Tanzania Livestock Sector Analysis: Livestock Production & Household Economy
Transcript of Tanzania Livestock Sector Analysis: Livestock Production & Household Economy
Tanzania Livestock Sector Analysis (LSA) Baseline 2016and Projections to 2031: Livestock Production & Household Economy
Tanzanian Livestock Master Plan, Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) Meeting, Colosseum Hotel, Dar Es Salaam 23 June 2016
Stephen Michael, Francis Makusaro (Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries Development)& Solomon Desta (ILRI)
NOT FOR CITATION
RESULTSAverage annual net income (TZS)
(per head of traditional cattle)
Average annual net income (TZS) (per head of commercial cattle)
114,000
Distribution of Livestock keeping Households by main livestock activity
Distribution of Livestock keeping HHs by main livestock activity by production zone
Contribution of Livestock income to household Poverty reduction - Central Zone
Livestock Contribution to Employment Generation (C&L zone) at production stage
(# person months/year/household)
Dominant species Total Labour Family Labour External LabourCattle
Small 12 9 3Medium 25 20 5
Goats Small 0.02 0.02 0.00
Poultry Small 1 1 0.0
Swine Small 2 2 0.00
Medium 61 13 48
Contribution of livestock to meeting household (HH) nutrition requirements
Calories ProteinsCattle Small 8% 22% Medium 10% 45%Sheep Small 16% 1%Goats Small 6% 2% Medium 2% 14%Poultry Small 7% 1%Swine Small 11% 1% Medium 8% 2%
NATIONAL LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION (Meat, Milk, Eggs, Organic Matter and Energy) - 2016
Product
Unit
Quantity of product
MEAT • Cattle Tonnes 395,000• Sheep Tonnes 20,000• Goats Tonnes 64,000• Swine Tonnes 19,000• Poultry Tonnes 82,290All Meat Tonnes 580,320COW MILK Liters 2,043,061,700EGGS Number 2,882,456,300HIDES & SKIN Tonnes 2,540ORGANIC MATTER Tonnes 19,459,150ENERGY Days 45,934,000
Share of meat production by livestock species
NATIONAL LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION GDP - 2016
Product
Total value added (in millions TZS)
MEAT • Cattle 1,371,700• Sheep 68,640• Goats 212,810• Swine 33,290• Poultry 391,800All Meat 2,078,270COW MILK 764,890EGGS 272,130HIDES & SKIN 1,300ORGANIC MATTER 194,590ENERGY 828,990
TOTAL 4,140,140* LSA estimates do not include income from donkeys, other livestock species and GDP from the VC
Percent share of Livestock GDP by product type
Comparison of Livestock Production from LSA, MALF and FAO
Product Unit LSA Estimates 2016 MALF 2016
Meat Cattle Tonnes 395,049 323,775Sheep Tonnes 19,955 129,292Goats Tonnes 63,979Swine Tonnes 19,047 91,451
Poultry Tonnes 82,290 104,292Total Meat 580,320 648,810
Milk Million litres 2,043 2,127
Eggs Millions of eggs 2,882 4,353
Hides & Skins Tonnes 2,538
Organic matter Million tonnes 19,459,149
Energy Thousand days 46,000
NATIONAL LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION from ruminants (Meat, Milk, Organic Matter and Energy) & GDP– 2016 and 2031
Product
Unit
Quantity of product - 2016
Quantity of production 2031
MEAT • Cattle Tonnes 395,000 649,450• Sheep Tonnes 20,000 29,000• Goats Tonnes 64,000 159,600
COW MILK Million litres 2,043 3,400
ORGANIC MATTER
Thousand tonnes 19,459 34,171
ENERGY Thousand days 45,934 74,995
NATIONAL LIVESTOCK & GDP AT PRODUCTION STAGE for ruminants– 2016 and 2031
Product
Total value added (Millions TZS)
2016
Total value added (Millions TZS)
2031MEAT • Cattle 1,371,700 2,255,000• Sheep 68,640 100,000• Goats 212,810 530,800COW MILK 764,890 1,273,060ORGANIC MATTER 194,590 1,828,200ENERGY 828,990 1,352,700
CONCLUSIONS In Tanzania, cattle and poultry are the major livestock activities Results show annual returns per head of cattle in the highland zone is
higher than other zones in traditional herds. For commercial livestock keeping, medium size dairy pays more than
ranches and cattle fattening. The contribution of traditional livestock to increasing income is substantial
only in medium size livestock herds (which are small in number), not small herds kept by poor households.
Thus, reducing household poverty in traditional livestock will require investments in productivity increasing technology and changes in policies to promote adoption.
Contribution of the sector to employment and national economy (GDP) is substantial, but it can only be raised greatly with appropriate investments in productivity increasing technologies.
The potential of the sector to overcome malnutrition is great through providing Animal Source Foods (ASF).
Livestock production will increase greatly from 2016 to 2031 but to see whether this increase will be enough to ensure “food security” in 2031 we will need to compare this projected production growth to the projected increase in consumption requirements (the next step in the LSA analysis)