Taxation and The Life Cycle of Firms...policies over the life cycle of rms. Relative to dividends...
Transcript of Taxation and The Life Cycle of Firms...policies over the life cycle of rms. Relative to dividends...
Taxation and The Life Cycle of Firms
Andres Erosa
Beatriz Gonzalez ∗
This version: October 2018
Abstract
The Hopenhayn and Rogerson (1993) framework of firm dynamics is extended to
understand how different forms of taxing capital income affect investment and financial
policies over the life cycle of firms. Relative to dividends and capital gains taxation,
corporate income taxation slows down growth over the life cycle by reducing after-
tax profits available for reinvesting in the firm. It also diminishes entry by negatively
affecting the value of entrants relative to the that of incumbents firm. After a tax
reform eliminating the corporate income tax in a revenue neutral way, output and
capital increase by 13% and 35%. The large response of firm entry to the tax reform
is crucial for our results.
Keywords Macroeconomics, Taxation, Firm Dynamics, Investment
JEL Codes D21, E22, E62, G12, G32, G35, H25, H32
∗Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Departamento de Economıa, Calle Madrid 126, 28903 Getafe, Madrid.Beatriz gratefully acknowledges financial support by ’La Caixa’ Foundation.
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1 Introduction
The macroeconomic effects of the taxation of capital income have received a great deal of
attention by economists and policy makers. Throughout modern economies the taxation of
capital income takes many different forms: capital gains taxation, interest income taxation,
dividend taxation, and corporate income taxation. In particular, the tax rate on corporate
income in the US was until recently among the highest among OECD countries and this
has raised concerns about its effects on job creation and investment. Policy advisors from
the Obama and Trump administration have advocated for changes in the taxation of capital
income and, indeed, the Trump administration has recently cut by nearly a half the corporate
income tax rate. In this paper, we study how different forms of taxing capital income affect
investment and financing decisions of firms over their life cycle, as well as the creation of new
firms (firm entry), aggregate capital accumulation and output. We then evaluate the effects
of a tax reform that eliminates the tax on corporate income and replace the lost revenue
with a common tax rate on all other form of capital income.
Corporate profits distributed as dividends suffer the so-called ‘double taxation’, since
they are taxed both at corporate and personal income levels (by the corporate income tax and
the divident tax, respectively). The literature has long emphasized that corporate income
taxation diminishes investment by firms by reducing the after tax return on capital. In this
paper, we show that these distortions are much more severe when firms’ growth over the
life cycle is constrained by financial frictions. We also show that the impact of dividend
taxation on firm investment decisions critically depend on the stage that firms are in their
life cycle, as young firms are more likely to issue equity and old firms are more likely to issue
dividends. Young firms behave according to the traditional view’ in the finance literature that
focuses on how raising the cost of equity finance (dividend taxation) negatively affects firms’
investment.1 However, as emphasized by the ‘new view’ in the finance literature, dividend
taxation does not affect investment decisions of firms distributing dividends (mature firms)
since the dividend tax leads to an equiproportional reduction in the return and costs of
investment. More generally, our paper stresses that the various ways capital income can be
taxed (whether corporate income, dividend, or capital gains taxation) have quite different
effects on investment and payout policies over the life cycle of firms, and hence on the
life cycle growth of firms. They also have different and asymmetric effects on the market
valuation of new versus incumbent firms and thereby on firm entry.
Our paper is motivated by micro evidence on firm dynamics and the life cycle of
1See, for instance, (Auerbach, 2002) for a description of these views. Empirical findings on this issueare mixed. For instance, Poterba and Summers (1985) find evidence supporting the traditional view usingBritish data. Kari et al. (2009) find evidence supporting more the new view using Finnish data. Auerbach andHassett (2007) found that in the US, firms behave according to both views, which points at the coexistenceof both regimes in the data.
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firms. Haltiwanger et al. (2013) argue that start ups play a critical role for understanding
US employment growth dynamics. The mass of firms entering the economy is large, most
new businesses start as small but (conditional on survival) grow fast, and new entrants
are important for understanding employment growth. Moreover, Hsieh and Klenow (2009)
argue that the cross country differences in the life cycle growth of firms are important for
understanding aggregate productivity differences across countries. The evidence indicates
that firms face substantial equity issuance costs (see Hennessy and Whited (2007), Lee et al.
(1996)). Using micro evidence from US and UK firms, Cloyne et al. (2018) show that
financial frictions affect more strongly investment decisions of young firms than of mature
firms. Campbell et al. (2013) empirically document heterogeneous investment responses
across young and mature firms after the reduction on shareholder taxes in the US in 2003.
Becker et al. (2013) study many tax reforms on 25 countries over a 20 year period, finding
that changes in payout taxes affect firms differently depending on their financial regime.
Overall, we believe that the evidence points to the importance of modeling the life cycle
of firms for assessing the effects of taxation. A model with a representative firm, as in
the standard Neoclassical Growth Model, implicitly focuses on mature firms (i.e. those
distributing dividends where the ‘new view’ holds) disregarding the evidence that investment
responses to tax changes vary over the life cycle of firms. Moreover, the empirical findings
of Haltiwanger et al. (2013) suggest that it is important to consider the impact of taxation
on business entry.
We extend the Hopenhayn and Rogerson (1993) framework of firm dynamics to under-
stand how different forms of taxing corporate income affect the life cycle of firms. We start
by analysing a simple version of the model with a deterministic fixed level of productivity
determined upon entry. Companies need to raise equity to set the firm up, starting their life
in the ‘traditional view’ regime (equity issuance phase). They grow by accumulating profits
(growing phase), until they reach their optimal size and start distributing dividends (matu-
rity phase). Consistently with the ‘new view’, dividend taxation does not distort investment
decisions and dividends paid by mature firms. However, dividend taxation diminishes the
optimal amount of initial equity issued by firms. Intuitively, firms can diminish the taxes
paid by financing a larger portion of investments with retained earnings. Hence, dividend
taxation reduces the initial size of firms, retarding the age at which they reach maturity, and
diminishes entry. The taxation of capital gains have opposite effects from dividend taxation.
First, the taxation of capital gains encourages firms to issue more equity at entry in order to
avoid paying the taxes that would accrue with the accumulation of internal funds. Second,
it distorts the optimal scale of the firm at maturity. Corporate income taxation impacts on
capital accumulation through several channels. First, corporate income taxation distorts the
optimal size and dividends paid by mature firms by decreasing the return on capital. Second,
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crucial to our analysis and results, the corporate income tax decreases after-tax earnings,
making it harder for firms to finance investment with retained earnings and causing firms
to grow at a slower pace over their life cycle. As a result, the market value of the firm
decreases, leading to two additional effects of corporate income taxation on capital accumu-
lation: Firms raise less equity at entry and the equilibrium mass of entry becomes smaller.
While these effects are also present under dividend taxation, we find that they are stronger
under corporate income taxation.
The baseline economy with firm dynamics (due to idiosyncratic productivity shocks
at the firm level) is calibrated to moments on the micro data on firms’ investment and
financing decisions. We use the calibrated model economy to quantitatively assess the effects
of a reform that eliminates the taxation of corporate income while keeping constant the tax
revenue collected on capital. This is done by finding the common tax rate (τ) on all forms
of capital income (dividends τd, interest income τr, and capital gains τg) that collects the
same tax revenue as in the baseline economy. The purpose of the proposed policy reform is
twofold. Firstly, by equating the three tax rates we would be treating symmetrically all forms
of capital income from the household perspective. Secondly, by eliminating the corporate
tax, we allow financially constrained firms to accumulate profits and to reach maturity (the
dividend distribution stage) faster. Since under our proposed reform firms face higher taxes
on dividend distribution, the tax burden shifts from constrained firms (firms with high
marginal valuation of capital) to unconstrained firms (firms with low marginal valuation of
capital). We find that the elimination of the corporate income tax in the baseline economy
(τc = 0.34) should be accompanied by an increase in the other capital income tax rates to
0.39 in order to keep government revenue constant (the dividend and capital gains tax in the
baseline economy were set to 0.15 and the interest income tax was set to 0.25). This revenue
neutral tax reform leads to an increase in aggregate output of 13.6%, which is accompanied
by a large increase in the aggregate capital stock (35%) and in the number of firms (39.3%).
Note that the fact that aggregate capital and output rise less than the number of firms
indicates that the average size of firms is smaller after the tax reform. Hence, the large
response of firm entry to the tax reform drives the large increase in aggregate output and
capital.
At the heart of our results is that the tax reform increases more the expected value at
entry than the value of incumbent firms, leading to a reallocation of resources from mature
to younger firms, that operates through an increase in entry and in the equilibrium wage
rate. The elimination of corporate income taxation allows financially constrained firms to
retain a larger fraction of their earnings and increase their investments. The ability to retain
earnings is particularly relevant for young firms, which are more likely to be constrained than
the average incumbent firm in the economy. Since the value at entry is determined by the
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average value of age-0 firms, we find that the value of the average firm entering the economy
increases more than that of incumbent firms when corporate inome taxation is eliminated.
In general equilibrium, the increase in the value of entry requires the wage rate to rise, which
reduces labor demand by incumbent firms. Labor market clearing requires a larger mass of
firm entry, which rises by about 39.3%. Larger firm entry, together with a reallocation of
resources to financially constraint firms, lead to an increase in aggregate TFP of 5.2%.
