Taylor principle is valid under wage stickiness
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Transcript of Taylor principle is valid under wage stickiness
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Uniqueness of the solution to a monetary policy model
Alexis Blasselle & Aurélien Poissonnier
laboratoire Jacques-Louis Lions & Crest-Insee
October 2010
Alexis Blasselle & Aurélien Poissonnier Uniqueness of the solution to a monetary policy model
![Page 2: Taylor principle is valid under wage stickiness](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022082722/58ee11691a28abf4688b462d/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Introduction
Plan
1 Introduction
2 The model
3 The result
4 The demonstration strategy
Alexis Blasselle & Aurélien Poissonnier Uniqueness of the solution to a monetary policy model
![Page 3: Taylor principle is valid under wage stickiness](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022082722/58ee11691a28abf4688b462d/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Introduction
Purpose
Working on a DSGE model by Jordi Galí, we answer his question on the
condition on the monetary policy parameters that validates Blanchard and
Kahn condition.
This is a joint work with Alexis Blasselle, Phd student in applied
mathematics, to be published in Maths In Action.
Alexis Blasselle & Aurélien Poissonnier Uniqueness of the solution to a monetary policy model
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The model
Plan
1 Introduction
2 The model
3 The result
4 The demonstration strategy
Alexis Blasselle & Aurélien Poissonnier Uniqueness of the solution to a monetary policy model
![Page 5: Taylor principle is valid under wage stickiness](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022082722/58ee11691a28abf4688b462d/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
The model
πpt = βE (πpt+1|t) + κpyt + λpωt (1)
πwt = βE (πwt+1|t) + κwyt − λwωt (2)
ωt−1 = ωt − πwt + πpt + ∆ωt (3)
yt = E (yt+1|t)− 1
σ(it − E (πp
t+1|t)− rnt ) (4)
it = Φpπp
t + Φwπwt + Φyyt + vt (5)
Alexis Blasselle & Aurélien Poissonnier Uniqueness of the solution to a monetary policy model
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The model
λp =(1−θp)(1−βθp)
θp1−α
1−α+αεp, with
0 < θp < 1, is the Calvo parameter on prices
0 < α < 1, is the Cobb-Douglas parameter
0 < εp ≤ 1, is the mark-up on goods
⇒ 0 < λp
λw = (1−θw )(1−βθw )θw (1+ϕεw ) , with
0 < θw < 1, is the Calvo parameter on wages
0 < ϕ, is the Frisch elasticity
0 < εw ≤ 1, is the mark-up on wage setting
⇒ 0 < λw
κp =αλp1−α , we will later denote λpnp = κp with np > 0
κw = λw (σ + ϕ1−α), we will later denote λwnw = κw with nw > 0
Alexis Blasselle & Aurélien Poissonnier Uniqueness of the solution to a monetary policy model
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The result
Plan
1 Introduction
2 The model
3 The result
4 The demonstration strategy
Alexis Blasselle & Aurélien Poissonnier Uniqueness of the solution to a monetary policy model
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The result
The Blanchard and Kahn condition is veri�ed if and only if
Φp + Φw + Φy
(1− β)
(nw + np)
(1
λp+
1
λw
)> 1 (6)
This result is symmetric in price and wages in�ation and depends only on
the Phillips curve parameters
Alexis Blasselle & Aurélien Poissonnier Uniqueness of the solution to a monetary policy model
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The demonstration strategy
Plan
1 Introduction
2 The model
3 The result
4 The demonstration strategy
Alexis Blasselle & Aurélien Poissonnier Uniqueness of the solution to a monetary policy model
![Page 10: Taylor principle is valid under wage stickiness](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022082722/58ee11691a28abf4688b462d/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
The demonstration strategy
We �rst study the limit case Φp + Φw = 1 and Φy = 0.
The characteristic polynomial of the matrice is :
Pγ,ξ(t) = at4 − bt3 + cγ,ξt2 − dγ,ξt + eγ,ξ or
Pγ,ξ(t) = P0(t) + γ λw Q(t) + ξ λp S(t) where
Q(t) = βnw t2 − [κp + nw (1 + β + λp)]t + nw
S(t) = βnp t2 − [κw + np(1 + β + λw )]t + np
Alexis Blasselle & Aurélien Poissonnier Uniqueness of the solution to a monetary policy model
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The demonstration strategy
The model has one predetermined variable.
We want to know under which conditions three roots of this polynomial are
strictly larger than on in modulus
Alexis Blasselle & Aurélien Poissonnier Uniqueness of the solution to a monetary policy model
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The demonstration strategy
1 is a root of the characteristic polynomial and at least two others are
outside the unit circle
Then we study how the eigenvalues of the model are modi�ed by changes
in Φp or Φw .
Doing so, we �nd some speci�c conditions veri�ed by the parameters that
leads us to conclude that :
Blanchard and Kahn condition is veri�ed if and only if Φp + Φw > 1
Alexis Blasselle & Aurélien Poissonnier Uniqueness of the solution to a monetary policy model
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The demonstration strategy
Then we study the case where Φy 6= 0
We �nd that if Φp + Φw + Φy(1−β)
(nw+np)
(1λp
+ 1λw
)= 1 1 is a root of the
characteristic polynomial
We then �nd that only departing positively from this condition ensures
Blanchard and Kahn condition
Alexis Blasselle & Aurélien Poissonnier Uniqueness of the solution to a monetary policy model
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The demonstration strategy
The Blanchard and Kahn condition is veri�ed if and only if
Φp + Φw + Φy
(1− β)
(nw + np)
(1
λp+
1
λw
)> 1 (7)
Alexis Blasselle & Aurélien Poissonnier Uniqueness of the solution to a monetary policy model