentHarper Pilot commencement – Late 20102010/11 Winter Delineation Program; 200 locations surveyedLegend Lake & Thick ood 10 000 bbl/d Commercial SAGDLegend Lake & Thickwood 10,000 bbl/d Commercial SAGD Applications

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Contact InformationContact Information

Sunshine Oilsands Ltd.

Suite 1400, 700 - 4th Avenue S.W.

Calgary Alberta CanadaCalgary, Alberta, Canada

T2P 3J4

Tel: +1 (403) 984-1450

Fax: +1 (403) 455-7674

Website: www sunshineoilsands com

Sunshine Oilsands Ltd. Confidential

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DefinitionsDefinitions

Contingent Resources are those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. Contingencies may include factors such as economic, legal, environmental, political, and regulatory matters, or a lack of markets. It is also appropriate to classify as contingent resources the estimated discovered recoverable quantities associated with a project in the early evaluation stage. Contingent Resources are further classified in accordance with the level of certainty associated with the estimates and may be sub classified based on project maturity and/or characterized by their economic status.p j y y

Prospective Resources are those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations by application of future development projects. Prospective resources have both an associated chance of discovery and a chance of development. Prospective Resources are further subdivided in accordance with the level of certainty associated with recoverable estimates assuming their discovery and development and may be sub classified based on project maturity.

The range of uncertainty of estimated recoverable volumes may be represented by either deterministic scenarios or by a probability distribution. Resources should be provided as low, best, and high estimates as follows:

Low Estimate: This is considered to be a conservative estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the low estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 90 percent probability (P90) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the low estimate.

Best Estimate: This is considered to be the best estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the best estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 50 percent probability (P50) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the best estimate.

High Estimate: This is considered to be an optimistic estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is unlikely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the high estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 10 percent probability (P10) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the high estimate.

This approach to describing uncertainty may be applied to reserves, contingent resources, and prospective resources. There may be significant risk that sub-commercial and undiscovered accumulations will not achieve commercial production. However, it is useful to consider and identify the range of potentially recoverable quantities independently of such risk.All resources and financial calculations related to the resources have not been risked for chance of development or, in the case of prospective resources, chance of discovery.Resource estimates presented here-in represent the sum of contingent and prospective resources. Approximately 93% of sunshine’s resources are classified as contingent.

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