Our model economy builds on Gourio and Miao (2010), who study the impact of divi-
dend taxation on firms investment and payout decisions. We contribute by comparing alter-
native forms of capital income taxation and by extending their analysis to incorporate three
key features for our results: life cycle (endogenous entry), financial frictions, and corporate
income taxes. In particular, we emphasize the importance of the life cycle of firms for un-
derstanding how taxation affects investment incentives of firms. Korinek and Stiglitz (2009)
build a theory of the life cycle of firms for understanding the impact of dividend taxation but
abstract from corporate income taxation and firm entry. McGrattan and Prescott (2005)
and Atesagaoglu (2012) study how corporate income taxation affect the market valuation
of firms in environments with a representative firm. Conesa and Domınguez (2013) advo-
cate for the elimination of corporate income taxation in a Ramsey optimal taxation exercise
with a representative firm, with no financial frictions and no firm entry/exit. Similar to us,
Anagnostopoulos et al. (2015) evaluate the gains of eliminating corporate income taxation in
a model with firm heterogeneity and household heterogeneity. We abstract from household
heterogeneity but contribute by focusing on firm entry and the life cycle of firms, which turn
out to be key for the large quantitative effects of our tax reform and which Haltiwanger
et al. (2013) emphasize as crucial for understanding the dynamics of employment growth in
the US. The financial crises has sparked the importance of the literature analyzing the role
of financial frictions in business cycle fluctuations. Papers in this literature include Coo-
ley and Quadrini (2001), Khan and Thomas (2013), Jermann and Quadrini (2012) (among
many others). Our results suggest that the design of capital income taxation may affect the
propagation of business cycle shocks.
An outline of the paper follows. In Section 2 we present and analyze simple version
of our baseline model economy in which firms do not face idiosyncratic shocks to their
productivity. We use it to illustrate how different forms of taxing capital income affect
investment and payout policies over the life cycle of firms, the value of firms to its share
holders, and firm entry. In Section 3 we present our baseline model economy of firm dynamics
and taxation of capital income, calibrate it, and perform our main quantitative exercise. We
evaluate a tax reform that eliminates corporate income taxes while keeping constant revenue
from capital income. We analyze its impact on macroeconomic aggregates as well as on firms
decisions on investment and payout policies over the life cycle. Section 4 concludes.
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2 A Simple Deterministic Model Economy
Our baseline model extends the Hopenhayn and Rogerson (1993) framework of firm dynamics
to study taxation of corporate capital income. Time is continuous. Each firm may exit the
economy with some fixed probability. The entry of new firms is endogenous. Firms can
finance investment with retained profits, equity issuance, and debt. Firms face adjustment
costs in capital. Following Cooley and Quadrini (2001) and Gomes (2001), firms face financial
frictions: borrowing is limited by a collateral constraint and equity issuance is costly. There
is a representative household that owns all firms. There is a large number of firms so that
the representative consumer does not face any uncertainty. As in Gourio and Miao (2010),
households pay taxes on dividends (τd), interest income (τr), and capital gains taxes (τg).2
In addition, corporations pay taxes on corporate profits (τc) so that capital income is taxed
both at the firm and household level.
In this section, we illustrate the key ideas in our paper in deterministic version of our
baseline model economy that abstracts from adjustment costs in capital.
2.1 The problem of a firm.
We assume that when firms are created, they draw a productivity z that stays fixed over
the lifetime of a firm. Firms exit exogenously the economy at a rate δd. The economy is a
steady state with an after tax interest rate equal to r(1− τr) = ρ, where ρ is the rate of time
preference of the representative household (investor).
Each firm produce output with a decreasing returns to scale production function in
capital and labor inputs: f(z, k, n) = z1−α−ηkαnη. Profits are given by
π(z, k) = maxn{f(z, k)− wn− δk}
The flow constraint is
k = (1− τc)π(z, k)− d+ (1− ξ)e,
where d and e denote dividend distribution and equity issued by firms. We assume that equity
issuance is costly. There is a cost ξ per unit of equity issued, so the resources available are
e(1− ξ).Consider a firm with fix z. The market value (V ), the dividends( d) paid, and the
equity issued e are deterministic functions of the age of the firm t. However, we do not
2While in the US capital gains are taxed upon realization, we follow standard practice in the literature bymodeling capital gains taxation on an accrual basis. This modeling choice simplifies the analysis considerableand allow us to derive our results in a more transparent way.
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explicitly index these variables with a subscript t to simplify the notation (unless there is
some risk of confusing the reader). Taking as given investment and financial policies, the
market value of the firm V satisfies that the after tax rate of return on equity equates the
investor rate of discount ρ:
ρ =d(1− τd)
V+V − eV
(1− τg)−δdV
V(1− τg), (1)
where V represents the rate of change of V with respect to time (age of the firm). Note
that increases in share values due to equity issuance are not taxable. Firm exit give rise
to negative capital losses that are tax deductible. The above no-arbitrage equation can be
re-arranged as (ρ
1− τg+ δd
)V =
1− τd1− τg
d− e+ V .
Denote m = ρ1−τg . Then, the solution to this first-order linear differential equation on V
gives the integral in (2). The problem of the firm in state (k,z) is then to choose investment
and financial policy to maximize:
V (k, z) ≡ max
∫ ∞0
e−(m+δd)t
{1− τd1− τg
d− e}dt (2)
subject to:
k = (1− τc)π(z, k)− d+ (1− ξ)ed ≥ 0, e ≥ 0, k0 given
Associate the present-value multipliers e−(m+δd)λt to the flow of funds constraint,
e−(m+δd)µet to the non-negativity constraint on equity issuance, and e−(m+δd)µdt to the non-
negativity on dividend distribution. Then, the FOC from the Maximum Principle imply:
λ =1− τd1− τg
+ µd (3)
(1− ξ)λ+ µe = 1 (4)
λ [m+ δd − (1− τc)π′(z, k)] = λ (5)
k = (1− τc)π(z, k)− d+ e(1− ξ) (6)
µd ≥ 0, µdtd ≥ 0, d ≥ 0 (7)
µe ≥ 0, µete ≥ 0, e ≥ 0 (8)
limt→∞
e−(m+δd)tλtkt = 0 (transversality) (9)
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Conditions (3) and (7), imply that the shadow value of funds λ ≥ 1−τd1−τg , with equality
if dividends are strictly positive. Conditions (4) and (8), imply that the shadow value of
funds λ ≤ 11−ξ , with equality if equity issuance is strictly positive. In sum, the shadow value
of funds satisfies λ ∈[
1−τd1−τg ,
11−ξ
].
2.2 Entry, optimal initial equity, and time to maturity
As in Hopenhayn and Rogerson (1993), firms pay a fixed cost ce to draw a productivity
z from an exogenous probability density ge. We assume that the firm decides the initial
amount of capital k0(z) after observing the productivity draw z. The value of entry is then
given by
V e =
∫ ∞0
V (k0(z), z)ge(z)dz = ce, (10)
where the second equality states that in a steady state equilibrium the value of entry should
be equal to the entry cost. The wage rate adjusts to ensure that this is the case. The mass
of firms entering the economy is determined by the labor market clearing condition:∫ ∞0
e−δdt∫ ∞
0
n(z, kt)g(k, z)dzdt = 1,where g satisfies (11)
0 = −∂k (s(k, z)g(k, z))− δdg(k, z) +Mge(z)Ik=k0(z),
where nt(z, k) and g(k, z) denote the optimal labor demand and the mass of firms in state
(k, z).
Consider a firm with productivity z that raises capital (equity) k0 when newly created.
The firm will accumulate capital until it reaches the optimal amount of capital k∗(z) (for
now we take k∗(z) as given, but in the next subsection of the paper we determine the optimal
scale of the firm). Once the firm reaches its optimal scale, it will start distributing dividends
until it dies. The age (T) at which the firm starts distributing dividends solves the following
equation:
(1− τc)∫ T
0
π(z, kt)dt+ k0 = k∗. (12)
The above equation defines an implicit function T (k0, z) characterizing the age when a firm
matures (starts distributing dividends) as a function of its net worth at entry (age 0). Since
an increase in initial capital k0 increases the profits accumulated by the firm over time, the
firm takes a shorter period to reach maturity. Formally, differentiating (12) with respect to
initial capital k0 yields
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dT
dk0
= −1 + (1− τc)
∫ T0π′(z, kt)
dktdk0dt
(1− τc)π(z, kT )< 0. (13)
In words, if initial capital k0 is greater, everything else held constant, the time to reach
maturity decreases.
We now focus on determining the optimal amount of initial equity. For a fixed value
of k0, we compute T from (12). Equations (3)- (7) imply that the shadow value of funds at
age T satisfies λ(T ) = 1−τd1−τg . Integrating (5) between 0 and T (k) gives
λ(0) =1− τd1− τg
e∫ T0 [(1−τc)π′(z,kt)−(m+δd)]dt (14)
The function inside the integral in (14) has a positive sign for all t < T , is equal to 0 at
T, and is decreasing on k0 (due to decreasing returns to capital accumulation). Moreover, T
is a decreasing function of k0 . As a result, it is easy to see that λ(0) is a decreasing function
of k0. The optimal value of initial equity is obtained by solving λ(0) = 1 + ξ.
The value of a firm with initial capital (equity) k0 satisfies
V (k0, z) =
∫ ∞T (k0,z)
1− τd1− τg
e−(m+δd)td∗(z)dt =1− τd1− τg
d∗(z)e−(m+δd)T (k0,z)
m+ δd(15)
where m = ρ1−τg is determined by the capital gains tax rate. Note that another way of solving
for the optimal amount of initial equity is
maxk0
V (k0, z)−1
1− ξk0, (16)
which implies
V ′(k0, z) =1− τd1− τg
d∗(z)e−(m+δd)T (k0,z)(−1)dT
dk0
=1
1− ξ(17)
Since V is a concave function of net worth, it follows that the solution for initial equity is
unique.
2.3 The life cycle of a firm
The previous discussion highlights that, as in Korinek and Stiglitz (2009), firms in our simple
model firms face three distinct phases during their life cycle: equity issuance phase, growth
phase, and dividend distribution phase.
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• Equity issuance phase. The first stage occurs when firms are created. Firms start
with zero net worth. In order to operate they need to raise equity at age 0 so that
e0 > 0. The Kuhn Tucker complementarity slackness condition (8) imply that µe0 = 0
so that (4) implies that the shadow value of assets at age 0 is given by λ0 = 11−ξ . The
non-negativity constraint on dividend distribution binds (µd0 > 0) so that firms do not
distribute dividends. The amount of initial equity raised is such that:
(1− τc)π′(z, k0) > m+ δd (18)
By equation (5), once the firm is set up and λ0 = 11−ξ , the next instant the value of
the multiplier is decreasing,i.e.limt→0+ λt <1
1−ξ . Otherwise, condition (18) implies
that limt→0+ λt >1
1−ξ , which violates the non-negativity of µet (see equation (4)). This
phase would fall within the so-called ‘traditional view’, where firms are using equity
issuance as the marginal source of financing.
• Growth phase. When firms start operation (immediately after age 0), the continuity
of λt together with (18) imply that the shadow value of net worth decreases since
(1 − τc)π′(z, kt) > m + δd for t > 0 in the right neighborhood of t = 0 (λt). Newly
created firms start operation and retain earnings in order to increase their net worth.
As net worth grows, the shadow value of funds decreases relaxing the non-negativity
constraint on dividends (its multiplier decreases).
• Dividend distribution phase. Firms reach the dividend distribution phase (matu-
rity) when the shadow value of funds reaches the value 1−τd1−τg . At this stage, the marginal
source of funds is retained earnings, and its marginal cost equals the marginal benefit of
distributing dividends. Growth ceases when firms reach a steady state with a constant
capital (k∗) and constant dividend distribution d∗ satisfying
(1− τc)π′(z, k∗) = m+ δd (19)
(1− τc)π(z, k∗) = d∗ (20)
2.4 Discussion on taxation and the life cycle of firms.
We now discuss, for a fixed wage rate, the effects of taxes on the life cycle of firms. To
analyze the effects of taxes on mature firms we use that in steady state m = r(1−τr)1−τg and
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r = ρ1−τr , (19)-(20) to obtain:
(1− τc)π′(z, k∗) =ρ
1− τg+ δd (21)
(1− τc)π(z, k∗) = d∗, (22)
Equations (21) and (22) determine the optimal level of capital (k∗) and dividends (d∗) by
mature firms. The value of a mature firm with productivity z is
V mature(z) =1− τd
ρ+ δd(1− τg)d∗. (23)
Using (15), m = ρ/(1−τg) implies that the value of an age-0 firm with productivity z satisfies
V new(z) =1− τd
ρ+ δd(1− τg)e−( ρ
1−τg+δd)T (k0,z) d∗ (24)
Below we use (21)-(24) to evaluate the impact of capital income taxation on mature
firms and on the market value of mature firms relative to that of age-0 firms.
Dividend taxation (τd) The tax rate on dividend distribution does not affect equations
(21) and (22). It is then immediate that dividend taxation has no impact on capital and
dividends paid by mature firms, a that result is consistent with the “new view” of the public
finance literature. When the firm is indifferent between using its marginal unit of funds as
dividend or investment, a change in the dividend tax rate has proportional effects in the
benefits and cost of investment. As a result, investment decisions and dividend payouts of
mature firms are unaffected by the dividend tax rate. However, the dividend tax reduces
the market value of mature firms (it changes proportionally with the term 1− τd, as shown
in (23)).
Paradoxically, the dividend tax rate affects capital accumulation when firms are not
paying dividends. This is because the lower value of the firm to shareholders reduces the
optimal amount of initial equity (see equation (17)), retarding the age at which firms reach
maturity. Intuitively, the firm can effectively diminish the taxes paid by reducing (initial)
equity issuance and by financing investment with retained earnings. The fact that the firm
reaches maturity at a later age, implies that dividend tax rate decreases the market value of
firms at entry more than at maturity (in (24) the increase in T caused by dividend taxation
further reduces the value of entry).
In sum, while dividend taxation does not distort the optimal scale and payouts of
mature firms, it distorts the initial scale of operation of firms, diminishing capital accumu-
lation along the life cycle and the age at which firms reach maturity. Moreover, in general
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equilibrium dividend taxation negatively affects the creation of businesses (entry).
Taxation of capital gains (τg) Taxation of capital gains (τg) reduces capital and dividend
distribution of mature firms since it increases the cost of equity financing ( ρ1−τg ). As a result,
the optimal amount of capital at maturity decreases (see equation (21) ) and so does the
dividends distributed (see equation (22)). The decrease in dividends imply a decrease in the
market value of mature firms.3
Relative to mature firms, the tax rate on capital gains τg has an additional effect on
the market value of new firms (see (24)): It increases the rate of discount of dividends
( ρ1−τg + δd). As a result, the taxation of capital gains incentivize firms to issue more equity
at entry so that the time to maturity diminishes and the firm value rises.4 Intuitively, by
raising more equity at entry, they avoid paying taxes on capital gains that would accrue
with the accumulation of internal funds. Hence, the capital gains tax encourages new firms
to finance investment with external funds. Note that this result is the opposite of what we
found for dividend taxation. Recall that, in order to minimize taxes on dividends, dividend
taxation encourages young firms to finance investment with internal funds.
Corporate income taxation (τc) Corporate income taxation reduces capital accumula-
tion and dividends paid by firms. Intuitively, corporate income taxation reduces the after
tax benefit to capital (see left hand side of equation (21) ) but without reducing the cost of
funds to the firm. This effect reduces the optimal size ( k∗ decreases) and distributions (d∗)
by mature firms (see equation (22)). Lower dividends imply a decrease in the market value
of mature firms (see equation (15)) which, in turn, decreases the optimal amount of initial
equity (equation (17)). Hence, firms start their life with a smaller scale. Moreover, the firm
grows at a slower pace since the corporate income tax reduces the fraction of earnings that
the firm accumulates during its growth face in the life cycle (see equation (12)). The time
to reach maturity may increase or not with corporate income taxation since there are two
opposite forces at work: While the firm grows more slowly, the optimal scale of the firm at
maturity is smaller. In our computational experiments, we shall find that the first effect is
stronger so that firms take a longer time to mature.
It is important to note that the decrease in d∗ associated with corporate income taxation
3Note that τg enters in the denominator of (23). This expression represents that the market value ofmature firms increase with τg because the tax code in our model ecomnomy allows for a tax credit associatedto the death of the firm. Quantitatively, this effect will likely have a small effect on the market value of firmsif the death rate is small. As a result, we should expect the market value of mature firms to move togetherwith d∗. This will always be the case if we assume that there are no tax credit associated to the capitallosses upon death of firms.
4The time to reach maturity diminishes because of a second effect: The optimal amount of capitaldiminishes with the capital gains tax rate.
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reduces proportionally the market value of firms at entry and at maturity. In addition,
for a fixed amount of initial equity, the corporate income tax makes it harder for firms
to accumulate retained earnings, retarding the age at which firms reach maturity. This
additional effect implies that corporate income taxation affects more negatively the market
value of firms at entry than at maturity. The asymmetric effect on market valuations at
entry and at maturity implies that the corporate income tax discourages entry, an effect
that will play an important role in the tax reform that we analyze in the next section of the
paper.
Quantitative illustration We parameterize the simple model in order to illustrate the
discussion on how various forms of taxing capital income affect the life cycle of firms.5 We
simulate in partial equilibrium (e.g. fixed wage rate) the life cycle of a firm in three different
scenarios: under the baseline parametrization, and after an increase of 5 percentage points
of each of the tax rates, maintaining everything else constant. Figure 1 plots the life cycle
profile of capital for the four cases considered. Consistent with our discussion above, we
find that firms start their life cycle with a lower amount of capital when they are subject
to dividend or corporate income taxation. The initial level of capital is slightly below under
dividend taxation than corporate income taxation. While the level of capital at maturity
is not affected by dividend taxation, it is negatively affected by corporate income taxation.
This is the key factor explaining why it takes the firm about one more year to reach maturity
under dividend taxation, despite the fact that the firm is able to accumulate capital faster
under dividend taxation than corporate income taxation. The latter explains why the age
profile of capital in the figure is steeper under dividend taxation than corporate taxation.
It is interesting to compare the effects of dividend taxation with those of capital gains
taxation. While dividend taxation does not distort capital accumulation of mature firms, it
has a large negative impact on the initial amount of equity at entry. In this way the firm
finance a larger portion of its investment over the life cycle with internal funds, diminishing
the present value of taxes paid on dividends. Capital gains taxes do precisely the opposite.
They encourage firms to finance a bigger fraction of their investment with external equity,
diminishing firm growth over the life cycle, and the present value of taxes paid on capital
gains. In terms of capital accumulation, the tradeoff is between distorting investments prior
to becoming mature (dividend taxation) versus distorting the optimal scale at maturity
(capital gains taxation). The corporate income tax distorts investments all over the life
cycle.
5We set the following parameters for the production function α = 0.3 × 0.85, η = 0.7 × 0.85. Thedepreciation of capital is fixed as δ = 0.05 and the rate of time preference is set so that the steady stateinterest rate is 4% (r = 0.04). The equity issuance cost is set to 0.10. The wage rate is fixed at 1. Taxes inbaseline are τc = 0.34, τd = 0.15, τg = 0.15 and τr = 0.25
13
Figure 1: Life Cycle of Firm
11.
52
2.5
3C
apita
l
0 2 4 6 8Years
Baseline Δ τc=5ppΔ τd=5pp Δ τg=5pp
Life cycle of three identical firms in equilibriums with different taxes. Blue is the
baseline: τc = 0.34, τd = 0.15, τg = 0.15 and τr = 0.25. Changes after an increase
of 5pp of each of the tax rates, maintaining everything else constant.
General equilibrium Changes in the taxation of capital income also have general equi-
librium effects that involve changes in the mass of entry of firms and the wage rate. Consider
the effects of corporate income taxes on entry. Since corporate income taxation makes it
hard for firms to retain earnings, it makes the impact of financial frictions on new firms
more severe that the one of dividend taxation. As a result, a switch from corporate income
to dividend taxation increases the value of the firm at entry more than the ones of mature
(or incumbent) firms. In general equilibrium, the free entry condition implies that the wage
should increase, leading incumbent firms to hire less workers. Equilibrium in the labor mar-
ket then requires an increase in the number of firms that is attained through higher entry
of firms. This mechanism points that, in general equilibrium, the corporate income tax acts
as a barrier to entry . We will quantitatively analyze these effects in the next section of the
paper.
3 The Stochastic Model Economy
We extend the simple model as follows. Time is still continuous6. Following the standard the-
ory of investment, we introduce adjustment costs in capital and uncertainty in productivity.
6 Achdou et al. (2017) advocate the use of continuous time models for analyzing heterogeneous agentmodels. We extend their methods to a model of firm dynamics with financial frictions.
14
Physical capital evolves according to
k = x− δk.
and the resource cost of investing x is given by x+ Ψx2
2k, where the second term reflects the
presence of adjustment costs in capital.
The productivity z of a firm follows a geometric Brownian Motion
dz = µzdt+ σzdW, (25)
where µ determines the drift and dW is a Wiener process. Since productivity follows a
geometric Brownian motion, large firms in our model follow Gibrat’s Law and growth rates
are independent of firm size. Empirical research, such as Hall (1987), suggests that Gibrat’s
law is a good approximation for firms that are not too small (see also Gabaix (2009)).
Similar specification of the productivity shocks has been widely used in the literature on
firm dynamics (see Atkeson and Kehoe (2005), Luttmer (2007), Da-Rocha et al. (2017),
among many others). Nonetheless, in Appendix C of the paper we consider the robustness
of our results to an alternative specification in which productivity follows an autoregressive
process.
The flow of a firm at time t in state (k, z) with investing expenditures x is given by
d− e(1− ξ) = (1− τc)π(k, z)− x−Ψkx2
2k, (26)
where
π(k, z) = maxn{y(k, n, z)− wn}.
The firm in state (k, z) solves the following optimal control problem:
v(k, z) = maxE0
∫ ∞0
{1− τd1− τg
d− e}e−(m+δd)tdt (27)
subject to:
dz = µzdt+ σzdW (28)
k = x− δk (29)
d− e(1− ξ) = (1− τc)π(k, z)− x−Ψkx2
2k+ τcδk. (30)
where m + δd is the rate at which the firm discount future payments to/from shareholders
when acting in their interest (see Appendix A).
15
Then, the Hamiltonian-Jacobi-Bellman equation of a firm satisfies:
(m+ δd)v(k, z) = max1− τd1− τg
d− e+ ∂kv(k, z)k + µzz∂zv(k, z) +(zσ)2
2∂zzv(k, z). (31)
We assume that upon entry firms draw the initial productivity z0 from a Pareto dis-
tribution:
ge(z0) =
ε1
zε+10
if z0 > 1
0 otherwise.(32)
The initial amount of equity raised by a firm that draws z solves the following problem:
k0(z0) = arg maxk0
{v(k0, z0)− 1
(1− ξ)k0} (33)
Then, the value of entry for a firm that draws z can be expressed as
ve(z0) = v(k0(z0), z0)− 1
(1− ξk0 (34)
In equilibrium the free entry condition requires
V e ≡∫ ∞
1
ve(z0)ge(z0)dz0 =
∫ ∞1
ve(z0)ε1
zε+10
≤ ce, (35)
with strict equality if there is positive entry.
The distribution of firms depends on firms investment and entry decisions. The measure
g of firms in state (k, z) satisfies:
0 = −∂k (s(k, z)g(k, z))− ∂z (µzzg(k, z)) +σ2z
2∂zzg(k, z)− δdg(k, z) +Mge(z)Ik=k0(z), (36)
where s = k = x− δk and M denotes the mass of firms entering the economy.
We assume that there is a representative household that owns the market portfolio
of firms. Households supply labor to firms, receive dividends, buy/sell shares of firms, and
trade bonds. Since households do not face uncertainty on their savings, in equilibrium there
is a no arbitrage condition (see Appendix A for its derivation) that equates the after-tax
return in bonds to the expected after-tax return in each firm.
The representative household maximizes discounted lifetime utility subject to the in-
16
tertemporal budget constraint
max{ct}
∫ ∞0
e−ρtu(ct)dt (37)
subject to: (38)∫ ∞0
e−r(1−τr)t(c− w − T ) = a0, (39)
a0 =
∫v(k, z)g(k, z)dkdz (40)
where a0 is the period-0 market value of all firms. In steady state equilibrium, rt(1− τr) = ρ
and ct = c ∀t. Note that given that firms can’t borrow, the assumption of a representative
consumer implies that bonds are in zero net supply b0 = 0 and households make zero interest
income.
Definition of steady state equilibrium Given a fiscal policy (τr, τc, τg, T ), a steady
state equilibrium is given by value functions for incumbent firms (v(k, z)), value of entry
V e, prices (w, r), firms policy functions on employment (n), investment in physical (x)
and financial policies (d,e) , initial equity k0, mass of entry M , measure of firms g(k, z),
consumption c and initial household assets a0 such that:
1. Given prices, the value function v(k, z) satisfy the HJB equation of the firm and firm
decisions (n, x, d, e) are optimal.
2. V e satisfy the free entry condition (35).
3. The government budget constraint is satisfied (all tax revenue is rebated back to con-
sumers as a lump sum transfer).
4. Household maximize utility taking as given government transfer, prices, and initial
wealth, which implies that steady state consumption is equal to permanent income:
c = ρa0 + w + T
5. Labor, bonds, and goods market clear∫n(k, z)g(k, z)dkdz = 1
c+ ceM +
∫ [x+ ψ
x2
k
]g(k, z)dkdz =
∫z1−α−γkαnγg(k, z)dkdz (41)
17
3.1 Firms’ Policies and its Life Cycle
The financial and investment policy of firms can be characterized using the FOC from the
HJB. The Lagrangean associated to the maximization problem in the HJB equation can be
written as:
L =1− τd1− τg
d− e+ ∂kv(k, z)(x− δk) + ∂zv(k, z)µz +(zσ)2
2∂zzv(k, z) + λdd+ λee+ ...
λk
{(1− τc)π(k, z)− x−Ψ
x2
2k− d+ (1− ξ)e
},
where λk represents the shadow price of capital (Tobin’s marginal q), λd and λe are the
multipliers on the non-negativity condition on dividends and equity issuance. The opti-
mal decisions on dividend distribution, equity issuance and investment should satisfy the
following conditions:
d :1− τd1− τg
+ λd − λk = 0 (42)
e : −1 + λe − λk(1− ξ) = 0 (43)
x : ∂kv(k, z)− λk[1 + Ψ
x
k
]= 0 (44)
KT : λdd = 0, λee = 0, λd, λe, d, e ≥ 0, (45)
where (45) are the complementarity slackness conditions from Kuhn-Tucker.
The shadow price of capital (λk) determines the financial policy of the firm. It is easy to
see that λk is bounded above by the cost of raising external funds ( 11−ξ ) and bounded below
by the after tax dividends received by the shareholder. In the former case the firm issues
equity and in the latter case it distributes dividends. Tax policy (e.g. when τd 6= τg) and
financial frictions create a wedge between these two bounds leading to an inaction region.
Indeed, when the shadow value of capital is in between these two bounds the firm does
not distribute dividends nor does it issue equity. In this case, the firm finances all of its
investment with retained earnings and all earnings are used to finance investment. Optimal
investment satisfy:
x =
[∂kv(k, z)
λk− 1
]k
Ψwhere λk ∈
[1− τd1− τg
,1
1− ξ
](46)
As in modern q theory, investment is an increasing function of the marginal value of
installed capital. Financial frictions imply that investment is also affected by the shadow
price of capital (λk). The rate of investment or disinvestment depends on the ratio between
the marginal value of capital and the shadow cost of funds. If this ratio is above 1, investment
18
rate is positive. If its below 1, the firm disinvests. For a fixed, marginal value of installed
capital,the concavity of the value function implies that investment is a decreasing function
of the shadow price of capital λk. The shadow cost of funds depends on the financial regime
of the firm. When equity issuance is the marginal source of funds, λk = 11−ξ . When the
firm distributes dividends, λk = 1−τd1−τg and the firm is indifferent between using the last unit
of earnings to finance dividend distribution or investment. When λk ∈(
1−τd1−τg ,
11−ξ
)firms do
not issue equity nor distribute dividends. In this case, all available funds are used to finance
investment.
Figure 2: Policy functions for different Z
A: Investment
0 10 20 30 40 50 60Assets
-90
-80
-70
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
Inve
stm
ent
Investment Policy
B: Net Payout (Dividends-Equity)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60Assets
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Div
iden
ds -
Equi
ty Is
s.
Payout Policy
Investment and payout policy (y-axis) by level of assets (x-axis) for different levels of productivity. Each parallel line
corresponds to a level of productivity.
Figure 2 plots the investment and financial policy as a function of the capital installed
by firms in our calibrated model economy. Each line in the figures correspond to a firm
with different a level of productivity. It is instructive to consider the life cycle of a firm that
enters the economy with a fixed productivity level z . If the initial level of installed capital
is low enough, optimal investment is an inverted U-shaped function of capital (see Panel A).
An increase in installed capital has two opposite effects on optimal investment (see equation
(46)). On the one hand, the marginal value of capital to the firm decreases (∂kv(k, z) ↓),thereby pushing investment down. On the other hand, the presence of adjustment costs
imply that the cost of investment decreases with the level of installed capital. This effect
explains why the optimal level of investment initially rises with capital (as reflected by the
positive effect that the term k outside the straight bracket in (46) has on x). The first force
dominates at low levels of capital and the second force at high levels of capital, explaining
19
the inverted U-shaped of investment as a function of capital. Note that a (young) firm with
low level of capital finance investment by issuing equity (see Panel B). As capital increases,
the firm makes more profits and can finance a bigger fraction of investment with retained
earnings. The firm fully finance investment with retained earnings when installed capital
becomes sufficiently large, thereby avoiding external financing costs. Once firms finance
all investment with internal funds, the investment policy becomes an increasing function
of installed capital (and earnings) until the firm reaches its optimal level of capital. This
occurs when the level of capital is such that the shadow price of capital equates the after-tax
value of dividend distribution to the shareholders. At this point, the firms starts distributing
dividends. Higher values of installed capital then lead to higher dividend distribution and
to lower investment. When installed capital is large enough, investment becomes negative
as the firm finds it optimally to disinvest in order to finance dividend distribution.
In the presence of uncertainty, shocks to firms productivity may change their financial
and investment policies. A firm that is increasing its capital and issuing equity, may stop
doing so if productivity decreases. When productivity decreases by a large amount, the
firm may even start distributing dividends and disinvesting. Conversely, an increase in
productivity may move back the firm to the equity issuance and investment regime.
3.2 Quantitative Analysis
3.2.1 Calibration
The calibration targets aggregate and firm level data from the US economy. In principle,
our goal is to target all US businesses that pay corporate income taxes. The calibration re-
quires targeting “dynamic moments” from US firms, such as average firm growth, volatility
and autocorrelation of investment rates over time. We follow Gourio and Miao (2010) in
using Compustat data to pin down these calibration targets. Nonetheless, we should keep
in mind that the Compustat data covers publicly traded firms that only represent a small
subset of US corporations. We thus also target cross-sectional data on the size distribution
of businesses from US Census Bureau. Now, the universe of US businesses include private
pass-through businesses that are not subject to the US corporate income tax (S corpora-
tions, partnerships).7 Since most of these businesses tend to be small, as a compromise we
target data on the size distribution of businesses that includes businesses with more than 50
employees. We divide the set of parameters to be calibrated in two groups.
Parameters assigned without solving the model. We use data from the Internal
Revenue Service for the year 2015 to set the tax parameters. We set the corporate income tax
7Developing a theory of organizational choice (pass through entities versus C corporations) is outsidethe scope of the current paper. See Dyrda and Pugsley (2018) for a theory of organizational choice.
20
rate to 34% (τc = 0.34)8 We set the capital gains tax rate to 0.15 (τg = 0.15), the dividend tax
rate to 0.15 (τd = 0.15), and the interest income tax rate to 0.25 (τr = 0.25) to the marginal
Federal taxes faced by a married couple with the average household income in the US. We
assume that households discount future utility at an annual rate of 0.0375 (ρ = 0.0375) so
that the (before tax) steady state return on capital is 5%, consistent with the estimates of
the return on capital by Cooley and Prescott (1995). The parameters on the production
function are set to standard values in the literature: the profit share is set to 0.15, with 70%
of the remaining share going to labor and 30% to capital (α = 0.85∗0.3, η = 0.85∗0.7), as in
Midrigan and Xu (2014). The depreciation rate of capital is set at 0.05 per year (δk = 0.05).
Based on data from US Census Bureau’s Business Dynamic Statistics (BDS), the average
annual exit rate of firms with more than 50 employees is 4.6% so we set δd = 0.046. Using
data from Thomson Reuter’s Securities Data Company (SDC) Platinum, we find that during
the period 1995-2015 the total costs of equity issuance as a percentage of proceeds is about
7%9. This is computed following closely the procedure of Lee et al. (1996) for IPO firms. It
is somewhat smaller than the ones reported by Hennessy and Whited (2007), who estimated
equity issuance cost in the range of 8.3% to 10.1%. We thus set the cost of raising external
fund to 0.07 (ξ = 0.07). Nonetheless, we assume that firms raising their initial capital at
entry face a higher equity issuance cost ξe. This parameter will be determined later by
simulating the model economy. As we shall see our calibration requires that ξe > 0.07 in
order to match the equity issuance by incumbent firms.
Parameters assigned by solving the model. It remains to assign the parameters
driving the stochastic process on productivity (µz, σz), the parameter Ψ driving adjustments
costs, the productivity distribution of firms that enter the economy and their cost of raising
external capital. We assume that firms that enter draw the initial productivity from a
Pareto distribution with tail parameter ηp and a location parameter 1 (the lowest possible
productivity is one). We normalize the wage rate to 1 and set the fixed cost of entry equal
to the value of entry.
Targeted moments. Although the endogenous equilibrium outcomes of interest will
be jointly determined by all of these parameters, each of these parameters is intuitively
connected with a particular moment of interest. The parameter µz will be closely connected
with firm growth and σz with the variance of investment. The parameter Ψ is closely
related to the correlation of investment rates across two consecutive years and the parameter
determining the Pareto tail with the size distribution of businesses. Finally, the cost of raising
initial equity is closely connected to the amount of external finance by incumbent firms. With
8The progressive rate structure of the Federal corporate tax in the US is designed such that it producesa flat 34% tax rate on incomes from $335,000 to $10,000,000, gradually increasing to a flat rate of 35% onincomes above.
9See Appendix B.2 for more details on the data and computation.
21
these connection in mind we target the following statistics:
1. An average annual employment growth of 2.1%.
2. The volatility of the investment rate (x/k) among firms of 0.059.
3. The autocorrelation of investment rates between two consecutive years of 0.57.
4. The ratio of equity issuance by incumbent firms to investment of 12.6%.
5. The size distribution of businesses, computed using data from BDS and reported in
Table 2.
The first 4 targets were computed using Compustat data from over the period 1995-
2015.10 For the reasons previously discussed, in computing the size distribution of businesses
we abstracted from small businesses in the BDS and focused on businesses with more that
50 employees. Tables 1 and 2 show the parameter values and the calibration results.
Table 1: Calibration Baseline Economy
Parameter Description Valueψ Capital adjustment cost 0.09µ Productivity drift -0.00325σ Volatility of prod. shock 0.15ξe Financing cost at entry 0.30ηp Distribution of businesses 1
Parameter values and discussion. The model accounts well for the targeted mo-
ments. We now discuss how some key parameters help attaining the calibration targets.
The baseline economy matches the average employment growth of 2.1 percent in the data.
Recall that productivity in our model economy follows a geometric Brownian Motion with a
drift given by µ = µz + σ2z
211. Hence, the variance of shocks is a force driving firm growth.12
We find that the model economy accounts for the 2.1% in average employment growth with
µz = −0.00325. To measure the volatility of the investment rate and its autocorrelation
over time in our baseline economy, we first solve the model to compute the stationary dis-
tribution of firms. Then, we draw firms from this distribution and simulate them over the
year to compute annual investment rates. The annual volatility of the investment rate in
10See Appendix B.1 for more information about the data and variable construction.11This follows from Ito’s lemma, and the specification of the process of productivity growth in our model,
i.e. dlnz = µzdt+ σzdW12 Moreover, the distribution of productivity at entry is such that most businesses in our baseline economy
start their life with a low productivity level, not far from the minimum value of 1 which represents a lowbarrier on z.
22
Table 2: Calibration Results
Data ModelTarget
Avg. employment growth 0.02 0.02Volatility investment rate 0.059 0.054Autocorrelation invest. rate 0.57 0.59Eq. issuance incumbents/investment 0.13 0.13
Size Distribution of BusinessesNo. of Employees Fraction Data Fraction Model[50, 99) 0.53 0.50[100, 249) 0.29 0.22[250, 499) 0.089 0.13[500, 999) 0.0429 0.07[1000, 2499) 0.0265 0.047[2500, 4999) 0.0099 0.018[5000,∞) 0.0115 0.0057
Targeted moments in the data, and their respective counterpart in the model. Data comes from Com-
pustat, and BDS for the size distribution of businesses.
the baseline economy is 0.054, which is close to the value of 0.059 in the data. Matching
this target requires a significant variance in productivity since σz = 0.1513. The parame-
ter ψ = 0.07 is set to match the autocorrelation of annual investment rates over two years
across the stationary distribution of firms. This parameter is between the 0.049 estimated
by Cooper and Haltiwanger (2006) and the 1.08 value obtained by Gourio and Miao (2010).
The size distribution of businesses in the baseline economy is determined by the distribution
of businesses at entry and by the stochastic growth in productivity over the life cycle of
firms. The model accounts reasonably well for the size distribution of businesses, although
the match is not perfect. The model implies that 50 percent of business have less than 100
workers, and 22 percent of businesses employed between 100 workers and 250 workers. The
corresponding fractions in the data are 53 precent and 29 percent. The fraction of businesses
with more than 5000 employees are about 0.6 percent in the model economy and 1% in the
data14.
A crucial parameter in our model economy is given by the cost of external financing.
As in Korinek and Stiglitz (2009), financial frictions matter for the different financial regimes
13Nonetheless, recall that z in the production function is raised to the power of 0.15 so that the varianceof TFP is much smaller than the one in z. For instance, Gourio and Miao (2010) estimate a variance in TFPof 0.2, though in their model TFP follows an autoregressive process with persistence of about 0.8
14In the data, most large firms are multi-establishment, a fact that our model cannot account for. Thisis the main reason our model underpredicts mass in largest size category.
23
that firms go over their life cycle15. In particular, we want our model economy to be consistent
with data on firm growth, investment rates, and the fraction of investment financed raising
capital on the equity market. Recall, that the cost of external finance was set exogenously
at 7 percent using data from SDC Platinum. The model economy matches the 13 percent
target for the fraction of investment financed by equity issuance among incumbent firms.
To match this statistic the model requires that firms that entry face substantial financial
frictions. The baseline economy assumes that when firms enter the economy face equity
issuance costs of 0.30. Lower values of equity issuance costs at entry, will imply that firms
will raise a substantial amount of equity when they enter in order to invest a large amount
and avoid on expected adjustments costs in capital as they grow (in expectations) over their
life cycle. While we do not have data on the cost of raising external funds when firms
are created, we find that the cost of raising external funds in initial public offerings in the
SDC data is about 12%. Presumably, the cost of raising external funds when businesses
are actually created should be much larger. Moreover, our model assumes that firms learn
their productivity before making the initial investment in capital. Firms in our model would
invest less when they enter if they face some uncertainty on their initial productivity and
learn it over time. Hence, our calibrated equity issuance cost at entry may be capturing the
effects of information frictions that our model abstracts from.
Other non-targeted moments. The aggregate investment rate (x/k) in the model
economy is 0.096 somewhat above the 0.086 value from the National Income Accounts.
The model economy overstates the ratio of aggregate dividends to aggregate earnings in
Compustat (0.45 versus 0.098). This also happens in the model by Gourio and Miao (2010).
Perhaps, this should not be surprising since both model economies abstract from share
repurchases which is another way of dividend distribution. The model does a decent job
in matching the ratio of aggregate equity issuance to aggregate investment in the data
(0.15 versus 0.19). Moreover, the share of equity issuance by entrants relative to aggregate
investment is 0.037 in the data and 0.067 in the model.16
In Figure 3, we plot age profile of employment growth by firms 17 in the model and
the data. Although being an untargeted moment, the model captures quite well the sharp
decline in employment growth as firms age. In our model economy young firms are small
15Gourio and Miao (2010)’s model abstracts from financial frictions and life cycle. Firms in their modelgo through different financial regimes because of the differential tax treatment on dividends and capital gainsduring the year 2003.
16To measure the share of equity issuance by new entrants and by incumbents in Compustat, we sum upthe equity issuance of all firms that report doing an IPO in that same year on one side, and the rest of thefirms operating in that year on the other, and divide both by the sum of investment in capital expendituresof all firms.
17Unfortunately, age is not a variable available in Compustat, so we construct a proxy with the availabledata, and define age as years since their IPO.
24
Table 3: Non-targeted Moments
Variable Data ModelInvestment rate 0.086 0.096Dividends/Earnings 0.098 0.45Agg. eq. issuance/ agg. investment 0.15 0.19Eq issuance entrants/agg. investment 0.037 0.067
Non-targeted moments in the data, and their respective counterpart in the
model. Data moments from Compustat.
and constrained, so they grow fast at the beginning. As they age and accumulate internal
funds, they are likely to become less constrained and progressively reach their optimal size.
As a result, the age-profile of employment growth of firm is expected to decrease with age.
The fact that the baseline economy matches reasonably well the decline in the growth rate
of employment with age suggests that the model is not exaggerating the impact of financial
frictions on firm growth.
Figure 3: Employment growth by age in the model and the data.
0 5 10 15 20 25 30Age
-0.2
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
Ave
rage
Em
ploy
men
t Gro
wth
Employment Growth by Age
ModelData
Average employment growth by age. Data from Compustat, where age is computed
in the as years since IPO (see Appendix B.1).
3.3 Aggregate effects of reforming the taxation of capital income.
We now consider the long run effects of a tax reform that eliminates the taxation of corporate
income while keeping constant the tax revenue collected on capital income. This is done by
25
finding the common tax rate (τ) on all forms of capital income (dividends τd, interest income
τr, and capital gains τg) that collects the same tax revenue as in the baseline economy. The
purpose of the proposed policy reform is twofold. Firstly, by equating the three tax rates we
would be treating symmetrically all capital income from the household perspective. Secondly,
by eliminating the corporate tax, we allow financially constrained firms to accumulate profits
and to reach maturity (the dividend distribution stage) faster (in expectations).
We emphasize that the key insights from our simple model apply to the current stochas-
tic model. Financial frictions imply that firms start their life constrained. For fixed produc-
tivity, firms build internal equity over time, becoming less constrained and eventually will
start distributing dividends. Stochastic shocks imply that firms distributing dividends might
become liquidity constrained again if their productivity grows sufficiently over time, so that
the “life cycle process” is initiated again. By reducing the corporate tax and increasing the
dividend tax, our proposed tax reforms intends to shift the tax burden from liquidity con-
strained firms (with high marginal valuation of capital) to firms distributing dividends (with
low marginal valuation of capital). However, the effects of the reform are more involved
than it seems at first sight. This is because firms react to the higher dividend taxes by
diminishing initial equity, rising the likelihood that firms become liquidity constrained, and
(partly) reversing the gains pursued with the elimination of corporate income taxation (see
Section 2.4).18 To minimize these effects, our proposed tax reform involves raising capital
gains taxes together with dividend taxes. The rise in capital gains taxes encourages firms
to issue more equity in order to minimize taxes paid on capital gains, (partly) undoing the
distortions of dividend taxation on initial equity decisions (see discussion in Section 2.4).
To check for potential non-linearities in our results, we also consider a tax reform that
reduces the tax rate on corporate income to a half relative to the baseline economy (τc is
reduced from 0.34 to 0.17), again keeping aggregate revenue from capital income taxation
constant. To isolate the role of capital gains taxation from dividend taxation, we consider a
tax reform in which the corporate income tax is set at 0.17, but we only increase dividend
taxes to clear the government budget, while maintaining the other tax rates equal to their
baseline value.
Tax reform 1: Eliminate corporate income taxes
The results are shown on Table 4. We find that the elimination of the corporate income taxes
in the baseline economy (τc = 0.34) should be accompanied by an increase in capital income
taxes to 0.39 to keep government revenue constant (recall that in the baseline economy the
dividend and capital gains tax was set to 0.15 and the interest income tax was set to 0.25).
This revenue neutral tax reform leads to an increase in aggregate output of 13.6%, which
18 By financing a larger fraction of investments with internal funds, they reduce the cost of capital.
26
Table 4: Effects of Tax Reforms
Panel A: Aggregate Effects.
Output Capital TFP Mass Entry Wage Revenue Neutral Tax
1.- τc = 0 13.6 35.2 5.2 39.3 13.6 τd = τg = τr = 0.392.- τc = 0.17 8.1 20.1 3.1 22.7 8.1 τd = τg = τr = 0.283.- τc = 0.17 0.34 15.5 -3.3 -17.3 0.34 τd = 0.41, τg = 0.15, τr = 0.25
Panel B: Effects on Initial Size and Firm Value
Average Average Value Average Value Revenue Neutralk0 Entrants Incumbents Tax
1.- τc = 0 5.1 1.1 -1.4 τd = τg = τr = 0.392.- τc = 0.17 1.3 0.3 -1.0 τd = τg = τr = 0.283.- τc = 0.17 -10.2 -2.2 4.8 τd = 0.41, τg = 0.15, τr = 0.25
Percent changes from the baseline. Value of entrants is gross of initial equity payment. In each experiment, we decrease cor-
porate tax, but change other taxes such that the government revenue is constant. First row corresponds to Tax Reform 1
(τc = 0, τd = τg = τr = 0.39). Second row corresponds to Tax Reform 2 (τc = 0.17, τd = τg = τr = 0.28). The third row
corresponds to Tax Reform 3 (τc = 0.17, τd = 0.41, τg = 0.15, τr = 0.25).
is accompanied by a large increase in the aggregate capital stock (35.2%), in the number of
firms (39.3%), and in aggregate TFP (5.2%). Note that the fact that aggregate capital and
output rise less than the number of firms, indicates that both capital per firm and output
per firm decrease. The large response of firm entry to the tax reform is crucial for the large
increase in aggregate output and aggregate TFP.
It is interesting that the tax reform rises firm entry and wages at the same time.
The tax reform benefits constrained firms (firms with low capital relative to productivity),
regardless of their absolute level of productivity. Note that in Melitz (2003), the trade reform
benefits mostly large firms who are the ones that export due to the presence of fixed costs
of exporting. This asymmetric effect leads to a labor reallocation from small to large firms,
raising the equilibrium wage rate and reducing the number of firms. On the contrary, in our
model economy the tax reform affects symmetrically firms with different productivity levels
(z) at entry and leads to a large increase in entry.
Crucially for our results, the tax reform increases more the expected value of entry
(for all firms) than the value of incumbent firms, which leads to a reallocation of resources
from mature to younger firms, and hence to an increase in entry and in the equilibrium
wage rate. In understanding this result note that corporate income taxation has asymmetric
effects across firms depending on their financial regime. The elimination of corporate income
27
taxation allows financially constrained firms to retain a larger fraction of their earnings
and increase their investments. The ability to retain earnings is particularly relevant for
young firms, which are more likely to be constrained than the average incumbent firm in the
economy. Since the value of entry is determined by the average value of age-0 firms, this
observation explains why we find that, keeping fixed the wage of the baseline economy, the
value of the average firm entering the economy increases more than that of incumbent firms
(67% versus 62%) when corporate income taxation is eliminated. In general equilibrium,
the increase in the value of entry requires the wage rate to rise by about 13.6% in order to
restore the free entry condition. As a result, the value of entry does not change (it is fixed
by the cost of entry) but the value of incumbent firms decreases by 1.4%. The rise in wages
reduces labor demand by incumbent firms. Labor market clearing requires a larger mass of
firm entry, which rises by about 39.3%. Larger firm entry together with a reallocation of
resources to financially constraint firms explain the large increase in aggregate TFP.
In sum, we find that in general equilibrium corporate income taxation raises the market
value of incumbent firms relative to entrants, depressing the equilibrium wage rate and
business entry, shifting resources from young to mature businesses and reducing aggregate
output and TFP.
Tax reform 2: τc = 0.17 increasing all other capital income taxes
The corporate income tax rate is set as τc = 0.17 while all other capital income taxes are
set to 0.28 (τg = τd = τr = 0.28). We find that output increases by 8.1% and entry increases
by 23% (see Table 4). The results are somewhat more than a half the ones obtained when
the corporate income taxation was eliminated (13.6% increase in output and 39% increase in
entry). Hence, the effects on output and entry of reducing the taxation of corporate income
are non-linear but not too far from linearity.
Tax reform 3: τc = 0.17 increasing only dividend tax
The corporate income tax rate is set as τc = 0.17, and we increase τd = 0.41 so that the
reform is revenue neutral. Capital gains tax and income tax are kept fixed at their value
in the baseline economy. The results in Table 4 show that the output gain diminishes
dramatically relatively to the previous reform (0.34% versus 8.7%). Hence, the output gains
of equating the tax rates on capital gains and dividends are substantial. Why is this the
case? When τg is substantially below τd, firms have strong incentives to accumulate capital
internally (see discussion in Section 2.4). As a result, firms enter the economy with a small
size. The average initial equity is reduced by 10% relative to the baseline economy (while in
tax reform 2 is slightly higher than in the baseline economy). Firms take more time to grow
28
which reduces the value of entrants. As a result, relative to the baseline economy entry is
reduced by 17.3%. The fact that aggregate capital rises by 15.5% while the number of firm
decreases implies that the average firm is much bigger than in the baseline economy. In sum,
higher dividend taxes act as a financial frictions that hurt entry and make incumbents firms
much larger.
3.3.1 Taxation and the life cycle of firms
It is interesting to compare the average life cycle behavior of firms across the model economies.
Panel A of Figure 4 shows the average equity to investment ratio for the baseline economy
and the economies with the Tax Reforms 2 and 3. When the capital gains tax is smaller
than the dividend tax (Tax Reform 3), firms are much more reluctant to finance investment
with equity issuance. Moreover, as shown in Panel B of the same Figure, firms distribute
much less dividends when young in Tax Reform 3 because they are (slowly) building internal
equity. Nonetheless, when firms mature there are no differences in the dividends to earnings
ratio under the Tax Reforms 2 and 3. Mature firms in the baseline economy distribute a
lower fraction of their earnings because they are paying higher corporate taxes than in the
other two economies. Panel C of Figure 4 shows that the mean employment growth rate
of firms is much higher under Tax Reform 3. Again, when capital gains taxes are lower
than dividend taxes, firms start small and grow fast by retarding dividend payments and
accumulating internal equity. Since firms discount future payouts at a low rate when capital
gains taxes are low, they have a strong incentive to grow over their life cycle. Even though
the average firm size at entry is the smallest under Tax Reform 3, the average size late in
the life cycle is the largest across all economies. The large dispersion in business size over
the life cycle and the low entry under Tax Reform 3 explain why this economy features the
lowest TFP among all the economies considered.
4 Conclusions
In this paper, we use a model of firm dynamics with endogenous entry to analyze the impact
of different forms of taxing capital income on investment over the life cycle of firms and
on firm entry. We use the calibrated model economy to quantitatively assess the effects of
a reform that eliminates the taxation of corporate income while keeping constant the tax
revenue collected on capital. This is done by finding the common tax rate (τ) on all forms
of capital income (dividends τd, interest income τr, and capital gains τg) that collects the
same tax revenue as in the baseline economy. The purpose of the proposed policy reform is
twofold. Firstly, by equating the three tax rates we would be treating symmetrically all forms
of capital income from the household perspective. Secondly, by eliminating the corporate
29
Figure 4: Life Cycle of Firms
A: Equity to Investment by Age
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50Age
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
Ave
rage
Equ
ity/N
et In
vest
men
t
Equity/Net Investment by Age
BaselineOnly d
d= g = r
B: Dividends to Earnings by Age
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50Age
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
Ave
rage
Div
iden
ds/E
arni
ngs
Dividends/Earnings by Age
BaselineOnly d
d= g = r
C: Employment Growth by Age
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50Age
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0.14
0.16
0.18
0.2
Ave
rage
Em
ploy
men
t Gro
wth
Employment Growth by Age
BaselineOnly d
d= g = r
D: Average Capital by Age
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50Age
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
Cap
ital
Capital by Age
BaselineOnly d
d= g = r
Average age profiles for equity to investment, dividends to earnings, employment growth and capital. Blue solid line (Baseline)
corresponds to the baseline calibration. Dotted yellow line (τd = τg = τr) corresponds to Tax Reform 2, i.e. τc = 0.17, and
τd = τg = τr = 0.28 to keep the governement budget constraint balanced. Starred orange line (Only τd) corresponds to Tax
Reform 3, i.e. τc = 0.17, and τd = 0.41 to keep the governement budget constraint balanced, while the other taxes are set to
their baseline values (τg = 0.15, τr = 0.25).
30
tax, we allow financially constrained firms to accumulate profits and to reach maturity (the
dividend distribution stage) faster. We find that the this revenue neutral tax reform leads
to an increase in aggregate output of 13.6%, which is accompanied by a large increase in the
aggregate capital stock (35%) and in the number of firms (39.3%). Note that the fact that
aggregate capital and output rise less than the number of firms indicates that the average
size of the firm is smaller after the tax reform. Hence, the large response of firm entry to
the tax reform drives the large increase in aggregate output and capital.
At the heart of our results is that the tax reform increases more the expected value of
entry than the value of incumbent firms, leading to a reallocation of resources from mature
to younger firms that operates through an increase in entry and in the equilibrium wage
rate. The elimination of corporate income taxation allows financially constrained firms to
retain a larger fraction of their earnings and increase their investments. The ability to retain
earnings is particularly relevant for young firms, which are more likely to be constrained
than the average incumbent firm in the economy. Since the value of entry is determined
by the average value of age-0 firms, we find that the value of the average firm entering the
economy increases more than that of incumbent firms when corporate inome taxation is
eliminated. In general equilibrium, the increase in the value of entry requires the wage rate
to rise, which reduces labor demand by incumbent firms. Labor market clearing requires
a larger mass of firm entry. Larger firm entry together with a reallocation of resources to
financially constraint firms lead to an increase in aggregate TFP of 5.2%.
Our paper abstracts from many effects of corporate income taxation. In particular,
the corporate income is likely to affect the organizational form of firms, the incentives of
firms to borrow and to invest in intangibles capital. While these issues are out of the scope
of the current paper, they are important for having a complete assessment of the impact of
corporate income taxation.
31
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33
Appendix
Appendix A. Asset Pricing
We derive some useful results on asset prices by considering a discrete time version of the
model with δd = 019. Consider a small time interval ∆. In equilibrium the following no
arbitrage condition must hold:
∆Rt =1
PtEt
[(1− τd)dt+∆∆ + (1− τg)(Pt+∆ − et+∆
1
(1− ξ)∆− Pt)
], (47)
where R = r(1− τr) denote the returns on bonds.
Dividing by ∆ in both sides yields:
Rt =1
PtEt
[(1− τd)dt+∆ − (1− τg)et+∆ + (1− τg)
Pt+∆ − Pt∆
](48)
Taking the limit as ∆→ 0, yields expression (1) in the text.
To obtain the HJB equation satisfied by the firm value function, use (47) to solve for
Pt:
Pt =Et
{[1−τd1−τg dt+∆ − et+∆
]∆ + Pt+∆
}1 + ∆Rt
1−τg
(49)
Define the cum-dividend value of equity net of taxation on dividends and capital gains
as: (for every t):
Vt =
[1− τd1− τg
dt − et]
∆ + Pt (50)
Combining (50) and (49) yields:
Vt =
[1− τd1− τg
dt − et]
∆ + Et
(Vt+∆
1 + ∆Rt1−τg
). (51)
The date-0 value of the firm is obtained as follows:
V0 = E0
∞∑t=0
[1− τd1− τg
dt − et]
∆1
Πtj=0
(1 +
∆Rj1−τg
) , (52)
19The analysis in Appendix A builds on Gourio and Miao (2010).
34
which taking the limit ∆→ 0 yields:
V0 = E0
∫ ∞0
[1− τd1− τg
dt − et]e−
∫ t0 Rsds
1−τg , (53)
which gives the objective function in the problem of the firm stated in the text.20
To derive the HJB equation, re-arrange equation ?? to get
Rt∆Vt = [(1− τd)dt − (1− τg)et] ∆
(1 +
Rt∆
1− τg
)+ (1− τg)Et(Vt+∆ − Vt) (54)
Dividing by ∆ and taking the limit ∆→ 0 gives
RtVt = (1− τd)dt − (1− τg)et + (1− τg)Et(dVt) (55)
Applying Ito’s Lema, E(dV ) = ∂V∂t
+ ∂V∂zµz + 1
2∂2V∂z2
(σzz)2
Hence,
RtVt = (1− τd)dt − (1− τg)et + (1− τg){∂V
∂t+∂V
∂zµz +
1
2
∂2V
∂z2(σzz)2
}(56)
Dividing both sides of the above equation by 1− τg yields:
Rt
1− τgVt =
1− τd1− τg
dt − et +∂v
∂t+∂v
∂zµz +
1
2
∂2v
∂z2(σzz)2, (57)
which coincides with the HJB equation in the paper.
Appendix B. Data Variables
Appendix B.1. COMPUSTAT North America
We use data from COMPUSTAT North America obtained via WRDS. We use an unbalanced
panel of firms from 1995-2015. We exclude all Canadian and foreign firms. We also exclude
firms whose industry classification is in utilities (SIC codes between 4900 and 4949) or
the financial sector (SIC code between 6000 and 6999), following the literature21. We also
exclude observations reporting a value of acquisitions to assets larget than 5%, since these
firms might behave differently. We finally exclude firms reporting negative employment,
sales, wages or investment. All dollar values are in million dollars (1999 real terms, deflated
20The discount rate in the paper is denoted by m = R1−τg = r(1−τr
1−τg . When exogenous death of the firm is
allowed, firms discount future payout at a rate m+ δd, where δd is the death rate. The value of the firm inthe deterministic problem is just a special case of the stochastic case.
21These companies are usually excluded since they face additional regulations and hence might havedifferent payout behavior, and their dividend patterns are quite different from other companies.
35
using the GDP deflator from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis22), and all firm-level
measures are winsorized at the 1st and 99th percentile. The raw variables we are going to
use are the following:
• Dividends. Total amount of dividends, other than stock dividends, declared on all
equity capital of the company, based on the current year’s net income (DVT item).
We restrict the analysis to those reporting DVT greater or equal to 0.
• Equity Issuance. Funds received from issuance of common and preferred stock
(SSTK item). We restrict the analysis to those reporting SSTK greater or equal to 0.
• Capital. It represents the cost, less accumulated depreciation, of tangible fixed prop-
erty used in the production of revenue, which is a component of total assets (PPENT
item).
• Age. Computed as current year minus year of their IPO (IPODATE item)23.
• Employees. Number of company workers as reported to shareholders. This is reported
by some firms as an average number of employees and by some as the number of
employees at year-end (EMP item).
• Earnings. Measured as Operating Income Before Depreciation (OIBDP item).
Table 5 presents the summary statistics of the variables over the period.
Table 5: Summary Statistics Compustat
Variable Mean Median Std. Dev. NDividends 44.43 0 195.71 104381Equity Issuance 21.81 .68 68.71 103368Capital 863.10 23.52 3056.73 105516Age 7.10 6 6.65 113580Employment 8.36 .65 24.07 96425Earnings 455.90 10.94 2429.87 104864Source: Compustat North America
We construct the variables used in the calibration as follows. The calibration targets
are the average of these variables over the sample.
• Employment growth. Computed asempi,t−empi,t−1
(empi,t+empi,t−1)/2.
22Accesed at https://www.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?ReqID=9step=1reqid=9step=1isuri=123Though an imperfect measure of firms’ age, it is the only one available in Compustat database. This
variable presents a high correlation with actual age, so that can be used as a proxy.
36
• Aggregate Investment rate. Computed from NIPA table 1.1.5 and FAT table 1.1.
• Aggregate Dividends to Earnings. Measured as the sum of dividends of all firms
alive in one period, divided by the sum their earnings (OIBDP).
• Aggregate Equity to Investment. Measured as the sum of equity issuance of all
firms alive in one period, divided by the sum their earnings (OIBDP). Equity issuance
of incumbents is the sum of equity issuance of all firms alive in one period that are not
doing an IPO, and equity issuance of entrants the sum of equity issuance reporting to
do an IPO in the period.
• Aggregate Employment Growth by Age. Computed as the sum of all labor of
firms of age j at time t (sum empj,t) for all ages and years in our data. Then, compute
the growth rates by age as(sum empj+1,t+1−sum empj,t)
((sum empj+1,t+1+sum empj,t)/2), and averaging by age j across
all years t in our sample.
Appendix B.2. SDC Global New Issues database
We use the Thompson’s Securities Data Corporation (SDC) Global New Issues database. We
only use the subset of observations from SDC that we can match to the previous Compustat
observations through their CUSIP. We keep only those observations trading in main stocks
markets: NYSE, Amex and NASDAQ (EXCHC codes NYSE Alter, NYSE Amex, NYSE
Arca, NYSE MKT, Nasdaq). We use only primary offerings, since these are the ones linked
to inflows of capital to the firm24. Following Lee, Lochhead, Ritter and Zhao (1996), we
compute the total costs of an issue as a percentage of the proceeds as follows:
total cost = GPCTP + EXPTH ∗ 10/PROCDS (58)
where the first item (GPCTP ) is gross spreads (management fees, underwriting fees, and
selling concession); and the second item (EXPTH∗10/PROCDS) are other direct expenses
(registration fee, printing,legal and auditing costs) as percentage of the proceeds .
Appendix C. Robustness
Our baseline economy assumes that productivity follows a geometric Brownian Motion. We
now evaluate the robustness of our results by assessing the output gains of eliminating
corporate income taxes in an economy in which productivity follows an AR(1) process. This
specification is the one used by Gourio and Miao (2010) in their study of the effects of
dividend taxation. In the next draft of the paper, we plan to further sensitivity analysis.
24 Secondary offerings are offerings of shareholders selling their existing shares, and therefore lead to noinflow of funds to the company.
37
Table 6: Summary Statistics SDC Platinum
Mean Median Std Dev. N
IPOGross Spreads 7.1 7 .16 1218Other Costs 4.0 3.0 2.9 994Total Costs 11.0 10.1 3.3 994
SEOGross Spreads 5.5 5.6 .2 1468Other Costs 1.5 0.8 2.2 1279Total Costs 7.0 6.6 3.0 1279
Calibration
The logarithm of productivity follows a diffusion process of the form:
dlnzt = −θlnztdt+ σdW (59)
which is the continuous time analog of an AR(1), where θ controls the mean reversion. From
Ito’s lemma, we obtain that
dzt = zt
(−θlnzt +
σ2
2
)dt+ σztdW. (60)
We assume that entrants draw productivity from the invariant distribution implied
by the process above, which follows a lognormal distribution with µ = exp(−θlnzt + σ2/2)
and variance σ2.25 We fix all parameters to the values in the baseline economy but for
the following parameters: (i) ψ, determining the magnitude of capital adjustment costs;
(ii) θ, determining the mean reversion of productivity; (iii) σ, determining the volatility of
productivity shocks; (iv) ξe, determining equity issuance cost when firms enter the economy.
We set θ = −log(0.76) = 0.2485 to match the an autocorrelation of shocks of 0.76, as
estimated in the Compustat data by Gourio and Miao (2010). The other three parameters
are calibrated by targeting (i) the volatility of the investment rate x/k across firms of 0.059,
(ii) the ratio of equity issuance by incumbent firms to investment of 12.6%, (iii) the fraction
of businesses with less than 100 employees of 53%.
The calibrated model economy with AR shocks matches well the calibration targets
(see Table 8). Relative to our baseline economy, the calibration requires higher variance
of shocks (0.50 instead of 0.15) and higher capital adjustment costs (0.18 instead of 0.09)
to match the volatility of investment rates and the fraction of small businesses. These
results are as expected: given that shocks are transitory we require a higher variance of
shocks to match the heterogeneity in business size; and given the higher variance of shocks
25Since Gourio and Miao (2010) do not model entry and exit of firms, the distribution of productivity intheir model economy is given by the invariant distribution of schocks.
38
Table 7: Calibration Baseline Economy with AR(1) growth
Parameter Description Valueψ Capital adjustment cost 0.18θ Mean reversion parameter 0.2485σ Volatility of prod. shock 0.5ξe Financing cost at entry 0.40
adjustment costs should also be larger in order to match the volatility of investment rates.
Moreover, the higher adjustment costs calibrated implies that the model economy requires
higher equity issuance costs at entry than in the baseline economy (0.40 instead of 0.30) to
match the fraction of investment financed with equity by incumbent firms. The intuition
is simple: when adjustment costs are large, firms want to do more investment at entry in
order to minimize adjustment costs after entry. Table 8 presents data in some non-targeted
dimensions showing that the economy with mean-reverting shocks performs worse than our
baseline economy. Relative to the data, the former model economy has a too low employment
growth of firms (0.01 instead of 0.02), a too high autocorrelation of (annual) investment rates
(0.71 instead of 0.57), and has almost no businesses with size bigger than 500 (while in the
data they represent about 10% of the total mass of businesses).
Results
Table 9 presents the aggregate long-run effects of replacing the corporate income tax with a
common tax on capital all forms of capital income (dividends, capital gains, interest income)
that raises the same amount of government revenue. We also report results for an experiment
in which the corporate income tax is reduced by a half (from 34% to 17%). The quantitative
findings are quite close to the ones in our baseline economy. Output increases by 15.5%
and capital by 39%, while in the baseline economy these figures were slightly lower (13.6%
and 35.2%). The elimination of corporate income taxation leads to a large increase in entry
47.7%, larger than the 39.3% increase in the baseline economy. The results are quite similar
when we consider reducing corporate income tax rates by a half. We thus conclude that are
key findings are robust to modeling productivity shocks as a mean reverting process.
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Table 8: Calibration Results
Data ModelTargetsVolatility investment rate 0.059 0.057Eq. issuance incumbents/investment 0.13 0.13Fract. bussinesses employees ∈ [50, 99) 0.53 0.52
Non-targeted dimensionsAvg. employment growth 0.02 0.01Autocorrelation invest. rate 0.57 0.71Agg. eq. issuance /agg. investment 0.13 0.13Dividend/ Earnings 0.098 0.46
Size Distribution of BusinessesNo. of Employees Fraction Data Fraction Model[50, 99) 0.53 0.52[100, 249) 0.29 0.45[250, 499) 0.089 0.03[500, 999) 0.0429 8e-7[1000, 2499) 0.0265 0[2500, 4999) 0.0099 0[5000,∞) 0.0115 0
Targeted moments in the data, and their respective counterpart in the model. Data comes from Com-
pustat, and BDS for the size distribution of businesses.
Table 9: Aggregate Effects of Eliminating Corporate Income Taxation under AR(1) ofshocks to growth of z.
Output Capital TFP Mass Entry Wage ττc = 0 15.5 39.0 6.2 47.7 15.5 0.38τc = 0.17 9.1 22.0 3.7 26.4 9.1 0.27
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